After a close early vote, Robinzon Diaz coasts into the #8 slot. So who's the Blue Jays' "fine #9" top prospect?
Yohermyn Chavez | 45 (20.18%) |
Buck Coats | 7 (3.14%) |
Eric Eiland | 11 (4.93%) |
Balbino Fuenmayor | 13 (5.83%) |
Kyle Ginley | 4 (1.79%) |
Justin Jackson | 67 (30.04%) |
Brian Jeroloman | 5 (2.24%) |
Ryan Patterson | 15 (6.73%) |
John Tolisano | 53 (23.77%) |
Other (who?) | 3 (1.35%) |
Yeah, I've spent too much time at John Sickels' site.
What scares me is his horrendous time in the GCL. I'm hoping that is mostly due to getting used to swinging a wooden bat and that he'll rebound this season.
I don't understand. Tolisano hit .246/.336/.437 last year. At the same age, in the same league, Cahvez hit .301/ .389/.494.
How do you vote for Tolisano over Yo Chavez??
I didn't vote for either, but I can think of a few reasons: Tolisano plays a middle IF position versus a corner OF position, Tolisano already has demonstrated HR power (1 per 18 AB's versus 1 every 30 for Chavez), and Tolisano is a switch-hitter versus a righty-bat for Chavez.
Also, while they were the same age, Chavez already had a year of pro experience versus this being Tolisano's first time playing as a pro. There are lifestyle adjustments that people have to make, especially for a high schooler.
I think it's very easy to read too much into prospects numbers at an early stage. Of course you'd prefer better numbers to bad ones, but it's all about projections. While normally a believer in statistics, I think there is a strong tendency for people to overly rely on them for prospects. But hey, I went with Jackson, so what do I know?
I really like Eric Eiland. He looks like he could be a pretty exciting ballplayer, if everything comes together.
Baseball America reported that "some scouts" believe Tolisano could end up in an outfield corner. BA doesn't project him to be better than an average defender at second. However, he is only 18 with his current skill set, has a decent chance to develop as a MLB second or third baseman.
Chavez has no shot of playing anywhere but corner outfielder.
Chavez actually went from the Appy league to the GCL, which is a bit of a step down.