The Jays will finish with between 84 and 88 wins. This is ...
... more than I expected | 4 (2.04%) |
... exactly what I expected | 100 (51.02%) |
... less than I expected | 92 (46.94%) |
What I expected was that in the event of injury, there'd be a couple of guys to step it up and fill in.
I didn't expect that for a decent part of the year we'd have a rotation of Halladay, Lilly, Janssen, Marcum, and Taubenheim. I knew there'd be injury and possible collapse, but I didn't think it would happen to three pitchers. I was hoping that for the one or two guys that got injured or imploded, there'd be someone to step up.
Janssen did for a while, and Marcum did okay, but it was unreasonable to expect solid contributions for two pitchers (Casey and Ty) who played A ball next year. Hopefully they can bring back Lilly or another pitcher and have a pretty solid 1 through 7 starters. That will do damage.
It's what I expected in April, I think. So it's hard to be really disappointed.
But by July, I was expecting better. I didn't think the team would stall out around 6-12 games above .500 almost all year. The lack of a back end rotation and just better timed hitting held the team down. The Jays are 3rd in OBP, 1st in Slugging, yet 8th in runs...don't put all the blame on the pitching staff. The five guys who qualify for the batting title have all been bad in the clutch (aside from average Wells), at least by the hardballtimes measurement.
In that sense, I see that as a positive for next year. I address clutch hitting as one of two things:
1) Experienced hitters that know pitcher's strategy and adjust to being able to hit the ball in high leverage situations. Frank Catalanotto and Carlos Delgado fit this description well.
2) The luck of the draw that # 87 of your 150 hits happen to be with two runners on.
So in that sense, with that offense I see no reason why that cannot be improved for next year.
What I expected, not what I hoped for. I was hoping for 90+ but ... sigh.
2007 - Jays will be top 1/2 (or top 1/4) of the league in pitching while hitting goes south again? Or will the current pattern finish the way we'd all love it to...
2004 - nothing goes right
2005 - great pitching, horrid hitting
2006 - poor pitching, good hitting
2007 - great pitching, good hitting = playoffs! :)
As to the poll response, I voted that this season was less than I expected, but it is mitigated by the implosion of the Red Sox and their $50 million higher payroll. And they get to enjoy The Dude on their bench next season.
on the other hand, I expected 90-91 wins.
No one has mentioned recently, but maybe some of the Red Sox free-fall could be attributed to the lack of interleague play in the second half? Take away that spiffy 16-2 record vs. the NL and they're a very pedestrian 68-73 vs. the AL this year.
Curse those Florida and Colorado series!