A.J. Burnett, born January 3, 1977.

2002: 204 IP, 3.30 ERA
2003: 23 IP, 4.70 ERA (underwent Tommy John surgery)
2004: 120 IP, 3.68 ERA
2005: 209 IP, 3.44 ERA
Career: 854 IP, 3.73 ERA

Pro Player Stadium 3-year run park factor: 84 (Baseball Think Factory)
Rogers Centre / SkyDome 3-year run park factor: 108 (Baseball Think Factory)
Rogers Centre 1-year run park factor: 102 (Baseball-Reference)

Factoring in park, health, defence and league adjustments, I went with 4.3. I'd actually feel most comfortable with a figure between 4.0 and 4.3.

Not to worry Mike, I'm positive your 4.30 will be pulled down well below 4.00 when the votes are tallied. I consider myself an optimist, so it amazes me that these polls have almost all rendered results more optimistic than my own guesses.

Actually, any of the figures is within reason. Burnett could easily post an ERA of 3.1 if he improves his control some and Russ Adams improves his defence.

Yeah, Burnett has absolutely electric stuff. Don't get me wrong, he's no Doc, and probably never will be, but he's got great stuff and when he's on, oh man, he just shuts 'em down.

I'd anticipate something around 3.20-3.40, with a few excellent games here and there.