So after three considerable blowouts in the division polls ... who grabs the AL Wild Card "title"?
CLE | 43 (28.29%) |
NYY | 34 (22.37%) |
SEA | 0 (0.00%) |
TOR | 71 (46.71%) |
Other (who?) | 4 (2.63%) |
New York has the depth to overcome any of their rotation flaming out - Wang, Mussina, Pettite, Kennedy, Hughes - and Joba likely going to the bullpen, and probably called back to the rotation should any of these guys falter. Not to mention Igawa (who is still a pretty decent pitcher) lurking in the background. The only way the Jays beat the Yankees is through an unparalleled collapse - everything has to go wrong with these 3 young pitchers and at least one of their rotation vets has to fall apart (looking at you Andy).
Anyways, if the Jays don't do it this year, then it is all over for at least the next 3 seasons for them, because those young studs with a couple more notches in their belts are going to be untouchable. The Jays have *nothing* in the next few years rivaling those guys who are going to come up and make that kind of impact.
I see the yankee's missing the playoffs this year. Wang is the only reliable starter they have. Mussina and Pettite are on their decline. Rivera(39) had an era over 3.00 for the first time since 1995(his rookie season), is that a blip, or a sign of things to come? Their young pitchers have not proved anything to me, I dont care how highly they are rated and how much the yankees organization talks them up, they are still unproven. The best prospects dont always turn out to be the best players.
Posada (37) is in my opinion never going to come close to hitting .338 again, and well probalby have to be moved to DH in the near future.
Jeter(34) is not going to be able to play an effective shortstop forever. His best days may be behind him.
No doubt the yankees will have a good offence again this year, but there are alot of question marks on the staff, and going forward I definatly see this as a team in Decline. They may struggle to make the playoffs the next few years. Although money could change that.
The Jays don't need the high end impact pitching over the next 3 years because they already have it. Halladay is locked up, and McGowan is easily a #2 guy. If Marcum can continue to post numbers the way he did last year, that is definatly #3 or #4 material. Brett Cecil is on his way as well, and who knows how good he can be? Add a free agent or two, and thats still a top of the line rotation.
Let's let McGowan pitch a whole season in the majors before we anoint him as easily anything.
I agree with your comments on caution for the Yankees this season, but they completely disappear when looking at the Jays. Saying that you don't care how highly regarded Chamberlain and Hughes are and then two paragraphs later touting Cecil as being on his way to being a member of a top of the line rotation is a bit unfair to the Yanks.
I'd love to have what New York has right now, and there's a good chance that we have a stretch of fourth place finishes ahead of us, but those kids aren't aces yet.
"Opening Day Starter" Carl Pavano 2
Kei Igawa 5
Darrell Rasner 6
Matt DeSalvo 5
Jeff Karstens 2
Chase Wright 2
Tyler Clippard 4
And they still made the playoffs. I guess they won't have the Rocket's intangibles to bail them out this time, but if they need bailing out it'll be because someone shot out of the gates and not because they started 25-31. My head says the Yanks, my heart says the Jays, and my inner riverboat gambler says the GOOD GUYS abuse the Twins and Royals all year long, and shock one of the Central powerhouses to finish in second. You can put it on the boooooard.... yes! OK, probably not.