Who will lead the 2006 Blue Jays pitching staff in wins?
Miguel Batista | 0 (0.00%) |
David Bush | 3 (2.59%) |
Gustavo Chacin | 5 (4.31%) |
Roy Halladay | 92 (79.31%) |
Ted Lilly | 0 (0.00%) |
Dustin McGowan | 0 (0.00%) |
Josh Towers | 8 (6.90%) |
Someone else already with the organization (please specify) | 0 (0.00%) |
Someone not currently in the organization (please specify) | 8 (6.90%) |
116 votes | 4 featured comments
Well, since ol' Doc is injury-prone, I guess the hale 'n' hearty A.J. Burnett's 18 W's will lead the staff over Halladay's 16 and Chacin's 15. McGowan's even dozen will be a nice surprise, considering he won't break camp with the big team, but instead get called up when the Jays trade Lilly to Cincy in May.
(ok, how do I get my tongue unembedded from my cheek?)
(ok, how do I get my tongue unembedded from my cheek?)
Burnett will have a fully healthy, break-out season, 18 wins, edging Halladay's 17, because Halladay won't get the run support and will finish with an off-year ERA around 3.50. Lilly will get injured, again, and finish with around 8-10 wins. Bush will FINALLY get some run support, show some consistancy, and notch around 10-12 wins. Chacin is figured out, gets hit hard, and is moved to the bullpen. McGowan is called up mid-season and shows signs of dominance, fully recovered from TJ surgery, records 8 wins in the second half.
I think Chacin will be decent enough and lucky enough to beat out Doc for the win title next year. Wins involve luck and skill, so given Doc has always had good run support he is due for a 'bad' year (lots of 2-1 games) while Chacin gets lucky and gets the #3 or #4 starters of other teams against him thus getting good run support to go with a decent arm.
I think Doc will bounce back and prove to the world that he's not injury prone, especially this year when it was a freak accident (I guess same could be said about Mark Prior for the last 4 years). Doc will once again lead the staff with 20+ wins and an ERA in the top-5 of the AL (just under 3.00) and have a run at the Cy. Burnett (lets keep our fingers cross on this one) is having an amazing second half and is becomes one of the elite pitchers of the league. However, occassional Wildness will lead him to a slightly higher ERA and Win total (15+). Although I hope I am wrong about this, but I think Chacin maybe someone who would go through a bit of a sophomore jinx (think Dontrelle Willis), but still manages OK numbers, I say similar or slightly worse numbers compared to this year. The future of Lilly with the organization is hazy at best, I've heard rumours that since Scott Downs have been pitcher well this year, JP might be more willing to deal Lilly in the offseason (could anyone confirm this?). He has always shown flashes of brilliance, but could he stay healthy and do it for a whole year. If he is still around, I would say 13-15wins, ERA just under 4. Towers is having a decent year so far and is on pace for about 12-13 wins, if he could be consistent game in and game out, he could be a #2 starter, but I would expect no more than 14 wins from him. Obviously, these are very optimistic projections, but I honestly do feel great about the team next year.