Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine
The road trip concludes at Camden Yards. I expect the Jays will be happy to take two of the three games. This would salvage a split on the road trip, and let everybody come home in a Good Mood.

The Jays opened their season against the Orioles just two weeks ago. You may recall that left fielder Colton Cowser broke his thumb sliding into first base in the finale. He will be out until June, most likely. Shortstop Gunnar Henderson missed that opening series, but he's back in the lineup now. He hasn't started hitting yet, and he's generally scuffled against the Blue Jays. Somehow, that doesn't seem to comfort me.

The Orioles, like most teams these days, have most of a starting rotation on the IL - they're currently without Opening Day starter Zach Eflin, Grayson Rodriguez, and Kyle Bradish. With Corbin Burnes having split for the desert, and sub-optimal work from holdover Dean Kremer and new guy Charlie Morton, run prevention has been an issue so far in the young season.

Notorious Blue Jays killer Ryan Mountcastle went just 2-13 in this year's opening series. Did anyone notice that last year the Jays actually held Mountcastle to .235/.291/.471. Did they finally adjust the scouting report? Baby steps, people.

While no team in the majors has hit fewer HRs than the Jays, their offensive production (scoring runs!) is still within shouting distance of league average. This is mainly because they've been getting people on base, and they've been doing that with their bats - the Jays are hitting .254 as a team (league average is .231), which is the main reason they have the league's third best OnBase (.332).

But the reason they've won more than they've lost is because only Kansas City has allowed fewer runs (and the Royals have played two fewer games.)

Did I note that pretty much half of the 49 runs the Jays have allowed so far came in those opening four games against the Orioles? I have now.

There. I think I've set the table for a 13-12 game, dontcha think?

Matchups!

Fri 11 Apr - Francis (1-1, 3.18) vs Sugano (1-1, 2.89)
Sat 12 Apr - Berrios (1-1, 4.58) vs Povich (0-1, 3.48)
Sun 13 Apr - Lucas (2-0, 0.00) vs Some Guy (?-?, ?.??)
Toronto at Baltimore, April 11-13 | 37 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Gerry - Friday, April 11 2025 @ 04:27 PM EDT (#458676) #
No game today, my love has gone away.

Rained out, DH in July.
GabrielSyme - Friday, April 11 2025 @ 04:53 PM EDT (#458678) #
Given how Baltimore lit up Berrios, I think the Jays should push Berrios back, and have him start against Atlanta. Baltimore's lineup is more lefty-heavy than Atlanta too, so there's another advantage to having Lucas throw on Sunday.
Magpie - Friday, April 11 2025 @ 06:18 PM EDT (#458679) #
No game today, my love has gone away.

That would explain why you're not playing. But the other guys?
scottt - Friday, April 11 2025 @ 07:17 PM EDT (#458680) #
Must have been an easy decision given the state of the Orioles rotation.
greenfrog - Friday, April 11 2025 @ 11:28 PM EDT (#458684) #
A few notes from around the league:

-Boston lost 11-1 to the White Sox. This pleases me greatly. (Was this cosmic justice for what Manny Gonzalez did to the Blue Jays yesterday?)

-The Yankees lost 9-1 to the Giants. Jung Hoo Lee, a player I liked as a free agent target two off-seasons ago, is off to a strong start this year (.340/.404/.596). But this may be largely BABIP-driven (.395 in 2025 versus .273 last year).

-Yarbrough sighting! In the Yankees game, he went 2.2 scoreless innings, 1 hit and 1 walk allowed, 3 K.

The first-place Blue Jays (yep) should win two this weekend. Winning is good. Winning is enjoyable.
knuckeler - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 12:07 AM EDT (#458685) #
So it was Manny Gonzalez that umped that atrocious game yesterday, I was wondering who he was to watch for him in future games. Bad guy numeral uno for me shades of what was his name Angel Hernandez or something. Interesting, possibly both Hispanic hmmmm

Yep glad Boston got pounded today also, there does appear to be a baseball god after all.
vw_fan17 - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 01:16 AM EDT (#458688) #
I wonder when the last time both the Jays and Leafs were in first place in their respective divisions at the same time for a stretch of multiple days..
greenfrog - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 08:40 AM EDT (#458690) #
I think the Blue Jays have a shot at winning a WC spot and maybe even the division if they can stay fairly healthy. They have some issues to address, but their AL East rivals all have some flaws and/or significant injuries.

ESPN notes that the Yankees rotation "has a 5.46 ERA, worst among the 30 teams. Max Fried has a 1.56 ERA, but Carlos Rodón is at 5.19, Will Warren at 6.00, Carlos Carrasco at 7.71 and Stroman at 11.57." Stroman went to the hospital after yesterday's start to get his knee checked out.
Marc Hulet - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 09:47 AM EDT (#458691) #
They just need to keep an eye on the Yankees at home with their .967 OPS vs .714 on the road... I think they do something to the balls at home. All teams have a humidor now that the balls are kept in to supposedly maintain a consistent quality but the home team has control/access and also gets to chose what balls get our to the home plate umpire.

Balls just don't act like that in the weather they had at the start of the year. Everyone thought it was the new bats but my money is on the balls especially given how different the Yankees hitters looked at home vs on the road.

https://www.nbcsports.com/mlb/news/mlb-standardizing-ball-rubbing-and-removal-from-humidors

I noticed a similar stretch a couple of years ago where the exact same thing happened. They're smart enough to not do it consistently but the previous time was also at a time when they're were dealing with major injuries.
soupman - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 10:19 AM EDT (#458692) #
Was it proven that Judge (and probably Ohtani) were getting different balls? I know it was speculated. Reminds me of when writers accepted that McGwire was just using creatine.
ISLAND BOY - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 11:47 AM EDT (#458695) #
Stroman was really lit up last night for the Yankees -5 runs in the first inning. He has previously said he wouldn't pitch out of the bullpen so that may be a problem for them.
Nigel - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 11:51 AM EDT (#458696) #
I just assume the Yankees are cheating - humidors, different balls, illegal bats, PEDs you name it!!! All kidding aside, I just assume the Yankees are cheating:)
greenfrog - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 12:09 PM EDT (#458697) #
I assume it’s easier for the Yankees to cheat because MLB is so invested in having that cornerstone franchise remain highly marketable and popular. A major scandal could hurt MLB revenues, so they are incentivized to look the other way when it comes to cheating. They even provided Judge with special baseballs with extra travel late in his home run chase season.

Plus, under the current President, cheating, self-dealing and unethical behaviour has become normalized in society, which might contribute to an attitude of indifference on the part of MLB.
christaylor - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 02:20 PM EDT (#458704) #
Watch that step from inferring behavior in sports/games to politics, it is a doozy. Heck, I may even agree! It's still good to relax and not assume the worst; cynicism is bad for your health and is far too often mistaken for wisdom.

But, for baseball and the Yankees -- there are a lot of those "special" baseballs out there. A large sample of which could be tested scientifically. That's an awfully silly way to cheat, to leave behind that amount of evidence to not even break a record of any importance.

Because taking steroids wasn't cheating.

The source of "If you ain't cheating, you ain't trying" is attributed to a professional wrestler, often, but the spirit of the quote has lived on in baseball since its earliest days.

A little blank verse:

Not pitching where the batter requested it.
Was that cheating?
First gentleman to throw a curveball.
Was that cheating?
Outfield crowds moved "the fence" back and forth depending upon whether their home team was up.
Was that cheating?
Ty Cobb, who was always trying, went in with sharpened spikes first.
Was that cheating? (Ouch!)
The MLB gentleman's agreement had a skin color test.
Was that cheating? (No, something worse!)
Greenies, Gaylord Perry, and all the rest...
Was that cheating?



Kelekin - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 02:35 PM EDT (#458707) #
I think it's interesting looking at the AL East and considering the depth of other teams, as we often feel the Jays don't have a ton of "depth" (outside of left-handed outfielders and second basemen).

The Yankees showed last year that they were a top-heavy team, and when injured they were in trouble. It feels the same this year - high ceiling when everyone is healthy, but a couple of injuries and they're done for. Funny to imagine how their rotation would look with King and Holmes. Their AAA starter depth is quite weak, though Messinger and Boyle are quite interesting. Hitters are a crapshoot.

Boston is fascinating. They drafted well during Bloom's tenure, and progression from any of their young guys will set them up well on the offense side. Anthony and Mayer are in AAA, and their AAA rotation is full of guys with past MLB success: Fulmer, Bello, Giolito.

TB has an absolutely scary rotation (and that's without McClanahan). Seymour, Rock, and Workman is huge for their depth. Hitting wise though, there's no help on the way, and if their offense continues to underperform, they will be fully dependent on their pitching.

Baltimore - offensively, we already know. They're the inverse of TB. They have tons of young, good hitters, with more on the way. I wouldn't be surprised to see Weston and Young end up getting a crack at the rotation this year, but beyond that they're hooped.

I feel Boston is the team that can most weather the storm of injuries in the division, and wouldn't be surprised to see them win the division either.
greenfrog - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 03:05 PM EDT (#458709) #
Stroman has been placed on the 15-day IL. The Yankees rotation could be pretty weak during their April 25-27 series with the Blue Jays.
greenfrog - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 03:22 PM EDT (#458710) #
chris, agreed that relaxation and optimism are both important (hey, I predicted a contrarian 89 wins for the Blue Jays this season!).
John Northey - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 04:05 PM EDT (#458711) #
Always good to see the Yankees get a bit snake bit. Now if Judge goes down they are in really deep trouble.
Chuck - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 04:21 PM EDT (#458712) #
I think we now know how much orange is too much orange.
greenfrog - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 04:23 PM EDT (#458713) #
Very good PA by Wagner T1 against Sugano. Even though he ended up lining out to end the inning, he battled and made Suguno throw 10 pitches for a total of 25 first-inning pitches. That could help the Blue Jays later in the game.
uglyone - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 04:48 PM EDT (#458714) #
attaboy anthony!

greenfrog - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 04:56 PM EDT (#458715) #
Francis is pitching a great game so far.
christaylor - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 05:20 PM EDT (#458716) #
Isn't it on the 1B coach to yell to Vladdy when he goes too early?

The wind must be blowing in hard in RF across the inner harbor.
mathesond - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 05:24 PM EDT (#458718) #
"The wind must be blowing in hard in RF across the inner harbor."

The radio guys have mentioned the strong wind a few times so far.
Nigel - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 05:30 PM EDT (#458719) #
A lot of wasted opportunities for the Jays may come back to haunt.
mathesond - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 05:33 PM EDT (#458720) #
"A lot of wasted opportunities for the Jays may come back to haunt."

I feel that I have seen this sentiment expressed by various commenters approximately 150 games/year for the past 2 decades. Talk about consistency!
Marc Hulet - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 05:54 PM EDT (#458721) #
John Schneider is always the last guy to realize his starters are gassed. Francis looked done at the end of the previous inning.
SK in NJ - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 06:00 PM EDT (#458722) #
Vlad with a boneheaded base running decision which cost the team a run, and now dropping a routine catch at 1B which led to the O's taking the lead. Hopefully he has like a decade of 160 wRC+ seasons.
uglyone - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 06:42 PM EDT (#458723) #
epic at bat by Lukes.....but i can't help feeling he just set up our 6th dp of the night.
Marc Hulet - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 06:49 PM EDT (#458724) #
That was a very 2024 Jays loss.
Glevin - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 06:50 PM EDT (#458725) #
Just an embarrassing loss.
dalimon5 - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 06:53 PM EDT (#458726) #
That was a good game that they lost. No issue with the managing really. Need another big arm in BP.
greenfrog - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 08:00 PM EDT (#458727) #
As Magpie predicted, there will be pain during the season. This was a painful loss. There will be more of them.
Magpie - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 08:27 PM EDT (#458728) #
Bowden Francis has now made 13 starts since moving into the rotation for keeps at the end of July. Here's the first hit he's allowed in each of those starts:
 
Date     Batter     Team Hit Inning

29 July  Cowser     BAL   HR  1st
7 Aug    Santander  BAL   HR  1st
12 Aug   Moniak     LAA   HR  3rd
18 Aug   Busch      CHC   1b  4th
24 Aug   Ward       LAA   HR  9th

29 Aug   Sogard     BOS   1b  6th
4 Sep    Schwarber  PHA   HR  1st
11 Sep   Lindor     NYM   HR  9th
18 Sep   Semien     TEX   2B  1st
24 Sep   Story      BOS   2b  2nd

31 Mar   Abrams     WSH   HR  6th
6 Apr    Lindor     NYM   1b  1st
12 Apr   Kjerstad   BAL   HR  5th

Seems a little strange.
Michael - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 08:46 PM EDT (#458729) #
That is a lot of HR as the first hit, but the numbers overall are still very, very good:

81.2 IP, 73 K, 42 H, 15 BB, 13 HR, 22 ER, 6 HBP, 302 TBF, 2.42 ERA, 0.698 WHIP.

So sure, he's given up more HR than average (around 1.4 HR/9 with average around 1.1), but all his other stats are much, much better than average (except maybe HBP). But even if you counted his HBP as BB for WHIP that would still only make it a WHIP of 0.771.

So I'm not sure that there is a "problem" with HR, or if this is all small sample, but whatever it is, the mix is certainly working well.
Magpie - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 09:39 PM EDT (#458731) #
Yeah, I don't think it's a problem. I just think it's weird.
John Northey - Saturday, April 12 2025 @ 11:23 PM EDT (#458734) #
Basically when he first has trouble it is big. He is aggressive around the strike zone, which makes hitters get anxious and feel a need to swing (often guessing what he is going to throw), when they start guessing at what he is going to throw - and right kaboom, but wrong is a swing and a miss. Today was a case of the manager being too locked into the 100 pitch thing instead of seeing Francis was losing it quickly at the end of the 5th, gone by the time the 6th was going. Should've had someone ready to come in quickly instead of waiting.
Toronto at Baltimore, April 11-13 | 37 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.