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Minor League Update Top Prospect Consensus 2024
As I do most years here is a summary of the top prospects as seen by assorted popular sites including ours.


A very clear consensus this year on #1 (Ricky Tiedemann), #2 (Orelvis Martinez), and nearly on #3 (Arjun Nimmala).  Makes for the list being a little dull at the top, but more fun as we dig down and get some variation.

The lists I used this year are... MLB Pipeline (30), Baseball America (30), Baseball Prospectus (10), FanGraphs (31), TSN (50 + 13 honourable), Prospects 1500 (50). Fantrax HQ (30), Keith Law (20 + 3 honourable), Batters Box (30 + 11 honourable), BlueJaysNation (34 + 22 honourable), and the slow pokes this year- BlueBirdBanter (40).

Some of these are obviously far more well known and influential than others but I'm after group think, not rating (I might try that later on but it takes years to know if a group did well or not - especially guys like Nimmala who is just out of high school).  Due to more than one being behind a paywall I won't list how each individual group ranked people outside of really bizarre choices.

Guys get missed annually even by the very best.  For example, no one had Davis Schneider as a top 15 last year - heck, the 3 who do list him this year have him 8/8/22 (just 3 had him last year - BP at #18, BJN #22, BB #30).  If you are going to say he is qualified you have to have him ahead of guys like Leo Jimenez who can very easily be a 'never was' imo.

Every list has its oddball - someone no one else listed or none did anywhere near as high. Sometimes they can be right, sometimes there is a reason the group-think had said player sub top 30.  A few this year are...
  • Nimmala - #7 from FanTrax
  • Barriera - #10 from FanGraphs
  • Jimenez - not mentioned on BP, and #24 by FanTrax
  • Roden - not mentioned on BP, and #19 by FanGraphs
  • Bonnila - not mentioned by BP, #21 by Prospects1500
  • Davis Schneider - #3 by Blue Jays Nation

The table has bolding for the leader in each column - Tiedemann is #1 for 1st (all 11 lists), down to Aneudi Escanio who was given honourary status 3 times out of the 4 lists that had an honourable mention section (missed on Keith Law who had just 20 prospects and 3 honourables).

PlayerPositionAgeTimes in top 10Mentioned1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11-2021-3030-50HonourableScore
Ricky Tiedemann SP 21 11 11 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 330
Orelvis Martinez 2B/SS/3B 22 11 11 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 319
Arjun Nimmala SS 18 11 11 0 0 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 302
Addison Barger RF/3B 24 11 11 0 0 1 2 5 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 284
Brandon Barriera SP 20 11 11 0 0 1 4 0 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 279
Leo Jimenez SS 23 9 10 0 0 0 1 4 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 231
Alan Roden LF 24 8 10 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 2 1 2 0 0 0 217
Adam Macko SP 23 4 11 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0 7 0 0 0 200
Enmanuel Bonilla RF 18 6 10 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 2 3 1 0 0 190
Juaron Watts-Brown SP 21 1 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 10 0 0 0 173
Kendry Rojas SP 21 4 9 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 0 0 157
Josh Kasevich 3B 23 3 10 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 5 2 0 0 155
Spencer Horwitz 1B/DH 26 3 9 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 5 1 0 0 149
Damiano Palmegiani UTL 24 3 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 5 1 0 0 145
Landen Maroudis SP 19 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 0 0 0 143
Cade Doughty 3B 23 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 8 0 0 0 143
Chad Dallas SP 24 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 0 0 0 141
Dahian Santos SP 21 1 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 3 0 0 127
Yosver Zulueta SP/RP 26 2 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1 1 0 126
Connor Cooke SP/RP 24 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 0 0 106
Jace Bohrofen RF 22 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 0 0 90
Tucker Toman 3B 20 1 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 5 1 1 80
Fernando Perez SP 20 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 1 60
Davis Schneider 2B/LF 25 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 56
Alex De Jesus 3B 22 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 55
CJ Van Eyk SP 25 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 0 50
T.J. Brock SP 24 1 7 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 49
Hagen Danner SP/RP 25 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 2 0 49
Gabriel Martinez LF/RF 22 1 6 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 48
Sam Shaw 2B 18 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 1 40
Adrian Pinto CF 21 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 0 39
Dasan Brown CF 22 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 35
Nolan Perry SP 20 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 31
Manuel Beltre SS/2B 20 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 2 29
David Guzman OF 18 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 25
Hayden Juenger SP/RP 23 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 19
Rainer Nunez 1B 23 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 19
Mason Fluharty RP 23 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 14
Franklin Rojas C 17 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 12
Yhoangel Aponte OF 20 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 12
Miguel Hiraldo 2B 24 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 10
Lazaro Estrada SP/RP 25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 10
Ryan Jennings SP 25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 10
Michael Dominguez SP 24 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 9
Rafael Lantigua UTL 26 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 9
Aneudi Escanio UTL 19 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 8
Connor O'Halloran SP 22 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 7
Samuel Acuna SP 18 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 6
Edward Duran C/1B 20 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6
Devereaux Harrison SP 23 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6
Pat Gallagher SP 24 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 6
Trenton Wallace SP 25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6
Will Robertson RF 26 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 5
Rafael Sanchez SP 25 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 5
Otto Lopez UTL 25 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4
Victor Arias OF 20 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3
Nick Goodwin IF 22 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3
Trent Palmer SP 25 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3
Yunior Arias OF 17 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2
SP 28 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2

Mentioned as Honourable only once
And that's it for the prospect lists pre-2024.
Posted by John Northey on Thursday, April 04 2024 @ 05:06 PM EDT.
Top Prospect Consensus 2024 | 10 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
bpoz - Thursday, April 04 2024 @ 06:35 PM EDT (#444002) #
Thanks John.

I am very interested in 20 year old right handed SP Daniel Guerra in the FCL. He did well last year but his stuff may be mediocre.
[ Reply to This ]
John Northey - Thursday, April 04 2024 @ 06:54 PM EDT (#444004) #
FYI: I might have gotten the ages wrong in a few cases - did the best I could but got most from FanGraphs list (31 players) and from one of the others (forget which) before going to individual pages when stuck. Let me know and I'll correct any that are wrong.

Figured this would be fun to put out today with no ML game going on. Given how the Jays are starting out, we might need to dream of the future more than we'd like this season.
[ Reply to This ]
99BlueJaysWay - Thursday, April 04 2024 @ 10:09 PM EDT (#444006) #
Is there a way to have this thread bookmarked on the site for easy reference?
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Super Bluto - Thursday, April 04 2024 @ 11:57 PM EDT (#444007) #
Anyone else surprised that Rafael Ohashi isn't anywhere on this list?
[ Reply to This ]
John Northey - Friday, April 05 2024 @ 12:59 AM EDT (#444008) #
I suspect his horrid year in Dunedin, repeating A+, killed his status. 6.20 ERA with under 8 k/9 and over 4 BB/9 tends to kill prospect status. Even though he looked amazing before 2023.
[ Reply to This ]
Marc Hulet - Friday, April 05 2024 @ 07:58 AM EDT (#444009) #
Ohashi is on the Vancouver roster.
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JC - Friday, April 05 2024 @ 11:14 AM EDT (#444013) #
Thanks for this, love the prospects coverage on this site.

A few other lists I've come across (some legit, others not) for future reference: Jays Journal ESPN (Kiley McDaniel) The Dynasty Guru

[ Reply to This ]
bpoz - Friday, April 05 2024 @ 12:22 PM EDT (#444015) #
We have a few almost ready power hitting prospects. Like Orelvis, Barger, Palmegiani and hopefully Jimenez and Roden.

These guys can compare to Teo, Gurriel, and Jansen who worked out ok. They came up 2018 or so.

Kirk has proven enough. Replacing Bo and Vlad will be very hard. Maybe Nimmala if he does fantastic in 2024 and 2025 then he could be ready 2026 or 2027. Waves of prospects may or may not happen.

We went and got expensive SPs for a very fast rebuild. Ryu, Gausman, Bassit and Berrios who will eventually hit the $20mil/yr mark soon and then use his opt out.



[ Reply to This ]
John Northey - Friday, April 05 2024 @ 10:19 PM EDT (#444058) #
Thank you JC for those 3 extras - the oddity there was Jays Journal putting Arjun Nimmala as #2 over Orelvis Martinez - the only one of the 14 checked who did that. Adding in those 3 shifts things a tiny bit - Enmanuel Bonilla moves up a slot, Adam Macko down one (2 points between them - they are damn close). Kendry Rojas moves down 4 slots behind Josh Kasevich, Spencer Horwitz, Chad Dallas, and Damiano Palmegiani. Chad Dallas moves up 3 slots, Yosver Zulueta up 1 slot, Davis Schneider gets his 2nd 3rd place slot moving him up one. A few more minor 1 or 2 slot shifts but nothing to write home about.

Now that I have those 3 added in this year, it should be easy to add them next year as now I'll be looking for them.
[ Reply to This ]
GabrielSyme - Monday, April 08 2024 @ 05:43 PM EDT (#444225) #
I don't really see Roden as a power prospect. If he succeeds, he'll be more of a Frank Catalonotto-type, I would think.
[ Reply to This ]
Top Prospect Consensus 2024 | 10 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.