Starters, 1st PA: .805 OPS (378 PA)
Starters, 2nd PA: .697 OPS (321 PA)
Starters, 3rd PA: .1047 OPS (102 PA)
Relievers, 1st PA: .658 OPS (679 PA)
Relievers, 2nd PA: .776 OPS (37 PA)
Simply put, when our pitchers are facing a batter for the third time, that batter hits like Mike Trout. When our relievers face someone for the first time, that batter hits like a below average catcher. It's not a new or novel trend, but the difference is incredibly profound.
Lets check starting pitchers for a couple of seasons... Not worrying about relievers as it is safe to bet they do well first time through and rarely get a 2nd or 3rd.
- 2019 Starters 1st PA: 733 OPS 1391 PA
- 2019 Starters 2nd PA: 881 OPS 1181 PA
- 2019 Starters 3rd PA: 851 OPS 565 PA
- 2019 Starters 4th PA: 1.083 OPS 12 PA
- 2016 Starters 1st PA: 666 OPS 1458 PA
- 2016 Starters 2nd PA: 644 OPS 1449 PA
- 2016 Starters 3rd PA: 757 OPS 1156 PA
- 2016 Starters 4th PA: 889 OPS 71 PA
- 2006 Starters 1st PA: 719 OPS 1453 PA
- 2006 Starters 2nd PA: 814 OPS 1362 PA
- 2006 Starters 3rd PA: 805 OPS 937 PA
- 2016 Starters 4th PA: 782 OPS 135 PA
- 1998 Starters 1st PA: 679 OPS 1455 PA
- 1998 Starters 2nd PA: 745 OPS 1443 PA
- 1998 Starters 3rd PA: 765 OPS 1289 PA
- 1998 Starters 4th PA: 800 OPS 375 PA
- 1993 Starters 1st PA: 694 OPS 1457 PA
- 1993 Starters 2nd PA: 798 OPS 1422 PA
- 1993 Starters 3rd PA: 733 OPS 1165 PA
- 1993 Starters 4th PA: 783 OPS 330 PA
- 1982 Starters 1st PA: 742 OPS 1453 PA
- 1982 Starters 2nd PA: 699 OPS 1367 PA
- 1982 Starters 3rd PA: 722 OPS 1094 PA
- 1982 Starters 4th PA: 672 OPS 487 PA
- 1977 Starters 1st PA: 705 OPS 1443 PA
- 1977 Starters 2nd PA: 770 OPS 1356 PA
- 1977 Starters 3rd PA: 836 OPS 1134 PA
- 1977 Starters 4th PA: 810 OPS 687 PA
Of course a big issue is guys who are terrible only see opposing teams once or twice, especially in the earlier years. You don't let a 9 ERA guy face the other team 3+ times, but you do let Roger Clemens (98), Roy Halladay (06), and Dave Stieb (82) do that. '77 is probably a good comparison point as that team was crappy and you an see how the OPS jumped 2nd and 3rd time around before working down a bit on the 4th (thanks in part to Jesse Jefferson who had a 684 OPS against 4th time through over 136 PA - guess when he was on he was really on - 97 ERA+ that year). 1982 saw the OPS against be lower 3rd time than 1st - go figure. The spread has become bigger as time goes by though it seems.
Looking at this I think it isn't a lock that you pull guys 3rd time through, but judgement must be used. Risk jumps on that 3rd time as if they get in trouble odds are that is it for them, but let them do it in cases like Roark's last game. He hasn't been allowed to face more than 24 batters in a game yet, but has seen 16 every game - just 17 last game over 68 pitches. One more inning would've made sense imo as that was his lowest pitch count and 2nd lowest batter count of the season. His 1st time through has a 1.100 OPS against, 2nd 856, 3rd 1.009 over 19 PA so hardly enough to judge anything on. Career for him is 690/707/752/894 for 1/2/3/4+ time through with over 1000 PA in 1st,2nd,3rd times. I say push him and the other starters a bit - see if any can do 100 pitches as by now they gotta be as stretched out as it gets. Once in 3rd time through get someone ready in the pen just in case and give them a limit to work with (ie: 2 guys get on you are out). Then they can accept it more and will be focused on the game and not be looking over their shoulder.
Ryu has left shoulder surgery in May 2016 and managed to regain his value by showing he was healthy. Walker, TJ in May 2018 and is in the process of regaining his value which means he has to prove he is healthy.
The Jays had to cross their fingers with Ryu. Seattle risked nothing to sign Walker at $2 mil.
Roark, Anderson and Ray have not broken down health wise yet. 2 years or 2+ an option will not hurt long term. That is a sensible contract to give out. They would be considered #3/4 I suppose. If they are getting beat up in the 3rd time through the order then going to the pen will prevent that. So not coming out for the 6th? The SP will not like it and the pen will be destroyed/overused in a 162 game season.
In a 60 game season everything has changed. Our 1 inning relievers are having great success. 17 games in 17 days with a double header in there is a factor. All the teams have to face that.
https://futurebluejays.com/2020/09/11/fbj-interview-joe-sclafani/
Alejandro Kirk is coming to the Show! And Jacob Waguespack is coming back. Ken Giles has been activated from the IL.
Sean Reid-Foley has been optioned, Caleb Joseph and Billy McKinney get the DFA.
optioned - SRF
DFA - Joseph, McKinney
Yogi Berra was 5' 7" according to BR.
And William Shatner is 5' 10" according to Google.
Taijuan Walker has pitched well with an ERA of 2.95. But his FIP is 4.80, his xFIP is 5.08 and his BABIP is .233.
Broadcasters need to offer some manner of insight when evaluating how pitchers have performed. Luck has played an incredible role in the Porcello's and Walker's seasons. Even a hint of a mention in that direction is warranted even without citing FIP, xFIP or BABIP.
Only if you've never heard of confirmation bias. In real life, his height is listed (and shown empirically) on the third result.
If you don't look too hard, you can make a case that Tom Cruise is taller than Yogi Berra.
Porcello has given up 4 hits per 3 innings but most of them have stayed in the park.
He's given up 31 runs but only 2 home runs, so many hits with runners in scoring positions.
Only so many pitchers and the position players cannot pitch.
It's also to avoid moves make by Cash in which a Loogy was moved to first for one AB.
The movement of kids is interesting. At the alternate site we have K Smith (DOB 7/96), A Martin 3/99, Groshans 11/99 and O Martinez 11/2001. All getting the best coaching.
I actually have heard of Confirmation Bias. However, from the start, I didn't believe it could be true. Since then, I've done extensive research on the subject. And just as I suspected, I have mainly come across information that suggests confirmation bias doesn't exist after all!
This is a lot like the Cespedes contract.
If he's still healthy, he opts out after 2022.
Normally, the Mets never trade him to the Yankees, but they are getting new owners, so you-never-know.
And Bo Bichette is in the lineup tonight.
I guess they didn't want him to hurt himself against deGrom.
Unless Kirk has been tearing the cover off the ball at camp, what is the purpose here? Is he going to help? He doesn't know any of the pitchers, AFAIK - he's only played A ball, IIRC? Earlier, I suggested signing Realmuto in the off-season, dumping Jansen and McGuire and letting Kirk apprentice for a few years.. Can he hit enough to make up for no experience, and then bring in Jansen in the later innings "defensively"?
What happens if Jansen gets hurt? We basically have a black hole at C, both offensively and defensively? At least Joseph would have been (IMHO) steadily "below average" not "horrible". McGuire has an OPS+ of -42 (yes, minus 42) and a bWAR of -0.5 in 19 games.. Essentially, he helps the other team win, when he's in the game (this year, at least)..
Plus, Joseph was said to be an awesome clubhouse presence, participating in the 7th inning stretch enthusiastically, etc..
I'll probably end up wrong, like I usually am - but right now, I don't see this as a move that helps the team.
Nobody knows Robbie Ray. That's why he doesn't catch Ryu. It shouldn't make a difference. He would have caught a few guys when they were down, like Wag, SRF, Merryweather, etc... It's usually easier with the relievers because they mostly throw 2 pitches. No need to bring Jansen up defensively. We might actually see the opposite. Kirk coming in once the starter is done.
If Kirk is like Bichette, he might just be alright.
I think you answered your own question. There are many, many reasons why you shouldn't promote a 21-year old catcher from A-ball, who has less than 1000 innings of professional experience, and who is still practicing his English and learning to communicate with pitchers, while DFA'ing a veteran backup who is loved in the clubhouse.
You would only ever do this in an extraordinary circumstance. Kirk is the most MLB-ready hitting prospect that we have and it might not even be close. I think he has, as you suggested, torn the cover off the ball so much this year (spring, alt site) and convinced everyone who matters that he's ready to play in the big leagues now. We will see tonight, and he will be the first Blue Jay to ever wear #85.
On the one hand, deGrom hasn't actually hit any batters this season. On the other hand, he will hurt your feelings.
Much better form from Villar as well. Knocked the winning run in, stole a couple of bases.
It was Ray's best pitched game so far. Pretty impressive.
Huge win shares from Kirk and Bichette.
Good fielding by Guerrero tonight. Tag for the last out. Several nice plays.
It's all about keeping it a one-run-game.
If it doesn't stick there it rolls around and it probably takes Marisnick longer to get it.
No homers. They need to play Davis and Fisher more.
The Jays would be a half game out of the last playoff spot under the old system...
Bichette SS
Biggio 2B
Hernandez RF
Guerrero Jr. 1B
Gurriel Jr. LF
Shaw 3B
Grichuk CF
Kirk DH
Jansen C
With Panik, Villar, Davis available as useful bench players.
Also, do we know for sure that Tellez is out for the season and postseason? There was a recent report that he’s been riding a stationary bike.
We will find out if both Jansen and Kirk will be in the everyday lineup to start the games. Kirk may have the bat to both catch and DH it seems.
Lastly only Shaw is a FA at the end of the year. Maybe he is back for 2021. Not back is what I think.
Shaw isnt a FA unti 2022.
https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/toronto-blue-jays/Travis-Shaw-14046/
Yamaguchi is a potential SP for next year. Romano a possible 1 inning closer/setup pitcher. Both are examples.
Next year we can get by with SP/long relief 2-5 innings from our large quantity of unproven/SSS SP/long guys. Hatch, Kay are not complaining. Next year they can be given a chance at 5-7 innings by competing for that privilege. Montoyo/Walker will have to figure that out from the 13 man pitching staff. There will be another 3-4 pitchers in AAA if that league is playing.
3b, 1 K makes you a better hitter on the next pitches? Robo umps could do that.
The next 3 series will be tough.
The Yankees have the easier schedule. They play 3 against Boston and 3 against Miami.
Boston flat out hates them and Miami might still be fighting to stay alive though.
The Jays have to play 4 in Philadelphia in 3 days and then 3 against Baltimore (minus Santander).
This is great September baseball. Regardless of what happens in October.
1. LeMahieu (despite missing some games)
2. Voit
3. Cole
4. Frazier (Despite not making the team. Not sure what kind of future he has in NY once he's out of options next year.)
5. Urshela (despite missing a lot of games)
6. Judge (Only played 18 games)
7. Holder (Really?)
8. Tanaka (Free agent. Might come back.)
9. Happ (Free agent. Doesn't sound like they want him back)
10. Stanton (Only played 14 games)
Should be an interesting off season.
Keeping that streak going will be tough. Garcia-Cole-Tanaka for the Yankees.
2020 is fun, 2021 could be more fun if they get a full season in - the pen reduction could be a nightmare for the Jays with shuffling kids and vets to maximize the value. Figuring out which 5 guys are best to have start as you'll need 5+ innings a game to survive with an 8 man instead of a 10 man pen.
Starting to wonder about who do you put on the roster for the playoffs? Just a best of 3 to start - If Hernandez and Tellez are back who do you drop? Fisher & Davis are the obvious first choices, but Davis could be valuable in a short series with his speed so do you keep him and drop a pitcher? If so which pitcher? You only need 3 starters - literally - so Ryu, Walker, Ray (?) at this point? Do you put Anderson and/or Roark on the roster? What about Stripling? Giles, Dolis, Bass, Cole, Hatch, Borucki, and Merryweather are my first choices for the pen, if Romano is ready he has to be there. Yamaguchi should be a lock too. Kay? Shoemaker (if healthy), Pearson? Lots to debate when the time comes.
The best record in the AL? Chicago White Sox.
And we're not the only surprise. Miami swept a pair from Philly today and now sit #5 in the NL.
Can't see why they'd move Roark and Anderson to the pen for the playoffs.
It's all about seeing what Walker and Ray do in the next couple of weeks.
Stripling too.
The roster will depend on who's healthy. 14 games to go.
- 2016: 81-67, 3 back of division, 3 up on Seattle, 8-6 after
- 2015: 85-63, 3 1/2 up in division, LAA 9 back, 8-6 after
- 1993: 85-63, 3 up in division (Yankees) 10-4 after.
- 1992: 86-62, 3 1/2 up in division (O's), 10-4 after.
- 1991: 82-66, 1 1/2 up in division (Red Sox), 9-5 after.
- 1985: 81-67, 1 1/2 up in division (O's), 8-6 after.
- Years they didn't quite make it...
- 1987: 89-59, 1 1/2 back in division (Tigers), 7-7 after (lost by 2 games in the painful end)
- 1988: 76-72, 7 1/2 back in division (Red Sox), 11-3 after (lost by 2 games)
- 1990: 80-68, 1 back in division (Red Sox), 6-8 after (lost by 2 games)
- 2000: 77-71, 9 back in division (Yankees), 6-8 after (lost by 4 1/2, Yankees went 2-13), far back of wildcard.
No massive collapses despite the way 1987 is remembered (they won 7 straight, then lost 7 straight those last 14) over the final 14. 3 strong finishes with 10+ wins, but never fewer than 6 wins down the final 14 game stretch. 6-8 would lock up a playoff slot almost no matter what (Seattle would need to go 12-2 to avoid tie breakers), while 10-4 would be a dead on lock.
Ties are broken by head-to-head record, followed by better record within a team's division (Jays are 17-13 in division, tied with Yankees - those 7 games between the two are vital, plus the 3 vs O's) and record in the last 20 games within the division. If there is still a tie, the standard would be last 21 games within a division, then 22, etc. Seattle is 15-16 in their division btw with 9 left (6 vs A's including 2 double headers, rest vs Astros). Not getting into all the other potentials (Astros being WC team vs Jays with tie breakers, Tigers sneaking in, etc.) at this time.
Assuming they tie, the Yankees would probably have the advantage there, since they're coming from behind.
1. Only players on the 40-man roster (incl IL) as of tomorrow (9/15) are eligible. No concerns here.
2. Playoffs will use traditional extra-inning rules - no runners starting on 2B, so there's a greater potential for longer games.
3. There will almost certainly be off days during each round - and it's possible that teams will play every other day during the 1st Round (WCS) in order to maximize television viewership. There are 8 series and typically 4 postseason time slots per day. Here are the potential timeframes for each series (my estimates only, except World Series):
- WCS (3 games), Sept. 29th to Oct. 4th (6 days)
- DS (5 games), Oct. 5th to Oct. 12th (8 days)
- LCS (7 games), Oct. 13th to Oct 22nd (10 days)
- World Series -- these dates have already been announced. It starts on Oct 23rd and ends no later than Oct. 31st (9 days).
That was Miggy's 39th career SB (and may be Magpie or someone can explain this) which is 9 more than Joe DiMaggio's career total. Surprised the great Yankee CF only had 30. Didn't everybody steal bases back then? Heck, Lou Gehrig had over 100.
Those are not the base stealing spots.
Also, it might depend on the opponent.
Also noticed the first few years of Ruths career, they didn't even seem to keep track of caught stealing.
He's actually 5 for 10 stealing bases when leading off.
DiMaggio stole 8 bases when batting 3rd and only 22 when batting clean up.
Mays stole 253 bases when batting 3rd and only 37 when batting clean up.
Mays was mostly hitting 3rd and DiMaggio mostly hitting clean up.
That does seem to make a difference.
Well, the other thing you need to steal is an empty second base.
Let see. DiMaggio had 3455 PAs with bases empty and 4047 with men on bases.
May had 6622 PAs with bases empty and 5688 with men on.
Mays had a 76.6% success rate.
DiMaggio had a 76.9% success rate.
DiMaggio was a heavy smoker who died of lung cancer.
I don't think Mays smoke.
Here it’s worth noting that after so much talk about the dissipation of home-field advantage through the absence of crowds, home teams thus far have a .544 winning percentage this year, higher than it’s been since 2009 (.549); last year, it was .529.
Some ad agency should pair these two up.
Think about the lineup...
- CA: Jansen/Kirk (might flip in a year) - both have years of control left
- 1B/DH: Vlad & Tellez - 5 & 4 years of control
- 2B: Biggio - 5 years left
- 3B: Shaw - just 1 year left, then multiple kids could move here
- SS: Bichette - 5 years left
- LF: Gurriel - signed for 4 more years
- CF: Grichuk - signed for 3 more years
- RF: Hernandez - 3 years of control left
- SP: Ryu - signed for 3 more years
- SP: Stripling - 2 years of control
- SP: Anderson & Roark - 1 more year each
- SP: Ray & Walker & Shoemaker- just this year
- SP: Pearson - 6 years left
- SP: Thornton - 4 years left
- RP: Bass, Giles - free agent after this year
- RP: Merryweather, 6 years of control
- RP: Kay, Hatch, Romano - 5 years of control
- RP: Yamaguchi - signed for 2021, theoretically under control for 5 more years
- RP: Dolis - 4 years of control left
- RP: Cole - 3 years left
FAs could be cheap.
This winter is the year to go for the gold in Trevor Bauer if he is willing to come here without a massive 'Canadian bonus', Kluber if healthy would be sweet. Maybe Paxton or Tanaka if the price is right. Otherwise just try to keep Walker and/or Ray. Stroman is best elsewhere as his attitude was going downhill at the end iirc, Arrieta and Quintana I have zero interest in except on an incentive laden contract, but right now the Jays need certainty not cheapness.
So nice to dream big dreams. Next year the rotation will need to eat a lot more innings. No more 4 inning starts. I'm expecting a 100+ game schedule.
Regrettably, I don’t think your Cole detail is correct. According to Cot’s, he will be a FA at the end of this year. I do think he should be re-signed, if a reasonable deal is available.
If he doesn’t return, and Bass and Giles are also gone, and assuming orucki ends up as a starter, Reid-Foley looks hopeful, Rees is a high-potential, and maybe one of the flawed starters like Perez...
Lots and lots of future to conjure with...
That being said - as a result of roster depth, I would let the market dictate who we sign as a free agent - I wouldnt bother with anyone that doesn't project for a reasonable chance at elite performance, so whenever that kind of player comes available I would pounce no matter the position, as we could always move parts around him.
Don't even necessarily mind the Ryu strategy - legit elite level projection but with significant risk factors that keep the price down.
I think Borucki is stuck to the bullpen because of past injuries.
Hatch should be given a chance to start.
How about Tim Mayza? If the Jays still have him on the payrolls in the minors he becomes eligible for arbitration this fall.
I feel like Roark, Anderson and maybe Stripling are not able to step up to contribute sufficiently to the team’s competitive standard - actually, I don’t want any of them starting in this year’s playoffs. If we could move at least the first two, I would be happy.
I see the three strongest SPs to count on in 2021 would be Ryu, Pearson and Borucki. Is Thornton better as a long reliever - I think so.
We will undoubtedly need three more starters, to deal with injuries and to ensure we give Ryu sufficient rest. My first nominees would be Yamaguchi, who seems to have made his adjustment well and Hatch, who seems just excellent.
As for your FA guy, yes to Trevor Bauer. Rather than a Canada premium, we may be seen as an attractive haven of health and safety, assuming we can avoid the Buffalo situation next year.
I think they talk to everybody but don't spend money they can't afford to lose.
Paxton could be interesting. Walker if he has a positive experience this year.
Same with Ray.
AL would play in Dodger Stadium/Petco. Those are massive pitcher's parks.
Maybe Davis finds a spot in the outfield.
As to rotation, I'd say Ryu, one of Stripling, Anderson or Roark (A or R used in a trade even if Jays eat cash), Pearson, Free Agent, Free Agent. Thornton/Borucki/Yamaguchi/Hatch all fight for two rotation slots with Pearson and Stripling/Anderson/Roark and kids fight to grab one also - Simeon Woods Richardson, Alek Manoah, Adam Kloffenstein all have shots by May to make it depending how they did in camp this summer (2 were there, Kloffenstein pitched in indy leagues - but not that well, 4.64 ERA 8.4 K/9 vs 5.1 BB/9 in 64 IP). Given the Jays team's desire for stability I could see another Anderson/Roark type signed or just keeping them around. This winter will be a big challenge for the GM.
Ryu & Roark have 2 spots - jays traded for Stripling to be in the rotation so I think he will have to pitch himself out of the rotation - at least 1 spot for a youngster (they may start Pearson in minors) and maybe add an experienced starter (could be Walker/Ray)
Put Borucki/Hatch/Kay/Merryweather in AAA and whoever is doing well would get a rotation spot of Pearson/Roark or spring training starting winner if they happen to falter.
Put Stripling and Yamaguchi in the bullpen as the swing guys, do occasional starts or takeover a starting spot if all the above options aren't doing well.
Hopefully by year's end Pearson and one of the other young starters have a breakout year giving us a couple of good starters with years of control, and filling the rest with free agent signings, hopefully making the Jays one of the best teams in baseball for 2022 and 2023.
https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/free-agents/ufa/
For 2021 I would be shocked of Tellez has to earn a spot on the team.
I'm not sure if there is a penalty for signing a fee agent who has declined a QO this year.
Of course, next year is the end of the collective bargaining agreement.
* = injured / demoted
Hitters
SS Bichette 158wrc+
2B Biggio 124
RF Teoscar 164*
1B Tellez 135*
LF Gurriel 121
CF Grichuk 113
DH Guerrero 99
3B Shaw 95
C Jansen 69
UT Panik 94 ---- Drury -7*
OF Fisher 147 - Davis 179
IF Villar 75 ------ Espinal 60
C Kirk 153 --- McGuire -55*
I've had to figure out new ways to categorize pitchers given the prolific use of openers and tandems, so I'm going with this for now - separated into general categories by ip PER GAME. The performance number is the average of all 3 of era-, fip-, and xfip-:
"Starters"
Ryu 5.4ip/gm, 69avg-
Walker 5.3ip, 96
Shoemaker 5.1ip, 112*
Anderson 3.8ip, 115
Stripling 4.6ip, 132
Roark 4.4ip, 134
Ray 4.3ip, 144
Pearson 4.1ip, 153*
"Tandem Guys"
Merryweather 1.7ip, 56
Hatch 1.6ip, 83
SRF 1.3ip, 83*
Yamaguchi 1.9ip, 97
Waguespack 1.6ip, 107*
Kay 1.6ip, 124
Thornton 1.9ip, 145*
"One inning Relievers"
Romano 1.0ip, 50*
Dolis 1.0ip, 68
Borucki 0.8ip, 74
Bass 1.0ip, 79
Cole 1.0ip, 87
Font 0.8ip, 132*
Giles 0.9ip, 186*
Not sure the Jays would be interested in Bauer. He comes with a fair bit of baggage which the Jays try to avoid. Paxton makes sense to me but lots of good pitchers available.
1 bad outing affects the numbers a lot. Shoemaker had the 1 bad outing. Anderson 2 bad outings.
I like the suggestion of 2021 having a 100 game season. I will use 110 games as a base for strategy regarding SP usage and acquisitions.
So 3-5 IP for SPs and 1 IP for 5 relievers will not cut it. It will have to be different.
Buchholz and the others got playing time because Borucki was injured. For 2020 I think the goal was to not be as bad as 2019. We had a good young position core to play all the time and they would need support in case the young pitchers were not very good. Kay, Waguespack, Thornton, Zeuch, SRF and Hatch. None of these kids got to prove that they could handle 5+ innings. Next year they may get the chance to compete with Anderson, Roark etc... They have to be given the chance eventually. Thornton was given the chance in 2019.
This was suspended for this year. I don't know about next year.
The real issue is that some teams were bullpenning games and using openers.
I haven't seen that or heard about it this year.
1. Isn't being the highest bidder pretty well the epitome of free market libertarianism?
2. What libertarian wouldn't love playing in a park that features a statue of an entrepreneur rather than a ballplayer?
2h
Cavan Biggio has the lowest swing percentage on pitches outside the zone at 15.9%. Mike Trout is second at 16.5%. #BlueJays
For me, Biggio is too passive at the plate.
Bichette
Shaw at 1st
Grich
Vladdy DH
Gurriel
Panik at 2B
Kirk C
Fisher RF
vs
LeMahieu
Voit
Hick
Stanton DH
Urshela
Frazier RF
Gardner LF
Sanchez
Wade SS
Of course, I'm not sure if that helps us or hurts us as a team more this year. We don't exactly have the strongest back of the rotation, but many playoff teams might have as big a drop or bigger from their #1 or #2 pitcher to their weaker back end. And that may also make the relievers be more important which is obviously a strength of this team so far.
The issue is not Bauer, it's the Jays and I don't blame them. Bauer is someone who is always spouting off and getting into twitter arguments and look at this paragraph from Wikipedia:
"Bauer has voiced his opposition to the theory of anthropogenic global warming,[46] and has made positive reference to the birther movement associated with Barack Obama.[47] On May 22, 2018, Bauer was accused of carving BD 911 into the pitcher's mound, a reference to a conspiracy theory that indicated "Bush did 9/11". Bauer later wrote on Twitter that he wrote BD 91.1 and that the numbers and letters were meaningful to him personally and completely unrelated to the September 11 attacks.[48]"
Me too. I think he's actually maximizing what he does best. People used to say McGriff should be more aggressive and swing at some of those pitches instead of taking the walk. (And before McGriff, they said it about Mantle, and before him about Ted Williams.) I can see the argument in those cases, even if I don't agree with it - McGriff, Mantle, and Williams were great hitters.
But Biggio isn't. He's a pretty average offensive player, with the exception of this one absolutely elite skill - his strike zone judgement. He's still not getting anywhere near the respect he deserves from the umpires, which takes time. He's got less than a full season';s worth of games, and there are a lot of umpires to educate. But eventually, they will be telling catchers and pitchers that if the pitch was a strike, Biggio would have swung at it.