Montoyo seems to not have a traditional bench. Everyone is getting enough playing time it seems. The disadvantage is no defense specialist or strict utility player like Goins.
Also a Pillar type with strong defense but poor offense is possibly not preferred for this team.
Both FG and 538 project 4 100 loss teams, but those would be Detroit, Baltimore, KC and Miami. Both systems project the Jays finishing 67-95, and picking either 5th or 6th, with Seattle losing 95 or 96 (we get the better pick in a tie break).
Although both think the Pirates will finish ahead of us, the Pirates are doing their best to disagree, losing 24 of 28. Putting the schedules aside, 538 rates the Jays as better than 7 teams, the 6 I mentioned and the White Sox as well.
https://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/cincinnati-reds-claim-freddy-galvis-off-waivers-toronto-blue-jays/
Taking a quick look, he's clocking in at ~2 WAR for the season per bbref. Hard to imagine he couldn't garner at least a low-tier prospect from a club. Especially given his glove, it's difficult to accept that Galvis had reached Kendrys levels, where it's a straight up win just to get rid of the contract ...
Another head scratcher.
This creates even more payroll flexibility, the Jays have so much payroll flexibility they don't know what to do with it.
I wonder if the bonus plan for Shapiro and Atkins pays out based on wins or profits? Given its Rogers, I would assume the profits play a big role.
Kinda want them to put smoak on waivers too now. though maybe they did and nobody claimed him.
does this move mean we're only down to 41 years of control now?
Opens up a spot for anyone with a possibility of being a long-term piece to get at bats every day (I'm most interested in making sure each of Teoscar/Gurriel/Fisher/Grichuk get at-bats the rest of the way, and this allows you to rotate one through each day).
correct me if i'm wrong.
For your edification:
https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/05/understanding-the-new-trade-deadline-rules.html
I'm sure the Jays tried to trade Galvis before the deadline, but the irony here is that the extra year of control (which teams covet nowadays) might have been the reason he didn't have value. The team acquiring him would either have to pay him $1 million to go away, or $5.5 million in a market where similar players get minor league deals (see Jose Iglesias). That extra year of control is not as team friendly as it might appear to be. If he didn't have that option, maybe he would have been moved at the deadline.
OF Gurriel 26 (112)
OF Grichuk 28 (98)
OF Teoscar 27 (93)
3B Vladdy 21 (113)
SS Bichette 22 (197)
2B Biggio 25 (92)
1B McKinney 25 (91)
DH Tellez 25 (96)
C Jansen 25 (79)
UT Drury 27 (76)
OF Fisher 26 (75)
IF Urena 24 (82)
C McGuire 25 (124)
X - OF Alford 25 (-100), OF Pompey 27 (n/a), OF Brito 27 (14), C Maile 28 (40), OF Davis 28 (9), 2B Travis 29 (50)
after that there's the current AA kids - Smith, Adams, Palacios, Wall - but they all likely need plenty of AAA time before hoping to challenge for a big league spot.
Galvis did not break the bank. Instead I find that he was worth more than he was getting paid. I think we have enough middle IFs in Bichette, Biggio and Drury. Who plays SS if Bichette gets a day off? Urena would be called up for SS IMO, other wise keep him down until Sept to play in AAA everyday even though I think he has passed that stage.
Having a player who believes that they should be starting, playing caddy to some hot rookies is bad all around.
Yeah even the most conservative $$ per WAR estimates should indicate that Galvis has real value on a roster. The $1M club option for 2020 is not onerous. It's just surprising he ended up being a pure salary dump.
I thought they changed the waiver claim process as well. I don't think it goes by league anymore. I also thought that if a player is put on waivers after July 31 and goes unclaimed, he must be given his unconditional release. Those waivers can't be revoked. But I'm not too sure about all this. I'm too old a dog for some of these new tricks.
Something like that. They both knew kids were coming, they just couldn't be sure when they would arrive. The team did right by Joe Smith a year ago.
Milwaukee, certainly. They're still in need of a shortstop. But they probably wanted money along with Galvis in exchange for a bag of baseballs.
No real reason to give this FO the benefit of the doubt, but I will here. I think it's a giod move.
There is always a way around rules if a team is determined enough.
Lets hope Smoak goes next. I suspect Tellez is down until September, but boy does he deserve ML playing time right now with how he is hitting - 366/450/688 so far in AAA, last 10 games 436/476/769. Yikes!
This file on the MLBPA site seems to indicate (Page 80/81) that claims are awarded to lower rated teams, regardless of league. Leagues are used as a tie-breaker if two teams with the same record claim the same player.
So, if they need a SS, who plays? Biggio with Drury at 2nd?
The FO continues to talk about leadership, and by all accounts, Galvis was the sort of character guy we want.
But that said, Mike Green is correct, this guy has value for us this year and next on the field, in a variety of possible roles. Had we shopped him at the deadline with his contract / bonus paid, we could certainly have gotten something in return. On the surface, it looks like another poor move.
Hard to see, mainly because nine other teams had to pass on Galvis before Cincinnati had a chance to take him.
I don't know if what we've seen will be Montoyo's way going forward, when the games will matter a little bit more (we all devoutly hope!) But for now his everybody-plays! approach makes a certain amount of sense. Normally I wouldn't want a young guy like Urena to come up and just sit around and watch. But I think Montoyo will get him into games. That's always easier to do when half your roster consists of pitchers, of course.
Would rather have seen them call up Tellez instead of McKinney. If that means Smoak sits most days, so be it. I want to see if the Tellez resurgence in AAA is for real. Every day they wait is one less day in the end of year sample size to evaluate him.
Urena has a better OPS vs RHP's in Buffalo than Bo did. Bo butchered LHP's and Urena got butchered by LHP's.
I think both Sogard and Galvis forced their departures by playing too well. Montoyo was not going to NOT play them, so they had to go. At this point, Guerrero/Bichette/Biggio can get a lot less rest as befitting men of their youth.
Smoak is the next to go, freeing up playing time for Tellez. However, an unceremonial dumping might not be a fitting end for someone who has acquitted himself well so he may be around for the duration.
I also don't think they'll just dump Smoak either. Unless he actually requests it. I expect him to be here for the duration and play less and less once September rolls around and Tellez comes back up. A dignified exit.
Otherwise he would have been released and the Jays would have been on the hook for most of his salary anyway.
Sounds right?
I know they tried to move Smoak and Galvis,
They did get a couple of arms for Sogard.
Teams are pretty uptight with their assets right now.
Perhaps competing teams figured they could acquired depth pieces just by picking up released players in August.
The Mets getting Stroman was a weird play. The Happ trade with the Yankees was very disappointing, so I think that's much better. I see the Reds as picking up Galvis for next year. When you get a player who is making what he's worth on the free agent market, there's no reason to send anything back, unless if a move before the deadline.
Smoak makes 8M. Maybe he clears waivers and gets released and only then finds a spot somewhere.
How long can this pitching keep going?
I heard Atkins on the radio talking about the release of Galvis, and it sounds like they were involving him in the decision. If that's the case, I'm okay with the move.
Before 2nd Down: 44pa, 40wrc+
Called Back up: 157pa, 191wrc+
But since then: 120pa, 76wrc+
he obviously made an adjustment, but it seems they adjusted back.
His power is the big question - he really needs that elite power production to keep that line looking sexy.
He's no Edwin Jackson.
With Gurriel, the main thing at play is his patience. If you look at a wOBA vs O-Swing% rolling graph, it's pretty clear that when he gets hacky his bat gets slacky. It looked like he was starting to reset his hacktacular ways right before his injury. If that's the case and the pattern holds, I think he'll be fine. Of course, it'll be better to see it than assume it, but that's what the next year and a half are about.
Lots of guys a hundred years ago. There's Ankiel and Ohtani. But over the past 30-40 years the guy with the most I could find was Chis Gimenez with 11, including 6 times in 2017 alone.
In 2020 we'll hopefully see the kids do well.
For 2019 so far (before tonights wow game) the teams sOPS+ (OPS+ vs league at a position) saw over 100 (IE: above average) at LF/SS/2B (2B thanks to ex-Jays Glavis & Sogard). CF is at 96, 80's at 1B/3B/DH, 69 at CA (Maile's 25 is a killer over 120 PA, vs Jansen 82 and McGuire 110), 54 in RF (Billy McKinney the big drag at 51 over 102 PA).
On the surface RF is a disaster, as is CA but in reality RF will be better (Grichuk should do better than a 69 next year), and CA is righting itself by removing Maile.
The offense here is not the issue. Pitching, pitching, pitching. The only reason to get more hitters is if an amazing deal falls into Atkins lap that no sane GM would say no to (Tatis for Maile for example, not that I think that would happen in a million years).
Hitters...
Brandon Lowe #1 with 3.5 WAR (262/334/500 at 2B for Tampa)
Yordan Alvarez #2 with 2.4 WAR (355/431/733 in just 43 games at DH for Houston)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #3 with 1.7 WAR (274/346/459 at 3B)
Danny Jansen #4 with 1.5 WAR (214/294/376 at CA - who knew?)
Oscar Mercado is #5 with 1.4 WAR (277/325/443 in CF for Cleveland)
...
Bo Bichette is #8 with 0.9 WAR (367/424/717 at SS)
Cavan Biggio is #9 with 0.9 WAR (205/333/373 at 2B)
...
Reese McGwire is #17 with 0.6 WAR (276/300/552 at CA)
...
Billy McKinney is down a lot more at 0.2 WAR (230/289/434 in LF/RF)
Pitching...
John Means is #1 at 3.2 WAR for Baltimore (8-7 3.69 ERA in 105 IP with 87 K's)
Spencer Turnbull is #2 at 2.2 WAR for Detroit (3-12 3.99 ERA in 124 IP with 113 K's)
...
Justin Shafer is down a bit with 1.0 WAR
...
Trent Thornton is down further with 0.7 WAR
...
Jacob Waguespack has 0.6 WAR
...
Sean Reid-Foley is at 0.4 WAR
...
Thomas Pannone is at 0.1 WAR
So I doubt a pitcher will get rookie of the year as they normally need to super-outperform the hitters to make it. I'd say Vlad has a good shot at it thanks to the HR derby (which isn't supposed to count, but will be an influence in a tight race) but the favorite right now has to be Yordan Alvarez doing amazing with the bat for a contender although his pure DH (7 games in LF with -0.2 dWAR) status will hurt him. Brandon Lowe is currently on the IL and barely qualifies as a rookie (129 AB's last year, 130 is the cut off) which might hurt him with a voter or two.
Net WAR for the Jays of 5.8 for hitters, 2.8 for pitcher, 8.6 total which has to be one of the highest totals (not counting the negative kids) for the Jays in years. Of course, no one will approach the Jays rookie record of 7.3 for Mark Eichhorn in 1986 (157 IP with a 1.72 ERA in relief will do that), Hinske had a 4.0 as a rookie to win the award, Alfredo Griffin in 1979 had a 2.0 to win it as well. Stieb was just 1.4, Halladay 2.6 for those curious.
17-3 and you are walking around like that with your shirt unbuttoned to your waist and walking around like you own the place? Yowza. I'd be embarrassed if I was a Rangers fan.
You be you, Rougie.
1. SS Bichette (21): 209wrc+, 8.1war650 (.468babip)
2. LF Gurriel (25): 127wrc+, 3.9war650
3. 3B Guerrero (20): 115wrc+, 1.1war650
4. CF Hernandez (26): 94wrc+, 1.7war650
5. 2B Biggio (24): 93wrc+, 1.2war650
6. RF Grichuk (27): 89wrc+, 1.1war650
7. DH Fisher (25): 85wrc+, 0.7war650
8. 1B Tellez (24): 82wrc+, -0.7war650
9. C Jansen (24): 73wrc+, 3.1war650 (.237babip)
UT Drury (26): 78wrc+, 0.6war650
OF McKinney (24): 77wrc+, -0.6war650
IF Urena (23): 54wrc+, 0.0war650 (.370babip)
C McGuire (24): 97wrc+, 7.2war650
(1B Smoak (32): 106wrc+, 0.8war650)
Last Calendar Year:
1. SS Bichette (21): 209wrc+, 8.1war650 (.468babip)
2. LF Gurriel (25): 111wrc+, 2.4war650
3. 3B Guerrero (20): 115wrc+, 1.1war650
4. RF Grichuk (27): 102wrc+, 2.0war650
5. 1B Tellez (24): 96wrc+, 0.2war650
6. CF Hernandez (26): 93wrc+, 1.0war650
7. 2B Biggio (24): 93wrc+, 1.2war650
8. DH McKinney (24): 91wrc+, 0.0war650
9. C Jansen (24): 83wrc+, 3.8war650 (.245babip)
UT Drury (26): 78wrc+, 0.6war650
OF Fisher (25): 81wrc+, 0.7war650
IF Urena (23): 85wrc+, 1.5war650 (.413babip)
C McGuire (24): 124wrc+, 7.6war650
(1B Smoak (32): 102wrc+, 0.5war650)
Fangraphs' Rest of Season Projection:
1. SS Bichette (21): 99wrc+, 2.7war650
2. 3B Guerrero (20): 123wrc+, 3.3war650
3. RF Grichuk (27): 101wrc+, 2.3war650
4. LF Gurriel (25): 96wrc+, 1.1war650
5. 1B Tellez (24): 92wrc+, 0.0war650
6. C Jansen (24): 92wrc+, 3.5war650
7. CF Hernandez (26): 92wrc+, 1.5war650
8. DH Fisher (25): 90wrc+, 0.6war650
9. 2B Biggio (24): 87wrc+, 1.3war650
UT Drury (26): 82wrc+, 0.6war650
OF McKinney (24): 87wrc+, 0.0war650
IF Urena (23): 57wrc+, 0.0war650
C McGuire (24): 73wrc+, 2.3war650
(1B Smoak (32): 110wrc+, 1.7war650)
Drury's Monthly Splits:
Month OPS K%
March 0.647 35.29%
April 0.716 34.83%
May 0.596 23.08%
June 0.416 27.59%
July 0.838 18.84%
August 1.052 15.63%
5 starts, 5 innings/starts with an ERA of 6.57.
The active roster is not a consideration, but to activate him they have to release someone else from the 40.
I'd be tempted to release Maile to give him a chance to find a job somewhere else though.
Mike Leake (31) was the only pitcher to give up 30 HR's. Seattle played Detroit tonight, Kikuchi vs Matt Boyd. Kikuchi gave up 2, Boyd 4 and are now at 31 and 30.
And here's an even better ex-Jay bit. 459 pitchers have 20 IP this year. 458 of those 459 have given up at least 1 HR. The only one who has not given up a HR is Taylor Cole, in 37.2 IP with the Angels.
1B: Tellez (25)
2B: Biggio (25)
SS: Bichette (22)
3B: Vlad (21)
LF: Gurriel (IL) (26)
CF: Fisher (26)
RF: Grichuk (28)
CA: Jansen (25)
CA: McGuire (25)
OF: Hernandez (27)
UT: Drury (27)
IF: ??? (Urena (24)? Still in minors)
DH: rotation so Hernandez and Drury don't get bored. Whoever the utility IF is they will give Bo & Biggio days off.
No one over 28 and 5 starters who are 25 or less. That has to be one of the youngest teams the Jays have ever fielded (assuming no vets brought in and outside of backup middle infielder why would you bring one in). Even when they were building the great 80's teams the Jays never had a lineup without a 30+ guy in it (1983 & 84: Cliff Johnson, Ernie Whitt, Dave Collins, 1982: Whitt & Wayne Nordhagen, 1981: Mayberry & Velez). Doing a fast check of other potential years (mid 90's post WS & strike, mid 00's, early 10's) no sign of a team with just 2 who were over 30. This year only Smoak is over 30 and likely to be on the season starting 9 (based on games played at a position, who played it the most). Sogard had 43 games at 2B but Biggio was up to 49 before tonight. Glavis will lead at SS (over 100 games) but is 'just' 29.
For pitchers only Clayton Richard is one of the 'regulars' who is over 30 (10 starts, 35 years old) Pannone is at 6 starts, and 5 for Waguespack and SRF so any of those 3 could take over Richards' slot as I fully expect him to be released the moment he is off the IL.
Wow, 17 starting pitchers used this year. Nutty. In 2016 only 7 were used. How times change.
He's been a starter in the minors and the independent leagues, but he doesn't have the control to go over a lineup multiple times.
This year, he struggled as a middle reliever with the Rays and as a starter with the Mets. (He went 4 innings twice and got knocked out in the third in his other start.) It's only as an opener that he's been impressive with the Jays.
What looked like a 100 plus loss season could end up in the low 90's.
They are fun to watch right now, but at the same time they remind me of most of the 2000-2014 teams who always seems to have strong second halves once they were eliminated. I don't think the Mariners are coming to Toronto this weekend to win either.
In the meanwhile, the matchup today, is Reid-Foley against the guy AA sent to Texas for Chris Martin.
Viva la Vida.
They have even less than that committed to pitchers, with Giles being the "big money" guy. I have no idea how arbitration goes for him, but still less than Grichuk, that's for sure. The 2019 Jays already have the cheapest roster in MLB (https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/payroll/), only counting the 25-man roster. The 2020 Jays have literally $100 million in salary space they could use and still end up around the 2016-17 versions of the team.
Date | Pitcher 1 and IP | Pitcher 2 and IP | Total IP |
Jul 26 | Waguespack 5 | Shafer 0.2 | 5.2 |
Jul 27 | Borucki 2 | Gaviglio 3 | 5 |
Jul 28 | Sanchez 5.2 | Shafer 0.1 | 6 |
Jul 29 | Pannone 6 | Mayza 1 | 7 |
Jul 30 | SRF 5 | Font 2 | 7 |
Jul 31 | Waguespack 6 | Mayza 1 | 7 |
Aug 1 | Thornton 6 | Boshers 1 | 7 |
Aug 2 | Font 2 | Kingham 3 | 5 |
Aug 3 | Pannone 6 | Boshers 0 | 6 |
Aug 4 | SRF 4 | Diaz 0.2 | 4.2 |
Aug 5 | Waguespack 6 | Shafer 1.1 | 7.1 |
Aug 6 | Thornton 3.2 | Gaviglio 3.1 | 7 |
Aug 7 | Font 2.1 | Stewart 4 | 6.1 |
Aug 8 | Pannone 2.1 | Godley 3 | 5.1 |
Aug 9 | SRF 5 | Mayza 1.1 | 6.1 |
Aug 10 | Font 2 | Waguespack 3.2 | 5.2 |
Aug 11 | Thornton 6 | Gaviglio 3 | 9 |
Aug 12 | Ramirez 1 | Stewart 5.1 | 6.1 |
Aug 13 | Font 2 | Pannone 4 | 6 |
The pace is legit MVP (non Trout) level, but only 1/4 of a season worth.I would love to see if he can keep any of this performance while cutting the Ks.
https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2019/8/9/20793806/bo-bichette-toronto-blue-jays-top-prospect-phenom
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
but hell, looking at the yanks' lineup this year, who the hell even knows anything anymore?
That pro-rates to something like 100ips for the season.
If he can do that with a 3ish ERA over the course of the season it would help the pitching out a lot.
ERA by Month...
April: 3.36 S: 3.16 R: 3.64
May: 5.66 S: 6.50 R: 4.76
June: 5.81 S: 6.88 R: 4.63
July: 4.44 S: 5.14 R: 3.73
August: 3.58 S: 3.91 R: 3.34
So relievers are on pace for the best month of the year right now. Starters are doing well, but not as good as April (Stroman & Shoemaker were both sub 2 for ERA over 11 starts combined and 66 IP, Sanchez 2.32 over his 6). For August Font has 4 starts 0 ER (8 1/3 IP), SRF 2 starts 9 IP 2 ER, Thornton has 3 starts (4.60 ERA but 15 2/3 IP, an iron man vs the rest of the starters), Pannone though is over 8 for ERA in his 12 1/3 IP (2 starts, 1 relief).
By IP we see...
10+: Thornton & Pannone (ERAs 4.60 and 8.03)
8-9: Waguespack, Stewart, SRF, Law, Font, Gaviglio (ERA's between 0 and 2.89)
5-7: Adam, Shafer (both sub 2 ERA), Boshers, Mayza (both 5+)
0-3: Kingman, Giles, Godley, Ramirez, Diaz (Ramirez & Kingman 0's, rest 6+)
Good job by the manager minimizing the damage outside of Pannone who had most of the damage in the game vs the Yankees (7 ER in 2 1/3 IP).
I'm not a fan of the opener idea but I do like tandem starts and the Jays seem to be headed there. Font with 4 starts in 12 days is a great example of it working. 2 innings at a time. 2 BB vs 12 K's in his 8 1/3 IP, just 3 hits. Sweet. Getting this from a guy with an 80 ERA+ lifetime suggests very smart usage. I'd see if he could handle a third inning sometime but if not then just be happy with 2 IP every 3 days.
Bichette has been incredible. I don't expect him to have this good results forever. I also think the kids are improving as they get more ML ABs. There should be further improvement.
I think the offense has to be evaluated in stages. Month 1 & 2, 3, 4, 5 & 6. There should be an improvement I am guessing. The improvement may be inconsistent.
I would like to see 15 position players for the 13 that would be on next years 26 man roster. Only 3 of them should be non power guys because the FO seems to value power highly. Non power from the backup catcher and Urena.
I was slightly worried about Biggio's struggle to get himself much above the Mendoza Line. But there are three things that give me hope: 1) he sure seems to hit a lot of line drives, and I think you'll find the data confirms it; b) his luck should improve, as his BABiP is more than 30 points lower than the league average; c) all those strikeouts looking. Very few players in the league go down looking at strike three more often. So he'll either learn to foul off that pitch and keep at the AB going, or the umpires will recognize the kid has a good eye and give him some respect, or both.
That is why I think the Jays need to see if Font can handle a third inning as 3 innings cuts the stress on the rest of the staff significantly. Each inning you get from that opener is one less the rest of the team needs to cover. If 2 is all you can get effectively then so be it. His one time going into the 3rd he gave up a near HR from the description (deep CF lineout) then was pulled. Seems once through the order is what is being done. The 'main event' gets twice through, the final guys just one inning each.
Thats a pretty strong mathematical arguement. If your 7th, 8th and 9th inning pitcher can average a 3.50 runs per 9 (which sounds doable for RP) then your team would be allowing 3.92 runs per 9 innings for those 54 starts.
It would probably be harder to find the 2 inning guys in this setup than the 4 inning 'main event' who can really be just an average or slightly below average starting pitcher.
And it would be way cheaper than finding 2 starters get the same results over 27 starts each. An extra roster spot will only make this easier to do.
Two out of three... ain't bad. Got to do better, though.
That's why we manage from the cheap seats.
I assume that management is thinking that there are real skills there if they can just be unlocked. If it can be done, they've got... oh, someone like Randal Grichuk but with more speed and considerably better plate discipline. Fisher swings and misses about as regularly as Grichuk, but he takes far more strikes and gets called out on strikes almost twice as often. Fisher hits more line drives than Grichuk, but he also hits way more balls on the ground. He's a project
He's kinda like the opposite of Biggio. Pretty left handed swing with high bat speed that produced 20+ homers in his first 3 seasons in the minors, including AAA, but not enough contact and plate discipline once in the majors. Well above-average speed, but poor instincts.
He has a very high ceiling, but will he ever break out?
I'd rather have him than Brito.
With Font doing a beautiful job once through the order every 3 days, he'd get 54 starts throwing 108 innings at this pace. Mix in 3 normal starters and you'd have 33 x 3 + 54 = 153 games covered leaving just 9 for others and with offdays maybe even less. Not hard to imagine that working, on paper but someone would need short rest...
N1, Opener, N2, N3, Opener
N1, Opener (short rest), N2, N3, Opener
Even with offdays I don't see how to do it without a 'floater' to balance it out - 14 days of games to start 2019 for the Jays you'd need another guy in there.
N1, Opener, N2, N3, Opener
N1, Floater, Opener, N2, N3
Opener, N1, Floater, Opener, N2
N3, Opener, N1, Floater, Opener
N2, N3, Opener, N1, Floater, Opener
You can see what a mess it quickly becomes. Over 25 games you get N1 5 starts, N2 & N3 4 each, Opener 9, Floater 4. Now, in a real schedule you'd probably be getting an off day in there so lets see with the 2020 schedule what we'd get, assuming maximum starts for #1-3 with the opener getting bonus off time, and floater used only when needed. In 5 day segments...
N1, N2, N3, Opener, Floater
N1, N2, off day, N3, Opener
N1, N2, off day, N3, Opener
N1, N2, Opener, N3, Floater
Offday, N1, N2, N3, Offday
Opener, N1, N2, N3, Opener
Floater, N1, N2, N3, Offday
And we are done April.
N1 & 2 & 3 = 7 starts, 1 bonus day of rest
Opener = 6 starts, only twice on schedule
Floater = 3 starts. Could be a 'Johnny Full Staff' day or a one day call-up each time.
That seems manageable. The Opener could be used in relief for someone (the N1 or N2) perhaps, give him the 7/8th each time so he can mentally prep like for a start or let him start for the N1/N2 guy instead with them being the 'headliner'.
It all depends on planning and on the guys involved. With a team this young the egos shouldn't be too much of a problem vs telling, say, Stroman that someone else is getting 2 innings for sure on 'his day'. Next challenge is finding 3 solid starters...
If a recently cut/traded/released Blue Jay is doing well, I don't need to check for myself...I can just check my batter's box for greenfrog posts :)
I see Grichuk is up to his usual second half excellence, with a line of .261/.303/.522/.825. His career 2nd half numbers are .270/.314/.546/.860 and he could certainly get there again this year. Too bad he can't figure things out a bit sooner in the season, he'd be a heck of a player.
Hopefully this front office trades top 100 prospects like Ian Anderson for whatever the missing pieces may be.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/tom-tangos-triple-slash-conundrum/
Kolby Allard for two months of a middle reliever suggests he might be changing his ways.
AA was great at hoarding draft picks, but he missed a lot of opportunity to sell in July.
Maybe you can blame Beeston for that. Or maybe he'd have rather let a reliever walk for a draft pick than trade him for prospects?
For example, in 2013, Oliver was a free agent who could have been traded.
In 2015, he picked up Mark Lowe who had an ERA of 1.0 with Seattle but only gave him 3.79 and LaTroy Hawkins who was good during the year, but allowed 7 earned runs in less than 2 playoffs innings. So, he's been there before.
I think that was largely a product of the B type of restricted free agents.
I remember in 2008, they traded Matt Stairs to the Phillies for Fabio Castro who had not pitched in the majors since the previous year. In 2009 he had an ERA of 4.0 in AAA/AA and became a free agent in the fall.
So just signing interesting guys like Oh and Phelps and getting multiples years of control on the returns is a good strategy.
The next stage will be to try to get something for the prospects who are out of options.
He pitched 1 inning on August 9. I walk,, one hit, 1 strikeout.
He pitched again yesterday, 1 single, 1 homerun, 1 strikeout.
So the Giants might hang on to him, but his ERA is 4.74.
The promotions to AA for Y Diaz, P Murphy etc... has done really well IMO.
In AAA not so good due in part to the AAA ball.
Of the kids I only really expect Borucki and SRF to be in the opening day rotation if healthy. All capable of going 5=7 innings per start. Actually Borucki, Thornton and Waguespack are all about the same age. 26 in the off season.
Pannone is in a group of 5 pitchers or so that are capable of 2-4 quality innings. So a few off season signings I expect.
Speaking of the Orioles, the Yankees were an incredible 17-2 against them this year. Even a split of those 15 wins would have made the AL East race a lot closer at this point.
I agree all things being equal, the speedier guy will definitely be more valuable, but looking at last years leaderboards, your premise that A will usually be the speedier player does't really seem to be accurate. Seems to be a mixed bag in both categories. Freddy Freeman was close to A, Jose Ramirez a B for instance.
A guy hitting singles may also be someone who doesn't leg out speed doubles and vice versa.
Player B had 4 more home runs as well. So could it have been increased power that was driving the other extra-base hits (13 2B and 4 3B)?
The 2019 Yankees/Orioles isn't the worst beat down between the franchises, somehow. The 1927 Yankees were 21-1 against the St. Louis Browns (moved to Baltimore in 1954), outscoring them 150-65.
You've lost me here @dalimon5. Even if you want to exclude the Donalodson trade AND narrow the criteria down to only Top 100 prospects Anthopoulos had already sent Marisnick (Marlins) and D'Arnaud (Mets) packing in separate deals. Expand that to Top 10 prospects and then you see names like Carlos Perez, Joe Musgrove, Asher Wojciechowski, Adeiny Hechavarria, Justin Nicolino, Henderson Alvarez, some guy named Thor ..... how was this prospect hoarding?
As far as OPS goes, a single is better since it counts as both OBP and SLG.
However, if the OBP and slugging are the same, the guys are pretty much equivalent.
As for who is faster, the doubles and triples also count as hits.
If a large portion of a hitter's hits are double, that probably indicates a lot of line drives rather than speed which would also lead to a lot of infield singles. A guy who has a lot of singles might be a ground ball hitter rather than a slow guy who hits fly balls. But it's kinda hard to guess a hitter's profile just based on the distribution of singles, doubles and triples.
Boston finished last in 2014 with a rotation of
Buchholtz 29
Lester 30
Lackey 35
Peavy 33
So they traded Lester for Cespedes and a draft pack.
They traded Lackey for Joey Kelly
They traded Peavy for Heath Embree
They traded Andrew Miller for Eduardo Rodriguez
Then they flipped Cespedes for Porcello who had only 1 year and they extended him.
They traded Rubby De La Rosa and Allen Webster for Wade Miley
They finished last in 2015 with a rotation of
Miley
Porcello
Kelly
Rodriguez
Buchholtz
So they traded Miley for Roenis Elias and Carson Smith
They had Steven Wright who came from Cleveland in a trade for Lars Anderson back in 2012.
So they signed David Price and finished first with a rotation of
Price
Porcello
Wright
Buchholz
Rodriguez
After that, wanting to go all the way, they traded 4 prospects including Moncana and Michael Kopech for Chris Sale.
They picked up Benintendi with the 7th overall draft pick in 2015 and he was in Boston the next year.
The Jays will have an early pick next year.
Steve Pearce 28
Yangervis Solarte 43
Kendrys Morales 61
Curtis Granderson 73
Kevin Pillar 80
Harold Ramirez 81
Russell Martin 81
Dwight Smith 83
Aledmys Diaz 110
Jon Berti 116
I know - we gave up on Kendrys Morales too soon.
It's not the luxury tax that make losing teams reduce their payroll.
A number of teams have made moves because of the luxury tax.
The Yankees did not go after Corbin and signed Happ instead. That cost them a few wins.
They still have the best record in baseball.
The tax does limits the wins for the teams that are already spending the most.
The Red Sox are having a bad year but they are still much better than the Orioles and the Jays.
The tax limited them from getting better because they don't have prospects to trade away.
When Boston was finishing last, they still had a relatively high payroll.
The are not many teams like that right now.