Apparently Guerrero asked Meacham to let him know if the Buffalo pitcher needs more time, so he'll take a few pitches to prolong the at bat.

Rowdy Tellez last 50 games:

AVG  ** OBP **  SLG
0.304/ 0.356/ 0.526

wRC+ 143
BAIP 0.301

6.9 BB%
11.2 K%
0.216 ISO%

The most impressive part of recent recent surge in production is that it isn't really BAIP driven, but more to sharp reduction in strikeouts while hitting for more power. On the season he is pulling the ball more compared to last year and it seems his power is returning to him.

This is encouraging, even if Tellez doesn't have a ton of time to establish himself with the Jays, he might be someone who gets traded for someone who helps the team through redistribution of assets. 

Tellez is now a low ranked prospect with as many years of control as anyone.
As a 1B/DH type, he'd hardly returns anything.
The guys you want to trade are the high rank prospects in A ball.
One more year and both Smoak and Morales are gone.
It's going to be a long time before another 1B prospect establishes himself.

I will almost guarantee that once Rowdy gets a cup of coffee at the big league level he will look like a stud in the eyes of statcast and xWOBA with contact, 60 raw power and a desirable batted ball profile.

Tellez does look to be improving over his last 50 games. Good BA, bb/k ratio and the power is starting to arrive.

He is 23 years old with almost 800 AAA ABs and only burned 1 option. I see a lot of value in that.

There was a surplus of 1B/DH type on the free agent market last year.
Many signed short cheap contracts.

Let's say we don't have Tellez, who is the highest Jays prospect you'd be willing to trade for him?

There was a surplus of 1B/DH type on the free agent market last year.
Many signed short cheap contracts.

Let's say we don't have Tellez, who is the highest Jays prospect you'd be willing to trade for him?

Billy McKinney last season at age 23 in AAA with a strong 55 game stretch after a mediocre 2016 season (sub .700 ops) and a so-so start to AA in 2017.


AVG ** OBP ** SLG
0.306 /.336 /.541

0.354 BAIP
140 wRC+

4.0 BB%
21.9 K%
140 wRC+

What I like more about Tellez's hot 50 game stretch is that it is less driven on BAIP than McKinney's who ultimately never carried that success forward into 2018. McKinney profiles as a LF/DH type with fringe outfield defense versus Rowdy as a 1B/DH type with average 1B defense. McKinney obviously provides more on the base paths, but it is really about the bats for both of these players.

I would take Tellez over McKinney.

Groshans is back in the lineup today after being lifted after a couple of at bats yesterday. Easing him back it appears.

Yeah, going by the Pipeline list, I stopped at Warmoth/McKinney. Still like to give Warmoth one more year before I totally give up on the guy, although other than a 10% BB rate, I see nothing in his batting profile to suggest anything but bust.

The 2017 draft is starting to show similarities to 2010. A seeming total whiff on the 1st pick, although whiffing pick 22 not as bad as pick 11. But a lot of strong picks after, even if almost zero chance any 2017 picks will reach the level of Thor or maybe even Sanchez.

Nate Pearson can be every bit as good if not better than Thor or Sanchez.

Yup Pearson can be, but a long way from can be to will be.

Riley Adams exactly one month ago was at .206/.311/.321. Since that date he's hit .347/.434/.500, bringing his season line to .241/.341/.366, wRC+ 106. Combine that with positive reports on his defence, I have to believe he's Top 30 again.

I did not realize that our #10 had dropped off the top 30.

Baseball America came out with their updated farm systems rankings and the Jays are 3rd, just after the Padres and the Rays.

That is quite an accomplishment for the farm system to rank so highly given that none of our top prospects were aquired via trade unlike the Padres, or from top 10 picks in the draft.

 I honestly like our farm system better than the Rays, but the Padres system is just crazy town stacked.

...on the prospect comeback theme.
Harold Ramirez has quite a hot streak going after looking completely expendable.
he's not too old for Double A either.

I may be repeating myself, but I cannot remember a season with more emergent hitting prospects in the rookie and short-season leagues. Aside from the top draftees and international signings (Miguel Hiraldo, Leonardo Jimenez, Groshans) we also have very interesting guys emerging such as Otto Lopez, Rafael Lantigua, Alejandro Kirk, Gabriel Moreno, Dominic Abbadessa, Jhon Solarte and Cal Stevenson. Bluefield in particular seems to have an abundance of intriguing hitting prospects. The thread linking many of these guys is strong contact ability.

I am still unsure of what to think of Harold Ramirez, and he surely adds to a very murky outfield picture.

I don't think Ramirez is worthy of a 40-man spot. He doesn't run well, he doesn't play good defence, his arm is nothing special and he has limited power (although he's getting more lift on the ball now and showing a little better gap power)... so really, you're spending a 40-man roster spot on one tool: The hit tool, which has been inconsistent to date. There is upside here if he continues to get more lift on the ball but the Jays have depth in the OF so I don't think they need to take the risk.

the Jays have depth in the OF so I don't think they need to take the risk.

Marc, which outfielders do you think should be kept on the 40 man? Who do you see comprising outfielder depth.

Along with the big league guys, you have Smith Jr. (a perfectly good No. 4/5), Alford, McKinney and then have to add Forrest Wall, Jonathan Davis to the 40-man this fall... and both are more valuable in my opinion... then you have guys moving up that don't need to be added yet like Brock Lundquist, Josh Palacios, etc.

There are three Jays prospects in BA's most recent Prospect Hot Sheet (Aug. 6):

Biggio (#10)
Noda (#16)
Bichette (#18)

Pretty good showing by the baby Jays. The farm system has had a number of other good performers of late as well (Lundquist, Tellez, Guerrero Jr., Jansen, Reid-Foley, Ramirez, Smith, Castillo, Taylor, Young, Adams, Danner, Murphy, Logue...the list goes on).

Thanks Marc. Do Alford and McKinney have to be added this year?

I think we're going to see a lot of offseason moves before the 40 man has to be finalized. Also, need Tulowitzki be on the 40 man for the purpose of the Rule V? If so, I can see the potential for a Prince Fielder-like buyout.

I don’t know what this means other than perception is a huge deal in prospect evaluation. Samad Taylor, whom many posters here have commented that they aren’t that high on or as having a meh season in Lansing, is younger than, or the same age, as many of the interesting hitting prospects in Bluefield. I think this makes Taylor a good prospect- not the other way around.

Vlad 3-3, 2B and his 1st AAA HR.

Alford and Mckinney are already on the 40 man and would have to be out righted (clear waivers) to be removed which is likely not to happen. Harold Ramirez was outright last year just before the rule 5 after his awful season for example and nobody claimed him off waivers so he remained in the organization.

Tulo won't be on the 40 man until he is re-instated from the 60 day DL.

Tulo won't be on the 40 man until he is re-instated from the 60 day DL.

Yes. I had thought that players can only be on the 60-day until after the WS, so that they have to be returned to the 40-man for the Rule V. I may be wrong. I had thought that was why the Rangers just paid out Fielder, to open up the roster spot.

I just think Samad Taylor doesn't get talked about as much because of the depth in the organization, and he is guy who you need to look past the statline to get excited for. He is going to swipe more than 40 bags this year, I can't remember the last time we had a prospect do that. Anthony Gose?

I never knew that, but some googling says you are likely right. You learn something new every day.

Clip of the Vlad homerun here https://twitter.com/BuffaloBisons/status/1027354160386252800

Yes. I had thought that players can only be on the 60-day until after the WS, so that they have to be returned to the 40-man for the Rule V. I may be wrong. I had thought that was why the Rangers just paid out Fielder, to open up the roster spot.

This is exactly right. There is no DL or 60-day DL over the offseason so Tulo has to be put back on the 40-man roster and someone else has to come off.

For example, Bo Schultz was outrighted and granted his release last Nov 2017 during his recovery from Tommy John surgery because the Jays didn't want to put him back on the 40-man over the winter after the World Series ended.

Jon Berti stole 40 in both 2013 & 2014; Pompey stole 40 in 2014; and more recently, Roemon Fields has stolen 40 every year for the past four years.

I agree Samad Taylor is underrated - he's having a solid season, despite a subpar babip as a 19-year-old in full-season ball. He seems to have a broad base of skills, and it looks like his contact ability has improved somewhat over the course of the year, though his batting line hasn't changed much.