[I]ts one thing to play someone like JD Martinez in the OF even though he really should be DH'ing. His bat still makes him valuable in that role. Its another to put players like Granderson and Pearce in the OF and wipe out most, if not all, of their actual value by doing so. They have turned interesting to good value signings into worthless signings by doing so. It's beyond me why the front office cannot see this. (Nigel Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 12:57 PM EDT)
If management by front offices of different organization can be compared, the Rays traded the 1.1 WAR, 34 years old corner OF Denard Span and 0.3, 30 relief pitcher Alex Colome for a second round draftee, 24 years old SP Andrew Moore and an unknown 15 rounder, 20 years old. Can the Jays trade Granderson, a 30 year old relief pitcher, for example, Petricka, and a 10 plus rounder pitcher for a higher end prospect that is blocked in organization. Then Janssen, Smith Jr. or Pompey can be promoted. Martin and Solarte share duties at 3B and 2B respectively. Maile and Janssen start catching while Martin is the wild card in late inning at C or 3B.This season is the last on Pearce's contract.
I'd have Travis batting leadoff, Solarte second, Hernandez batting third and Smoak hitting fourth. Pillar would hit fifth and Martin sixth. (Mike Green Tuesday, June 05 2018 @ 04:48 PM EDT)
Travis' hitting average is .194 tonight....
Marco Estrada and Jaime Garcia should've been easy to deal but both are sucking hard so I doubt either can be traded right now for more than junk.
If Morales is put on waiver and no MLB team pick him up, does his second year of his contract still need to be accounted for? Numerous MLB hitters play in the Mexican League and the independent league Atlantic League . Could a guy like Morales be let go and play at league minimum of those leagues?
Or maybe they just love the Veteran Presents(TM) that Morales brings to the team.
/s
Not sure what "accounted for" means. If Morales is released, the Blue Jays are responsible for the balance of his 2018 salary and all his 2019 salary. If another MLB team claims him, they will pay Morales the league minimum (pro-rated for 2018) with the Blue Jays paying the rest.
I assume Hanley Ramirez will land somewhere at the league minimum, but it's not a slam dunk that he will. I can't believe any team would take Morales at league minimum. But you never know.
1.LF Granderson 485pa, 121wrc+, 3.0war650
2.3B Donaldson 586pa, 136wrc+, 5.4war650
3.1B Smoak 669pa, 131wrc+, 3.1war650
4.RF Hernandez 285pa, 123wrc+, 2.7war650
5.DH Pearce 330pa, 114wrc+, 1.0war650
6.2B Solarte 527pa, 106wrc+, 1.6war650
7.C Martin 390pa, 83wrc+, 1.3war650
8.CF Pillar 630pa, 83wrc+, 1.8war650
9.SS Tulowitzki 168pa, 79wrc+, 0.0war650
B.UT Morales 544pa, 78wrc+, -2.0war650
B.OF Grichuk 350pa, 89wrc+, 2.0war650
B.IF Diaz 207pa, 76wrc+, 0.3war650
B.C Maile 167pa, 76wrc+, 3.1war650
B.OF Smith 58pa, 143wrc+, +2.2war650
B.IF Urena 94pa, 61wrc+, -1.4war650
B.IF Travis 106pa, 51wrc+, -1.8war650
B.IF Gurriel 70pa, 42wrc+, -3.7war650
While I don't think the Jays should be calling him up, I DO think he should be in Buffalo.
I doubt he's lost his hitting talent completely.
Anyways, that milb stint did give us an extra year of control over him, so that's nice.
As I typed previously, the Mexican League whose play has been classified as Triple-A and the independent league the Atlantic League take numerous former MLBers. At times, some MLB organizations sign batters and pitchers from those two leagues. The following names in the Mexican League and the Atlantic League may right a bell: in the Mexican League, the Cubans Alexei Ramirez, and Yuniesky Betancourt, Daric Barton, Kyle Drabek, Desmond Jennings, Jorge Cantu, Sergio Mitre, Horacio Ramirez, Jean Machi, Edgar Gonzalez and last but not least the Canadian Michael Crouse, in the Atlantic League Endy Chavez, Julio Borbon, Derek Norris, Jair Jurrjens, Josh Thole, Reid Brignac, Gustavo Pierre, Travis Snider, Emilio Bonifacio, K-Rod, Zach Stewart -- one of the other guy who came with Stewart to Toronto was Edwin Encarnacion -- and again last but not least the Canadian Dustin Molleken.
I think the vast majority of us just want him released, the sooner, the better.
Agreed. It’s like complaining about the colour of drapes on the Titanic.
I think players who end up in the Mexican League or an independent league are doing so to earn a little money, not players simultaneously drawing a major league salary. I can't see Morales ending up there.
On one hand, let Travis adjust his hitter in buffalo. If Pillar, Hernandez and Grichuk are the three outfield starters and Granderson the bench guy, why not put the two young middle infielders Diaz and Urshela as starters. Solarte and Martin plays 3B. So a younger Granderson-esque veteran who can start more than Granderson does is need because at this moment the outfield trio performs better than the middle infielders. Looking at Triple-A level and independent league baseball, Donovan Solano seems to hit well in the hitter friendly Pacific Coast League but a previous first round draftee Nick Franklin is injured. If batters in the independent league the Atlantic League is considered, Jordany Valdespin had played in the MLB and won that league’s Player of the Month award for April/May of 2018.
On the other hand, if Travis' hitting is considering ready at this moment, then let him start at 2B. Are Lebliebijian and Lopes considered ready to play in the MLB? Last season guys Ryan Goins and Darwin Barney are performing and not performing in accordance to expectations: on the bench or a free agent.
Andy Burns is playing for his first season in South Korea; former Jays and currently Brewers Eric Thames played three seasons in South Korea before signing for two seasons of 13.5M contract. It will be beyond this season if Burns is returning to North America.
Regarding the middle infielders situation, I was just trying to look for help in possible ways using the internet...
Also, Morales has been a team mate for several years, the players might not appreciate his being released unless (1) he will be replaced by a better player, or (2) all hope for a playoff spot is gone and its time to look at 2019.
I am not sure if we are in either of those places yet. With the draft ending, GM's attention turns to the field. I think the Jays will wait until the end of this month before declaring they are thinking of 2019. That assumes the team does not start winning.
That is certainly a consideration, I guess. But once the injured bodies return, how will the math be made to work? When Donaldson and Pearce return, who is to be chased off this roster? Urshela, for sure. Who else? The 8th reliever?
And if/when Tulowitzki comes back, who then? Diaz would seem likely, but then you have no other "shortstops" other than Martin and Solarte.
One reason to move Morales is to simply clear the logjam.
Hi, we're shatkins!
I think there will be a lot of juggling come Auust 1, but until then its going to be mostly what you see now.
Every player goes through hot and cold spells and optimism is in the DNA of baseball players. Many of the roster likely hope that Morales can get hot soon. Very few of them can claim to be leading the team, they all have their own problems to think about.
ML club seems a bit like a ship adrift in the ocean though.
- Smoak is here for 2019 on an option for $6 mil so he has a lot of value in a trade or staying.
- Solarte is here for 2019 and 2020 if desired on options $5.5 and $8 mil so cheap and high value both here and elsewhere..
- Pearce is a free agent after this year so dump.
- Garcia has a $10 mil team option or $2 mil buyout - right now he looks like a buyout but if someone offers a D list prospect take it.
- Morales is signed for 2019 for $12 mil - ugh. Would need to take on $12 mil in salary to get rid of him.
- Happ free agent after this year, I'd trade him and try to resign him in the off-season.
- Estrada I'd be happy to trade but doubt he is wanted (free agent this off season)
- Tulo is here until 2020 no matter what - unless someone eats that salary (very unlikely)
- Martin is here through 2019 and then the Jays will probably try to sign him as a utility player.
- Donaldson is here for now, although some want him badly but will they give up an A list prospect?
Which one are you talking about?. The last lineup had 5 players at or below the Mendoza line.
During the Jays rebuild there could be the chance for Thomas to play more at 1B or DH and try and rebuild some value. I'd want a top 10 prospect, and Taylor Widener is having a great season.
As a 1B, Smoak has limited trade value.
Relievers are always in demand, but it's not clear when they'll be able to trade Osuna.
Pillar is probably the guy with the most trade value.
If the season ended now, the Jays would be drafting 7th.
I'm happy with Morales still playing. I'm not sure they'll be a roster crunch before they can trade anyone.
Are you suggesting that the strike zone is baroque?
A fair question, and one that's been much on my mind.
Just like old times.
Seattle Mariners, the team people were saying would soon fall out of the wild race, are 15 games over .500.
I think Biagini is there because Gibby chose him over McGuire as long man option.
I'm starting to remember Gaviglio's name. Is that a sign of something?
A thread or two ago someone mentioned the kind of funny idea that the Jays have to send an all-star rep. I assume is must be Happ at this point, but if he implodes for a few starts (or even one, his ERA isn't exactly shiny), I guess Smoak? What slightly above average reliever would you pick out from this group?
Weirdly you can make a non-crazy argument that Smoak is a top-two AL first baseman (just like last year). Of course, the AL has somehow managed to gather the saddest collection of hitters I can recall at 1B for an entire league (using fangraphs positional assignments, which can be a bit fidgety this time of year). Moreland leads in hitting this year, but that isn't going to last (based on the prior 7 years of not being this good and being 32 years old). Abreu is the best hitter of the bunch, and then Smoak might be next. The NL has at least half a dozen guys as good or better than the best AL 1B, that's a strong imbalance.
The minor leagues are doing quite well. I am enjoying that.
The major league team is now in a transition/building process because the possibility of the 2nd WC is remote. I expect that this building process will be in phases. Currently I am pleased by the health of A Sanchez and the production of Y Solarte.
At some point this season the FO will let the prospects fill in the many holes in the lineup. I fully expect some to rise to the challenge.
Young players have to play every day not sit on the bench. I don't believe that we will see any C Colabello types. We soon will not be in a position to try to win. IMO development will be a higher priority.
Everybody else (including Teoscar, Travis, Stroman, Osuna, Smoak) you trade away.
Tepera is the only guy I would circle with Sanchez, Tulo and Martin. Even if you can give away Martin fine, then just keep Tulo until the next crop. We could have a strong team in 2019 IF the Jays promote their prospects for some MLB time in September and IF they spend 50 million on pitching and hitting studs.
2018 -2019 Free Agents of interest
Puig, Harper, Eovaldi...everybody else is too old or in a position we don't need...like Machado.
Probably too expensive and the Jays would lose multiple draft picks. Possibly round 3 and 5 or something. What ever the rules are as applied to the Jay's market.
bpoz - IMO to make it more enjoyable I think it's just a matter of jettisoning all of the older guys who are clearly not a part of the future. And the only real question mark there is whether Donaldson is part of our future or not. And maybe an interesting question is Pillar,too.
But otherwise clean house - Happ, Estrada, Garcia, Oh, Axford, Clippard, Granderson, Pearce, Smoak, Solarte, Morales all go, and we keep only the controllable guys.
CF Pillar
RF Grichuk
LF Pompey
3B Diaz
SS Tulowitzki
2B Travis
1B Martin
C Maile
DH whichever of the following bench guys you feel like:
UT Lopes - Tellez
OF Smith - Alford
IF Gurriel - Urena
C Jansen - McGuire
SP Sanchez
SP Stroman
SP Borucki
SP SRF
SP Gaviglio/whoever
I also feel strongly, as you do, that no FAs will be added in the off season except for depth pieces. Mainly in the pen. Veterans that can handle being bad. Clippard, Oh.
Martin at 1B or all over seems intriguing.
The team will have good speed and defense.
Last year the rotation was much better. Stroman was a #1. Happ was ok but only 145 IP. Estrada was a good #5 but not a good #3. The pen is letting us down both this year and last year.
The defense seems better this year but the offense is worse.
It is early still but so far this team may be worse. This team has the advantage of a great April. Even with that we are barely clinging to hope for the 2nd WC.
Is he on an inevitable path to pumpkindom, given his gopheric history? Or he could be that flukey something from nothing that occasionally occurs at the major league level?
I'm pulling for him -- and he's third on the team in bWAR -- but his story could go sideways in a heartbeat and not surprise me at all.
Given that there are 5 SP slots per team, top-15 at SP is equivalent to top-3 for a position player.
Ah, I see you your context now. Yes, there are fewer and fewer SP on the team every year.
LH batter: .213/.347/.369
RH batter: .209/.349/.388
Time, waiting for no one I suppose.
The Mets just outrighted and cleared the waiver for former Jays Scott Copeland. I don't necessary mean the Jays signs him again per se but is there any veteran hidden somewhere who can help now. The Jays had signed LHSP Wade LeBlanc and he seems to settle down for SP/RP work with the Mariners.
Can the Jays starts with trading away Granderson and 26 years old Urshela for a matured but young enough IF who is blocked by better teammates. An example is IF Marwin Gonzalez with the Astros. His middle infield teammates are Allstars but he starts at LF. Granderson fits that LF like a glove. Urshela just reprises Marwin's utility role when Marwin got 300plus PA at age 25 to 26; maybe Urshela can perform better but the Jays cannot wait. Marwin is a swtich hitter. Marwin was coming from a 23HR .907 OPS 2017 season to a downturn 2018 season but this season of 5.125 Million contract is his last before becoming a free agent at the end of this season. The hidden gem of this trade is the Jays can pick between Diaz and Gonzalez while giving up Urshela. By the same token, the choice could be Urshela and Gonzalez while giving up Diaz.
LHB LF/RF Granderson, RHB IF Urshela for SHB IF Marwin Gonzalzez
If my trade idea could have gone through, could Granderson provide postseason experience and hence mentoring to the current champion Houston Astros? For [the Astros] who has [postseason experience] will be given more, and [Granderson] will have more than enough. But [the Astros' infield] who does not have, even what [the Astros] has -- [Marwin] -- will be taken.— Matthew 25:24–30
The 24th ranked Oriole/25th ranked Jays pitching staffs vs the 29th ranked Jays/30th ranked Oriole batters.
The Oriole hitters have the amusing distinction of combining for negative 0.7 WAR, despite Manny Machado alone accumulating plus 2.9 WAR. They've accomplished this feat by having 12 different position players with negative WAR, helped along by the most brutal defensive play in baseball.
What happens if equal numbers of Orioles and Jays fans are hoping their team loses. It's a mind-boggling question.
No wonder the middle class is disappearing :)
One change I'd like to see is that if a player is suspended for PED use, the team would have the right to immediately terminate the contract.
I've no idea if he talks to Maile at all. Certainly not about hitting.
Incidentally, Martin is a converted middle infield and is listed at 5'10". Not a first baseman.
I'm sure I've seen something about Tulo wanting to play every day and not being interesting in mentoring anybody.
Does anybody still thinks Donaldson is part of the Jays future?
I say he's done with playing on turf as soon as he gets traded somewhere.
Stroman and Sanchez could be traded if they were not having terrible years.
Pillar should be traded as they have enough young outfielders who can play in center.
Happ, Estrada, Garcia, Oh, Axford, Clippard, Granderson and Pearce should all be available if there's any takers.
They need a guy like Smoak at first base to catch all the bad throws and he's still cheap.
They could open next year with Solarte at 3rd so the season doesn't seem lost by the time Guerrero is up.
Maile is interesting. He's only got 1 year of service time, but they have 2 catchers at AAA and Pentecost is 25 at AA.
Maile is already 27. They should realistically trade 1 catcher or they might just lose Pentecost.
Travis seems to be in the same situation as Grichuk.
The league has figured how how to pitch to him and he needs to make an adjustment.
Morales ...
I wouldn't trade Sanchez or Stroman even if they were having good years. It's clear that the Jays will eventually have a younger team sometime in the near future, and they have a chance to be part of that.
Morales ...
But the rotation IMO was quite impressive for being young and inexperienced. S Marcum was returning from TJ. 2nd full season for R Romero. 1st full season as ML starters for B Morrow and B Cecil. Zep got injured in ST or it would have been his 1st full season in the rotation.
The 2019 rotation could be young. A Sanchez and M Stroman would be considered veterans. Possible 1st full season as ML starters for Borucki, SRF, Romano. SRF would have AAA experience. Romano also if promoted to AAA. Soon I hope. Gaviglio and Biagini are in the mix. Zeuch could be ready at some point in 2019.
The 2010 pen was thrilling with K Gregg as closer. S Downs and J Fraser.
The 2019 pen has a big ? at closer.
So just a few of my thoughts on the 2019 rebuild.
AA put the final pieces to a contender by 2013.
Shapiro and Co is/will be slower. They seems to be very deliberate in promoting their prospects to the Majors. They are filling in with Ngoepe and Urshela type of players. But to be fair that is just for the bench. T Hernandez is not considered a prospect. I suppose he should count.
not in year 4. or 5. or 6. or 7. or....you get it.
Disagree strongly, bpoz. He thought he did, but it turned into a disaster, not as disastrous as Atkins first season, but a disaster nonetheless.
It wasn't until after AA's fantastic Donaldson trade and Osuna promotion in 2014 and the Tulo/Price trades in 2015 that the final pieces were in place.
I remember Peter Bavasi saying something about selling the sizzle if you don't have steak. That is to make money I believe. First time Toronto had Major League baseball. A lot of sizzle.
The big trade additions for 2013 was great PR. That probably generated a lot of revenue. Boston only won 69 games in 2012. Their PR and expectations were probably dismal for 2013. They took our manager and were willing to pay dearly for him. We were not going to settle for prospects.
We were very/more competitive in payroll in 2013. We needed that because of NYY and Boston being in our division.
Increasing payroll has already been done. I expect a PR move. A youth movement. Slashing payroll helps the bottom line but I don't know if that will happen.
How is he going to sell a long rebuild?