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The puzzling Seattle Mariners come to the Dome this weekend, for this year's first meeting between the 1977 expansion cousins. And Adam Lind makes his long-awaited return to Toronto, clad in the opposition's livery, and I'm pretty sure that's the first time I've used the word "livery" in a sentence. See, ya live long enough, anything can happen. As if last night in Cleveland hadn't proved that already.


The Mariners are stuck in third place, 6.5 games behind Texas. They're 5.5 games back of the Blue Jays for the second Wild Card. Their biggest problem hasn't been anything they've done - rather, it's been the Texas Rangers' spooky good fortune (19-7) in one-run games. It's the only reason Texas in first place at this point. The Mariners and Astros have played a ton of close games themselves, more than any other team in baseball. The two teams have come about as close to playing .500 ball in those games as you can, without actually playing .500 ball (Houston is 17-17, Seattle is 16-18).

The Mariners finally got rid of Jack Zduriencik last fall, and replaced him with Jerry DiPoto, whom you may remember from his days as the Angels GM, and his unsuccessful power struggle with Mike Scioscia over the use of analytics. This time around, he's got his own man in the dugout, Scott Servais who had a long NL career as a catcher, usually as a backup. Their team features a whole lot of players who could be described as past-their prime: Nelson Cruz and Hisashi Iwakumi are 35 years old, Da-Ho Lee and Nori Aoki are 34, Robinson Cano, Chris Iannetta, Franklin Gutierrez are all 33, Adam Lind is 32. Kyle Seager is in his prime at 28, and the only players younger than Seager who've made a significant contribution to this year's team are shortstop Ketel Marte and reliever Mike Montgomery. Cano, Cruz, and Seager are the Big Scary Bats and everyone else chips in.

The Jays will miss Felix Hernandez, who's still the team's best pitcher, but I've seen enough of King Felix anyway. At this point, the novelty is long gone - the sight of him on the opposition mound just fills my heart with Dread. I've seen enough, I don't want to see no more.

LH James Paxton opens the series - Paxton has spent the last five years showing flashes of Potential Awesomeness, but he's not been able to stay on the field. He had shoulder issues in 2014, a finger problem in 2015, and then pitched so badly this spring that he opened the season in Tacoma. He went 4-3, 3.97 in the PCL and was called up when Felix Hernandez hit the DL. Paxton has faced the Blue Jays twice (1-1, 10.38) , both times in Toronto - he beat Mark Buehrle 3-2 last May, which made up a little for the Jays beating him senseless the previous September.

The Venerable and Ancient Mariner Hisashi Iwakuma may not be all that he used to be, but he's still a very solid ML starter who always keeps his team in the game. He's won his last four starts, and is 3-1, 2.40 lifetime against Toronto.

Journeyman LH Wade LeBlanc wraps things up on Sunday. As you probably know, after major league stops in five organizations, LeBlanc went off to Japan, where he did not pitch very well. The Jays signed him as a free agent last winter, he did just great (7-2, 1.71) in Buffalo until he was sold to the Mariners last month. He's given the Mariners three quality starts in four outings, and will be making his first career appearance against the Blue Jays.

Matchups? OK....

Paxton (2-4, 4.56) vs Estrada (5-3, 2.93)
Iwakuma (10-6, 4.01) vs Dickey (7-10, 4.11)
LeBlanc (1-1, 3.63) vs Happ (12-3, 3.43)

The Jays need to make a roster move to activate Marco Estrada, and if anyone hears about it... I'm sure they'll share!
Mariners at Toronto, 22-24 July | 187 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 01:00 PM EDT (#326836) #
A few weeks ago, after his torrid start, I wondered if LeBlanc might have a useful role for the Jays at some point this year (and I was promptly shot down by the Bauxite consensus).  I'm hoping that the Jays prove me wrong by demolishing him on Sunday.
Mike Green - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 01:01 PM EDT (#326837) #
LeBlanc's numbers in Seattle are pretty consistent with what he did in Buffalo- more HRs allowed, as you'd expect from the transition and his previous record, but the same fine W/K.  The Blue Jays should match up pretty well against him (in Toronto anyways). 

I wonder if Barney will be back in the outfield with the two lefties on the mound.  I'd do it. 
Mike Green - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 01:08 PM EDT (#326838) #
I'd forgotten that I had company in the Leblanc fan club.  I will confess that the fact that he's from Lake Charles, Louisiana didn't hurt his chances with me because of the Lucinda Williams song.
Magpie - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 01:17 PM EDT (#326839) #
the Lucinda Williams song

No. Just no. Lucinda's fine and all, but Lake Charles, Louisiana? That's where you'll find that little Bessie girl that I once knew. She told me just to drop on by....
85bluejay - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 01:42 PM EDT (#326841) #
Given Seattle's Lefty lineup, if Saunders & Zeke are good to go, I Wouldn't be surprised if the Jays Swapped Burns for Morales for the Wknd. and then revised the roster on Monday when Bautista is due Back.
China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 01:49 PM EDT (#326843) #
"....I wonder if Barney will be back in the outfield with the two lefties on the mound...."

Carrera, with his 1.033 OPS against LHP this season, should be recovered from his minor Achilles issue by now.  Saunders is also hitting better against LHP than against RHP (although his career splits are the opposite), and he was supposed to be back by now, since he was missing only the one game for personal reasons.   So I doubt there's room for Barney in the outfield, unless one of those two isn't ready yet. Even then, Junior Lake tends to hit LHP better than righties, so he would probably get the nod.
Mike Green - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 01:53 PM EDT (#326844) #
That too, Magpie.  I have argued for The Weight as an eighth inning song. 

Mavis Staples is still making music and it would be great to see her at a World Series game amidst all the gloom of 2016.
Mike Green - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 02:42 PM EDT (#326847) #
The Buffalo Bisons posted their lineup tonight on twitter:
Pompey 8, Goins 6, Bautista 9, Montero 0, Colabello 3, Ceciliani 7, Dominguez 5, Castillo 2, Casilla 4
China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 02:44 PM EDT (#326848) #
Bautista in right field, Colabello at 1B.  Likely the way that the Jays foresee their future roles.
China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 03:19 PM EDT (#326850) #
The Jays have demoted Burns and Loup to make room for Estrada and Morales. 

I'm a bit surprised by the Morales decision, since the Jays had clearly been hesitating about him for a long time during his rehab.  But it's certainly worth taking a look at Morales in the majors to see if he is better than Loup as a LHP option in the bullpen.

China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 03:26 PM EDT (#326851) #
And wow, Mike, you were correct about Barney in the outfield.  He's in LF tonight, while Saunders is the DH and Lake is the RF.   Seems that Carrera is still not recovered from his Achilles problem.

Does this mean that the Jays see Barney as defensively superior to Saunders?  (That's possible.)  Or is it because they'd rather have Barney's bat in the lineup instead of Smoak, who is benched tonight?  (Less likely, but not impossible.)

PeterG - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 03:46 PM EDT (#326853) #
It's quite possible that Barney is defensively superior to Saunders. Barney can be below average and still substantially better.
uglyone - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 03:52 PM EDT (#326855) #
I would imagine Barney would end up being a very good defensive LF. No reason he shouldn't be.

And Saunders moving to DH fulltime is just as good as Bautista moving there. Both have been equally terrible in the field.

I'd imagine plugging LF with carrera/barney/pompey would give us more value than playing smoak everyday.

But who knows what they’re planning.
Mike Green - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 04:00 PM EDT (#326857) #
Kudos to Gibbons for creative thinking.  Smoak doesn't hit lefties well.  Saunders has been playing LF poorly (and has Tulo acting very unsure of himself on pops between them).  Travis is hot and Barney is hot.  Barney is also (as I have learned this year) a very gifted defensive player.  Gibbons' solution is elegant and inspired.

I'm not sure how long this will last.  Hell, if the club decided to promote Pompey along with Bautista,  and then platooned Pompey and Barney in LF and played Bautista in RF, Saunders at DH and Encarnacion at first base, it would work for me. Under this scheme, Smoak would be a late-inning defensive sub and give Saunders/Encarnacion occasional days off against RHPs.  Barney would also get occasional starts against RHP for Tulo, Travis and Donaldson.  Carrera give Bautista occasional days off and pinch-runs as needed.     
China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 04:19 PM EDT (#326858) #
Meanwhile, Russ Martin is out with a sauna-related injury.  "Light-headed in the sauna and fell in the shower," Gibby says.  This is almost as ridiculous as Pillar's sneeze-related injury of last season.
Nigel - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 04:49 PM EDT (#326859) #
The last few games really highlight that Smoak's only utility in the organization is as a LH pinch hitter. To be frank, once base running is taken into account, I'm not sure he's a better option than either Carerra or Pompey in that regard. Once you take into account that those two actually offer some defensive value then its no contest that Smoak really shouldn't be on the roster. His only real value is when the team loses all of Bautista, EE and Saunders. I view Smoak's signing as hugely ominous of the offseason to come. This is not a team that has historically just eaten $8M by punting a contract. Smoak has an extensive ML record of being a replacement or marginally better than replacement level player - I do not believe you could trade the contract. Without the extension, you could make a very good case for DFA'ing Smoak when Bautista returns.
Four Seamer - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 04:51 PM EDT (#326861) #

"Light-headed in the sauna and fell in the shower," Gibby says. 

In the Age of Trump, I suppose anything is possible, but I'd wager quite a bit that this is not quite the whole story.

China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 05:05 PM EDT (#326862) #
One of the MLB.com reporters has just tweeted this explanation for tonight's lineup:  "Gibbons wanted to get Barney's bat in the lineup."

So apparently it's confirmed:  Barney is now seen as a better hitter than Smoak (against LHP anyway).
Chuck - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 05:23 PM EDT (#326864) #
Light-headed in the sauna and fell in the shower

And then I had a dream about spiders.

PeterG - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 05:56 PM EDT (#326865) #
anyone at the game notice if Martin is on field warming up or in clubhouse?
Cracka - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 06:04 PM EDT (#326866) #
Very happy to see Morales added to the roster -- I don't know if he's better than our current LH options in Buffalo (Loup, Girodo, Venditte), but he certainly has more experience and it would be a shame to cut him loose before giving him a honest chance to contribute to a playoff run. Like Grilli, he could be a pleasant veteran surprise to our otherwise disappointing bullpen.

Mike Green - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 07:01 PM EDT (#326868) #
I wonder who is the emergency catcher tonight. Donaldson is the only one with any experience, but my guess would be Darwin Barney!
greenfrog - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 07:12 PM EDT (#326872) #
The last few games really highlight that Smoak's only utility in the organization is as a LH pinch hitter

Smoak has a wRC+ of 124 in July and 102 overall (114 versus RHP). Combined with adequate defense at first base, that's a useful player on this roster, especially for $3.9m.
Magpie - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 07:40 PM EDT (#326873) #
Safe. Really nice play by Barney in LF, though.
China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 07:47 PM EDT (#326874) #
That was a helluva throw by Barney.  He unloaded it so fast.  The Jays lost the review, but Barney almost got his first outfield assist -- in just his 11th inning as an outfielder.
Magpie - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 08:46 PM EDT (#326875) #
That has to be all for Estrada, but who gets the seventh?
Ishai - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 09:02 PM EDT (#326876) #
Estrada's flyball tendencies are so pronounced it makes sense to play our strongest defensive outfield for his starts. Which may include an infielder.
hypobole - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 09:07 PM EDT (#326877) #
No Jay has a higher OBP than Thole thus far this evening.
ISLAND BOY - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 09:31 PM EDT (#326878) #
Too bad he can't run faster though.
SK in NJ - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 09:51 PM EDT (#326879) #
The 2-1 call on Saunders changed the AB and the game. Brutal.

It's baffling how baseball is taking about implementing changes to "improve the game", but the one thing that could actually make the game better and more accurate (robo umps) will never be considered.
China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 09:52 PM EDT (#326880) #
On the positive side, it was a nice day for the Jays bullpen today, and it's good to see Biagini regaining his sharpness of earlier in the season.  The bullpen will be a lot stronger if the Jays can get good performances from Biagini, Cecil and Schultz, as they did today.

It was rather surprising that the game remained close to the end of the 9th inning, with Paxton being so overwhelmingly dominant and Estrada visibly struggling.

Poor calls by the home-plate umpire did not help.
Mike Green - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 09:52 PM EDT (#326881) #
Great. Another "0% call strike" strike.  This time with a 2-1 count, runners on 1st and 2nd in the bottom of the ninth with the home team down 2-1.  That doesn't happen often.

One run loss with the umpire getting a share of the credit.

China fan - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 09:58 PM EDT (#326882) #
Donaldson was rightly complaining about the dubious strike calls against him too.

But you have to give credit to the Seattle pitchers tonight, especially Paxton (who was almost untouchable) and Diaz.   Only Cishek seemed mortal, and the Jays couldn't capitalize.

BlueJayWay - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 10:14 PM EDT (#326883) #
I will once again implore the Jays to stay away from one run games. How about it, Jays? Please?

On the good front, the Twins hang on to beat Boston.

BlueJayWay - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 10:27 PM EDT (#326884) #
Here's another interesting nugget: the Jays are 1-8 in the first home game back after a road trip.
ComebyDeanChance - Friday, July 22 2016 @ 10:50 PM EDT (#326885) #
Estrada had a good start overall. I'd appreciate if there was some nuance on the 2 strike shift, but I'm guessing that's not going to happen.

The Blue Jays continue to do poorly against left-handed starters and continue the Gibbons run in one-run games. Not a lot new there.



eudaimon - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 12:08 AM EDT (#326887) #
The ump was all over the place tonight. I didn't see the whole game, but Estrada (I think) got one call his way that was clearly a ball. That was the first pitch though. The call against Saunders was much worse because of the context and count. Not to mention the fact that it really messes with the hitters conception of the strike zone when they can't assume balls will be called balls.
Chuck - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 08:23 AM EDT (#326888) #
Anyone else a little surprised that Smoak didn't pinch-hit for Barney (setting aside the issue of who would play where should the Jays have tied it; Saunders could always have moved from DH to LF)? Not surprisingly, the side-winding Cishek has a big platoon split.
Chuck - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 08:32 AM EDT (#326889) #
Oh, and with regards to Mike Everitt, the home plate umpire, I am generally reluctant to connect the dots when I know that somebody else's motives are usually unknowable. But against my better judgement, my temptation is to see the blown Saunders call as an FU to the Jays for their earlier gripes (about equally terrible calls). Everitt seemed especially ornery last night. Donaldson would have been well advised to pull the thorn from Everitt's paw.
pubster - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 08:49 AM EDT (#326890) #
BlueJayWay would you rather the Jay's have lost by 4 runs yesterday?

We obviously want the Jays to win every game but if they are going to lose wouldn't you prefer they lose by just one run?
pooks137 - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 09:01 AM EDT (#326891) #
Anyone else a little surprised that Smoak didn't pinch-hit for Barney (setting aside the issue of who would play where should the Jays have tied it; Saunders could always have moved from DH to LF)? Not surprisingly, the side-winding Cishek has a big platoon split.

Isn't Barney the emergency catcher? I'm pretty sure Gibbons said that Donaldson would never play another inning at catcher again. Maybe Gibby didn't want to burn Barney with Martin unplayable

BlueJayWay - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 09:30 AM EDT (#326892) #
BlueJayWay would you rather the Jay's have lost by 4 runs yesterday?

We obviously want the Jays to win every game but if they are going to lose wouldn't you prefer they lose by just one run?


Me personally? I'd rather them lose a game by 4 runs. Then I don't think, gee, if only that one little tiny thing had gone differently, they might have won. A garden variety 6-2 loss is just like okay, you lost, you move on. That's just me though.

It's when they lose every single one run game they find themselves in that drives me crazy. It shouldn't happen. They're supposed to be close to being pretty random (if anything, a good team like the Jays are is usually a bit better than .500 in them) so if you lose a lot more of them than you win, it feels like you're getting jobbed by the gods of baseball or whatever and your record should be better than it is.




Chuck - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 10:21 AM EDT (#326893) #
Isn't Barney the emergency catcher?

Good point. That may well have been a factor.

Chuck - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 10:39 AM EDT (#326894) #
If Martin figures to be hobbled for a few days, it would sure be nice to have another catcher up, even at the expense of reliever #8.
92-93 - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 11:18 AM EDT (#326895) #
When your starting C is injured, an 8 man bullpen fresh off the all star break and TWO off days in a week is absolutely ridiculous.
pubster - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 11:36 AM EDT (#326896) #
BlueJayWay, about 40% of Jay's losses have been by 1 run. The Orioles and sox are at about 20%.

The Jay's just seem to do a better job of hanging around it seems like. I think ultimately it's a good thing to be honest.
Mike Green - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 11:40 AM EDT (#326897) #
I agree that an 8 man pen is a bad idea.

I believe that Martin will be back on Sunday and that it amounts to just a couple of days off probably as much for his neck as his knee.
eudaimon - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 01:41 PM EDT (#326899) #
I may be wrong, but I think good teams actually tend to lose more 1-run games because they're always close. That being said, the Blue Jays have still been unusually bad at one-run games. I tend to think it's bad luck, but there are other theories. A better bullpen might help.
uglyone - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 02:42 PM EDT (#326900) #
Dickey: 6.0ip/gs, 103era-, 124fip-, 111xfip-, 0.9awar/32gs

don't think this is worth the price of carrying Thole.
Glevin - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 02:53 PM EDT (#326901) #
"Dickey: 6.0ip/gs, 103era-, 124fip-, 111xfip-, 0.9awar/32gs

don't think this is worth the price of carrying Thole."

And get who? Thole is a -0.2 WAR backup catcher and when you factor in that he is catching a knuckles, he's probably a zero war player. This is fine and hardly a major problem especially at a low salary. Would you rather pay $4m a year to Navarro for the same level of futility? The problem that Jays have had this year is not Thole's -.2 WAR, it's Martin's 0.1 WAR.
eudaimon - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 03:56 PM EDT (#326902) #
This is a great time for a Storen appearance.

Maybe we can finally DFA the guy now.

uglyone - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 04:20 PM EDT (#326903) #
most crap hitting backup Cs are defensive wizards.

thole is no defensive wizard.
Chuck - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 05:04 PM EDT (#326904) #
Maybe we can finally DFA the guy now.

Yep. I wouldn't think Storen would be long for this team now. That may have been the final coffin nail.

SK in NJ - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 05:30 PM EDT (#326905) #
Martin has a 0.1 WAR and Thole is at -0.2 (prior to today). Thole has definitely been a problem, now and for years, but if Martin was on the verge of another 3-4 WAR season (and/or Dickey was even close to what he was in 2012), then it would be less noticeable. The Jays are getting replacement level performance out of catcher this season, and it's hard to really blame Thole when Martin's the one playing the most. The latter might be a reason for his struggles, as Thole can only play once every 5 days, and Martin is getting up in age.

What the Jays need is a replacement level or better back-up that can catch a couple of times a week so that Martin could rest more. Thole is not that guy. Even a Tyler Flowers type (who was available for about $2M this winter) would have been a nice upgrade. The answer is, either play Thole more and live with the consequences, or get another back-up catcher. Martin playing 4 of every 5 games, Dickey being average at best, and Thole being below replacement is not working this season.

Dickey is what he is. When his knuckler isn't working, he throws BP. This was one of those games. I won't miss him when he's gone, but he's pretty much doing what he's done since being acquired, which still has value.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:27 PM EDT (#326906) #
I heard on the radio that the Jays had asked Philly about Chooch.
Spifficus - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:30 PM EDT (#326907) #
Yeah, at this point, Storen's only use to the team is as payroll ballast in a trade.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:31 PM EDT (#326908) #
Morosi tweeting that Sale has been scratched from his start and doesn't appear to be injured.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:33 PM EDT (#326909) #
Well that's that. Olney says the Red Sox have obtained Sale for Betts and Moncado.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:36 PM EDT (#326910) #
Rosenthal says Betts not in the deal.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:41 PM EDT (#326911) #
Moncada, Kopech, Owens, and 2 PTBNL. One of the P's has to be Jason Groome. Nice haul for the WS, great pick up for the RS. Chris Sale under team control for next three years.
Spifficus - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:46 PM EDT (#326912) #
CBDC, are you trolling, or are those guys uncharacteristically not mentioning it on twitter (instead talking about Sale being involved in a non-physical clubhouse incident)?
greenfrog - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:47 PM EDT (#326913) #
Ken Rosenthal
@Ken_Rosenthal
1m
Source: Sale has NOT been traded.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:53 PM EDT (#326914) #
Yeah, I'm spending my weekend in my 60's trolling some guys I don't know on the internet.

I got fooled reading #White Sox hashtag by some stupid fake Rosenthal account.
Spifficus - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:57 PM EDT (#326915) #
As a side note, Groome can't be included - as part of the 'Trea Turner Rule' players can't be used as PTBNL in the summer they're drafted. After the World Series, though, it's wide open - no PTBNL required.
Spifficus - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 06:59 PM EDT (#326916) #
The trolling was a joke - once I ruminated on it a moment, I figured you were led astray by the sorry state of modern radio.
uglyone - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 07:19 PM EDT (#326917) #
Martin struggling has nothing to do with Thole being useless.

If anything, the fact that good players can struggle emphasizes not carrying deadweight on the bench.

And we know Martin has recovered from his horrendous first month and a half (35gms, 12wrc+, -1.1war) and has been back to normal the last 2 months (46gms, 122wrc+, +1.2war).

but again, that has nothing to do with us paying $14m for a replacement level #5SP/BC battery.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 07:48 PM EDT (#326918) #
Maybe we can have Thole pitch and Dickey catch. Or they can stretch Ryan Goins out in Buffalo.
uglyone - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 08:15 PM EDT (#326919) #
Thole career as a Blue Jay:

433pa, 47ops+, 47wrc+, -0.9fwar, -2.2bwar, -2.3awar/650pa
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 08:37 PM EDT (#326920) #
As a side note, Groome can't be included - as part of the 'Trea Turner Rule' players can't be used as PTBNL in the summer they're drafted. After the World Series, though, it's wide open - no PTBNL required.

Thanks, I didn't know that.
Spifficus - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 09:08 PM EDT (#326921) #
Yeah, I much prefer the new rule than the shell game that went on with draft picks before. This way, their player development path isn't being decided by an organization that isn't theirs. Imagine if Turner had been injured while at SD. In the spurious deal, the PTBNLs would more likely have been a choice of one from a list, or someone on the DL (such as Swihart).
Vulg - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 10:26 PM EDT (#326922) #
Apparently, Sale was scratched because he took a KNIFE to the throwback jerseys the White Sox were supposed to wear tonight. He did this after 'management' insisted the uniform be worn despite Sale's objection that they were uncomfortable.

Source: http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/report-chris-sale-incident-throwback-jerseys/

Best part of the tweet stream IMO: "Finally, told Sale used a knife to do whatever cutting he did of uniforms. Which really shouldn't add to the story but somehow does."
SK in NJ - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 11:08 PM EDT (#326923) #
Thole is bad regardless of what Martin is doing, but the point is if Martin was playing like he did last season, it wouldn't be as big of an issue because back-up catchers usually aren't good to begin with. Navarro was basically replacement level last season (and one of the worst pitch framers in the league like he normally is) but it was barely noticeable because Martin was playing like a star.

I'm not defending Thole, as I think he'd be out of the league entirely if it wasn't for Dickey and I'd much rather have a back-up that can at least do one thing well, but Martin's struggles are a much bigger problem. Even with his recent good play he's still been replacement level for the season and his defense has regressed. Could be injury related, though, at least some of it.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 11:42 PM EDT (#326924) #
Red Sox scored 9 against the Twins tonight but Carl Crawford couldn't get the win. I'll be at Fenway Wednesday for what should be his next start. Be interesting to hear the fans. At least we don't have Dickey for another 6 years.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 11:44 PM EDT (#326925) #
Red Sox scored 9 against the Twins tonight but the pitcher Red Sox fans now call 'Carl Crawford' was unable to get a win. I'll be at Fenway Wednesday for what should be his next start. He leads the majors in hits allowed. Be interesting to hear the fans. At least we don't have Dickey for another 6 wildly expensive years.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, July 23 2016 @ 11:46 PM EDT (#326926) #
Oops. Sorry for the double.
Cracka - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 12:37 AM EDT (#326927) #
A couple of 40-man roster moves made after the game: Gavin Floyd moved to 60-day DL and Chris Colabello was DFA'ed, although there are conflicting/confusing reports about whether he'll stay on the 40 man roster or not.

This opens up one or two spots -- one of which may go to a 3rd catcher (Tony Sanchez) depending on Martin's status for tomorrow. It could also create an opening for Danny Barnes, who is certainly an intriguing option to add to the bullpen, given his ridiculously awesome performance so far in AA/AAA this season.
dan gordon - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 01:42 AM EDT (#326928) #
Colabello wasn't DFA'd in the usual sense of the term. He was reinstated from the restricted list and designated off the 25 man roster. He remains on the 40 man roster and will stay in Buffalo for the time being, to get playing time. Gibbons said "he's got to play in competition".

I'd like to see Barnes get the call, with the spot opened up by moving Floyd to the 60 man. He wasn't on the radar at the start of the season, but he's been insanely good in both AA and AAA.
greenfrog - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 07:43 AM EDT (#326929) #
Price's 2016 fWAR is still higher than Aaron Sanchez's, so I'd say he's having a good year, despite some tough starts. However, the drop in average velocity and the spike in some of his advanced stats (LD%, Hard%) does raise some concern, especially since he's in the first year of his contract.
BlueJayWay - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 07:45 AM EDT (#326930) #
Red Sox scored 9 against the Twins tonight but the pitcher Red Sox fans now call 'Carl Crawford' was unable to get a win.

Ouch, haha.

I was just hoping the Twins wouldn't get swept in that 4 gamer. They've won 2 of the first 3 so they've already overachieved. Baltimore keeps dominating at home.

Jays could use a win today.
grjas - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 09:42 AM EDT (#326931) #
Price's 2016 fWAR is still higher than Aaron Sanchez's, so I'd say he's having a good year, despite some tough starts.

Because fWar ignores hits other than home runs. He's up almost 2 hits per 9 over his career average so I have trouble believing it's just bad luck or home field impact. And I certainly wouldn't classify this as a good year for a $30mm pitcher, regardless of fWar.

First class guy though so it's hard to cheer against him. But then again, he's a Red Sox.
uglyone - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 09:55 AM EDT (#326932) #
he's got by far the highest babip and lowest strand rate of his career. it's never a certainty that era will regress towards fip but it usually does.

APR: 5.76era
MAY: 4.62
JUN: 4.08
JUL: 3.62
Thomas - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 10:39 AM EDT (#326934) #
And there goes Drew Storen, quietly into the night.

He's been DFA'd and Tepera has been recalled.
uglyone - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 10:41 AM EDT (#326936) #
disappointing but had to be done. he left them no choice.

glad they were willing to cut their losses instead of trying to save face.
eudaimon - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 11:02 AM EDT (#326937) #
Thanks goodness. At this point even Tepera has to be an upgrade on Storen.
Magpie - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 11:07 AM EDT (#326938) #
There's one of those trades that made sense for both teams and didn't work out for anyone.
Spifficus - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 11:08 AM EDT (#326939) #
Yeah, it was definitely a mutual case of "It seemed like a good idea at the time..."
China fan - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 11:29 AM EDT (#326940) #
Incidentally, the dumping of Storen leaves an open spot on the 40-man roster, with lots of trade rumors zooming around.  The Jays are probably targeting a starter or a reliever (depending on their calculation of when Sanchez will transition to the bullpen).
grjas - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 11:30 AM EDT (#326941) #
he's got by far the highest babip and lowest strand rate

Yup. Always an interesting debate on babip. Is it all luck or defense related, or are balls being hit harder, less spin off the bat etc.? Time will tell I guess whether it's just an anomaly or the beginning of a decline.

Pity re Storen but understandable. I hope Cecil can turn it around as It's sure tough for Gibbons to know what card to play.
PeterG - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 11:37 AM EDT (#326942) #
I doubt that Jays will trade any prospects unless like Ratcliffe in Grilli deal. I think it is just as likely if not more that JBO or Saunders goes to Astros for a couple of their prospects. I am not predicting this, so don't jump all over me but I do think something like this is being discussed at the highest levels as the only really concrete rumours of Jays scouting has been their tour of Houston system.

Most likely, there may be a couple of minor deals like the Grilli one.

And put me down as agreeing with Pat Hentgen that Sanchez should not be moved to pen. Either keep him in rotation or shut him down completely as Nats did with Strasburg.
Mike Green - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 12:09 PM EDT (#326943) #
Thole starts again today against the lefty. The decision to go with an 8 man pen this weekend does not look good at all.
PeterG - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 12:15 PM EDT (#326944) #
A J Jiminez is back from DL and playing again in Buffalo. He had 3 hits last night. I imagine he is ready and would be added to 40 man if needed. He is going to need to be added in September anyway. He is far in advance of Tony Sanchez imo.
bpoz - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 12:53 PM EDT (#326945) #
We are in a very strong playoff position. So the cautiously "go for it" mentality would be strong.
After all Shatkins jobs are safe for now because they are new. In 4 or 5+ years results will carry more weight.
BlueJayWay - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 04:28 PM EDT (#326946) #
Cleveland gets swept in Baltimore. Orioles are 36-14 at home.
Chuck - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 04:34 PM EDT (#326947) #
Presumably motivated by masochism, I find myself listening to Wilner's show for the first time this year. The callers are killing me. One guy proposes trading Dickey, Thole and Storen for a top flight starter. Another guy proposes trading soon-to-be FA's Bautista, Dickey and Thole for Sale.

I'm hoping none of them are operating heavy machinery.

BlueJayWay - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 04:41 PM EDT (#326948) #
Not even a particularly stupid batch today, I thought. Sometimes it's worse.
Dave Till - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 05:37 PM EDT (#326949) #
I've never listened to Mike Wilner's postgame show. I do not wish to lose all hope for humanity.

Drew Storen reminds me a lot of Bill Caudill. (Yes, I am old enough to remember Bill Caudill.) Both are or were highly-touted relief pitchers who somehow lost their best stuff upon arrival in Toronto.

I never thought I'd say this, but after a weekend of Matt Devlin as the Blue Jays' announcer, I actually started to miss Buck Martinez. Devlin's seriousness and intensity works okay in basketball, where plays happen quickly and dramatically, but is totally ill-suited to baseball. Thankfully, I have MLB.TV, so I switched to the Mariners' feed. The Seattle broadcasters hardly talk at all, which was a blessed relief.

Chuck - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 06:07 PM EDT (#326950) #
I do not wish to lose all hope for humanity.

Then I'm guessing you took a pass on the RNC last week.

Devlin's seriousness and intensity works okay in basketball, where plays happen quickly and dramatically, but is totally ill-suited to baseball.

I praised Devlin as a fine substitute for Martinez last year, but I now find myself much less impressed and agree with Dave that his high energy broadcast style is inappropriate for baseball. Still, he's not so bad that I'd pine for Buck.

Chuck - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 06:13 PM EDT (#326951) #
Did you know that Mike Piazza led the NL in putouts on 4 occasions? Did you even care? Apparently the guys who do the HoF plaques thought this worth noting for posterity. Dad, what does that even mean?

Was anyone else surprised to see that of Griffey and Piazza, the latter is the one with the narrower shoulders and the more slender physique? Piazza doesn't look like an ex-catcher at all. I'm sure this has not gone unnoticed by one particularly obsessive member of the BBWAA.

China fan - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 06:30 PM EDT (#326952) #
I've been critical of the Jays bullpen this season, but the Seattle series was actually a good series for the Jays bullpen (aside from Chavez and the now-departed Storen).  Cecil is looking better, Schultz and Biagini seem to be improving, and even Morales offered some hope for the future.  And of course Osuna and Grilli remain excellent.  In his 15.2 innings for the Jays this year, Grilli has 25 strikeouts and has allowed only 10 hits (along with 7 walks).  If Cecil is returning to form, the Jays have the 7th, 8th and 9th innings covered, and they can cobble together the other innings from the other guys.

Chavez remains the puzzle.  Does he become the mop-up guy now?

92-93 - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 07:30 PM EDT (#326953) #
David Price: 135.2ip 4.55era
RA Dickey: 125.2ip, 4.44era

92-93 - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 07:34 PM EDT (#326954) #
It's really hard for me to understand how somebody could prefer Saturday afternoon's loss to Friday night's. Personally I enjoy one run games regardless of the outcome, because it means I got to watch 9 highly entertaining innings of Jays baseball.
Magpie - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 08:27 PM EDT (#326955) #
Griffey and Piazza

You sure have to like the symmetry of the highest draft pick ever selected for the Hall (Griffey, 1st overall in 1987) going into the HoF along with the lowest draft pick ever honoured (Piazza, 1390th in 1988.)
grjas - Sunday, July 24 2016 @ 08:45 PM EDT (#326956) #
That is interesting Magpie. It's particularly amazing that Griffey is the first number 1 pick to make the HoF.
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:22 AM EDT (#326959) #
Price: 4.58ra9
Dickey: 5.09ra9
Magpie - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:03 AM EDT (#326960) #
It's particularly amazing that Griffey is the first number 1 pick to make the HoF.

Yup, first overall from 1965 through 1986 produced no Hall of Famers, although I suppose Harold Baines still has a chance of getting in someday. Chipper Jones is obviously going in on the first ballot so Junior won't be the only first overall pick in the Hall for long. I expect A-Rod to get the Bonds snub for a while, and we'll see what history ends up thinking of Adrian Gonzalez and Joe Mauer. Both of those guys could still pad their resumes a bit. Price, Strasburg, Harper, Correa - they all appear to be on a HoF course. But so were Jeff Burroughs, Bob Horner, and Darrell Strawberry at one point. Youneverknow.
85bluejay - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 08:29 AM EDT (#326961) #
For a team that is right handed heavy, the Jays have a devil of a time with lefties.Any theories?
CeeBee - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 09:30 AM EDT (#326962) #
Must be something in the water.
BlueJayWay - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 10:03 AM EDT (#326963) #
It's the lefthanded starters particularly that they haven't hit.
Mike Green - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 10:37 AM EDT (#326964) #
In the midst of a deadline deal discussion last week, I asserted that the club was likely to have considerable pitching needs for next year.  I realized that I had forgotten about Biagini and Schultz. With Stroman, Sanchez, Estrada, Happ, Hutchison, Osuna, Grilli, Schultz, Barnes, Tepera and (perhaps) Loup at the major league level and Biagini in triple A at the start of the season resuming his career as a starter, the pitching staff probably needs only one more LH arm for the pen (regardless whether Hutchison or Osuna starts). 
92-93 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 10:42 AM EDT (#326965) #
I ask this honestly - is RA9 another fancy stat that doesn't actually show what happened when the pitcher is on the field, and tries to approximate his runs allowed by neutralizing defense and parks?
Mike Green - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 11:37 AM EDT (#326967) #
No, 92-93, runs allowed per 9 innings describes almost exactly what occurred on the field when a pitcher was on the mound.  I say "almost exactly" because neither RA nor ERA attempts to attribute runners left on base for succeeding pitchers depending on the base/out situation. 

The difficulty with ERA for a knuckleballer (whether it is Steven Wright or R.A. Dickey) is the passed ball/wild pitch judgment becomes very important.  The reality is that passed balls are just part of the package when it comes to having a knuckleballer and the artificial separation in runs that ensue from passed balls and wild pitches leads to an over-valuing of a knuckleballer's work.  Incidentally, Ryan Hanigan has played in 26 games with a 26 OPS+ and a league-leading 18 passed balls.  Josh Thole has played in 36 games with a 27 OPS+ and 14 passed balls.  It's a tough gig and it takes its toll offensively.

uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 11:39 AM EDT (#326968) #
ERA is a fancier stat than ra9.

uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 11:43 AM EDT (#326969) #
The irony of mocking fancy stats is that its ERA itself that "doesn't actually show what happened when the pitcher is on the field, and tries to approximate his runs allowed by neutralizing defense".

ra9 shows exactly what happened on the field, and doesn't try to neutralize defense to approximate runs allowed like ERA does.
dalimon5 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:08 PM EDT (#326971) #
Chapman to Cubs on the verge with Glibber Torres, Adam Warren, Billy McKinney and an as yet named 4th player.

That is steep. It's clearly a sellers market and I fully expect Tampa to follow NYY and unload any of their talent that can net them 2 top 50 prospects + like the Yankees and Padres have done.
85bluejay - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:09 PM EDT (#326972) #
Got to hand it to the Yankees, their gamble on Chapman has paid off well - that's a high price the Cubs are paying for a rental - I am happy with Shapkins so far but I think AA would have taken the Chapman gamble and put up with the PR fallout last winter - The Reds should have really held on to him for this opportunity.
eudaimon - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:18 PM EDT (#326973) #
RA/9 is pretty straighforward but I know what he means. FIP and FIPx for example have their value, but some pitchers consistent over or under perform according to these metrics. Yet some websites (I've noticed fangraphs does this) calculate WAR using FIP and FIPx and not ERA. ERA isn't perfect either, but in trying to "neutralize" luck these stats consistent undervalue or overvalue certain pitchers.

Here's a pertinent example. Marco Estrada, who has undoubtably been one of the best pitchers in the AL thus far in 2016 has a WAR of 2.0 (ERA 2.94, FIP 4.08, FIPx 4.55).
David Price, who has rather unspectacular results on the other hand has a WAR of 2.9 (ERA 4.51, FIP 3.35, FIPx 3.25).

Of course, the assumption FIP makes is that the differing ERAs are due to luck. Marco's getting lucky, Price unlucky. However, it ignores the fact that Marco has significant outperformed his FIP for three years now, and has objectively pitched better than Price this season (even if he is probably getting a bit unlucky).

hypobole - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:21 PM EDT (#326974) #
I've been waiting for someone to mention Happ's game yesterday. He had his usual "seeming on the verge of implosion" start, but the final line of one-hit shutout ball was rather impressive and a much needed boost for a team that could easily have been swept this weekend.

J. A. Happ AL rank
ERA (qualified only) - 10th
IP - 17th
fWAR - 19th

One real change in Pittsburg was a much tighter release point. Does anyone know if he's maintained it?

uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:23 PM EDT (#326976) #
jays could have matched that offer quite comfortably imo.
greenfrog - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:30 PM EDT (#326977) #
The Yankees might also end up with Chapman as a "PTBNL", if he signs with them in the off-season.
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:31 PM EDT (#326978) #
"Yet some websites (I've noticed fangraphs does this) calculate WAR using FIP and FIPx and not ERA. "

yeah, fangraphs uses FIP, baseball reference uses ra9+defensive adjustments.

thing is, fangraphs has acknowledged the weakness of fip and are sticking to that metric simply because they don't want to harm the growth of analytics in the baseball mainstream by adding more and more variations of WAR.

hidden away on their website, however, you can find pure ra9 war, which is the starting point that even B/R uses before adeing defensive adjustments....and an actual admission by fangraphs that they recognize "true" war lies somewhere in between ra9war and fipwar, and that these represent boundaries more than good values by themselves.

That's why when i look at pitcher's war I average out the fwar and ra9war everytime and use that instead.

they also have that 50/50 split war hidden on their website too.
eudaimon - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:33 PM EDT (#326979) #
Makes sense. I was thinking a 50/50 WAR, based half on FIP and half on ERA or RA/9 would work well enough. Luck after all is definitely part of the game.
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:47 PM EDT (#326980) #
yep. though note that nobody uses ERA for war - because errors are not a good way to judge defensive impact.

ra9 counts everything and ignores defense altogether.
fip ignores balls in play thus ignores defense altogether.

bwar uses defensive metrics to adjust ra9war.

i'd use bwar more but i find it annoying that I can't split it up between starter and reliever performance.
Hodgie - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 12:47 PM EDT (#326981) #
"Got to hand it to the Yankees, their gamble on Chapman has paid off well"

I suppose if an organization profiting off of human garbage and another organization's moral deficiency is something to applaud, then sure, good job Yankees. May you and the Cubbies get everything you deserve.

pooks137 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:06 PM EDT (#326982) #

jays could have matched that offer quite comfortably imo.

Considering the Jays don't have any Top 25 prospects at the moment, I really don't think they could. Quantity doesn't necessarily beat quality, and the Cubs still gave up a lot of quantity

I guess the closest Jays equivalent to Torres would be Richard Urena, whom isn't regarded at the same echelon. And Rowdy Tellez might be our best position player prospect, but in terms of trade value he's probably more equivalent to Dan Vogelbach in the Mariners swap for Mike Montgomery

uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:15 PM EDT (#326983) #
I'd say Pompey + Urena is the sams value or better.
92-93 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:25 PM EDT (#326985) #
When Estrada has a runner on 3rd with less than 2 outs, I feel confident he can induce what he needs (K, weak FB) to get himself out of trouble; I guess the ability to do so would reflect itself as "out-performing".
pooks137 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:28 PM EDT (#326986) #

I'd say Pompey + Urena is the sams value or better.

And that's your opinion, while mine is different (and worth about the same). But I'm pretty sure most prospect evaluators and the Yankees front office wouldn't agree

I like Pompey and hope he fills a big role next year with budget constraints and FAs leaving. But I think at this point, his trade value outside of Jays fandom is probably closer to Anthony Gose than Top 25 prospect, especially if he doesn't break out pronto by ST next year.

jerjapan - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:35 PM EDT (#326987) #
I suppose if an organization profiting off of human garbage and another organization's moral deficiency is something to applaud, then sure, good job Yankees. May you and the Cubbies get everything you deserve.

Such a tough question though isn't it?  It certainly seems like Chapman acted terribly, but he's served his time by MLB, and the police decided not to prosecute.  How do you determine which players are 'human garbage'?  Jose Reyes lost millions of dollars, lost his job, publicly apologized and claims to be trying to be a better man and a better husband - his wife remains with him.  Is he 'human garbage'? 

Roger Goodell? 

Michael Jordan and Pete Rose were big time gamblers - human garbage? 

Clemmens?  Bonds?  Clay Bucholz supports Donald Trump - does that count?  Obviously this is a totally different degree of problem, but where do you draw the line?  Was AA culpable in signing Melky?  Or is that just good business? 

I don't know the answers, but the media's rush to condemn players who are guilty of domestic abuse and yet silence on issues like the exploitation of young athletes, be they unpaid college players or underpaid minor leaguers, seems incomplete to me.  Not to mention issues of race within the game's hiring policies, expectations for Latino players, etc.  The sport, for better and for worse, reflects our society. 
Spifficus - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:49 PM EDT (#326989) #
The Chapman of today and the Chapman of last December are two different things. The Cubs paid a hefty price for someone who has been punished under MLBs domestic violence policy and paid their price. The Yankees chose to play the potential of domestic violence as an opportunity, viewing it as merely an On Sale sticker. There was no gamble on their part, and I'm not handing them anything.
christaylor - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:52 PM EDT (#326990) #
"Did you know that Mike Piazza led the NL in putouts on 4 occasions?"

Isn't this a knock against his D? Doesn't a C get credit for a PO after a dropped 3rd strike?
dalimon5 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:53 PM EDT (#326991) #
"Clemmens? Bonds? Clay Bucholz supports Donald Trump - does that count? Obviously this is a totally different degree of problem, but where do you draw the line? ...I don't know the answers, but the media's rush to condemn players who are guilty of domestic abuse and yet silence on issues like the exploitation of young athletes, be they unpaid college players or underpaid minor leaguers, seems incomplete to me. Not to mention issues of race within the game's hiring policies, expectations for Latino players, etc. The sport, for better and for worse, reflects our society. "

Where do you draw the line? You don't congratulate other posters and chastise them for praising a baseball team for making a good baseball decision. Hoagie comes off as naive and short sighted imho.
christaylor - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 01:54 PM EDT (#326992) #
Apparently not -- just looked up the rule. PO what a weird stat. The more you know I guess.
Dr. Zarco - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:02 PM EDT (#326993) #
I would suggest staying away from politics entirely. Not the value of acquiring a player who has a sketchy background, that is certainly fair game. But linking that to someone who supports Trump (or Clinton or Sanders) is not only an absurd association, it is also just unwise, as it will probably anger about half of any given group of people. Including this one. There are many people on here who regularly chime in about something political and I personally do not really want to have those issues get in the way (negatively or positively) of the tremendous respect I have for many posters here for their baseball knowledge that far exceeds mine.
Hodgie - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:04 PM EDT (#326994) #
"Where do you draw the line? You don't congratulate other posters and chastise them for praising a baseball team for making a good baseball decision. Hoagie comes off as naive and short sighted imho."

I am sorry, but where was another poster chastised dalimon5? Is there where you also tell me to 'stick to sports'? There are plenty of things I can be accused of in life, but naive and short sighted are not generally included. Especially so when it comes to the plague that is domestic violence and its rationalization and acceptance by the sporting public.

Mike Green - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:10 PM EDT (#326995) #
Clay Bucholz supports Donald Trump - does that count?

Nah, he's got an ERA over 6, so he's got to blame somebody.  The wall isn't helping him though.

Seriously, "human garbage" is not a term I would use for anybody, even someone I despise.  What should happen with a physically abusive person?  We live in a world of second chances, but the period of suspension for Chapman (30 games) was so short that it hardly registers.  It was the equivalent of a minor injury in terms of time lost.  This was not minor.  I understand that MLB had some legal issues in getting a suspension at all that would stand up to arbitration, but as fans we can all feel our distaste for the way this plays out.  I don't care that Chapman throws 105- I am glad that he ended up somewhere else. 
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:13 PM EDT (#326996) #
"I like Pompey and hope he fills a big role next year with budget constraints and FAs leaving. But I think at this point, his trade value outside of Jays fandom is probably closer to Anthony Gose than Top 25 prospect, especially if he doesn't break out pronto by ST next year."

Jays fans are funny. Scream bloody murder about trading prospects and then give up on them in a second. There's probably a good lesson in there as to what prospects are really worth.

Pompey was the #30 ranked prospect just last year. Since that ranking, he has demolished AA and been well above average at AAA and passable in MLB while age appropriate or younger for the levels. He wasn't ranked this year because he was 5 plate appearances past the rookie eligibility cutoff.

His statistical performance still ranks him as an excellent prospect (#34 overall), despite his loss of rookie eligibility: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/an-improved-katoh-top-100-list/. (Torres ranks #42, Urena #99, McKinney doesn't rank).

Scream bloody murder over trading prospects but give up on the ones we keep even when they are still performing better than most all of their peers. I wish this still surprised me but it doesn't.
Hodgie - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:21 PM EDT (#326997) #
"Seriously, "human garbage" is not a term I would use for anybody, even someone I despise."

That is fair Mike and your completely your prerogative. I do not share those qualms when it comes to describing those that brutalize women. Everything else you said I agree with completely.

jerjapan - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:24 PM EDT (#326998) #
I would suggest staying away from politics entirely.

No link between Chapman and Buckholtz intended - my point was to indicate the slippery slope of policing the behaviour of pro athletes, and to ask the question when do you draw the line?  To some - not me - support for Trump is considered a moral problem.  For some, the same goes for Hillary. 

These athletes - young men, sometimes raised in poverty -  are under such intense scrutiny, is it fair to expect them not to err? 

"The plague that is domestic violence" is a fair phrasing of the issue, and I'm also glad we didn't get Chapman.  But I'm also hoping the Reyes can rebuild his life as the good man I thought he was before his abuse came to light. 
PeterG - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:25 PM EDT (#326999) #
This was a huge overpayment by the Yanks. Unlike some of you, I would take advantage of this sellers market and trade one of our bats for similar prospects.

I think there is zero chance that Shapiro/Atkins follows the Cubs example and he shouldn't.
dalimon5 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:27 PM EDT (#327000) #
Hodgie,

You said "May you and the Cubbies" and I assumed you were referring to another poster by "you". I understand now, that you meant the Yankees by "you."

Also apologize for my autocorrect butchering your name.

By the way, alluding to qualities of your personal life doesn't change the perception of what you post, which is the only thing anyone can go off of.
PeterG - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:30 PM EDT (#327001) #
sorry. I meant huge overpayment by the Cubs in the above past.
CeeBee - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 02:35 PM EDT (#327002) #
To err is human.......
pooks137 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 03:03 PM EDT (#327003) #

Jays fans are funny. Scream bloody murder about trading prospects and then give up on them in a second. There's probably a good lesson in there as to what prospects are really worth.

I hope Pompey succeeds. But I see also personally believe that like all fanbases do with their own stock, the general Jays blogosphere overvalues his worth. A prospect's value depreciates quickly when he loses eligibility and doesn't succeed immediately. I could be wrong, but I think it's unrealistic to still lump him in with the most valuable commodities in baseball

Pompey hasn't shown to have health as a skill. He's been banged up a lot of late. His AAA stats are pedestrian. He did well at AA last year, but in a SSS of 31 games. He hasn't hit well in the majors. He's been passed over again and again by management when call-ups are needed. There are questions about his mental makeup. And he has very valuable skills like speed and defence, but questions about his hit tool and power. He could be a valuable player, possibly a better hitting Kevin Pillar, but I would say the chances that he is going to be a MLB star has diminished since spring 2015 and prospects are mostly valued on their ceilings.

Hodgie - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 03:05 PM EDT (#327004) #
"By the way, alluding to qualities of your personal life doesn't change the perception of what you post, which is the only thing anyone can go off of."

Which would be perfectly understandable if it was not your lack of comprehension with respect to my original comment that lead to your decision to impugn those same qualities. Nor does it actually explain what you believe my naivety to encompass, or how an abhorrence of domestic violence and its general acceptance in sport is short sighted.

Hoagie I at least found amusing. If that is the worst thing I am to be called this week it will have been a good week.

China fan - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 03:43 PM EDT (#327005) #
Bautista is back, and he's playing RF tonight.   I'm a little surprised, since I thought he might DH for a few games at the beginning of his return.  But I did expect that he'd play most of this season at RF, rather than 1B, and that seems to be the Jays thinking at this point.  When he's not in RF, he'll probably be sometimes at DH, but I don't see him transitioning to 1B in the near future.

Whether that's the right or wrong decision is a separate question.  But I don't think the Jays are inclined to shift Bautista out of the outfield to make room for Pompey (this year anyway).

Junior Lake has been DFA'd, since he can't be optioned.  I hope he passes through waivers -- he could be a useful piece for the Jays in the future.

uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 03:53 PM EDT (#327006) #
"the general Jays blogosphere overvalues his worth."

It's not the jays blogosphere that ranked him an elite prospect last year or in the link from today I just gave you.

"His AAA stats are pedestrian."

If his AAA stats are pedestrian, then so are Torreyes' near identical A+ stats.

but neither are. The only guy outhitting pompey in buffalo is Montero, and that's just barely - and people have wanted to callup Montero for his offense as a 1B fill in. And Pompey is the youngest on the team by years. That is not pedestrian.

"He hasn't hit well in the majors. "

Slightly below average hitter in hia first 150pa at ages 21-22 with plus defensive and baserunning making him a valuable player by any measure, is a good thing not a bad thing.

"He's been passed over again and again by management when call-ups are needed. "

The only time he's been passed over for an OF callup this year has been when he's been on the DL.
Mike Green - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 03:54 PM EDT (#327007) #
Russell Martin is also back in the lineup. 

I am hoping that they call Pompey up as soon as possible.  There is only a month left in the IL season.  Even if he is used as a pinch-runner and as a 4th outfielder, he has more value than Carrera (both defensively and on the bases).  The club needs every little push they can get now. 

Mike Green - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#327008) #
The only time he's been passed over for an OF callup this year has been when he's been on the DL.

UO, Pompey could have been up a long time ago if management wanted.  They did have an arguable service time reason for this decision until recently.  Not that I agree...
scottt - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:02 PM EDT (#327009) #
This is a great time for a Storen appearance.

Maybe we can finally DFA the guy now.


Great call there. That deserves a mention.
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:04 PM EDT (#327010) #
Travis in the 9 hole in pains me. That's pillar's and only pillar's spot.

Tonight marks the first time all year with our full starting lineup intact. In fact, it's the first time even all 3 of Bautista, Tulo, and Travis have been in the same lineup.

Now it gets interesting - they're still running a short bench, so who gets the call when they fill it out?

Goins?
Cola?
Pompey?
scottt - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:06 PM EDT (#327011) #
Yeah, I'm spending my weekend in my 60's trolling some guys I don't know on the internet.

LOL. Thank God I'm home alone.
dalimon5 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:09 PM EDT (#327012) #
Hodgie, you took a posters comment (85Bluejay) about a good baseball decision (in his opinion) and turned it into a political statement by making it seem that it could only be viewed as a good deal if you also accept that the Cubs are morally deficient for acquiring a player with a corrupt background.
Correct?

Since you're asking me, your naivety encompasses two things:

1) You make the claim that the sport of baseball accepts domestic abuse, which is clearly not the case. Because there are players that do it does not mean that baseball accepts it, to think so is naive.

2) Coming on here and championing a cause against players or teams that "profit" off of "human garbage" and domestic abuse screams naivety. You better be complaining about the gamblers, cheaters, tax evaders and players committing adultery...all of it is bad, and for you to make comments condemning one category of the whole thing is naive because if every morally compromised player with talent was condemned then there wouldn't be enough baseball players to play at this high a level and to think otherwise is naive.

Thats what your naivety encompasses. It's also why your views on domestic abuse specifically in baseball are short sighted. It's not your view against domestic abuse that's naive so much as your inability to to comprehend that it's just part of the game that needs to be monitored, punished and diminished as much as humanly possible, but not to the extent that teams shouldn't pursue players with the talent who have been reprimanded and punished already. The problem likely can't and won't be gotten rid of 100% because baseball is real life and real life has bright spots, grey spots and dark spots. To think otherwise is naive.

On a side note: Prejudice towards players for past mistakes, some can argue, belongs in the dark or grey spots.

Also: have you seen whats been happening around the world lately?
scottt - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:09 PM EDT (#327013) #
Oops. Sorry for the double.

Wait. There's a way to edit posts?
scottt - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:20 PM EDT (#327014) #
"Did you know that Mike Piazza led the NL in putouts on 4 occasions?"

Piazza's PO would have come mostly from catching strikeouts. Not quite sure what that tells me though.
grjas - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:20 PM EDT (#327015) #
Given the Jays strong playoff position, new management, a very solid team with only a few challenges, a thinner minor league talent pool than last year and a sellers market....what are your predictions for The FO before the trade deadline? Doubt anyone guessed last year's deadline accurately; what about this year?

My prediction is a back up catcher and a 7th inning guy to replace Storen and backstop Cecil. I think - and hope- they'll leave Sanchez where he is unless he breaks.
pooks137 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:21 PM EDT (#327016) #

It's not the jays blogosphere that ranked him an elite prospect last year or in the link from today I just gave you.

Pompey's stock 18 months ago was probably around where Torres' is now.

All this is moot since the Jays weren't in the market for Chapman and the Yankees probably wouldn't want to trade in the division anyway

But I'd still argue that the Jays don't have the horses to make a Chapman/Pomeranz calibre addition even if they wanted to if you look at market prices for prospect capital

It's pretty hard to argue in my mind that Pompey has done anything to even maintain his stock over the last 18 months. Probably his most impressive showing has been his playoff pinch-running last year. But the Terrance Gore types are awesome to have but don't have much trade value either.

Dave Till - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:21 PM EDT (#327017) #
If Pompey had been on a normal development path, this would be his AAA year. He's still only 22, and is young enough to get better. But who knows whether he will? Comparing to other outfielders who launched through the Jays' system:

- Lloyd Moseby made it to Toronto at the age of 20, and put together three mediocre years before leaping forward in a big way when he was 23.

- Vernon Wells shot up to the majors at 20, but had a tough speed bump year at 21 (batting .243 at AAA) and a sorta okay year at 22 before turning into a solid power hitter at 23.

- On the other hand, Travis Snider looked like a star at 20, but never put it together. (He is currently on Kansas City's AAA farm team, batting .248.)

So I guess we have no idea what Pompey will become. But it's too early to give up on him. I wouldn't bring him up now just to pinch-run and be a defensive reserve, but he would be a useful September callup.
grjas - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:26 PM EDT (#327018) #
Ps- if what you would do is different than what you predict management will do, feel free to throw it in.
scottt - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:30 PM EDT (#327019) #
Goins?
Cola?
Pompey?
I'd go with a third catcher but let's look at the choices you gave by OPS in Buffalo:

.575?
.543?
.750?
92-93 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:34 PM EDT (#327020) #
Assuming the regulars are healthy and 100% (other than Martin), you may see the 8 man bullpen stick around unfortunately, unless Colabello establishes he can at least mash LHP in Buffalo. It definitely should not be Goins, who would provide less value to Gibbons right now than having a 3rd C around if Russell Martin did indeed slip in the shower.
Glevin - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:39 PM EDT (#327021) #
Yankees overpaid massively for Chapman. It's a great year to be a seller. Red Sox also massively overpaid for Pomeranz. Torres was BA's #27 prospect and the Cubs threw in two more pieces with some value. The Jays, in order to match would have had to do something like SRF and then another top prospect for a few months of a closer.

Pompey still has value but it has definitely dropped over the last two years. The power he was hinting at earlier in his career has completely dried up and he is putting up worse numbers than he was two years ago. I think he has a high floor (very likely he can carve a career in the majors of some sort) and is still young enough where he can develop into something more. Don't see the Jays trading him though because he fills a real area of need long and even short-term.
pooks137 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:40 PM EDT (#327022) #

So I guess we have no idea what Pompey will become. But it's too early to give up on him. I wouldn't bring him up now just to pinch-run and be a defensive reserve, but he would be a useful September callup.

I'm certainly not ready to give up on Pompey. I think he's going to be really valuable to the team next year when we are out of money and don't re-sign most of our guys

But in my eyes, he's no longer an elite prospect in terms of trade value, especially in trading for all-star MLB talent. I think he's probably closer in value right now to Travis Snider/Anthony Gose (Brad Lincoln/Brett Wallace/Devon Travis) than Syndergaard/d'Arnaud/Hoffman/Norris (Price/Dickey/Tulowitzki)

Parker - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:49 PM EDT (#327023) #
I'm with Hodgie. Both Chapman and Reyes are human garbage.

Neither one faced criminal charges because the woman they beat the crap out of or threatened with guns either declined to press charges, or refused entirely to cooporate in the investigation.

Does anyone doubt the fact that if either one of these scumbags ended up in prison, their baby mamas would lose out on a much bigger chunk of half of the scumbag's earnings actually has anything to do with their decisions?
Parker - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 04:53 PM EDT (#327024) #
Also, is anyone comparing Gleyber Torres to Dalton Pompey?

I mean, really??
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 05:02 PM EDT (#327025) #
comparing the 30th ranked prospect last year to the 41st ranked prospect this year? why yes. yes I am.
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 05:06 PM EDT (#327026) #
I should amend - since travis was injured last year, this is the first time we've EVER had our intended starting lineup together.
Parker - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 05:13 PM EDT (#327027) #
ugly, are making the case that Pompey was an equivalent prospect last year to Torres this year?
Parker - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 05:15 PM EDT (#327028) #
Using the ranking system that coincidentally overrates Pompey and underrates Torres?

I mean, it's not like I'm surprised you'd try to make that argument. Just asking for clarification.
scottt - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 05:15 PM EDT (#327029) #
That would be great if Bautista was 100%, but he wasn't having a great year, missed lots of time and didn't do anything in his 3 games in Buffalo.
eudaimon - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 05:38 PM EDT (#327030) #
I agree that it's silly to compare Pompey to Torres at this point. Pompey is still a very good prospect but Torres is a great one. Pompey has lost a bit of bloom from his flower since he ranked at #30 (which I presume was at the beginning of last year - so he's 1.5 seasons removed from that). Since that ranking he's failed at the MLB level and has posted good but not elite numbers in AAA at age 23. His defense has also come into question somewhat, and he certainly hasn't hit his way into the majors (his slugging percentage in particular has been down a fair bit the last two years). Torres is 19, hitting really well (with pop and speed) at A ball, and has a good defensive reputation. Oh, and he's a shortstop. Of course he's a better prospect. These sorts of things evolve quickly.
Parker - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 05:43 PM EDT (#327031) #
I'm sure uglyone will produce some ironclad statistical evidence to prove that not a single MLB GM would even consider trading away Dalton Pompey in exchange for Gleyber Torres without demanding significant additional compensation, though.
Hodgie - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 06:03 PM EDT (#327032) #
Dalimon5, in the hopes of not violating the terms of the Batter’s Box usage, I will respond to your points and then drop the conversation.
  • My disgust for Chapman, the Yankees and the Cubs is not based in politics but rather basic human decency.
  • MLB the entity has spent a century and tens/hundreds of millions of dollars protecting the integrity of the game from the manufactured issues of PEDs and gambling. What significant steps before its sad wrist slap of Chapman has MLB taken to truly combat domestic violence within its ranks? Meanwhile baseball the culture shows between little and no hesitation in pursuing and celebrating the perpetrators for their skill. There is scant evidence that domestic violence has not been implicitly accepted within the game for as long as the game has been around.
  • Trying to equate domestic violence with gambling, PED usage, tax evasion etc. and demanding an equivalent showing of outrage for those issues if I am to express an opinion at all shows either a deplorable lack of education on the issue or an equally deplorable disregard for it.
  • “…your inability to comprehend that it’s just a part of the game that needs to be monitored, punished and dismissed as much as humanly possible, but not to the extent that team’s shouldn’t pursue players with the talent…” neatly sums up the hypocrisy of baseball’s stance and the source of my disgust.
I’ll end on this; there are an estimated 10+ million victims of domestic violence a year in the US. One can strive for better and take steps more meaningful than a shrug of the shoulders without forgetting the other atrocities happening in this world of ours.
Parker - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 06:38 PM EDT (#327033) #
Very well put, Hodgie.

My own opinion of this might seem crass and materialistic, but there's really only one way to address the issue, and that's to hit them in their wallets. Contract income is forfeited and the funds redirected to a non-profit that helps victims of whatever crime was committed.

This won't happen though, any more than it'll happen that people like Donald Trump will ever be held accountable for the thousands of jobs they've cost working people or creditors they've stiffed by declaring bankruptcy on shell corporations.

If there's enough money involved, you can bet the farm that money (or more) will be spent to weasel out of, rather than to pay, legitimate debts.

Monetary debts or otherwise.
bpoz - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 07:06 PM EDT (#327034) #
The Jays are currently in contention. We are playing meaningful baseball. That is my opinion any way.

I have a beer also. So life is pretty good. Cheers!!!

Being emotional and possibly non rational. Who is the better closer? Osuna or Chapman?

Osuna may be cooler and calmer?


jerjapan - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 07:07 PM EDT (#327035) #
Does anyone doubt the fact that if either one of these scumbags ended up in prison, their baby mamas would lose out on a much bigger chunk of half of the scumbag's earnings actually has anything to do with their decisions?

Now you are deriding Reyes and Chapman's partners?  I find your use of the term 'baby mamas' outright problematic. 
jerjapan - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 07:12 PM EDT (#327036) #
If you average BP, BA and MLB rankings, Torres was ranked 37th best prospect in the game prior to this season.  Pompey was ranked 38th before 2015.  Torres has had a great season this year, Pompey has battled injuries.  Torres is the better prospect, but Pompey is closer to him than, say, Travis Snider was when traded for Brad Lincoln. 
greenfrog - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 07:21 PM EDT (#327037) #
In my view, Pompey was probably rushed to the majors before he was ready, perhaps leading or contributing to a crisis of confidence. He appears to have rebounded from that nadir, but there is still talk of wavering focus (Raines is apparently working with him on this). It would have been good to address this before anointing him the starting center fielder two springs ago.

It's a good reminder that each prospect is an individual human being, not simply a collection of projectable stats.
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 07:46 PM EDT (#327038) #
You guys are absolutely right that prospect status can change very quickly. But that's only true if performance changes. But pompey has performed very well since his ranking, so there is no reason to assume any significant change in value.

As for Torres, you guys seem be overrating a guy who is far from a lock to match pompey's #30 ranking last year.

To illustrate the underrating of pompey, we can look at this claim:

"I think he's probably closer in value right now to Travis Snider/Anthony Gose (Brad Lincoln/Brett Wallace/Devon Travis) than Syndergaard/d'Arnaud/Hoffman/Norris (Price/Dickey/Tulowitzki)"

Pompey #30, 1.5yrs between rank and now:

MLB (22-22): 103pa, .275babip, 81wrc+, 2.8awar/650
AAA (22-23): 540pa, .347babip, 116wrc+
AA (22-22): 148pa, .387babip, 175wrc+

Snider #6, 3.5yrs between rank and trade:

MLB (21-24): 837pa, .306babip, 93wrc+, 1.0awar/650
AAA (21-24): 727pa, .380babip, 152wrc+
AA (22-22): 85pa, .333babip, 123wrc+

Gose #39, 3yrs between rank and trade

MLB (21-23): 616pa, .328babip, 76wrc+, 1.5awar/650pa
AAA (21-23): 1136pa, .349babip, 93wrc+

Norris #18, 0.5yrs between rank and trade

MLB (22-22): 6gs, 100era-, 122fip-, 1.1awar/32gs
AAA (22-22): 16gs, 4.27era, 3.54fip

Hoffman #69, 0.5yrs between rank and trade

AA (22-22): 11.2ip, 1.54era, 2.41fip
A+ (22-22): 36.1ip, 3.22era, 3.74fip


hard to see pompey lumped in with snider and gose when he's been much better in 1.5yrs then they were in 3+ years.

in fact, he's performed much better than either norris or hoffman in both their 0.5yrs shown there and in the year since.
uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 07:52 PM EDT (#327039) #
"ugly, are making the case that Pompey was an equivalent prospect last year to Torres this year?

Using the ranking system that coincidentally overrates Pompey and underrates Torres?

I mean, it's not like I'm surprised you'd try to make that argument. Just asking for clarification."

Correct.

All the rankings and all the stats would indicate they are similar caliber prospects.



uglyone - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 07:57 PM EDT (#327040) #
And remember, to be clear, halfway thru last year's supposed bad season for pompey BA ranked him #29 midseason in July, while halfway thru Torres great season this year BA just ranked him #27.

and for the record, there's many more question marks on Torres' defense than Pompey's.
eudaimon - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 08:28 PM EDT (#327041) #
I don't know where Pompey would trade today, but I suspect it'd be significantly lower than 27. A 118 RC+ in basically his second year at AAA is not particularly impressive. Good? Yes, but not elite. Factor in questions about his defense and "focus" (which can sometimes not be fixable) and I suspect he'd be way below 27.

Torres at 19 is just the better prospect. He's already doing well in A ball, and has 4 years to catch up to where Pompey is now.

Regardless, I wouldn't have made any similar trade for a rental closer. I think the team can make a less heralded pickup for a fraction of the price.
eudaimon - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 08:29 PM EDT (#327042) #
oops, trade = rank
dalimon5 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 08:47 PM EDT (#327043) #
It doesn't show a lack of education, Hodgie, it's actually just your defense of being a naive person to think that you have higher morals than others. But whatever you need to tell yourself to be a decent person that adocates human decency. You asked for examples of your naivety and in response to them you posted bullet points on why it's against human decency to allow domestic violence. My point, clearly, was that you are naive to the complexity of the issue in baseball with your expectations, and you clearly are reinforcing that by arguing something that nobody contests instead of facing the challenge that player character and player talent are not mutually exclusive.

You still have not reasoned why it is beneficial for a corporation that needs to win and make money to turn away talent weather it's tainted or clean. What you call a "deplorable lack of education on the issue or equally deplorable disregard for it" just shows your ignorance to the issue at hand.

I hope you don't drop the conversation because you haven't responded to any of my points.
92-93 - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 11:35 PM EDT (#327060) #
I wouldn't have wanted the Jays to trade Pompey (and more) for Chapman, even being the stud that he is. If you can afford Chapman's salary for 1/3rd of the season it should be pretty easy to improve your bullpen by eating salary and giving up a modest, low level prospect instead. Pompey's wheels are going to come in handy down the stretch.
Hodgie - Monday, July 25 2016 @ 11:50 PM EDT (#327062) #
dalimon5,

If you would actually like to engage in a thoughtful discussion of the issue I would gladly accommodate you. However, to this point you have contributed little beyond personal insults and straw men arguments and I have no desire to bore those Bauxites that remain in this thread. Feel free to contact me via direct message if you so wish.

Glevin - Tuesday, July 26 2016 @ 05:40 AM EDT (#327079) #
"All the rankings and all the stats would indicate they are similar caliber prospects."

I doubt there's a single scout or GM in baseball who thinks that. He was an excellent prospect two years ago and even mid-year through last season because he was a better player then. Since then, he undoubtedly declined as a prospect. It happens all the time. He has no power. He's hit four HRs in 596 PAs in AAA and the biggest worry is that he has not improved at all in 2 years. In 2014, he went from A ball to the majors showing great offensive skills. The first half of last year, he was excellent in AA. Since then, he's been pretty mediocre. In fact, he was in some ways better in AAA last year than this one. Higher walks, lower Ks, just much higher BABIP this year. Elite prospects don't stagnate.

I'm not giving up on him and he definitely still has value and potential but there is no way you can look at Pompey's numbers and think he's an elite prospect right now.

Thomas - Tuesday, July 26 2016 @ 06:43 AM EDT (#327080) #
Rosenthal is reporting the Upton deal has been agreed to and is just being finalized. A Class A prospect for Upton, he didn't know the name.

I'll withhold judgement until we know more details, but he's owed a lot of money for 2017.
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