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A quick trip over the border this past weekend led to the acquisition of the Baseball America 2015 Prospect Handbook. There are over 900 prospect files inside, including 30 of your Toronto Blue Jays hopefuls, which can be found after the jump.


Catcher Max Pentecost — the 11th pick of the 2014 draft — is rated the Jays' 5th best prospect according to Baseball America. That places the Kennesaw State alumni second among position players in the farm system.



6-foot-5 righthander Miguel Castro is one of six pitchers among Baseball America's top 10 prospects in the Jays system. The Dominican righty jumped 17 spots up from last year to place ninth on this year's prospect list.
Baseball America grades each player on the traditional 20-80 scouting scale:
  • 75-80 Franchise players/number one starters.
  • 65-70 Perennial All-Stars/number two starters.
  • 55-60 First division regular/number three starters/closers.
  • 45-50 Second division regulars/number four starters/eighth inning relievers.
  • 35-40 Number five starters/utility players/backup catchers/relievers.
BA also has a risk factor grade for each player:
  • Safe - player is ready to contribute in the majors and has shown a realistic ceiling.
  • Low - player is likely to reach his ceiling and become a big leaguer.
  • Medium - player still has some tools to sharpen.
  • High - player is a first year draft pick.
  • Extreme - teenager in rookie ball or a player with significant history of injuries.

No.# Player Position Grade     Risk 2014 Rank
1
Daniel Norris
LHP
60
Medium
6
2
Aaron Sanchez
RHP
60
High
1
3
Jeff Hoffman
RHP
65
Extreme
NR
4
Dalton Pompey
OF
55
Medium
17
5
Max Pentecost
C
55
High
NR
6
Devon Travis
2B/OF
50
Medium
NR*
7
Roberto Osuna
RHP
55
High
7
8
Richard Urena
SS
55
High
24
9
Miguel Castro
RHP
55
High
26
10
Sean Reid-Foley
RHP
50
High
NR
11
Matt Smoral
LHP
55
Extreme
13
12
Ryan Borucki
LHP
50
High
NR
13
Jairo Labourt
LHP
50
High
12
14
Dwight Smith Jr.
OF
45
Medium
27
15
Dawel Lugo
SS
50
High
9
16
Mitch Nay
3B
50
High
4
17
Chase DeJong
RHP
50
High
11
18
Anthony Alford
OF
55
Extreme
NR
19
Lane Thomas
3B/OF
50
High
NR
20
Dan Jansen
C
50
High
NR
21
D.J. Davis
OF
50
Extreme
3
22
Alberto Tirado
RHP
50
Extreme
8
23
A.J. Jimenez
C
45
High
14
24
Andy Burns
2B
45
High
19
25
Tom Robson
RHP
50
Extreme
16
26
Jesus Tinoco
RHP
50
Extreme
NR
27
Juan Meza
RHP
50
Extreme
NR
28
Nick Wells
LHP
50
Extreme
NR
29
Matt Boyd
LHP
45
High
NR
30
Rowdy Tellez
1B
45
High
18


Lefthander Ryan Borucki made the biggest leap on this year's Top 30 list, going from unranked to #12. Baseball America is also predicting Borucki to be the system's breakthrough prospect.
The biggest riser in the system was southpaw Ryan Borucki, who went to number 12 with a bullet after not being ranked last year. The 2012 draft pick missed all of 2013 after Tommy John elbow surgery. Righty Miguel Castro and shortstop Richard Urena shot up 17 and 16 spots respectively to place ninth and eighth in this year's rankings. Outfielders Dalton Pompey and Dwight Smith Jr. leaped 13 spots each to rank fourth and 14th. Lefty Daniel Norris jumped five spots to earn the number one ranking this year.

The biggest fall from grace was suffered by outfielder D.J. Davis, who dropped from three to 20. Third baseman Mitch Nay and righthander Alberto Tirado both fell out of the Top 10 with Nay sliding from four to 16 and Tirado plummeting from eight to 22. Other drops of note saw catcher A.J. Jimenez and Ladner, B.C. hurler Tom Robson fall nine spots each to 23 and 25 respectively. Robson underwent Tommy John surgery last summer after a rough stint in Lansing. First baseman Rowdy Tellez barely hung to his top 30 ranking, going from 18 to 30.

Prospects who fell out of the Top 30 this year were righthanders Clinton Hollon and John Stilson, who were 15th and 21st in 2014 as well as first baseman Matt Dean (25th), lefthander Jake Brentz (28th) and shortstop Yeltsin Gudino (30th). Also gone from last year's Top 30 is shortstop Franklin Barreto and lefty Sean Nolin as the fifth- and ninth-rated prospects were sent to Oakland in the Josh Donaldson deal. The 22nd- and 23rd-rated prospects, outfielder Kenny Wilson and catcher Santiago Nessy, are now property of the Miami Marlins and Kansas City Royals respectively. Righty Marcus Stroman (2nd), outfielder Kevin Pillar (20th) and second baseman Ryan Goins (29th) graduated to the bigs.

A dozen new players managed to earn Top 30 spots on the Blue Jays list this year. Outfielder Anthony Alford, who was ranked 10th by BA in 2013, is back in at #18. The two 2014 first round picks — righty Jeff Hoffman and catcher Max Pentecost — are in the top five at spots three and five respectively. Second baseman Devon Travis — formerly Detroit's #1 prospect — comes in at #6 after being acquired from the Tigers for center fielder Anthony Gose. 2014 second-round hurler Sean Reid-Foley is also a new addition as he came in at #10. Other newcomers were third baseman/outfielder Lane Thomas (19), catcher and 2013 draftee Dan Jansen (20) along with righties Jesus Tinoco (26) and Venezuelan signing Juan Meza (27) and lefties Nick Wells (28) and Matt Boyd (29).


Baseball America believes Devon Travis — manning second base here with Detroit's AA affiliate, the Erie SeaWolves — will be the Blue Jays top rookie performer this upcoming season. (Image from GettyImages.com)
Baseball America is projecting Devon Travis as the team's top rookie and lefty Ryan Borucki to be this year's breakthrough prospect. Fellow southpaw Conner Greene, the Jays' 7th round pick in 2013, is tabbed as this year's sleeper prospect.

As far as tools go, BA says Dwight Smith Jr. is the system's best hitter for average and strike zone discipline while Rowdy Tellez is the top power hitter on the farm. D.J. Davis is rated the fastest runner and Anthony Alford is the top athlete. With the glove, A.J. Jimenez is rated as the best defensive catcher, second baseman Jon Berti is the top defensive infielder and Dalton Pompey is the best defensive outfielder. The best infield arm belongs to shortstop Dawel Lugo and the best outfield cannon is said to be the property of Jesus Gonzalez. On the pitching side, Aaron Sanchez possesses the best fastball and curveball while Sean Reid-Foley has the system's best slider. Jeff Hoffman has the best changeup and Jeremy Gabryszwski is the system's best control pitcher.

Looking ahead to 2018, Baseball America believes the projected lineup will include Max Pentecost as catcher, Mitch Nay at first base, Devon Travis at second base, Josh Donaldson at third base and Richard Urena at shortstop. The outfield is projected to be Dwight Smith Jr., Dalton Pompey and Jose Bautista from left to right while Edwin Encarnacion handles DH duties. The projected starting rotation is Marcus Stroman, Daniel Norris, Jeff Hoffman, Aaron Sanchez and Drew Hutchison and the projected closer is Miguel Castro.
Baseball America's Top 30 Blue Jays Prospects For 2015 | 12 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
JB21 - Monday, March 02 2015 @ 09:26 PM EST (#298015) #
Appreciate the summary JB!!

I always find the 2018 projected team hilarious, l'd love to look back at 2012's book and see how many players they projected for 2015 are actually in the lineup.
China fan - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 08:22 AM EST (#298017) #
So the least riskiest prospects, according to BA, are the following: Norris, Pompey, Travis and Smith.
finch - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 08:52 AM EST (#298019) #
I think Smoral, Hollon and Brentz will all have breakout years and climb a couple levels.
uglyone - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 11:00 AM EST (#298025) #
I like that top 10, though I'd probably stick smith in the 10 slot. I'd also bump pompey to the 1 slot. in general I guess I'm more skeptical on the Big Arm type prospects thsn they seem to be.

As for breakout prospects, I've got my eye on four names:

1. Dan Jansen
2. Rowdy Tellez
3. Anthony Alford
4. Angel Perdomo

If Jansen just repeats last year's performance in A ball, he'll rocket into the top 10. Rowdy has to be better overall, but if he can show thatchis second half last year was a legit breakout, then he’s in for a big year. Alford might be the biggest talent in the system, and all he has to do is demonstrate some legit contact skill and he'll rocket into the top 10. Perdomo won't get that far up but if he repeats last year's performance he'll be listed as a legit prospect.
bpoz - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 11:23 AM EST (#298026) #
M Castro impressed all of us in 2013 with the SSS and the reported great FB. He sure delivered in 2014 for all who were hoping.

I believe Nigel in Vancouver, hope I got the correct Bauxite, claimed in his opinion that LHP Labourt threw the hardest. I am expecting/hoping for a big year from him.

All the young pitchers from the 2013 draft have to get moving and deliver something. This is their 3rd year in pro ball. I believe all will only play in Short Season ball. So they have 3 years to play before having to be protected on the 40 man. I am a little nervous, I probably should not be. Nay & Alford have 2 years before they need to be protected, but I do not seem to be nervous regarding them.
Mylegacy - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 12:13 PM EST (#298033) #
JB21 Ask and ye shall receive...

BA Prospect Handbook 2012 has the Jays 2015 lineup as being:

Catcher: Travis d'Arnaud
First base: Adam Lind
Second base: Yunel Escobar
Third base: Brett lawrie
SS: Adeiny Hechavarria
LF: Colby Rasmus
CF: Anthony Gose
RF: Jake Marisnick
DH: Jose Bautista

#1 Starter: Ricky Romero
#2: Brandon Morrow
#3: Daniel Norris
#4: Justin Nicolino
#5: Aaron Sanchez
Closer: Sergio Santos

Interesting, sure sounded good back in 2012. Just goes to show ya that a lot of water has flown under a lot of bridges since them days, eh...

China fan - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 12:31 PM EST (#298035) #
Wow, that would be a pretty terrible team.  (With a handful of exceptions.)
gabrielthursday - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 12:54 PM EST (#298037) #
What's surprising about the BA projection for 2015 is how many of those prospects have actually turned out. Hechavarria has been a starting shortstop (albeit not a very good one). d'Arnaud looks like he's finally a good starting catcher, while Gose and Marisnick are probably both fringy 4th outfielders now, but could start for teams with weak outfields. Daniel Norris and Sanchez are competing for a starting position this spring, and it's definitely conceivable both spend most of the season in the rotation.

The biggest prospect failure would be Nicolino, but as far as prospects go, BA did a pretty good job three years ago. And one can hardly blame them for not seeing Romero's collapse, or the trades that have shook up the team.
uglyone - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 01:11 PM EST (#298039) #
yeah I was thinking the same thing. all but a few of those guys are starting in those roles this year. and 2 of the ones who aren't were proven vets who suddenly imploded.
whiterasta80 - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 02:08 PM EST (#298041) #
I also think Tellez is in for a breakout season. Aside from not showing as much power as you'd like I think his previous year was pretty good. He showed a half-decent eye and contact ability. Personally I don't think he deserved the drop he got.
uglyone - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 02:23 PM EST (#298042) #
he had a horrible start last year with a .416ops in june and .742ops in july, though with solid bb/k numbers.....but then his power showed up in a big way in august and September, with him posting near 1.000ops with a .200iso at both rk and A combined.....with no deterioration in his bb/k rates.

if that power surge is legit (and we've always expected it), then he could be in for a big year.
gabrielthursday - Tuesday, March 03 2015 @ 04:10 PM EST (#298044) #
Tellez & one arbitrary endpoint - at the end of July 17, Tellez was hitting .186/.277/.233 in Bluefield with 0 HR and a 9/12 BB:K ratio. From then until his promotion to Lansing, he hit .381/.427/.581 with 4 HR and a 10/15 BB:K ratio.

If that looks like a huge BABIP spike midway through the season, you're entirely right - though his power also improved. I tend to think that a really high BABIP is a good sign of a true hitter (especially in a slow guy), and so Tellez is raised in my estimation by that measure.
Baseball America's Top 30 Blue Jays Prospects For 2015 | 12 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.