You can't love the fact lefty Chris Sale (5-4, 2.68) will be on the mound for the Pale Hole. Esmil Rogers (1-2, 3.60) gets another start for the Blue Jays at 8:10pm Eastern on the South Side of Chicago.
You can't love the fact lefty Chris Sale (5-4, 2.68) will be on the mound for the Pale Hole. Esmil Rogers (1-2, 3.60) gets another start for the Blue Jays at 8:10pm Eastern on the South Side of Chicago.
So do you skip Rogers then and continue with the regular rotation? I suspect so. Thus a deeper pen for Buehrle's start and Rogers goes Monday against the Rockies at home, or do you have Rogers start Sunday against Texas and Wang against the Rockies?
Mark Buehrle was projected as our #3 or #4 SP coming into this year.
Mark Buehrle is having the worst season of his entire career, and worse than the most pessimistic projection systems pegged him at.
yet Mark Buehrle has been our best starter this year.
I would have, too, but the Jays have announced that every starter will be pushed back a day and Rogers will start the series opener in Texas.
Rogers is interesting. When the Jays were using him as a reliever normally is used (2 or fewer IP) he had a 5.95 ERA over 20 games. 23% LD rate, 8% swing and miss, 62% strikes thrown.
Then the Jays started stretching him out. 3+ IP in 4 games plus a 2 IP relief appearance. During that stretch he has a 0.59 ERA over 15 1/3 IP. 30% LD rate, 9% swing and miss, 62% strikes thrown.
A lot of stuff the same, but the results are massively different. His stretched out BB/9=2.9 K/9=7.6; his normal relief BB/9=3.2 K/9=5.0. 2 HR given up in relief (19 2/3 IP), 0 as stretched out (15 1/3 IP).
Seems like smoke and mirrors, but it sure is working nicely. Sure wouldn't have predicted it. Might as well ride the wave as they say.
Dickey was hurt and played thru it. Morrow however was mostly a wuss about his.
This is interesting, because, apparently (I didn't hear it) Hayhurst was saying just this on Baseball Central the other day, and that a lot of the clubhouse feels the same way.
who are the candidates? cecil has dominated from the pen this year, and you don't want to mess with success like that, especially given his mediocrity as a starter. that said, with oliver back, loup looking more legit by the day, luis perez on the way back and funky perez as a loogy, we have tons of lefty depth. from the right side is rogers ... is that it? carreno has been lights out in the minors and there are a lot of guys ahead of him on the bullpen depth chart ... lincoln?
I'm assuming that mcgowan is a reliever come hell or high water, and that the club will go slowly with drabeck and hutchison in their rehab ...
I recently came across an item from the May issue of the Smithsonian Institute’s magazine, The Smithsonian, about how the brain tracks a fastball. It’s fascinating; and it makes clear why baseball is such an extraordinarily difficult game. Ted Williams assertion that hitting a baseball is the hardest thing to do in sports is certainlysupported by this research. (The article suggests that pitching is no walk in the park either.)
http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/science/2013/05/how-the-human-brain-tracks-a-100-mph-fastball/
A brief paragraph:
“In a study published today [May 8, 2013] in the journal Neuron, UC Berkeley researchers used fMRI (functional magnetic resonance imaging) to pinpoint the prediction mechanisms in the brain that enable hitters to track pitches (and enable all sorts of people to envision the paths of moving objects in general). They found that the brain is capable of effectively “pushing” forward objects along in their trajectory from the moment it first sees them, simulating their path based on their direction and speed and allowing us to unconsciously project where they’ll be a moment later.”
I hope that the Smithsonian link works; or, failing that, that the UC Berkeley one does.
It's not at all clear to me that Rogers couldn't continue to be stretched out by throwing a simulated game or bullpen session while skipping his turn and continuing to keep Buehrle and Dickey on regular rest. (As an alternative, if you thought it'd be beneficial to give Johnson an extra day off, you could have moved Rogers behind Buehrle and given Johnson an extra day and keeping Buehrle on regular rest.)
Seconded, but it's also possible he's paying the price for Hank White (aka Henry Blanco.) Arencibia's been worked awfully hard - only one catcher has caught more innings, and Arencibia's defensive innings have often run a little longer. He held up to the workload for the first six weeks, but over the last month something got him (.165/.196/.299). Which is another reason Thole should have been here a month ago.
BJW: This is interesting, because, apparently (I didn't hear it) Hayhurst was saying just this on Baseball Central the other day, and that a lot of the clubhouse feels the same way.
That's odd, because it looks like a simple difference to grasp. Dickey isn't going to do damage to himself throwing a knuckleball with a stiff back/neck, and the club was beyond out of options at the time. Taking nothing away from him, what he did was great, because he knew his effectiveness and stats would suffer. As they have.
Morrow could very well damage himself, seriously, throwing 95 mph fastballs with a strained forearm. And while our depth isn't ideal, we're at a point where one more guy could go down, and Jenkins would be at least an acceptable alternative. So why take this chance?
You'd think baseball players would get this.
Personally, I hope that if Morrow returns, and we have a 5th option that's decent, and Dickey's still hurting, we finally give him a week or 2 to get better.
MLB players are super-competitive. With extremely rare exceptions (normally someone who knows their career is almost over and just wants a few ML paycheques while on the DL) they would rather be playing than rehabbing. They know if you aren't playing your job is in jeopardy. Thus if I hear a player feels unable to play I tend to believe the player.
It appears to me that the organization is treating his conversion from the bullpen back to the rotation seriously. Given his stuff and his record, that is a move I can applaud.
- Rogers doing well as a starter (1.23 ERA in 2 starts, sub 1 if you factor in his 2 & 3 inning stretching out exercise before moving to the rotation)
- Juan Perez and Neil Wagner both being solid since called up (11 games, 16 1/3 IP 9 H 2 R 1 ER 3 BB 13 SO)
- Brett Cecil being a VERY effective reliever (1.59 ERA, 10.3 K/9, 2.4 BB/9 0.3 HR/9)
- Delabar, Loup, Janssen also under 3 for ERA
- Lind hitting 344/418/540 for a 159 OPS+ - even better than his 'career year'. Could've made a fortune betting on that.
- Mark DeRosa still over 100 for OPS+ (figured he'd be closer to 50 than 100)
Other things of note: Bautista is now up to 141 for OPS+, Encarnacion 132, while Rasmus is at 106 - all doing very nicely. Davis still over 100 too at 102. Cabrera almost back there now up to 92 after a horrid April...hitting 313/350/447 in May/June.
So there are good things out there. Reyes should be back soon, hopefully Lawrie not far off too. Johnson is back and had one good and one blah game which is actually hopeful this year. Happ should be back soon too and Wang ate a lot of innings (most you can hope for from a scrap heap pick up).
Notwithstanding the 2 year contract, Cabrera should not be blocking anyone who could actually be more than a 4th outfielder type in LF.
Cabrera shouldnt block anyone, but he would. He has hit well since April ended, and with the contract and vet status it would be hard to see the Jays pushing him to the bench unless he gets that 100 game suspension.
Detroit needs a closer, and there will be very few on the market as good as Jansen. Plus, we seem to have a number of arms that look like they might be able to take on the role (Delabar, Santos when he returns). Castellanos isn't rated quite as highly by Keith Law (38th overall), and as I said, Detroit has no place for him to play.
As much as I like the season Lind is happening, I don't think you let him (or Melky) stand in the way of a top-tier prospect (if you beleive Castellanos is that).
Relievers are very valuable in a single season, but their value is so much in flux that you cannot predict very far into the future. Hitters, on the other hand, tend to be very predictable, or at least within a smaller range than relievers are. Janssen is a big risk - he has one year left on his contract and is having a great year...heck, 4 very solid years in the pen. His team option of $4 mil for next year is a lock. But right now is the peak of his value. If you are going to the playoffs you want him. If you are not then trading him makes tons of sense. As a free agent you won't make a qualifying offer ($13+ mil for one year) thus you'd lose him and have nothing in return or you'd commit to his age 33-35 seasons (I suspect he'd get a 3 year deal) at closer rates (near $10 mil a year).
Cecil has been great in the pen and, like Janssen, you'd hate to lose him. He also has more years of team control - he is in arbitration years and will be under team control through the end of the 2016 season. I'd try to use Steve Delabar instead of one of those 2 if possible (much wilder) or another club might insist on all 3. You can remake another teams bullpen and still have lots here too - Wagner & Perez have been nice finds, Loup is doing well, Rogers will likely be back there soon (whenever Morrow & Happ return), the other Perez will be here in a month, and there are others I'm sure worth mixing in. Gibbons has shown a skill with pens, might as well take advantage if an opportunity arises. Good young hitters are always worth having, and if the Jays keep developing relievers and convert them to hitters I say go for it.
If there is a quote from Hayhurst that backs this up, someone should give us the full quote and the exact words, because I've too often seen people giving inaccurate summaries of something they vaguely heard on the radio, or (in this case) something they heard 2nd-hand or 3rd-hand from someone else who might have heard it.
And even if Hayhurst did say it: he is paid to be provocative and have outrageous opinions. He's not in the dressing room -- how does he know Morrow's state of mind?
I think it's unfair to slam someone's character from the vantage point of the spectator stands. How do we know the level of pain that Morrow is feeling? How can we fairly judge whether he is a coward or courageous? It's incredibly arrogant for outsiders to judge someone's character on the basis of such skimpy information, from the vantage point of the seats or the press box.
For what it's worth: Morrow said the decision to scratch him from the rotation was not his decision. He said it was "out of his hands." And Gibbons confirmed that it was the team's decision, not Morrow's decision.
But if any fan has evidence that Morrow is a liar and a cowardly wimp, let's hear the evidence, please. Otherwise it's just unsubstantiated innuendo from anonymous Internet commenters.
"Sarris: How does this relate to, you called it 75% effort vs when you were a conventional thrower… Did this remind you of your age? The thing about knuckleballers is “oh, they can pitch forever.”
Dickey: I don’t know if it reminds me of my age, as I look to my left and right, I see far younger players on the DL for far lesser things."
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/r-a-dickey-talks-about-his-health/
Again, how do we know that Dickey's comment was a reference to Morrow? Nobody was named in his comment. Why would we assume that he is publicly slamming his teammates? Quite possibly he was referring to other MLB players, not necessarily his own teammates.
And even if somehow Dickey was referring to Morrow: a knuckleballer doesn't need the same range of motion as a fireballer like Morrow. Even if Morrow went onto the DL with a "lesser thing" than Dickey, it's quite possible that the "lesser thing" has a greater impact on someone who relies on a 95 mph fastball.
If it's not clear to you, then when did you call Buehrle (and Dickey) dependable starters and Rogers a question mark earlier in the thread?
I agree that Dickey's comment was interesting, and worth posting here for discussion. I'm just not sure that he was referring to Morrow. (Or to Johnson -- another theory circulating.)
"...No, because if I was a conventional pitcher, with this injury, I’d be out. There would be no way. I couldn’t pitch. In fact, in Texas I had a similar injury to my rhomboid in 2004 and I was out for more than a month."
His comment may have been more of a reference to how, as an unconventional pitcher, he is more able to work through injuries than he would as a "conventional" pitcher. Seems fair as even the "fast" knuckler goes about 80.
Should be here any time. I heard he hitched a ride with Godot.
Not possible. I'm in my car with Godot right now. We're on our way to buy cheetos for tonight's game.
There is something strange about a clubhouse code which suggests that it is OK to tell a reporter that your injured teammate is a wuss but not OK to tell a reporter that your healthy teammate made a boneheaded move on the basepaths or mad a pathetic effort to bunt. Testosterone at work, if you ask me.
I find it exceedingly difficult to believe that Blair (or Hayhurst) is holding private chit-chats with the Jays about the flaws of their teammates.
If a member of the Jays roster is unhappy with the play of a teammate -- what are the odds that he decides to unburden himself to a journalist about it? Ask the beat reporters whether they are treated as "father confessor" by a well-paid MLB player who decides to betray a teammmate. I don't think it happens.
And to take the question more seriously: I find it implausible that the coaches or trainers are complaining to journalists about their players. So who does that leave? I'm sure there are gossips in any clubhouse, but the level of their talkativeness is probably in inverse proportion to their level of firsthand knowledge.
Homophones! No line there!
I haven't made any assumptions, sorry.
Yep. There's no need for it. Rarely is a player who is injured as good as he thinks he is. Sucking it up and taking it for the team tends to actually hurt your team, as opposed to being honest with the trainers and taking rest when you need it so you play at your peak performance.
When I saw it performed, many many years ago at the Shaw Festival, it was pronounced Guh-doh. Only in the last couple of years did I learn of the correct pronunciation. I prefer the incorrect one. God-oh is what a good Canadian hockey player would call his teammate if his teammate were God. These are my buddies, Gordo and Godot. Get us a beer, wouldja? Anyone seen Smitty?
If you can direct me to where I said they were, I'd appreciate it.
"If it's not clear to you, then when did you call Buehrle (and Dickey) dependable starters and Rogers a question mark earlier in the thread?"
Buehrle and Dickey are dependable starters because they take the ball every 5 days. Rogers is a question mark because he's a reliever being stretched into a starter. I thought that much was obvious, and that you were confusing me saying they were dependable with being good.