Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine Batter's Box Interactive Magazine
It's typical practice for major league teams to give some left-handed batters a rest when the opposition starts the game with a left-handed pitcher on the mound. This, of course, is because of the well-known platoon advantage that pitchers have against same-handed batters. I remember a time when it was rare to see any left-handed batter in the lineup against Randy Johnson, but we don't seem to have a monster like that in the game today. Most managers will leave their best lefthanded bats in to face a lefty starter, with the more marginal lefty bats replaced by right-handed hitters.

But not all pitchers are created equal, especially when it comes to this theoretical platoon edge.




One thing to note is that left-handed starters tend to have a smaller platoon differential than left-handed pitchers at large. I believe this is because managers are aware that the opposing team can stack their lineup with righties and tend to select left-handers with a smaller platoon split to be their starters.

Makes sense, I think. Here is a table of the current left-handed starting pitchers in American League rotations. I count 20 of them (I don't include those on disabled lists):

2009 to 2012

wOPS





(regressed)



%RHB Total BF* vLHB vRHB
split
F LIRIANO 77.1% 2087 0.230 0.264
-0.034
B MATUSZ 78.8% 1306 0.249 0.277
-0.028
D HOLLAND 76.2% 1832 0.238 0.264
-0.026
M HARRISON 71.9% 1488 0.235 0.258
-0.023
D PRICE 76.9% 2439 0.211 0.233
-0.023
CJ WILSON 76.5% 2211 0.207 0.228
-0.021
D DUFFY 74.5% 541 0.262 0.282
-0.021
C SABATHIA 75.1% 2897 0.214 0.230
-0.016
J SANCHEZ 76.5% 2029 0.226 0.242
-0.015
B CHEN 71.6% 1626 0.245 0.256
-0.011
WY CHEN 77.1% 105 0.233 0.243
-0.010
J VARGAS 74.1% 2176 0.234 0.243
-0.010
F DOUBRONT 64.6% 254 0.263 0.271
-0.008
J LESTER 74.5% 2608 0.224 0.230
-0.006
C SALE 60.0% 502 0.215 0.221
-0.006
D SMYLY 75.6% 90 0.235 0.239
-0.004
T MILONE 86.0% 229 0.238 0.240
-0.002
M MOORE 77.7% 148 0.255 0.256
-0.002
J DANKS 71.4% 2552 0.240 0.240
0.001
R ROMERO 71.0% 2678 0.259 0.227
0.032







unweighted average 74.4%
0.236 0.247
-0.012
* BF is approximated here as AB+W+HBP





wOPS is (1.75*OBP+SLG)/4








Some brief commentary: I have used all major league data from 2009 to the present (which excludes Japanese League data), sourced from espn.com. The regression is based in part on the recommendations of Tom Tango in his book The Book. The second column denotes the percentage of total PA that right-handed batters account for versus the given pitcher. I am fairly confident in the accuracy of regressions for pitchers with over 2000 BF; those with under 1000 BF should be taken with a spoonful of salt.

One of today's starters, Matt Harrison, has a slightly greater than normal platoon split for this sample. The other, our beloved Ricky Romero, is an altogether different breed. Romero has the largest "wrongway" split of any left-hander I've come across. At least some of the teams seem to be aware of this, as Romero's RHB faced% is 71%, versus the sample average of  74.4% - indeed it is the lowest among the pitchers listed above with a substantial number of batters faced.

It will be interesting to see if Ron Washington starts either (or both) David Murphy and Mitch Moreland this afternoon. If he does, it will be an indication that he is aware of Romero's odd righty-lefty characteristics.


Load Up on Right-Handed Bats | 51 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
92-93 - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 11:02 AM EDT (#255603) #
Joe Maddon certainly is.
robertdudek - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 11:20 AM EDT (#255604) #
According to the pre-game lineup, Washington is going with 9 right-handed batters.
Mike Green - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 11:24 AM EDT (#255605) #
The bunt scattergram (courtesy of BBRef) on Matt Harrison is interesting.  29 PAs, 12 sacrifices, 10 hits, 7 other outs, 1 ROE , no DPs.  In short, it has been a very successful tactic when the batter has been able to put the ball in play.
Mike Green - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 11:27 AM EDT (#255606) #
Encarnacion at first and Francisco DHing today. 
92-93 - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 11:35 AM EDT (#255607) #
I don't like Rajai Davis starting games in CF when Colby Rasmus is healthy. If there's a slight offensive advantage gained Rajai gives it right back playing CF.
robertdudek - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 11:36 AM EDT (#255608) #
I don't like Rajai Davis starting games in CF when Colby Rasmus is healthy. If there's a slight offensive advantage gained Rajai gives it right back playing CF.

I agree completely. Rasmus is the second best defensive CF this organisation has ever had.
Mike Green - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 11:41 AM EDT (#255609) #
Rasmus has played every day since April 17 (there have been no days off during that time), and it's a day game after a night game.  If you were going to give him a day off, today is not a bad choice.  I agree that he's quite a bit better defensively than Davis, and he hits well enough against lefties to merit a nod in most games against them. 
Sal - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 12:03 PM EDT (#255611) #
According to the pre-game lineup, Washington is going with 9 right-handed batters.

That is good! Romero loves righties!


85bluejay - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 12:23 PM EDT (#255614) #

today is as good a day to give Rasmus a day off - Day game after night,LHP,rest from turf & groundball starter - also the upcoming road trip features big ballparks, so you would want to play Rasmus everyday.

Important road trip as the Jays have not taken advantage of playing the easiest schedule in the AL East so far - Angels/A's/Twins struggling - At least we'll miss Weaver who killed us last year.

uglyone - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 12:59 PM EDT (#255616) #
Rasmus also has an .822ops vs. LHP this year, and .744 career.

I don't mind him getting a rest, but I don't think this guy should ever be considered to be part of a platoon, especially with his defensive value in CF.
James W - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 01:16 PM EDT (#255617) #
This confirms everything I've ever needed to know about Ron Washington.
Hodgie - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 01:58 PM EDT (#255619) #
Important road trip as the Jays have not taken advantage of playing the easiest schedule in the AL East

It is early yet but the current standings would seem to disagree with you. Whether you take out the games they have played against their competition or not, the Jays have had the second hardest schedule in the AL East to start the season if you put any value in opponent winning percentage to date.

Magpie - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 01:58 PM EDT (#255620) #
This confirms everything I've ever needed to know about Ron Washington.

He's also ignoring the individual matchups. David Murphy is 5-12 against Romero with a couple of doubles. (Moreland has never faced him.)

Still, I doubt very much that's all you need to know about Ron Washington.
Magpie - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 02:35 PM EDT (#255622) #
So how did the guy Washington played instead of Murphy do today, anyway?
Dave Rutt - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 02:41 PM EDT (#255623) #
This data is easily available to someone with more motivation, but I assume Romero's effectiveness against righties is primarily due to his change-up.
James W - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 02:49 PM EDT (#255624) #
1 of 2 with a home run and walk so far. Of course, 3 plate appearances is a very small sample. I still contend it's the wrong move, even if it worked out.
greenfrog - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 02:52 PM EDT (#255625) #
Hard to believe that many of us would have been happy to see EE released at this time last year. His offensive performance to date has probably been one of the five best in the AL. Maybe top three.
Magpie - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 02:55 PM EDT (#255626) #
I still contend it's the wrong move, even if it worked out.

Whereas I contend that it's never the wrong move if it works out!

There's probably a tendency to think it's all about Romero. It's worth remembering that Washington is, first of all, managing his own team rather than managing against Toronto. Napoli isn't catching and Andrus isn't playing short today (day game after a night game, yet another day on turf) but Washington still wants them both in the lineup.
uglyone - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 02:57 PM EDT (#255627) #
I never did understand how EE passed through waivers. His defense really clouded some GMs' evaluations there, I think.
robertdudek - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:11 PM EDT (#255629) #
Whereas I contend that it's never the wrong move if it works out!

By this logic, any move you make in a win is the right one, while every one you make in a loss is the wrong one. After all, wins and losses are what you are after and if you lose, by definition, it didn't work out for you.
Magpie - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:14 PM EDT (#255630) #
By this logic, any move you make in a win is the right one, while every one you make in a loss is the wrong one. After all, wins and losses are what you are after and if you lose, by definition, it didn't work out for you.

Wow, is that silly.
greenfrog - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:14 PM EDT (#255631) #
I'm guessing AA is wishing he'd added an extra club option for 2013 (maybe for $4-5M) when he negotiated EE's 2011 contract.
James W - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:23 PM EDT (#255633) #
There's a gambling metaphor somewhere (perhaps Washington hit on an 18 with the dealer showing a 7?) that I would use, but starting Snyder over Murphy probably isn't that extreme.

Seeing that Murphy pinch hit for Snyder when a RHP came into the game tells me that Washington sent 9 RHB into the game for the platoon disadvantage against Romero.
robertdudek - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:28 PM EDT (#255635) #
By this logic, any move you make in a win is the right one, while every one you make in a loss is the wrong one. After all, wins and losses are what you are after and if you lose, by definition, it didn't work out for you.

Wow, is that silly.

Right back at you, Magpie!

greenfrog - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:36 PM EDT (#255638) #
From ESPN.com (are you listening, Paul Beeston?):

...

'Manager Ron Washington said on ESPN Dallas 103.3 FM's "Ben & Skin Show" that the turf at Rogers Centre in Toronto is part of the reason for holding out both players [Beltre and Hamilton], who he said are day to day.

'"Beltre can pinch hit, but I'm trying to keep him off this turf," Washington said. "Hopefully, his body can settle down by the time we get to Cleveland and he can play Friday. But this turf just beat him up so bad that he's so sore. But I do have him to pinch hit for me."

'Washington also has made it a habit of resting some regulars on day games before off-days to give them additional time off their feet. He said his club isn't used to playing on turf, which is why he takes a cautious approach if players are dealing with some injuries.

'"When you play on turf, it's a little different if you're playing on it every day and coming up in here for a series and you haven't been used to it. It shocks your body," he said. "Everybody's dealing with soreness the past three days, but we're not using that as an excuse to not win a ballgame."'
China fan - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:45 PM EDT (#255639) #
Farrell also guessed right on Francisco and Davis, who were a combined 3-for-5 today, with 3 runs scored. And then Rasmus was reinserted in the lineup when the LHP was replaced by the RHP, so the defensive risk in the Jays lineup was minimal.

Now, was it the right move, regardless of results? I'll leave Magpie and Robert to argue about that....
uglyone - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:48 PM EDT (#255640) #
Mike Wilner @Wilnerness590
Reply Retweet Favorite ·More
Rajai Davis was removed from the game with a strained left hip flexor, he's day to day.

wonder if he'll need a DL stint.

Is Snider gonna be out much longer?
robertdudek - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 03:51 PM EDT (#255641) #
I try to resist getting into right move/wrong move discussions. There can be many reasons for individual moves - it is much more fruitful to look at the patterns within large batches of moves.

I have no problem with Rasmus getting rest. But if someone asks Washington why neither Murphy nor Moreland were in the lineup and he says mostly because a lefthander was on the mound, then I know that he does not properly understand his opponent.
China fan - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#255642) #
Snider was placed on the DL today, so he's out for a couple of weeks, I would assume. Bad injury timing -- once again -- for poor Travis, since he could have been in line for a call-up within a few weeks if he kept going at his current pace (especially if Davis is injured). Now he'll have to start over again, and re-establish himself over the course of a few weeks after he returns from the DL, before he would be considered for a call-up.

It was great to see the Jays offense firing on all cylinders today, especially Escobar. Maybe it's true that Escobar is better in the 2nd spot in the lineup? This could be a turning point for the offense. (Famous last words, I know.)
whiterasta80 - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 04:11 PM EDT (#255643) #
I'm hoping Snider just pulls a Lawrie on us, injured right when he should have been promoted, but instead of moping, when he comes back he tears the league apart some more and is up for good after the all star break.
uglyone - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 04:18 PM EDT (#255644) #
Isn't the minor league DL only 7 days?

Snider hasn't played since Apr 26 - they can make that DL stint retroactive from then, no?
Ryan Day - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 04:26 PM EDT (#255647) #
Snider could be gone for quite a while - wrist injuries can linger, and Snider was hurting his wrist just by swinging the bat last year.
China fan - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 04:27 PM EDT (#255648) #
That's probably true, uglyone. I think my expectation is that it would take him a couple weeks to get back to full speed after the injury, even if he is off the DL sooner. It's a wrist injury, not always the easiest to bounce back from. But I really don't know.
hypobole - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 05:04 PM EDT (#255649) #
This is the 3rd year in a row Snider has missed time due to right wrist issues. I know in this case he jammed it diving for a ball, but there may also be some chronic problems as well.
bpoz - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 05:10 PM EDT (#255650) #
IMO something changes from the last day of the month to the new month. I know this is not logical. Similarly people think that New Years day is a fresh beginning, they feel something positive.
So it is possible that Texas could not match April's performance in many categories. I can see the Jays pen being better in May and probably the Offense.
bpoz - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 05:21 PM EDT (#255651) #
If R Davis goes on the DL, my guess for a replacement would be M McCoy.
My thinking is that the organization would not mind him sitting on the bench a lot. If you intend to play the replacement enough then a prospect like D Cooper, M McDade, M Sierra could come up and not be hurt by inactivity.
hypobole - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 05:49 PM EDT (#255652) #

greenfrog - a couple of your posts seem to tie together. EE playing 3rd base always seemed to be hurting; I remember a couple of times landing hard on the RC turf. In regards to the calls about a year ago to dump EE, do people remember this from Dave Cameron?

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/its-time-to-dump-e5/

 

greenfrog - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 06:36 PM EDT (#255653) #
The turf issue just makes me angry. Who knows how it's going to impact young players like Lawrie and Rasmus? (Lawrie especially, with his style of play.) How much is it already affecting other players (like Lind, who has ongoing back issues)? If I were a free agent, I would absolutely look to sign with a team that has a grass field.

Washington's comments just confirm openly what we already suspect - that ballplayers dislike turf generally (and the RC field in particular) and that turf contributes to injuries. For a team that is trying to establish a competitive advantage in other respects (e.g., improving the front office and scouting), the decision not to get ahead of the curve on this issue seems awfully shortsighted. Anything to save a buck I guess.
hypobole - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 07:34 PM EDT (#255654) #
I wonder if the turf is part of the reason for the Jays refusing to commit more than 5 years to any position player.
scottt - Wednesday, May 02 2012 @ 10:19 PM EDT (#255658) #
ESPN has had Davis listed as day-to-day since the beginning of the week.

Wasn't the turf part of the reason Scott Rolen demanded a trade after a year and a half?

The offense isn't firing on all cylinders if some key players are hitless.

Baltimore wins a series at Yankee Stadium and suddenly Toronto is in front of NY and Boston again.

christaylor - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 12:15 AM EDT (#255660) #
"Washington's comments just confirm openly what we already suspect - that ballplayers dislike turf generally (and the RC field in particular) and that turf contributes to injuries."

Ball-players may dislike it, but there's zero evidence that today's turf contributes to injuries. It is not the plastic carpet over concrete of the early days. It may, in fact, be better for the legs of ball-players.

People (fans and ball-players included) seem to be falling into the naturalistic fallacy here. Are hay or feather mattresses better beds than memory foam? Nope.
smcs - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 12:20 AM EDT (#255661) #
Anything to save a buck I guess.

Has anyone invented a type of grass that needs neither water nor sunlight to grow?
92-93 - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 01:02 AM EDT (#255662) #

Ball-players may dislike it, but there's zero evidence that today's turf contributes to injuries.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/30/us-football-knee-injuries-likelier-on-tu-idUSBRE83T0NH20120430

scottt - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 06:42 AM EDT (#255664) #
ESPN has had Davis listed as day-to-day since the beginning of the week.

Wasn't the turf part of the reason Scott Rolen demanded a trade after a year and a half?

The offense isn't firing on all cylinders if some key players are hitless.

Baltimore wins a series at Yankee Stadium and suddenly Toronto is in front of NY and Boston again.

robertdudek - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 07:43 AM EDT (#255666) #
Artificial turf may not cause more injuries; it may not even be more uncomfortable to play on.

But the ballplayers believe it is more painful to play on and they don't like it.

In this case, perception is reality.

I say out with the wretched stuff.

ColiverPhD - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 08:07 AM EDT (#255667) #

Opening Day 1993 in Seattle:

Randy Johnson starts against the Blue Jays...John Olerud is given the day off (Opening Day off!) and Domingo Martinez is given the start..

It was like Cito Gaston knew that Olerud was going to be something that year and was going to take no risk.

I know I am stating the obvious but remember, this was before the comical All-Star Game Kruk-Johnson at-bat.

Chuck - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 09:10 AM EDT (#255669) #

It was like Cito Gaston knew that Olerud was going to be something that year and was going to take no risk.

By risk, I assume you mean because Olerud had just recovered from a brain aneurysm. Gaston probably reckoned that it was probably wise to keep the young man away from a then very wild, very hard throwing lefty.

Strangely, when Johnson ran afoul with the Audobon Society, it had nothing to do with his wildness. The pitch sure looked like it would be a strike.

AWeb - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 10:04 AM EDT (#255672) #

The link from 92-93 mentions what would seem to be the main issue with turf - it provides too good a grip, so instead of ripping out massive divots when hitting the ground awkwardly, it tears up your ligaments and tendons instead. I've played sports on the new type of turf, and it is a huge upgrade over the old style turf (terrible for almost anything aside from sprinting). It's also a huge upgrade on most natural grass fields, which tend to be full of holes, uneven, hard as a rock in places, etc... What it isn't as good as is the near perfectly manicured and maintained professional sports fields most guys are used to playing on. I have no idea if the new turf will cause long-term issues like the old turf did (Dawson's knees are frequently cited); I suspect it will be somewhere in between. The outfield walls would seem to be an issue as well - the fancy scoreboards seem to be quite unpleasant to run into - I miss the soft baggies watching from home, since they scorebaords back there don't add anything to the TV experience.

The only solution to turf is to build a new baseball stadium. This is not going to happen until Skydome becomes too expensive to maintain (Rogers will know, although no one else will).  It seems unlikely that Toronto, the city, or Ontario, would be pitching in millions to replace a perfectly servicable facility, and Rogers almost certainly won't on their own. Skydome will remain a great stadium by late 80's standards, and a poor stadium by today's standards.

Mike Green - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 02:03 PM EDT (#255701) #
While I was not a fan of the Francisco Cordero signing this off-season, I would have bet that he would be better than Fernando Rodney who the Rays signed for chump change with a team option at 2.5 million for 2013.  Wrong again, at least so far.  Rodney has been lights out and a key reason why the Rays are off to such a good start.  Did they tweak something or is it just plain good luck?
uglyone - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 02:14 PM EDT (#255704) #
Following on the heels of them turning other aging good/mediocre releivers into late-inning aces, I'm not sure luck has much to do with it. Maddon is a wizard.

Rodney
Farnsworth
Peralta
Soriano
Benoit

you give him a guy with any kind of talent, and he'll turn him into an ace reliever, looks like.
Hodgie - Thursday, May 03 2012 @ 04:20 PM EDT (#255715) #
Following on the heels of them turning other aging good/mediocre releivers into late-inning aces, I'm not sure luck has much to do with it. Maddon is a wizard.

He would be Merlin indeed if that were actually the case. Rodney is the only one of that group that is producing at a level previously unmatched in his career and it is early yet. If there is any magic involved it is Freidman wielding it as his timing on each of those acquisitions has been impeccable if not fortuitous so far.

Load Up on Right-Handed Bats | 51 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.