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Per Sportsnet's post-game show. Thanks to Dan Gordon for the heads-up.
 
Snider has "solidified the adjustments that we hoped he would," in John Farrell's words, and hit well against LH pitchers at Las Vegas. Farrell also went out of his way to praise Juan Rivera for the professionalism with which he handled the awkward role of playing several positions for a new organization after a long tenure in Anaheim.

The roster does seem to be taking shape.




Snider recalled, Rivera DFA | 140 comments | Create New Account
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China fan - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:07 PM EDT (#237893) #

This helps to explain Bautista's move to 3B.  The outfield becomes Thames, Snider and a platoon of Davis and Patterson -- which makes a bit more sense.

Will be interesting to see if Snider gets some games at centre field too.  If he can handle it, the Jays can gradually and slowly work him into a CF role.

 

China fan - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:14 PM EDT (#237894) #
In his comments today, Farrell left open the possibility of a future outfield that could feature Snider in CF, Thames in RF and Patterson in LF.  But for the Boston series, Snider will play in RF at Fenway, and then mostly in LF in future games.
Kelekin - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:24 PM EDT (#237895) #
Glad to see him back.  Now just DFA Encarnacion and bring back Cooper to DH. 

I'd agree with the platoon scenario.  Patterson is still well below average versus righties, but still better than Davis.

I'd definitely love to see an OF by the end of the year of Thames, Snider, and Bautista.

Chuck - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:37 PM EDT (#237897) #

solidified the adjustments

But still hit just 2 homeruns in 200 AAA ABs.

lexomatic - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:40 PM EDT (#237899) #
Encarnacion is hitting fine as a DH. His splits when playing in the field have already been posted, so I'm not going to re-post. There's no point in getting rid of him at this point. At least let him play until Lawrie is healthy/ back up to speed.
Alex Obal - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:44 PM EDT (#237901) #
I'd rather watch Davis every day than a Davis/Patterson platoon. I don't know whether I'd play it that way if the Jays were serious about contending in 2011, but Davis is much more likely to be on the roster next year, so why not get him the reps against RH pitchers?
Kasi - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:45 PM EDT (#237902) #
The Vegas stadium is huge. It is much easier to hit home runs in Toronto than there. The main things are is he hitting solidly versus lefties and is his line drive rate fine. I'll be happy if Snider posts good OBP rates and hits a bunch of doubles. The home runs will come eventually.
The_Game - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 04:50 PM EDT (#237903) #
Platooning Patterson and Davis in CF would be better for the purpose of winning more games, but I'd be surprised to see them make that choice initially. If Rajai keeps struggling this poorly against RHP, though, Farrell might be forced into it.
TamRa - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 05:14 PM EDT (#237905) #
I'd like to see Loewen get the next call before Cooper, though eventually they should probably be taking a look at both of them. But if you call Cooper first you probable never get to give Loewen enough steady AB to see how he can do.

It would be excellent if, in September, you had Thames-Snider-Bautista in the OF, Lawrie at 3B and Loewen and Cooper splitting time at DH (and acting as OF/1B reserves).


Mike Green - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 05:23 PM EDT (#237907) #
Ah, sweet relief.
Ron - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 05:29 PM EDT (#237908) #
3 Quick Hits:

- The Skydome is a good place to watch baseball when it's a (almost) packed house. Why in the world do the Jays not show replays on the big screen (except for HR's)? I could understand them not showing bang bang plays at the plate but for them to not even show doubles, stolen bases, etc.. is unexcusable.

- I'm not sure if this made it on the broadcast, but a idiot ran on the field during yesterday's game. The majority of the crowd cheered when this moron started to run around and booed the cops when they grabbed him. Am I the only one a little bit disturbed by this?

- It's nice to see 2 members of the un-fab fave (Nix, McCoy, Patterson, Rivera, and EE) are finally gone. I'm extremely impressed with Eric Thames. He goes up to the plate with a plan and unlike the majority of his teammates, can actually get on base and hit for power. 



Anders - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 05:42 PM EDT (#237909) #
- I'm not sure if this made it on the broadcast, but a idiot ran on the field during yesterday's game. The majority of the crowd cheered when this moron started to run around and booed the cops when they grabbed him. Am I the only one a little bit disturbed by this?

Yeah, neither Alex nor I could understand that at all. We tried to make our disdain evident through twitter (shameless plug alert!)
Matthew E - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 05:44 PM EDT (#237910) #
I didn't resent Rivera's presence on the roster.

But I won't miss him, either. Looking forward to see what Snider will do.

Thomas - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 06:11 PM EDT (#237912) #
I'm not sure if this made it on the broadcast, but a idiot ran on the field during yesterday's game. The majority of the crowd cheered when this moron started to run around and booed the cops when they grabbed him. Am I the only one a little bit disturbed by this?

I don't understand this either, but I've found it to be pretty typical of the reaction at the SkyDome to a field intruder. For whatever reason, people tend to cheer them and boo the cops. As if the alternative of letting them (and every other person who decides to follow them) run around until they're tired and decide to exit the field on their own is preferable.

I would have made this move a while ago, but I'm glad AA is beginning to cut bait on these players. Nix was a useful fill-in during April, but he's not hit since coming off the DL and doesn't have much use with Bautista playing 3B and his inability to field SS well. Rivera's looked particularly bad on defence recently and his bat has been worse than expected. He was simply taking up space and has went from being unlikely to bring back any prospect of note at the beginning of the year to being basically completely valueless.

BlueJayWay - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 06:30 PM EDT (#237913) #
Thank god we're starting to clear away the dead weight.  I guess the next major thing is getting Lawrie healthy then eventually up in Toronto, probably sometime in August.
dan gordon - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 06:36 PM EDT (#237915) #

AA says that he expects to be able to trade Rivera, and that he has already had some preliminary trade discussions.

It will be interesting to see if they give Snider a try in CF.  For tomorrow, he starts in RF due to the odd configurations at Fenway in CF.  If Snider can handle CF, You have the potential for a powerful lineup with Lawrie at 3B and Bautista moving back to RF, with Thames in LF.  If EE continues to hit like he has done lately, that would leave just 2B as a sink hole.

The bottom of the 8th today was one of the best regular season Blue Jay innings I've watched in years.  Down by a run against a guy who had thrown 3 straight shutouts and is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and they hit 3 HR's off him.  Amazing. 

bpoz - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 06:37 PM EDT (#237916) #
I just looked at Rivera's career numbers year by year and I don't see how this year is SO bad in comparisons.

His running was never good, his BA is one of his worst, an increase of 20 points would make him OK, BB are better but Ks are worse. I think his arm strength was OK, don't know if he was throwing to the right people.Trade value!!Apparently AA says that there is some interest in him trade wise. I don't expect much. We will see soon.

I think he helped us at 1st base, I suppose he can catch those fly balls in the OF if he can get to them.
It would be interesting to see what his future in the next 3 years is. Maybe he goes to the minors & hopes for callups, which still pay quite well.

IMO the Jays gave him a very fair opportunity,247 ABs.



92-93 - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 06:41 PM EDT (#237917) #
I'd be fine with a Patterson DFA to make room for Cooper on the bench. His bat is pretty hot and his good eye continues, with an 8:4 BB:K ratio over the last 10 days to make it 30:22 for the season in over 280 PA - that's quite good. He's hitting .380/.442/.604 for the season, which in comparison to Arencibia's 2010 suggests a more disciplined approach with less power.
Dave Till - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 07:11 PM EDT (#237919) #
Snider has "solidified the adjustments that we hoped he would," in John Farrell's words

I'm happy enough with the job Farrell has done as manager, but why does he talk like this? Is he one of those people who thinks that using big words makes him sound smarter? Sigh. I like the English language, and I hate to see it mangled.

I much prefer Snider to Rivera - Snider could get better, and Rivera won't. Putting Snider in CF could work - he's young enough that it is not clear what kind of player he is destined to be. (Before this year, who knew that Adam Lind belonged at first base?) But this brings back memories of the worst Jays defensive outfield ever: Tony Phillips, Shawn Green and Jose Canseco - otherwise known as The Doubles Factory.

Alex Obal - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 07:25 PM EDT (#237920) #
Everything Farrell says is pointedly vague because he doesn't want to tell the reporters anything. That kind of atrocious English lets him directly answer the question while revealing as few details as possible.
brent - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 07:27 PM EDT (#237921) #
Hmm... maybe Rivera played well enough to be worth trading for (rather than E5). So you might expect to get similar production or even better from E5 at DH and get a return rather than just straight dumping E5. This seems like better asset mananagement, but I'd rather not bet that E5 will be the better DH bat going forward after his power disappeared. The team would have more information like hard hit balls and such, so they obviously see it differently.
Thomas - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 07:39 PM EDT (#237922) #
AA says that he expects to be able to trade Rivera, and that he has already had some preliminary trade discussions.

I'd expect the Jays to have to eat a good portion of his remaining salary to get anything more than a C prospect. Maybe the front office is willing to do that, and I would hope that's the case, but otherwise I'd expect minor league filler (if that) in return.

TamRa - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 08:03 PM EDT (#237923) #
(Before this year, who knew that Adam Lind belonged at first base?)

*Raises hand.


(ok, so "knew" isn't the right word maybe, but i've been saying it ever since he first came up)

I'm fine with seeing what he's got in CF, although it feels an awful lot like hoping for the best case scenario simply because i want him and Thames in the same OF. I see no reason why, having already lived with a ton of less than optimal work this year, we don't give it an extended look just to find out.

As for Rivera v. EE - I'm not a fan of either (cause I'm kid-happy) but between the two, keeping EE is the easy call for me. Apart from the market. But when you look at market value, if EE's best position is DH, then you seriously shrink the potential market even for a coveted hitter. Rivera may not be a good outfielder (obviously) but a team who needs a bench guy who can hit lefties well at least has some flexibility to get him on the field.
katman - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 08:14 PM EDT (#237924) #
It was time. The defensive issues have been terrible, and something had to be done.

Can't say I'm thrilled with the idea of Patterson anywhere near CF, though - I'd far rather see Travis there, it would hurt us less. Maybe Rajai will turn a corner with today's game, and spare us all the agony.

Meanwhile, thank you, Eric Thames! I don't expect him to stay this hot, but he has shown that he can play here.

The next guy I really want to see is Loewen. We have just one shot, so we need a decently long look.
Mylegacy - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 08:26 PM EDT (#237925) #
Lawrie is the Key...when he comes up (IF - he comes up this year - you know how hands can be - just ask Overbay)...

The outfield will be: Thames, Snider and Bautista (I predict Snider will be a BIG surprise in CF - and a surprise for the good!)

Lawrie, Escobar, Hill, Lind, JPA... with a DH platoon of EE (R) and Loewen (L). Davis will be the fourth outfielder, Molina the back-up catcher, JMac and McCoy will round out the herd - if we're allowed 14 position players.

IF - we get Reyes as a free agent and move Escobar to 2nd and Reyes to SS - WOW - seriously - WOW. Offensively and defensively we'll have an honest to true championship caliber O & D..

AWeb - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 08:49 PM EDT (#237926) #
I don't understand this either, but I've found it to be pretty typical of the reaction at the SkyDome to a field intruder. For whatever reason, people tend to cheer them and boo the cops. As if the alternative of letting them (and every other person who decides to follow them) run around until they're tired and decide to exit the field on their own is preferable.
Booing cops in Toronto? After the events during last year's Philly series (the events in Toronto), I'd say that's fair. And yes, I'd argue that letting someone run around and tire themselves out (as opposed to beating the hell out of them? Tazering them? This is the generation of police that doesn't think they should risk a boo-boo in order to make an arrest) is often preferrable to a prolonged chase or letting cops take care of it. What's he going to do after the first 30 seconds? Dig a trench or a bunker and defend his position?

Yay to today's game and Snider coming up. Rivera will not be missed. No problem with the guy, aside from his lack of hitting, but he brought nothing at all to the table for this team. It's sad that the Jays had to get more "officially" out of contention in the past weeks to make the best roster moves (Thames, Snider, shoulda' been Lawrie) - I think this team now has the highest uper end they've had all year at the positions. The rotation is next up to fix, whether through actual improvement in performance, or new guys getting a shot.
Craig B - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 09:01 PM EDT (#237927) #
"The roster does seem to be taking shape."

And it's only July!
Alex Obal - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 09:24 PM EDT (#237928) #
Like they thought they could steal that 20th overall pick from us without a fight.
Thomas - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 09:27 PM EDT (#237929) #
Booing cops in Toronto? After the events during last year's Philly series (the events in Toronto), I'd say that's fair. And yes, I'd argue that letting someone run around and tire themselves out (as opposed to beating the hell out of them? Tazering them? This is the generation of police that doesn't think they should risk a boo-boo in order to make an arrest) is often preferrable to a prolonged chase or letting cops take care of it. What's he going to do after the first 30 seconds? Dig a trench or a bunker and defend his position?

The police are fair and justified targets for criticism for their behaviour during the G20. However, that criticism should be done in a constructive or organized way to let the police know which behaviour or events are being protested. Additionally, the perpetrators of the abuse or the management of the TPS would be the fair targets of criticism. Protesting or asking pointed question at a panel that had Bill Blair as a member may be an effective way of conveying the message that the behaviour of the cops at the G20 was unacceptable. Booing two police officers who were simply doing their job doesn't achieve anything. I didn't make the association that people were booing them because of the actions during the G20 and I doubt I was alone in that. Furthermore, I doubt that's what most people were doing. Maybe some were, but as I said, I've seen similar reactions for years from the crowds, so I think it is a reaction to police catching the intruder rather than an organized booing in reaction to police overreach a year ago.

I don't know where to begin with the idea that the police and grounds crew at the Rogers Centre should let every individual who wishes to run on to the field run around to their heart's content and they choose to sit down and voluntarily raise their hands to be cuffed (and it's not clear if you even believe they should be punished based on your post).

To try to return this to baseball, at least tangentially, I don't know why you're throwing the idea of tasering and beating around. No intruder (save one memorable incident last year ago in Philadelphia that was routinely and loudly criticized) on a baseball field has to my memory been tasered and beaten in public by police. People who interrupt professional sports events should be arrested and fined, which is as far as I'm aware how basically every team addresses the problem.

Ryan Day - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 09:43 PM EDT (#237931) #
Rogers Centre increasingly seems to be full of drunk and surly people who are more interested in getting drunk than watching a baseball game. (which makes no sense to me, since it's expensive and lousy beer)

I suspect cheering the guy running around comes from the same part of the brain that says it's okay to throw the giveaway stuff on the field.
cybercavalier - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 11:19 PM EDT (#237933) #
I would have made this move a while ago, but I'm glad AA is beginning to cut bait on these players. Nix was a useful fill-in during April, but he's not hit since coming off the DL and doesn't have much use with Bautista playing 3B and his inability to field SS well. Rivera's looked particularly bad on defence recently and his bat has been worse than expected. He was simply taking up space and has went from being unlikely to bring back any prospect of note at the beginning of the year to being basically completely valueless.

After glancing the bench of the MLB teams on MLB.com, I think Nix would be a good trade for Craig Counsell from the Brewers. The Jays traded cash for Nix; Nix can at least continue his contract with the Brewers while the Jays have a player-coach in return which can be sent to the minor leagues for instructing the baby Jays with other coaches. At any rate, the Jays needs to convert commodities valueless to the Jays into something valuable; if these commodities are valuable to other teams, trades would be a perfect world.
hypobole - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 11:39 PM EDT (#237935) #
I don't see the point in trading for a coach.
Chuck - Sunday, July 03 2011 @ 11:47 PM EDT (#237936) #

I think Nix would be a good trade for Craig Counsell

This is not your first trade proposal involving Nix. Why would anyone trade anything for him? He'll be available for free any time now if anyone has any interest, and I'm not sure of a reason that they would.

Thomas - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:15 AM EDT (#237937) #
A second reason Milwaukee wouldn't do that trade is Counsell is, AFAIK, the team's backup SS. Nix's inability to play SS regularly would make him much less valuable to the Brewers.
Original Ryan - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:59 AM EDT (#237938) #
I don't mean to pile on, but Counsell can (and probably would) refuse a minor league assignment.

There are plenty of retired players who could be brought in as coaches (if the team was so inclined), and you could probably hire several of them with the money Counsell is making this year.
Mylegacy - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 01:33 AM EDT (#237939) #
On the IFA front - According to @CesarAMarquez a Venezuelan reporter the Jays have signed, Wilmer Becerra, Auturo Michelena, Manuel Cordova and Jesus Gonzalez. Another report says the Jays have a "deal" with Roberto Osuna.

I haven't been following the International Free Agent prospects enough to know if any of these guys are considered top prospects.
Mylegacy - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 01:38 AM EDT (#237940) #
BA has a list of  "expected" "top bonuses" for the IFA's - on that list of 40 guys they have listed Osuna at 4th, Becerra at 5th, Jesus Gonzalez at 21st, Cordova at 33rd and Michelena at 40th.
Mylegacy - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 01:42 AM EDT (#237941) #
Ben Bader at BA is saying that Michelena has signed for $220,000 with the Astros - so - now I'm not sure wtf is going on.

Time to go to bed - how about a scotch first? Great idea, Mylegacy.
Kelekin - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:29 AM EDT (#237942) #
We're signing pasta brands now?

As far as the Lind 1st base thing goes, there have plenty of people on here for years that have on occasion stated placing him at 1B makes sense, but hindsight doesn't really matter.  He's been a solid 1st baseman and that's what matters!

Ideally I would love a situation where we have Thames in LF, Snider in CF, Bautista in RF, with Lawrie at 3B if he comes back healthy (September is more realistic than August, I think).  Cooper deserves the shot at DH, whether or not he is going to just be an 'average' major leaguer.  He has earned it and has the second highest batting average in the minors and has been consistent all year, not even remotely streaky.

A bench of Molina, Davis, McDonald, and Loewen would be ideal for me by season's end, but unfortunately that leaves McDonald as the only back-up 2B/3B/SS (albeit if you have Bautista as the back-up 3B, you don't have to worry about such versatility).

Would also like to see a healthy Diaz come up and show whether or not he'd be capable of taking the reigns from McDonald at some point. 

Chuck - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 08:44 AM EDT (#237943) #

I don't understand this either, but I've found it to be pretty typical of the reaction at the SkyDome to a field intruder. For whatever reason, people tend to cheer them and boo the cops.

To me, the explanation is simple. Start with a bunch of 2-digit IQs (your average sports fan) and add in alcohol and groupthink. What isn't a group like that capable of?

John Northey - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 08:54 AM EDT (#237944) #
All this Snider in CF talk seems odd to me. It wasn't that long ago people were saying the best position for Snider was DH.

Snider has 4 innings in CF in the majors, plus 5 games in the minors. Between the two he has caught a total of 12 fly balls with 0 assists and no errors. That doesn't catch me as enough to say 'oh yeah, he is ready to play CF'. Mix in that 5 other guys played more in CF and one other the same amount as Snider this year in AAA and one wonders why anyone would think the Jays are serious about Snider being in CF. I mean, c'mon, even McCoy and Loewen (neither viewed as CF in waiting pre-2011) have played as much or more there.

If I was a Jay pitcher I'd be very afraid of a Thames/Snider/Bautista outfield no matter what the extra batting provides.
Mike Green - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 08:59 AM EDT (#237945) #
I agree.  If it were me, I'd DH Snider regularly and use him twice a week as a corner outfielder with Thames or Bautista DHing, once Lawrie arrives.  That might not be until next season.
92-93 - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 09:17 AM EDT (#237946) #
Snider has more defensive tools than either Thames or Bautista so I can't imagine why one would relegate a 23 year old to DH duty. Then again I didn't understand not playing him in RF to start the year so what the heck do I know.
bpoz - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 09:36 AM EDT (#237947) #
Well put John Northey, in the sense that you have mentioned most of the front runners for 3B & the OF.

We want our players to perform at some good rather than just decent level both on offense & defense. I don't understand the numbers well enough to say what they must be to qualify as good or decent.

3B: Lawrie when ever healthy, must be given his learning time, however long to produce results & hopefully consistent results. IMO he will be good O & D.
OF: Bautista good defense & great offense.
Thames LF or RF. IMO not a strong enough arm for RF. But has the speed & willingness to learn the other parts of OF defense. The LH bat looks promising.
Snider needs ABs. So if he plays everyday then CF is his long term spot if we keep all of Bautista, Lawrie, Thames & Snider, someone will have to play CF. The CF cannot kill us defensively for us to be competitive. A 4th OF for relief and DH to pick up extra ABs, may be a consideration.
sweat - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 10:43 AM EDT (#237951) #
I don't think it's fair to lump McCoy in that group.  I think McCoy is a great bench guy.  Johnny Mac is the one that needs to go.  I know he is loved by the fans, but his defense is not what it once was.
Matthew E - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 11:07 AM EDT (#237953) #
sweat, I think you and I are in a small club. I've never been enthusiastic about having McDonald on the team. I know he has his uses, but I'd be perfectly happy if the Jays went another way with that roster spot.
Kasi - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 11:14 AM EDT (#237954) #
Yeah I don't understand why we'd DH Snider out of those 3. Snider has better defensive skills than either Thames or Bautista. If Snider can't play CF then I'd have to assume that Thames will go to DH or one of Thames/Snider will need to be traded. (this is when Lawrie comes up of course, until then Snider/Thames handling the corner spots is perfectly fine)
Chuck - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 11:19 AM EDT (#237955) #

sweat, I think you and I are in a small club.

I'm happy to join this club, too. McDonald has had a nice $6.8M sentimentality-fueled ride for the past 4 years. He seems like a good guy and is easy to root for, but after the 2011 season is done, I can't see any point in in bringing him back yet again. I imagine there's a future in coaching if he wants it.

Mike Green - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 11:46 AM EDT (#237957) #
If you put Thames in left-field and leave him there, he will be a somewhat better defender than Snider.  He has looked pretty terrible in right-field, but that is simply due to his lack of experience there in my view.  Snider's main advantage on Thames is his arm. 

For the time being, it will be Thames/Davis/Snider, with Bautista at third.  Performance over the next month or two will probably be a key factor in how things shake out when Lawrie returns. 

PeteMoss - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:17 PM EDT (#237959) #
This is what I'm thinking as well. When Lawrie comes up you can rotate Lawrie, Thames, Snider and Bautista at 3B, RF/LF and DH if you don't want to designate one of the young guys to full time DH right now. Hopefully Encarnation and/or Patterson will play well enough to have some trade value by then, but if not you can just drop EE or Patterson (or both and give Loewen a shot).
sam - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:36 PM EDT (#237960) #

I think at this point you owe it to Jose Bautista to have him play one set position (RF).  He's your star player and having him yahtzeed around just breeds discontent with the player.  When Lawrie comes up, Bautista in RF, Lawrie at 3B, Snider in CF (provided he can play the position) and Thames in LF.  Encarnacion sticks at DH and Davis works into the line up to face LH pitching. 

Also Thames was atrocious in RF this past weekend.  The basic mechanics of tracking a fly ball seem to elude him and his throwing is well below average.  Snider is a much better athlete in the OF and gets away with some poor decisions here and there, he also possesses a much stronger and accurate arm than Thames.  One would hope, however, that Thames' recent success will push Snider to play better.   

damos - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:38 PM EDT (#237961) #
Ben Badler is reporting that the Jays have signed SS (potentially a 3B) Dawel Lugo.  Lugo signed for 1.3 million. 
damos - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:41 PM EDT (#237962) #
Sorry, here's a link to the Lugo signing:
http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/2011/07/blue-jays-sign-dawel-lugo-for-1-3-million/

smcs - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:44 PM EDT (#237963) #
By September, the Jays might very well have 5 left-handed hitters to cycle through 3 position: Snider, Lind, Thames, Loewen and Cooper at LF, 1B and DH. This will only happen if Lawrie comes back healthy and hitting and Bautista is able to move back to RF. This is a very good problem to have. If Snider works out in CF (I highly, highly doubt that it will and have thought and still think he will play less in CF than Molitor played at 3B for the Jays), that's even better. But, let's just hope that his bat plays before we worry about where his glove will play.
Mike Green - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:44 PM EDT (#237964) #
Snider's instincts/reading/first step will not play in centerfield.  In a corner, his raw speed will help him outrun mistakes.  The good thing is that we will likely get to see Snider play right-field for six weeks or more and Thames play left-field for six weeks or more.  It may be that the club will see both of them play good defence and hit, and will be left with a difficult and interesting decision when Lawrie is ready.  These are the kind of problems you like to have.
sweat - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:50 PM EDT (#237965) #
I always found it easier to read the ball playing center field.  Maybe his first step won't be as bad as everyone thinks.
92-93 - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 12:54 PM EDT (#237966) #

I'm with Sam, in that I've seen and read nothing to believe that Thames can handle any outfield position better than Snider - he has an inferior arm, is slower, and doesn't get good jumps on balls. I attended all 3 games this weekend and thought on more than a couple of occasions that a lazy foul pop-up down the right field line that was being chased by Lind was actually Thames' ball, and he was making zero effort to go after them.

The set position Bautista will play is 3B. The GM has said he's entrenched there. He has looked VERY good there since the move. If circumstances warrant a change, so be it, but right now Bautista is our best option at 3B and is entrenched there. And yes, I'm going to keep using the word entrenched to combat all the worry about his stopgappiness.

92-93 - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 01:13 PM EDT (#237968) #
It is most definitely easier to read balls playing CF - you get the best angle to see how the ball flies off the bat, and you also have the luxury of seeing the intended location of the pitch and its movement. Rajai Davis has been a disappointment defensively for me considering his speed, so Snider as the CF until Gose or someone else arrives to fill the hole wouldn't necessarily be all that worse than what we've gotten defensively from CF for the first half of 2011. If Lawrie is ready to play 3B everyday this year I don't think it would be such a big deal to start Thames/Snider/Bautista vs. RHP and have Rajai improve the OF D from the 7th inning and on when the team gets a lead.

Ashby made a good point the other day - too many balls lately have gotten over our outfielders heads and not hit the wall - if they don't have the speed/reads to cover the ground on those they need to be playing deeper.
Anders - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 01:29 PM EDT (#237969) #
For what it's worth, I have come to be of the opinion that the Jays intend to keep Bautista at 3rd for the intermediate future, and that Lawrie is going to be moved to 2nd or a corner outfield slot. There is really no other reason I can think of why they would have moved Bautista to 3rd mid-season that is logical.
Lylemcr - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 01:29 PM EDT (#237970) #

1. Finally, Rivera is DFA.  I understand why AA wanted him in the lineup.  He was hoping he would get some trade value out of him.  Now that looks unlikely, cut ties and let's see what the young guys can do.

2. I am very excited about the way Thames is swinging the bat.  His swing is not the prettiest, but it has been effective.

3. I am excited about out bats(we are 7th in runs scored).  That has been the issue the last couple years, but we got pitching.  This year, where has our pitching gone (we are 24th)?

Landomar - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:08 PM EDT (#237972) #

Snider in CF is an interesting idea.  I imagine that he could play there, and make most of the routine plays, but I can't see him actually being good in CF.  If the goal is just to have a capable CF, though, then Snider could be an option worth trying.

I'm no expert on defensive stats, but looking at some of the advanced fangraphs data, Snider looks very similar to guys like Fred Lewis and Corey Patterson.  Taking the last 3 years of LF data, you get:

  • Snider: .885 RZR, +5 DRS, -0.2 UZR/150, -0.5 ARM
  • Patterson: .884 RZR, +5 DRS, -2.4 UZR/150, -0.5 ARM
  • Lewis: .865 RZR, +10 DRS, -1.6 UZR/150, -2.7 ARM

In general, all of these guys appear to be fairly average in LF.  DRS has the trio as slightly above average in left (and likes Lewis a bit extra), while UZR thinks they are slightly below average (and likes Snider the best).  With that said, if Patterson and Lewis can somewhat play CF, Snider would likely also be ok (but not great) in CF.  This is not just based on having similar defensive stats, but also based on my subjective take on things like instincts, routes, and speed in the outfield (and the subjective elements are very important, as after all, CF is a different position).

One thing to consider is that Rajai Davis is also just average in CF (.915 RZR, +2 DRS, -2.7 UZR/150, -4.3 ARM), and Patterson has compared well on paper in recent years (.955 RZR, +4 DRS, 11.9 UZR/150, -1.0 ARM).  Of course, that's with only a little over 300 innings for Patterson (small sample size alert!), but for his career, Patterson has been a slightly above average CF (at least looking at Fangraphs numbers).  If Patterson can run around in CF and mostly be alright, then maybe Snider could learn to do that too.

In any case, Snider in CF would be an adventure, and if it turns into a disastor...well, you just put him back in LF, and go shopping for a very good CF in the offseason (and let Thames be the DH).  Maybe we could try to get Bourjos from Anaheim; I'm sure they are eager to put Hunter or Wells back in CF  :P

John Northey - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:15 PM EDT (#237973) #
As to mix and matches...

2B: Lawrie (yeah, he just learned 3B but too bad)
3B: Bautista
LF: Thames
CF: Loewen
RF: Snider
DH/1B: Cooper

(1B/DH: Lind, SS: Escobar, CA: JPA of course, bench of Molina, McDonald, Davis, plus McCoy or Patterson or EE)

That way all the kids play, Hill is pushed aside (his bat just isn't coming back sad to say - 555 OPS in April, 659 in May, 616 in June, 500 in July but hopefully someone would trade for him due to a mess at 2B hoping for solid D) and the pitchers cry a lot about the defense but are thankful for the offense.
Ryan Day - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:23 PM EDT (#237974) #
If the Jays thought Lawrie could play 2nd - something many have been skeptical of - it would have been foolish to move him off in the first place, given Aaron Hill's uncertain (dare I say, unlikely) future with the organization.
greenfrog - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:42 PM EDT (#237976) #
Is Hill a free agent after this season? At the moment, he's has Type B status, so if he's a FA, the Jays could decline his options, offer him arb, and let him sign elsewhere - this would result in a sandwich round pick. Of course, he's earning $5M this year, and would net more (maybe $6-7M?) in arbitration. As in Frasor's case, offering arb might result in Hill's staying on the team.
Ryan Day - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:50 PM EDT (#237977) #
If you offered Hill arbitration, he'd accept it. Unless he has a hot second half, he's unlikely to get anything resembling his current salary on the FA market. I'm sure there are a few teams out there who think they can fix him, but probably not many who'd risk $5 million on it.
PeteMoss - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:51 PM EDT (#237978) #
Wasn't the entire reason why Lawrie was moved to 3rd was b/c he didn't have the range for 2nd?

Considering the only reason Tampa is doing better than the Jays is likely b/c they have a great defense, fielding the world's worst defense probably isn't the wisest idea in the world.

I suspect this will figure itself out, Thames may fade after pitchers make adjustments, Snider may not progress as much as everyone expects.
Mike Green - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 02:56 PM EDT (#237979) #
It's pretty much a certainty that Eric Thames current BABIP of .440 will not be sustained.  However, his W rate may improve and his K rate may decline once the word gets around the league that meatballs will be devoured.
robertdudek - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 03:30 PM EDT (#237980) #
Putting Snider in centerfield would fit right in with the team's plan to turn poor Travis into Rick Manning.
whiterasta80 - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 03:59 PM EDT (#237982) #

I'm not sure I care how good our defense is this year, its not like we're going anywhere. The way I see it we might as well get as much positional flexibility out of our players as possible.  If Lawrie can play 3B, 2B, or RF let's find out, if Snider can cover CF in a pinch, let's find out, heck I'd be in favour of giving Lawrie some time in CF too, maybe he can be BJ Upton.  No use switching someone to corner unless they prove it necessary. 

Conversely, I'd like to see how Thames handles an extended period of DHing.  DH is actually a surprisingly tough position to fill properly and given his strong bat, but relatively weak defensive tools he seems as good a long-term candidate as anyone. 

TamRa - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 04:36 PM EDT (#237983) #
All this Snider in CF talk seems odd to me. It wasn't that long ago people were saying the best position for Snider was DH.

I never got that. Coming up through the minors he had a decent defensive reputation and there wasn't any meme that he couldn't possibly stick in RF.

I agree CF SEEMS like a bridge too far (although I'm in the camp that says "take a nice long look and find out - at a minimum the experience might help down the road") but I was always very much a fan of having him in RF until Bautista exploded.

I can see an argument for Thames as the full time DH assuming a kid his age can adjust to that - and assuming they keep him reasonably sharp by working him into the field a time or two a week.

John Northey - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 04:39 PM EDT (#237984) #
iirc Lawrie was moved to third because we have Hill at 2B and 3B was a horrible, horrible hole if you assumed Bautista was going to stay in RF.

As to Tampa - they are doing better thanks to some very good moves with kids over the years leading to a strong young club with replacements on the way. The Jays tried to do some building, adding free agents but came up short in JP's era and now are trying it again but hopefully with better kids who hold on.
John Northey - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 04:47 PM EDT (#237985) #
Btw, checking the logjam we lost in the past couple of years...

Vernon Wells: 210/241/380 74 OPS+ in LF now (just 10 games in CF)

Alex Rios: 218/269/319 61 OPS+ in CF

Ugh. Sure looks like last year's figures for these two (125 and 111 OPS+ respectively) was more of a 'dead cat bounce' than a rebound. Between them a total of $35 million is being spent, just $5 million via the Jays. That is just shy of what is being paid, in total, to Baustisa / Rivera / Lind / Hill / Francisco / Rauch / and Frasor. Namely, everyone making over $3 million this year. The rest of the roster, all in, is less than $35 million (includes Wells $5 mil and buyouts for Olivo and Gregg).
scottt - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 05:39 PM EDT (#237986) #
3-for-5, a run scored and a couple of RBIs.

Maybe that's what solidifying the adjustments means.

I think Thames is too young to stick at DH. However, I've seen teams rotate 4 outfielders in the DH slot.
That might also make it easier to give JPA some DH at-bats.

hypobole - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 06:51 PM EDT (#237988) #

iirc Lawrie was moved to third because we have Hill at 2B and 3B was a horrible, horrible hole if you assumed Bautista was going to stay in RF.

The scouting concensus seemed to be Lawrie did not have the footwork to be a decent 2nd baseman and would have to be moved to a corner outfield spot.  However, because of that horrible, horrible 3rd base hole, the Jays org decided to try him there before putting him in the OF.

BalzacChieftain - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 07:06 PM EDT (#237990) #

Re: Snider - Gregg Zaun talked about Snider on Prime Time Sports after the game and while he said he was happy for Travis that he was back with the big club, he said his swing was exactly the same as it was when he was sent down, and considering that was what he was sent down to get fixed, there really is no change. He explained how Snider really didn't hit his doubles all that hard and his swing is still basically all hands and the only thing he notices that has changed is his stance.

I guess if you're in the camp that says his swing needed some changes to promote his power stroke, you may not find he has fixed it. If you're in the camp that believes he never should have been sent down and fought through his struggles, well I guess we might have more to see in the next few months.

The_Game - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 07:28 PM EDT (#237991) #
There was nothing wrong with Snider's swing in the first place. He was just in a timing slump. It's over two months later and I'm still not sure why he was sent down.

As for Lawrie moving to 2B again (after supposedly failing there with the Brewers and then supposedly playing a good 3B in Vegas for two months), I'll believe it when I see it. Until then, Bautista just looks like a mid-season stopgap option at 3rd to me.
TamRa - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 08:15 PM EDT (#237992) #
the did a split-screen on Snider on the broadcast and, while i have NO eye for this sort of thing, Buck (or Tabby?) was saying that the stance difference WAS the change because in the old stance he would pull off the ball as he swung and that the open stance somehow "strightened him out" in terms of addressing the pitch.

I have very little idea what all that stuff looks like, but that's how they described it.

Ultimately, I'm content to trust that AA knows what he's doing until he proves me wrong.

greenfrog - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 08:18 PM EDT (#237993) #
NIce to see the Jays taking it to Boston after the drubbing they received from the BoSox in Toronto. Hopefully the Jays can win the series. Tomorrow will be a good challenge for Cecil, who will have to keep the ball down and throw strikes.
Gerry - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 08:32 PM EDT (#237994) #
I did see a bit of a difference in Snider's swing. he was pulling off the ball before. Pulling off the ball means his body was moving too early, towards right field, and that makes it harder to hit the outside pitch and it also saps power, other than if you get an inside pitch to pull.

Technically the swing hasn't changed, he just got rid of a bad habit he had developed and he got it back to where it should have been.
cybercavalier - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 08:54 PM EDT (#237995) #
It was indeed not my first proposal, which was Nix for Josh Fields. But with Nix' trade value has fallen off that IMO the Rockies would have found no use of Nix, except the fact that Fields is regarded expandable within the Rockies' organization. At any rate, the Jays play Bautista at 3B, with EE entertaining that option. So IMO, I don`t think the Jays needs another MLB 3B veteran as Fields is.

cybercavalier - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 09:04 PM EDT (#237996) #
I don't think it's fair to lump McCoy in that group.  I think McCoy is a great bench guy.  Johnny Mac is the one that needs to go.  I know he is loved by the fans, but his defense is not what it once was.

I do agree with part on this statement that McCoy is a great bench guy. I think he shall get more chance to be part of all kinds of substitutions (part-time starter, late inning substitution, pinch hit or run) so he could determine more of his MLB career by himself. I don't mind bringing in JohnnyMac to the minor league as a player-coach until this season ends. The Jays minor league system is developing fine prospects: it would be courtesy to long serving and fans beloved veterans so the ties among the player, the organization, the prospects and fans would not be broken after contract expiry. Also, such treatment served as good will impression to future free agent signing that the Jays do treat veteran well.
Thomas - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 10:33 PM EDT (#237998) #
Not that the Josh Fields horse had any traction to begin with, but I believe he went to Japan recently, in any case.
Original Ryan - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 10:33 PM EDT (#237999) #
If by "player-coach" you mean someone who plays semi-regularly and serves as an instructor, that's unlikely to happen for a variety of reasons. First of all, being a player, even in a reserve capacity, requires a lot of hard work and preparation. It's a full-time job by itself. It would be very hard for a player to also be an instructor for the prospects on the team.

Secondly, a long-time major league veteran, like McDonald, would probably be reluctant to accept a minor league assignment as a player to finish his playing career. Usually a veteran will only accept a trip to the minors if it could potentially lead to a return to the majors. If a major league job is unlikely, I imagine a veteran would opt to retire instead.

I can't see the thought of riding a bus in the minor leagues being a selling point for a big free agent commanding millions of dollars. The job of a minor league coach is not a glamorous one, and some major league veterans don't find it appealing. Gregg Zaun recently remarked on Twitter that he'd love to be a coach, but he doesn't want to go down to the minors to be one.

Will John McDonald become a coach once his playing days are over? It's very possible, but I have no idea if it's something he wants to do. I also have no idea if he'd make a good coach -- good players sometimes make lousy coaches (Paul Molitor comes to mind). The Blue Jays should be looking to hire the best coaches available, regardless of the organization they once played for.
Spifficus - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 11:14 PM EDT (#238001) #

Gregg Zaun recently remarked on Twitter that he'd love to be a coach, but he doesn't want to go down to the minors to be one.

That's OK. I think he's going to make a great colour guy with more seasoning. He has a little bit of Krukow in him.

John Northey - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 11:21 PM EDT (#238002) #
I suspect at seasons end it will be the end for Johnny Mac. He has his 10 years of service in now, he will be in his age 37 season next year which is normally well past the best before date for non-stars. His bat is down to a 50 OPS+. His defense is not getting the rave reviews it used to. At the end of the year is is most definitely time to say so long and thanks for all the fish.

Could replace him with the youngster Woodward (1 year younger) or (far more likely) McCoy or a free agent all-field no-hit shortstop as there are always a few kicking around and generally they can play 2B and 3B plus emergency OF/1B.
John Northey - Monday, July 04 2011 @ 11:25 PM EDT (#238003) #
Y'know, looking around the Jays minors I wonder if Justin Jackson might be up to the super-utility role? He has played double digit games at 2B/SS/CF/RF this year, has a few games at third as well as in LF. Overall hitting 276/360/393 in A+/AA and I remember rave reviews about his defense years ago.

This is his 5th year in the minors so he will be on the 40 man roster. He is just turning 23 in December, so some potential still there.
TamRa - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 12:12 AM EDT (#238006) #
with all due respect to Diaz and the Johnny Mac comparisons, Jackson is my pick as well. Always has been (though there was a time I'd hoped for more than "super utility" but i'll take what i can get)
TamRa - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 12:15 AM EDT (#238007) #
I'm assuming and expecting that McDonald steps right off the field and into a coaching job of some sort with the team if he wants one. Heck, he could be Gus Pierre's personal infield instructor to start.
dan gordon - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 12:22 AM EDT (#238008) #

I thought Zaun's comments about Snider's swing were very interesting.  I felt he looked pretty much the same when they showed the split screen on him before and after (except for the open stance) and thought where's the big change?  Zaun said that his swing was one handed with a wrist flick, and didn't look like a power swing at all, and I agree.  His 3 doubles today were not hit all that hard, and if that's the way he's been swinging at Las Vegas, I can see why he only hit 2 HR's.  Zaun said he had a lot of power in batting practice, but not in the games because the pitchers were upsetting his timing.  We'll see.  I mean, hey he got 3 hits, so it's hard to complain, but I've always thought he was going to be a real big time power guy and if he's going to be more of a doubles guy who hits .300 with the occasional homer, I'd be disappointed.  Not that a guy who hits doubles and hits .300 is a bad player, but I've been thinking of him as a 30-40 HR guy. Of course, he's also just 23 and power sometimes develops a bit later.

Add me to the group that doesn't really want McDonald back.  Heck, I didn't really want him back when they signed him to the current contract after the 2009 season.  They'd better be prepared for some fan backlash if they don't resign him though - he's VERY popular.

John Lackey looks finished.  What a horrible signing that was.  Three more years at $15,250,000.

Spifficus - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 12:38 AM EDT (#238009) #

When I went back and looked at the Snider side-by-sides, the differences became noticeable. Open stance to start, hands starting at mustache-level instead of above the bill of the helmet, much shorter swing path to the ball, and the hips seem to clear quicker and more, as opposed to drifting forward in the swing and blocking himself off a bit. Also, on the foul ball down the line in the second at bat, you could really see him sitting back and turning open. Add into that the sound the ball was making off the bat, and that the rhythm looked a lot better, and there's a lot to be hopeful for going forward.

Flex - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 09:54 AM EDT (#238019) #
Zaun said exactly what I saw about Snider's swing. The one significant change is that the open stance forces him to step TOWARD the ball as it's pitched, which will help him counter the tendency to pull off the ball. That will help. But to me his swing is still mostly hands, and does not compare favorably with Lind's swing, which to me is a nearly perfect lefty power stroke.
Sano - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 10:02 AM EDT (#238020) #
It's interesting that Snider mentioned in an interview with Arash Madani of RSN that getting his swing back to where it was mostly his hands doing the work was the point of his demotion. He said that before the adjustments all different parts of his body were in motion. He said that the Jays asked him to calm all the action, be straight to the ball and let his hands do the work.
Flex - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 12:07 PM EDT (#238030) #
I know, I heard that too and found it puzzling. It's possible that what a pro hitter means by "hands" and what we see as "hands" is something different. What I see is a guy who's flicking his bat at the ball more often than he's driving into it with a lot of torque.
k caught looking - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 01:35 PM EDT (#238034) #
I have a question: Why not have Bautista in CF? I know he prefers RF but considering he was willing to go back to 3B I can't imagine why he would object. Bautista is already an aware and experienced OF and takes command of the field (even at the plate he is good at helping out his base runners with pitches in the dirt). This move would seem to solve the logjam in the outfield by having Thames in LF and Snider in RF to utilize his stronger arm. I think Bautista would be a better everyday CF than our other options but I'm glad to see Davis hitting the ball again this week.
k caught looking - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 01:44 PM EDT (#238035) #
Of course, I mean after Lawrie is called up to play 3B
92-93 - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 02:01 PM EDT (#238037) #
Bautista doesn't have very good range in RF, so while I do agree that he may be able to handle CF just as well as Snider, I don't it's worth the wear and tear on your best hitter's body to make him play CF. It's not a Josh Hamilton situation where the guy is an excellent defender and it's a delicate balance.
Kasi - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 02:08 PM EDT (#238038) #
Bautista barely has the range to play right. In no way does he have the range to play center. The reason Bautista is average (or a tad below) in right is because of his arm and he doesn't make too many mistakes. His flaws (mainly substandard range) would be much more exposed in CF. Basically his problem is he's not very quick, and you need speed for CF.
CeeBee - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 09:28 PM EDT (#238058) #
The sooner Patterson is relegated to the bench or traded or DFA'd will not be soon enough. Has anybody kept track of the number of base running blunders he's made this year or is it too high to be publicly stated. In all my years of following baseball I can hardly remember such atrociousness.
Nick Holmes - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 09:51 PM EDT (#238060) #
"I can hardly remember such atrociousness."
There was a guy, I think his name was Alex Rios...
greenfrog - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 09:53 PM EDT (#238061) #
Patterson's baseball IQ may be the lowest I've ever seen. Trying to steal third down 3-0, with two outs, two on, and Lind at the plate? Baffling. Of course, that might have been Farrell's call.

Nice attempt at a comeback by the Jays, in any case.
Magpie - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 10:10 PM EDT (#238062) #
Kierkegaard helps. Either: 1) Patterson was running despite having a stop sign in place - Or: 2) he had actually had the green light, contrary to all the laws of man and nature.

If it's Option 1, Patterson needs a stern talking-to. If it's Option 2, the manager does.
Flex - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 10:43 PM EDT (#238064) #
After the game Farrell called the steal attempt "a poor decision" so I guess it's option 1.
Magpie - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 10:50 PM EDT (#238065) #
Farrell called the steal attempt "a poor decision"

I want to know which poor decision it was. The decision to run in that situation, or the decision to run when he did not have permission to run. Because under no circumstances should the decision to run have been Corey Patterson's to make.
Flex - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 11:07 PM EDT (#238066) #
As one of Farrell's "green light" guys, Patterson probably gets to make those decisions generally. Certainly Farrell should have been in charge in that moment, but perhaps he hasn't been doing this long enough to know when to snuff out Patterson's light.
Chuck - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 11:08 PM EDT (#238067) #

Because under no circumstances should the decision to run have been Corey Patterson's to make.

I agree. It's sad that Patterson might actually need formal communication to that effect, however. In the future, a suitable way to convey such a message might be for Butterfield to stand at third base, wave his arms in a "no" gesture, and yell out "do not run".  What this would lack in tact and nuance would be made up for in efficacy.

Ron - Tuesday, July 05 2011 @ 11:32 PM EDT (#238068) #
Frankly I'm stunned that a player with such a low baseball IQ like Patterson actually made it to the majors. He has made more base running blunders this season than players that have played 10+ seasons. A reporter should ask him if he even pays attention to the score when he plays because he seems like he doesn't.


dan gordon - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 12:16 AM EDT (#238069) #

I have changed my mind.  Tony Fernandez is not the worst baserunner the Blue Jays have ever had.  Patterson has now passed him in my opinion - he is profoundly lacking in baseball sense.  The manager has to get his share of the blame for allowing Patterson the right to make that decision, too.

How many guys have the Jays had thrown out at the plate this year?  Don't know if there are any stats on that, but it seems to me they have had a fair number.  Last year, too.  I'd like to know how they compare to other teams.  Butterfield seems too aggressive at times to me.  That hit by McDonald was in very short left field and Encarnacion isn't exactly a speedster.  Of course, with 2 out and Hill coming up, I suppose it's a chance you want to take - see if the guy can make the throw.  Too bad, it would have been a great comeback.  Papelbon didn't look very good at all.  Bard's a better pitcher. 

 

TamRa - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 01:00 AM EDT (#238071) #
As one of Farrell's "green light" guys, Patterson probably gets to make those decisions generally. Certainly Farrell should have been in charge in that moment, but perhaps he hasn't been doing this long enough to know when to snuff out Patterson's light.

I'd be STUNNED if Patterson still had the green light coming into tonight.


smcs - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 02:27 AM EDT (#238072) #
Butterfield seems too aggressive at times to me.  That hit by McDonald was in very short left field and Encarnacion isn't exactly a speedster.  Of course, with 2 out and Hill coming up, I suppose it's a chance you want to take - see if the guy can make the throw.

Put it this way: a very, very good throw followed by an incredible block of the plate by Varitek, and Encarnacion was still safe. That is an automatic send for every player on the Jays roster, but for Jose Molina, and if Jose Molina is the tying run on second with 2 out in the top of the 9th, then something has gone horribly wrong. I was a tad surprised that Escobar didn't come sprinting off the bench when EE reached 2nd, but I'm fine with injured players not playing.

The baserunning blunder notwithstanding (which might have been a balk -- not sure if Albers put his front foot down behind the rubber before taking his back foot of the rubber), I think if the Jays feel Snider is a better fit in CF than Patterson, I don't think I see the reason for Patterson to be on the roster. Maybe they wanted Thames away from the Monster, or put the guy with more experience in front of it (not sure, but Snider might have more innings at Fenway). Everything that Patterson does, somebody who can take his position does better, except speed. But speed doesn't mean much if you have terrible instincts.
Chuck - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 07:14 AM EDT (#238073) #

I think if the Jays feel Snider is a better fit in CF than Patterson, I don't think I see the reason for Patterson to be on the roster.

Amen brother. Patterson's career has lasted as long as it has because he could once play center field. And that would be the only way he'd bring any value to the Jays -- as a center fielder. With that off the table, why is he even here?

Let the purging continue.

BlueJayWay - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 07:43 AM EDT (#238074) #
In the future, a suitable way to convey such a message might be for Butterfield to stand at third base, wave his arms in a "no" gesture, and yell out "do not run".

I'm not sure he'd get the message.  Would that be obvious enough for Patterson?
AWeb - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 08:44 AM EDT (#238076) #

I'd just go ahead and pinch run for him with Molina. Or one of the pitchers. No player who has played baseball for more than a few years should need to be told to absolutely do not run in that situation. Not ever. If Farrell doesn't start benching him for these things (not that I'd expect him to stop running the bases like a five year old), Anthropoulos should just intervene and release him entirely.

Patterson has shown us exactly why he sticks around the majors (flashes of power/average, he's fast, decent defensively) and why he isn't actually good enough and teams keep getting rid of him (terrible plate discipline, terrible baserunner despite speed).

Actually, it just occurred to me (although others have likely written it already) - Patterson seems like a prospect, even though he's way too old for it now. He still has the stereotypical young player problems (can't lay off a high fastball, doesn't use his speed well), and young player skills (tools!)which must seem tantalyzingly fixable to coaches. But they are not fixable. I know nothing of Patterson as a person, but he's an objectively stupid ballplayer. I hate putting it like that because it seems so mean, and he probably has a lot of fun playing the way he does, but I think it is fair. I only hope someone in the clubhouse ripped into him after the game. Lind doesn't seem the type, but that was his chance that Patterson took away...

Shane - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 08:49 AM EDT (#238077) #
Farrell called the steal attempt "a poor decision"

I want to know which poor decision it was. The decision to run in that situation, or the decision to run when he did not have permission to run. Because under no circumstances should the decision to run have been Corey Patterson's to make.
  If this isn't the LAST time Patterson makes a baserunning screw up of that kind, he deserves to be DFA'd, and I hope now/then that he is. His lack of skills in taking charge in centerfield surely is due to being shy. His unatural untalented fielding abilities at this point surely are that he is just not that good at 30 years old. What's wrong with his running the bases is surely to do with his brain. I'm sure he's a lovely person.
Mike Green - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 08:56 AM EDT (#238078) #
It's funny how little things affect the course of a game.  If Hill had gotten the start, it's possible that he makes the play on Drew's hit to prevent a run scoring, and McCoy would then have been available to pinch-run for Encarnacion (and would probably have scored easily).  Players do need to get a day off from time to time.

Cecil seemed to gain strength as the game wore on.  The night off for the bullpen will be appreciated, but probably more importantly, it looks to me like Cecil will be a reliable starter over the second half of the season.

As for Patterson, I was as frustrated as anybody else with the attempt to steal in that situation.  Nonetheless, I think that he still has a useful role on this club as a fourth outfielder at least until Lawrie is ready.

Mike Green - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 08:59 AM EDT (#238079) #
I only hope someone in the clubhouse ripped into him after the game. Lind doesn't seem the type, but that was his chance that Patterson took away...

I wonder what Bautista was thinking when he saw Patterson take off (and followed of course).  Jose would be the player to do the talking at this point, I think.
92-93 - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 10:25 AM EDT (#238080) #
I really wish the media would stop harping on the speed of Cecil's fastball - it has never mattered. A 92 MPH isn't going to blow people anymore than an 89 MPH will, and last night there was enough separation between his fastball and his changeup (which was typically around 80) to be effective. The weird thing is that Cecil's changeup doesn't move like your typical one, so it's hard to differentiate between his curveball and his changeup on TV. Jamie Moyer should be a lesson to all LHP that if you keep the ball down and hit your spots with a good mix of speeds you will be effective, regardless of if you're humming 83, 87, or 91 MPH.

As much as we want to blame the umpire, you can't expect to win baseball games when you have 2 hits entering the 9th inning in Fenway.
greenfrog - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 03:38 PM EDT (#238096) #
I think Cecil's velocity does matter. Other things being equal, throwing 91-93 instead of 87-89 means you're more likely to succeed. Some players have been successful with lower velocity, but how common are they really? The Moyer comp gets tossed about a lot, but it seems to me that he's the exception, not the rule. Baseball is a ruthless Darwinian ecosystem, and pitchers, like hitters, generally need every advantage they can get.

How many hitters would fall by the wayside if you took away 3-4% of their bat speed? A lot, is my guess.
China fan - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 03:59 PM EDT (#238097) #

....I really wish the media would stop harping on the speed of Cecil's fastball - it has never mattered......

Cecil and Farrell have both repeatedly said that it does matter.  And when Cecil was demoted, the Jays made it very clear that it was partly because of his loss of velocity, which they continued to track closely when he was in the minors.  So it's a legitimate issue for the media to report on.

Having said that, Cecil had a very effective start last night.  That's a very good sign for the Jays as they look ahead to 2012.

Mike Green - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 04:17 PM EDT (#238100) #
The issue is not about actual velocity, but separation in velocity between fastball and off-speed stuff (and in particular, the change-up) and deception or lack thereof. 

The list of pitchers who have succeeded without a 90 mph fastball is long.  And left-handed pitchers are particularly numerous on that list.  It helps if they keep the ball down. 

Alex Obal - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 06:01 PM EDT (#238103) #
(0-1. Frank Francisco throws 97 mph belt-high fastball right down the middle to Babe Ruth, taken for strike two.)

M. Bartinez: "Boy, that might be the best fastball he's thrown all year. This is the Frank Francisco the Blue Jays thought they were getting from Texas."
Chuck - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 06:13 PM EDT (#238104) #

M. Bartinez: "Boy, that might be the best fastball he's thrown all year. This is the Frank Francisco the Blue Jays thought they were getting from Texas."

T. Pabler: "Pedroia may be 4'9" but he still swings hard. He's one of the best second basemans in baseball."

Bartinez: "You know the plural of man is men, right?"

Pabler: "And you know that the plural of RBI is RBIs, right?"

Alex Obal - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 06:26 PM EDT (#238105) #
Beavis and Butthead-manqués laughter ensues.
Paul D - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 08:42 PM EDT (#238107) #

Pabler: "And you know that the plural of RBI is RBIs, right?"

I'm not convinced.
greenfrog - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 09:20 PM EDT (#238108) #
How about RsBI? That should make everyone happy :)
Magpie - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 09:52 PM EDT (#238110) #
Movement and location trumps velocity, always has and always will.

"At this level, hard, hard, harder just gets hit, hit, hit."
Kasi - Wednesday, July 06 2011 @ 10:06 PM EDT (#238111) #
Anyone care to explain Romero vs the Sox? Over his entire career he's had the most starts against them, and he's made the entire team look Bondsian. Their OPS+ numbers against him are >180, which is just crazy. I'd say small sample size, but 11 starts isn't really that anymore. He needs to get that 8+ ERA against them down.
greenfrog - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 03:54 AM EDT (#238117) #
"Movement and location trumps velocity, always has and always will."

This sounds like a baseball truism, but is a bit misleading. Relatively few pitchers in the majors have the combination of movement and location to allow them to succeed with lower levels of velocity (say, below 87 MPH). Of course, some (like Moyer or Wakefield) have succeeded as soft tossers. Others (like Marcum) are outstanding pitchers despite only average velocity.

But there is a reason why velocity is a significant component of so many amateur scouting reports. Look at the best starters in each league, the ones you want fronting your rotation in the playoffs: Verlander, King Felix, Sabathia, Weaver, Beckett (AL). In the NL, consider Doc, Lee, Hamels, Lincecum, Kershaw, Jurrjens, Hanson, Cain. (Feel free to pick another group that stacks up against these ones.) There are lots of reasons why elite pitchers are successful, but most rely at least to some extent on decent velo.
92-93 - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 07:47 AM EDT (#238118) #
Interesting names you chose. While the AL guys all have good fastball velocity, the NL guys for the most part are average at best - Kershaw and Lincecum can dial it up but the rest sit in the low 90s.

The speed that flashes on the board after a pitcher's pitch really doesn't mean a thing. What the gun says is 94 out of one guy's hand could feel like 90 to a hitter based on the pitcher's release point, angles, and planes, whereas a 90mph pitch could "explode" on by you like a 95mph pitch. The hitters will tell you when a pitcher has good velocity, not the gun.
hypobole - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 08:41 AM EDT (#238119) #
Soft tossers can be successful, but many pitchers who lose multiple mph off their fastballs often don't have the skillset to adjust, and end up being very hittable. Javy Vasquez and Scott Kazmir are 2 recent examples.
Spifficus - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 09:12 AM EDT (#238120) #
And that's more the issue, not whether Cecil is a soft tosser or not, but that he was down over 2 ticks at the beginning of the year. It's not that below-average velo pitchers can't succeed; they most certainly can if they do enough other things well (or better). The issue is that Cecil had his success while having average velocity (and touching higher), but he didn't have that at the beginning of the year which really killed his margin for error.
Spifficus - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 09:15 AM EDT (#238121) #
I should add that he compounded the issue by leaving the ball up, presumably from overthrowing to try to go from 86-88 to his more customary 89-91.
greenfrog - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 10:08 AM EDT (#238123) #
92-92: throwing in the low-90s is decent velocity in my book (probably slightly above average). While a pitcher can be successful at 87 MPH or below, my point is that virtually all of the elite starters in the game have at least average velocity (assuming, for the sake of argument, that an average MLB fastball is around 89-91 MPH). While movement and location are key attributes, it doesn't make sense to say that they always "trump" velocity when the top starters tend to have average to plus velocity. There is a reason why teams covet players like Gerrit Cole and Stephen Strasburg (as opposed to, say, Brad Mills).
92-93 - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 11:48 AM EDT (#238146) #

While movement and location are key attributes, it doesn't make sense to say that they always "trump" velocity when the top starters tend to have average to plus velocity.

The ERA leader in each league, Jered Weaver and Jair Jurrjens, has a below average fastball velocity. The guys you perceive to be top starters might have better velocity, but the actual performance charts are littered with guys like Jaime Garcia, Trevor Cahill, Kyle Lohse, Doug Fister, Shaun Marcum, Brett Myers, Carl Pavano, etc...

There is a reason why teams covet players like Gerrit Cole and Stephen Strasburg (as opposed to, say, Brad Mills).

Teams look for upside in players, and when a guy can only throw 90 he's going to need to have reliable secondary pitches to be effective to get by. When I said fastball velocity is irrelevant, I meant it in the sense that it shouldn't be at the forefront of Cecil's mind all week while he prepares for his starts, and he doesn't need to be hearing John Farrell confirm the fact that his fastball velocity is so important. Why? Because the minute he throws one 88mph that is crushed (a la Uggla in the spring) he is going to start to lose confidence again, believing that the reason he is giving up taters is because he can't reach back and throw it by people anymore, a skill he really never actually possessed with his average fastball. In reality the important things for him are location and mixing speeds, not maxing out on them.

There's a reason why teams coveted Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee (as opposed to, say, Edwin Jackson).

robertdudek - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 12:35 PM EDT (#238157) #
Roy Halladay was coveted because he had a 96 mph fastball when he was a teenager.

When looking at draft prospect or teenage pitchers in general, the number one thing scouts look for is a good fastball. They figure a guy with a great fastball might lose a couple MPH and still be effective, and that they can teach a guy with a great arm to throw quality offspeed stuff and can develop better control as he matures.

Most of those fireballers never do develop enough other skills to make it to the majors. but it remains true that having a great fastball greatly increases the chances of success, just like being tall increases the odds of becoming a successful NBA player.

Geez, is this so hard to figure out?
greenfrog - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 01:34 PM EDT (#238162) #
Exactly. Cliff Lee wasn't drafted as a finesse pitcher either. Per John Sickels:

"Cliff Lee was drafted by the Montreal Expos in the fourth round in 2000, out of the University of Arkansas, where he'd posted a 4.45 ERA and a 77/52 K/BB ratio in 65 innings, showing a strong strikeout rate but struggling with his control. He owned a 90-94 MPH fastball, and his curve, slider, and changeup were all promising, but because of the command problem and a disciplinary suspension, he lasted until the fourth round..."

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/1/22/1950656/cliff-lee-career-profile
92-93 - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 01:40 PM EDT (#238164) #
Of course I was referring to 2010, when the 3 pitchers were traded.
Spifficus - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 02:07 PM EDT (#238166) #
Considering fangraphs pegs his fastball velos at 91.3 (4-seamer) and 91.6 (2-seamer), i wouldn't exactly say he's lost his stuff. Sure, he might be considered a command/control guy, but that's because they're outstanding; he still has above-average velocity for a starter.... Especially a lefty.
Spifficus - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 02:09 PM EDT (#238167) #
...Annnnnnd, that previous post was about Lee.
bpoz - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 06:09 PM EDT (#238191) #
A great FB 93+ is good. That is why I get so excited about J Roenicke, M Valdez & D Purcey. Even with little success, someone is always willing to give them a chance. B Mills, A Liebel, R Boone & Z Stewart,need success to be of interest, even if that success was 1 or 2 years ago. The thinking IMO is that if they recently had success then they can do it again.

Cecil, Litsch, Morrow & Drabek may not all be successes or failures. If they are all failures the Jays suck for the next 2 years, if they all succeed the Jays probably make the playoffs. In between, I don't know.

Magpie - Thursday, July 07 2011 @ 07:22 PM EDT (#238195) #
They figure a guy with a great fastball might lose a couple MPH and still be effective, and that they can teach a guy with a great arm to throw quality offspeed stuff and can develop better control as he matures.

I know that's why they think that way - you just can't teach velocity. No doubt. But I don't think they can teach the other stuff, either. I think they've got roughly the same chance to teach a guy how to pitch as they do of teaching him to throw 95. It's not going to happen very often.

All things being equal, a 95 mph fastball is better than a 90 mph fastabll. But all things are never equal, ever. And generally the harder a pitcher tries to throw, the more his ball straightens out, and the less likely he is to hit his spots. Yes, Roy Halladay threw 97-98 when he first hit the majors, and that's why scouts were so excited. But major league hitters weren't all that impressed. They ate him for breakfast and asked for seconds. He became a great pitcher when he stopped trying to throw so damned hard.
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