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Any excuse for a new thread! Anyway, Eric Thames is back, and Mike McCoy's frequent flier points are becoming truly awesome. Do you wanna go to the moon? Mike can take you...


Meanwhile, in our southern neighbour's capital, GM Mike Rizzo called Jim Riggleman's bluff. Riggleman wanted the GM to pick up his option for 2012. When he didn't, Riggleman resigned. That probably won't help him land another gig...
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Kasi - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 07:21 PM EDT (#237357) #
Don't see how this does much unless Bautista goes back to third. Or if Thames is given a full time job I guess and Patterson and Davis platoon center field.
Shane - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 07:37 PM EDT (#237359) #
And Thames can't play CF any better than Patterson?
Kasi - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 07:39 PM EDT (#237360) #
As much as I'd like to say he could, no he can't. Thames doesn't have the speed for CF. Snider from what I've read though does.
Shane - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 07:39 PM EDT (#237361) #
  There you go Bautista-back-to-3rd base folks:   ArdenZwelling Arden Zwelling Anthopoulos: Bautista goes back to third base. Thames will play left field, right field or DH. #BlueJays
Mylegacy - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 07:48 PM EDT (#237362) #
I understand Snider was playing a lot of  CF in Lost Wages.

SOON, VERY SOON, I expect to see: Thames (L) LF, Snider (L) CF, Bautista (R) RF, Loewen (L) / Rivera (R) Share DH, Lawrie (R) 3rd, Escobar (R) SS, Hill (R) 2nd, Lind (L) and 1st, JPA (R) C.

Escobar (R)
Snider (L)
Bautista (R)
Lind (L)
Lawrie (R)
Thames (L)
JPA (R)
Loewen/Rivera (L)(R)
Hill (R)

Kasi - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 07:49 PM EDT (#237363) #
Good news is that Snider is cleared now to play. Tests all came back negative.

Bad news is that Lawrie still can't swing a bat yet. So that's a shame, but at least Bautista can handle the hot corner for a bit now.
Magpie - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 07:55 PM EDT (#237364) #
Anthopoulos also says that while Snider's MRI was clean (and he can presumably return to action) Lawrie is healing more slowly than expected, and may not be ready to play until August. Which would effectively make him a September call-up. So Bautista may be at third base for the next couple of months. I certainly can't see the point of doing this only for the remaining inter-league games, after which Thames could DH.

Not very keen about Thames in RF, if everything everyone says about his defensive skill set is true.
92-93 - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 08:00 PM EDT (#237365) #
Griffin hinted strongly at this last night if you read his game story and follow @RGriffinStar & @NorthYorkJays. I like the move a lot, and assume it was cleared with Bautista today by both Farrell and AA before they made the move to promote Thames. As much as we all really know the Blue Jays aren't really contenders, the players on the field should still believe they are in it and it's good to see that Bautista is willing to step up for his manager. Hopefully it isn't too long until he can back to RF.

The off day gives the Jays the opportunity to switch up the rotation if Cecil pitches well tonight for Vegas. Reyes could go Monday at Detroit and Cecil would open the series at home vs. the Pirates.
Maldoff - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 08:09 PM EDT (#237366) #
92-93, don't forget Jesse Litsch who made a start for New Hampshire tonight.
Mike Green - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 08:26 PM EDT (#237367) #
I don't care for the move of Bautista to third. It likely means an outfield of Thames, Patterson and Davis. In other words, no platoon where there ought to be one.
92-93 - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 08:32 PM EDT (#237368) #
Snider's impending return creates that platoon. Once he gets going again he'll be back. He may even see time in CF.

Litsch would be a candidate to replace Stewart as well, but I assume being pulled after 3.2ip (4h 0r 0bb 3k) means he still needs some more time to get stretched out. I'm rooting for Cecil, he belongs in the rotation because at this point it's hard to claim his problems are mechanical. Let's see what we have.
cybercavalier - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 08:56 PM EDT (#237369) #
Good news, but Nix is more preferrably to be sent down. McCoy has the versatility, speed, base stealing, and plate discipline to beat JohnnyMac. Nix's bat may create more power and contact, but McCoy bring more assets valuable to the Jays. Also sending a veteran 5 times to AAA is not much a courtesy to the player.
greenfrog - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 09:31 PM EDT (#237370) #
Happy for Thames. The guy definitely deserves another shot.
Mike Green - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 09:43 PM EDT (#237371) #
I wish the best for Travis Snider, but surely we know enough now about concussions to be guarded about the imminence of his return to major league baseball.
smcs - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 10:19 PM EDT (#237373) #
Snider's impending return creates that platoon. Once he gets going again he'll be back. He may even see time in CF.

Right, can we just nip this one in the bud right now? He will be, at best, a 3rd option to play CF after Davis and Patterson. I will go so far as to guarantee that Snider will play less in CF than Glaus played at SS for the Jays. Even further, I will guarantee that Snider plays less in CF than Molitor played at 3B for the Jays.
hypobole - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 11:13 PM EDT (#237374) #

Good news, but Nix is more preferrably to be sent down.

Nix can't be sent down. He's out of options. Jay's could DFA him, which will almost certainly occur sooner or later anyway.

John Northey - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 11:18 PM EDT (#237375) #
Howsabout doing it this way...
Games in CF
Snider: 4 in 2011, career games = 4 plus 4 innings in the majors this year
Mike McCoy: 2 games this year in CF, 43 lifetime in minors plus 5 more in the majors including 3 this year.
Loewen: 8 games in CF this year

Snider is 6th in games played in CF for Vegas this year. 6th. That should tell you how much 'confidence' the Jays have in his ability to be out in CF everyday.
The_Game - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 11:45 PM EDT (#237376) #
There's got to be a better solution than turning our franchise RF (a guy who has become well known as an OF, as his AS votes would indicate) into a stopgap 3B. It makes even less sense that they've decided to do this in a lost season, a season in which they've spent three months content with scrubs comprising half the lineup.

If they really don't want Jayson Nix/Mike McCoy/Edwin Encarnacion to play 3B for them for the next two months, go out and find some other replacement level player to play the position. Why disrespect Bautista in the process? The whole world is treating him like a star, but his own team can't do the same?

When Lawrie returns, the optics of a rookie pushing our best player off 3B (where he could conceivably be succeeding) will also look bad. I don't see the point.

krose - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 11:54 PM EDT (#237377) #

Tomorrow's lineup??

Escobar, Patterson, Bautista, Lind , Arencibia, Thames, Hill, Rivera, Encarnacion.

brent - Thursday, June 23 2011 @ 11:59 PM EDT (#237378) #
I wouldn't count on a Nix DFA so soon. You have to remember that this was a guy GM AA was interested  in for awhile before he got his hands on him. He's also Aaron Hill insurance in case of injury/trade.
krose - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 12:17 AM EDT (#237379) #

MacDonald and McCoy should be enough insurance to cover the infield in case someone goes down. Nix's job could be on the line if he doesn't start to produce.

I'm guessing we'll see a stronger hitting lineup and a weaker defensive alignment for the next few games.

TamRa - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 12:26 AM EDT (#237380) #
I said all through the spring, before it wasrevealt Bautista was going to RF, that i didn't understand the Jays flat insistance that snider would play ONLY LF this season, and i still don't.

Snider was always a RF till he got here, and by reports a reasonable one. I understand moving him for Bautista - I don't understand having Davis or Thames there in front of him (when he arrives.

the obvious alignment, to me, has Snider in RF, Thames in LF, and the stiffs in CF.

I can watch that every night until Lawrie arrives. Then re-evaluate LF and CF and the available candidates based on the added information between now and then.

Oh, and let EE DH every night and if Rivera goes to seed, oh well, we haven't lost much.

John Northey - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 08:42 AM EDT (#237389) #
If Rivera at an 87 OPS+ isn't 'gone to seed' I fear what it would look like.

Checking splits I see Rivera has hit well vs LH (348/436/500) but that is just 55 PA. At 1B he has hit 325/348/530 over 89 PA. Batting 5th he has hit 311/367/495 over 116 PA. Vs pitchers who are neither power or finesse he has hit 353/400/529 over 75 PA (pure power OPS+ 69, pure finesse OPS+ of 56).

So let Rivera play at 1B batting 5th against LH's who are neither power nor finesse pitchers. :)
BalzacChieftain - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:09 AM EDT (#237390) #

There's got to be a better solution than turning our franchise RF (a guy who has become well known as an OF, as his AS votes would indicate) into a stopgap 3B.

Can't disagree with this. As was stated earlier, the Jays have been throwing scrubs out there (3B) since Opening Day, why stop now just because the team is even further out of the dreamy wild card picture. If management wanted to do this, it should have been done back on Opening Day as planned and used Encarnacion strictly as a DH, as was promised. Now because of the ineffectiveness of the rest of the outfielders, Bautista is moved to 3B, ensuring that Patterson and Davis are likely NOT going to be platooned. Doesn't make much sense to me, but hey, hopefully Thames lights it up.

BalzacChieftain - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:23 AM EDT (#237391) #

Anyone care to take a shot at what good ol' boy Richard Griffin means in his latest piece with this statement?

"Escobar has not showed the offensive instincts of a true major-league leadoff man."

http://www.thestar.com/sports/baseball/mlb/bluejays/article/1014063--griffin-jays-need-to-shuffle-deck-with-bautista-at-third-base

Seems way off to me. Let's take one of the 3 players who can get on base out of the leadoff position because he has the ultimately subjective "bad instincts." Griffin often pains me, but it's my own sin for reading.

Jonny German - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:31 AM EDT (#237392) #
With Griff means is that Escobar is lacking the instinct to run really fast.
Ryan Day - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:38 AM EDT (#237393) #
I don't think anyone, either the Jays or Bautista, wants him playing third. The Jays thought they could make do at third with some combination of Encarnacion and Nix until Lawrie was ready at midseason. But Encarnacion seems to have developed glove anxiety, Nix hasn't met even the middling expectations for his performance, and now Lawrie may not be ready until September.

I suspect moving  Bautista back to third was the last resort. But this, friends, is a time for last resorts.

Mike Green - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:39 AM EDT (#237394) #
I think that you are being too kind, Jonny.  Griffin talks about Escobar being better suited to being an RBI bat rather than a leadoff hitter.  This is the kind of topic where the slash line does tell a pretty simple story, but slash lines are for the business section only...
92-93 - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:46 AM EDT (#237395) #
I find it funny that the same people who don't want to disrespect Bautista wanted to move Wells out of CF. They also probably laugh at the New York Yankees for continuing to roll out Jeter & Posada, applauded the Angels for moving Torii, and think it's great that Pujols plays 3B in a pinch.

I too was upset all winter that Bautista5/Snider9 wasn't how they were going to open the year, but these notions that the Jays should not make the correct moves out of respect for a player because they are 36-39 is really silly. Every single player in that clubhouse still believes they are contenders, and should. If Bautista didn't want to move to 3B to help the team get better, there would be a problem.
Anders - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:50 AM EDT (#237396) #
My take on the subject is that this is a bit of a panic move.

With that being said, getting Thames at bats (and presumably Snider soon also) is clearly more helpful/important than giving McCoy/Nix/McDonald at bats, so I can live with that.

This whole Brett Lawrie thing is real annoying.

The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:10 AM EDT (#237397) #

I find it funny that the same people who don't want to disrespect Bautista wanted to move Wells out of CF. They also probably laugh at the New York Yankees for continuing to roll out Jeter & Posada, applauded the Angels for moving Torii, and think it's great that Pujols plays 3B in a pinch.


#1. There was a long-term reason to move Vernon Wells off the position. There isn't one here...they're turning their best player into a stopgap solution in a lost season. It's going to be very awkward when Lawrie is taking the spot of the team's best player whenever he arrives.

 

 #2. There's nothing wrong with moving Bautista to 3rd, just as there was nothing wrong with moving Wells to LF. If you're going to do it, though, you should be doing it at the beginning of the year, not mid-season. Bautista is not just some utility guy, anymore. He’s a legitimate star (and as the AS vote suggests, perhaps the biggest star in all of baseball). Stars don’t switch positions in this league mid-season.

 

I too was upset all winter that Bautista5/Snider9 wasn't how they were going to open the year, but these notions that the Jays should not make the correct moves out of respect for a player because they are 36-39 is really silly.

Not just a player. He's the best outfielder in the entire league and he's more than earned the right to choose the position he wants to play (especially because he's actually better defensively in right field than 3rd). 

 

 Every single player in that clubhouse still believes they are contenders, and should. If Bautista didn't want to move to 3B to help the team get better, there would be a problem.

There's not a chance that's true. They know exactly what they're up against and how long the odds are. Of course Bautista isn’t going to deny them, but I find it incredible that the Jays would even ask after allowing the team to fall out of the race with Jayson Nix for a month.

bpoz - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:16 AM EDT (#237398) #
Can someone count the days that Thames was in LV after his demotion? I count 21 days, so he burned an option.
Matthew E - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:17 AM EDT (#237399) #
I wouldn't call it a panic move. The Jays thought they could build a serviceable third baseman out of spare parts that they could use until Lawrie was ready, and that was a reasonable thing for them to think. They were wrong, though; it didn't work. They gave it a good long chance and it didn't work; the Jays third-base play this year hasn't even been replacement-level. You can't call yourself a major league team if you accept that kind of performance over the long term; you have to address it.

So now it's time to try something else. What are the risks of this? They might alienate their (supposed) superstar by getting him to play a position he doesn't like for a while. I assume that, if this was a real problem, they wouldn't have done it. Or Thames might be worse than the third basemen so far. I don't think he will be, but if he is, it's easily reversed.
bpoz - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:19 AM EDT (#237400) #
Sorry he left the Jays on June 4th, so he did not burn any options.
Anders - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:42 AM EDT (#237401) #
I wouldn't call it a panic move. The Jays thought they could build a serviceable third baseman out of spare parts that they could use until Lawrie was ready, and that was a reasonable thing for them to think. They were wrong, though; it didn't work. They gave it a good long chance and it didn't work; the Jays third-base play this year hasn't even been replacement-level. You can't call yourself a major league team if you accept that kind of performance over the long term; you have to address it.

So now it's time to try something else. What are the risks of this? They might alienate their (supposed) superstar by getting him to play a position he doesn't like for a while. I assume that, if this was a real problem, they wouldn't have done it. Or Thames might be worse than the third basemen so far. I don't think he will be, but if he is, it's easily reversed.

It's a panic move in the sense that: they weren't hitting, they decided something needed to be done, and this is what they did. I don't know or think that Bautista would have a problem with it, though his stated preference is to play the outfield. It's just that, when this is said and done, Bautista is going back to right, and Lawrie to 3rd base. This is going to be a six week thing, and it's unlikely to make any substantive changes to their overall chances.

It's not like the third base situation is any different than it was at the beginning of the year. Jayson Nix has never been a good player, nor McCoy in particular, and we've had Edwin for 2 years so it's not like what he is/was should be a surprise. When they considered things on balance at the beginning of the year, they chose to put Bautista in right, and this would have been at a time when Lawrie was even further from making his big league debut. They are now shifting Bautista and will quickly shift him back, so they can win one more game between now and the middle of August (with the ancillary benefit of more Thames at bats.)

I don't necessarily disagree with the move - it improves the ball club, and is going to give Eric Thames at bats, which is only a positive. Just let's be clear, the primary motivation for this is change for the sake of change - Farrell made a bunch of comments to this affect also.
92-93 - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:48 AM EDT (#237402) #

He's the best outfielder in the entire league

Wrong. He has been the best hitter in the entire league - his defense continues to be vastly overrated.

Stars don’t switch positions in this league mid-season.

Except apparently Torii Hunter, the 9 time Gold Glover who was moved out of CF last season when the Angels were 8 games back in August.

and he's more than earned the right to choose the position he wants to play

No player earns this right. The manager chooses where and when a player plays, and any change to that is a serious problem.

It's going to be very awkward when Lawrie is taking the spot of the team's best player whenever he arrives.

So essentially because Lawrie was in the system you are saying the Blue Jays HAD to move Bautista to RF to start the year, and are not allowed to move him off that position until his contract is up. That's swell. And if less than halfway into the season the players already think the season is over, it's going to be a long summer.

 

 

Jonny German - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:54 AM EDT (#237403) #
The prevailing assumption is that the Jays asked Bautista to move to 3rd until Lawrie is ready. What if it was actually Bautista's suggestion?
The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 11:06 AM EDT (#237404) #

Wrong. He has been the best hitter in the entire league - his defense continues to be vastly overrated.

Go to FanGraphs, look up major league outfielders on the WAR list and tell me who you find on the top. He's the best overall outfielder in baseball (offense and defense combined).

And, for the record, Bautista's defense is even worse at third.

 

Except apparently Torii Hunter, the 9 time Gold Glover who was moved out of CF last season when the Angels were 8 games back in August. and he's more than earned the right to choose the position he wants to play.

Except they didn't do that to make Hunter a stopgap in a lost season. They brought in a far superior defensive player to replace a regressing player and made the change to help the ballclub in the long-term. The Jays, on the other hand, are moving Bautista into a position that he's just going to have to move from again in a few that months.

  No player earns this right. The manager chooses where and when a player plays, and any change to that is a serious problem.

I'm sure some managers would like to believe that, but that isn't the case in this day and age of baseball. There's a reason AA and Farrell called Bautista up to get him to agree to this move before they finalized it.

So essentially because Lawrie was in the system you are saying the Blue Jays HAD to move Bautista to RF to start the year, and are not allowed to move him off that position until his contract is up. That's swell. And if less than halfway into the season the players already think the season is over, it's going to be a long summer.

Not at all. I'm saying if they wanted Bautista at 3B, they should have put him there to begin the year. Nothing has actually changed (they still aren't trying to win in a "development year," Lawrie is still months away, and their mediocre/terrible 3B options are all still here). Unless AA owns Bautista in his fantasy dynasty league, asking him to move positions mid-season in a lost year makes little sense at all.

Chuck - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 11:09 AM EDT (#237405) #

Baseball is not exactly deep in third basemen these days.

  • Youkilis moves back to 3B to replace Beltre (and obviously to accommodate Gonzalez)
  • Pujols plays some 3B in a pinch for the first time in a decade
  • Talk now of returning Bautista to 3B as an interim measure
  • Oakland tries to create a 3B out of a Tiger 2B castoff Scott Sizemore
  • the Giants had been using Tejada's withered corpse (albeit as an injury replacement)
  • the Dodgers thought Uribe was a good idea
  • Arizona has gotten surprisingly good work from former Jay farmhand Ryan Roberts
  • Cleveland is using David Magadan wannabe Jack Hannahan
  • Chone Figgins is no longer alternating good years and bad ones

Texas tried moving Michael Young's oversized contract in the off-season and couldn't. You'd think that given the current 3B environment that they would still be able to head down this path in the next off-season if they had a mind to (I don't see them moving Young mid this season given the eminently winnable division they are playing in).

92-93 - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 12:02 PM EDT (#237407) #

Go to FanGraphs, look up major league outfielders on the WAR list and tell me who you find on the top.

His overall WAR would be relevant if I hadn't specifically pointed to the fact we are discussing his defensive capabilities in RF, which aren't much outside of a hose.

Except they didn't do that to make Hunter a stopgap in a lost season.

I brought Hunter up as a direct response to your quote of "Stars don’t switch positions in this league mid-season", yet you chose to defend the idea of Bautista being a "stop gap". One has nothing to do with the other, and clearly stars DO switch positions mid-season, even if their teams are way out of the playoff race. Stick to the points if you want to carry a conversation. (And if you're going to try and tell me stars don't switch positions as stop gap solutions, Pujols & Youkilis beg to differ.)

Not at all. I'm saying if they wanted Bautista at 3B, they should have put him there to begin the year. Nothing has actually changed (they still aren't trying to win in a "development year," Lawrie is still months away, and their mediocre/terrible 3B options are all still here).

But then they'd be forced into a situation of It's going to be very awkward when Lawrie is taking the spot of the team's best player whenever he arrives"! According to you, AA was damned if he did, damned if he didn't. And something HAS changed - Nix & EE have proven they can't handle 3B for an extended period of time. When JP kept rolling out turds like Kevin Mench and Brad Wilkerson, it drove us up the wall because he refused to shake things up. Now that AA is reacting (not overreacting, it's been 2.5 months) to his current team needs, people are upset?

I personally believed that Bautista should have opened the season at 3B, but that's only because I would have had no problem with Lawrie forcing his way on to the team and shifting Bautista into the OF.

uglyone - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 12:04 PM EDT (#237408) #
I have a hunch that AA might think it's time to see if we have anything here with loewen. i would not be surprised in the least to see loewen replacing nix after this series, while we remain ultra patient and cautious with snider.

I don't get why people would make a big deal over joey moving to third...it's probably silly that we haven't tried it yet this year given our laughable production from the hot corner.

what is interesting to me is wondering exactly how longterm AA is looking when he says "entrenched". With the jays being fairly deep in corner OF prospects (snider, thames, loewen, sierra), moving joey to third opens up some room for them...and then raises the interesting possibility of lawrie sliding back over to second.

now i don't think that's likely, but it's an interesting possibility IMO.
cybercavalier - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 12:42 PM EDT (#237409) #
Re uglyone:

Regarding the 3B situation, I do think AA is exploring different options with the grand picture or plan to laid back on.

At the beginning of 2011 season,

Category 1) Thames and Loewen needs time for their developments.
1.1.) Loewen strikes out too much and does not walk enough, while playing his first season in AAA
1.2.) Thames has not ever played in MLB while also only in his first season in AAA.
1.2.1. and 1.1.1.) JP Arencibia struggled in his first season in AAA.
1.2.2. and 1.1.2.) Arencibia is at least a better hitting prospect than Loewen.
1.3.) Snider was not expected to be redeveloped but he has been, which falls into category 1
1.4.) Cooper also needs time for developments, which falls in to category 1, but his progress doesn't affect as much as Thames and Loewen do.
1.5.) Joey Bats can play 3B or corner OFs.
1.6.) Patterson and Davis can play all OFs
1.6.1.) Patterson and Davis' bats have not been that good, career-wise.
1.7.) Low supply of 3B in MLB
1.8.) Nix, EE, McCoy, JohnnyMac can play at 3B
1.9.) Joey Bats playing RF is a good choice while combining all factors above.

Category 2) an option of Jays playing 3B and OF.
2.1) Given the supply of 3B is low in MLB, 3B men are sought for.
2.1.1) AA could stock up values in 3B for trading
2.1.2.) Nix, EE, McCoy, JohnnyMac are all tried at 3B
2.1.2.1.) Nix was acquired for cash from the Indians -- low cost of transaction
2.1.2.1.) EE was reacquired under a cheaper contract -- lowered cost of transaction
2.1.2.1.) McCoy is a bench player graduating from AAA -- low cost of transaction
2.1.2.1.) JohnnyMac is "what you see is what you get" -- low cost of transaction
2.1.3.) AA can potentially increase the values of Jays' assets in players from 4 players.
2.1.4.) Thames et al. are playing in AAA; window of opportunity for more or less the first half of the season is open for AA to take action in his value creation at 3B.

Category 3) the 2B situation
3.1.) Hill is not hitting well
3.2.) Lawrie could play 2B, 3B or corner OF and catching
3.3.) An opening for 3B due to the reason stated above.
3.4.) Lawrie could come up to MLB as a 3B man while giving Hill a season to improve from 2010.

Now that AA is reacting (not overreacting, it's been 2.5 months) to his current team needs.

Given all the above reasons in categories, I agree.

cybercavalier - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 12:52 PM EDT (#237410) #
3.5.) Nix can also play 2B.
3.5.1.) Nix is backup #2 behind Lawrie for Hill.
3.5.2.) McCoy is backup #3.

Also, but not truly related to Jays.

Josh Fields at Colorado AAA is hitting well as a former MLB starting 3B men. Would it make sense to trade for him, especially given the changes of things on Nix ?

smcs - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 02:03 PM EDT (#237413) #
Josh Fields at Colorado AAA is hitting well as a former MLB starting 3B men. Would it make sense to trade for him, especially given the changes of things on Nix ?

Colorado Springs is the Pacific Coast League of the Pacific Coast League. The team is averaging above 7 runs for and against per game. Don't take a grain of salt with stats from Colorado Springs, take the whole shaker.
Ron - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 02:38 PM EDT (#237415) #

Goldstein responded to AA’s tirade on his latest podcast:

 - 4 different people told him the Jays had a deal with Beede.

- the Jays violated the rule of negotiating with a player/pre-draft deal before the draft but this happens all the time. He provided examples of Butler, Bush, and Gonzalez

- he read the letter from Beede’s father telling teams not to contact his son because he was going to Vanderbilt and looked forward to being a top 5 pick in 2014

- no team was going to waste a pick on Beede unless they knew they could sign him

- likes the fact the Jays are aggressive in the draft and thinks AA is a bright GM

- hasn’t talked to AA directly after this story came out

Gerry - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 02:51 PM EDT (#237417) #

I don't know who is right re: Beede but Goldstein's argument is not very strong.

First, the Jays are very tight with news.  I doubt they have told anyone that there is a deal even if there is one.

Second, just because four people tell you something doesn't mean four people heard it independently.  Keith Law said it but he said he heard it from Goldstein, is that two people or one?

Third, Beede was expected to go to college but the Jays took him anyway.  Other teams, perhaps to cover their butts as to why they didn't take him, could have said the Jays might have had a deal with him.  That goes along the line and the Jays might have had a deal becomes the Jays must have had a deal which becomes the Jays had a deal.

In any event it's a "he said, she said" situation.

Anders - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 02:52 PM EDT (#237418) #

Goldstein responded to AA’s tirade on his latest podcast:

 - 4 different people told him the Jays had a deal with Beede.

I think it's pretty obvious there was a deal. Anthopoulos is obligated to deny it, and there's no inherent reason why Goldstein, Law, etc. would just make something like this up. By being so forceful about it, as opposed to just ignoring it and assuming the commissioner's office would do the same, AA is taking a page out of the JP media relations playbook. Let's hope it's only a momentary lapse.

Though "It's not a lie if we know the truth" was a pretty great modern-Orwellianism.

vw_fan17 - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 03:37 PM EDT (#237420) #
Anthopoulos is obligated to deny it, and there's no inherent reason why Goldstein, Law, etc. would just make something like this up.

No inherent reason why Keith "we hates it forever" Law would make up something/repeat something less-than-rosy sounding about the Jays?
Spifficus - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 03:44 PM EDT (#237421) #

No inherent reason why Keith "we hates it forever" Law would make up something/repeat something less-than-rosy sounding about the Jays?

My sarcasm meter's broken today. You are joking, right?

Kelekin - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:00 PM EDT (#237423) #
Anyone who is an avid fan of Goldstein's work knows that he is not the type to throw out random statements like this if he wasn't certain they are true.  His job is not dependent on whether or not he makes up rumours, that's not what Baseball Prospectus does.

Keith Law doesn't hate the Jays, so whoever believes that needs to get over it.  He hated JP Ricciardi, his former boss.  Huge difference.
Mike Green - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:02 PM EDT (#237424) #
Though "It's not a lie if we know the truth" was a pretty great modern-Orwellianism

The comment would fit well in a Dali picture, bent timepieces and all.  If the speaker of the comment had a Dali moustache, or a Rollie Fingers' one, the effect would definitely be enhanced.  Surrealist management coming to a drive-through near you...
uglyone - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:03 PM EDT (#237425) #
meh, Keith has continued to take unwarranted potshots at the Jays long since JP left.
Matthew E - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:16 PM EDT (#237430) #
I've been paying attention to Law's utterances on his blog, his Twitter account, and most of his chats and I don't see an anti-Jays bias at all.
Matthew E - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:21 PM EDT (#237431) #
Interestingly, Keith Law's name is an anagram for three different ways of reaching base safely.

KEITH LAW = HIT, WALK, E

Chuck - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:28 PM EDT (#237433) #

If the speaker of the comment had a Dali moustache, or a Rollie Fingers' one

Some moustaches are more equal than others.

TamRa - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:43 PM EDT (#237434) #
I seriously don't grok the emotionalism over moving Bautista temporarily.

This is entierly a non-issue. And most especially since Bautista is widely reported to be an off-the-charts "makeup" guy. there's no way a person getting the respect he's getting around baseball right now feels disrespected by management.

This move was not really brought on by the sucktitutde of Nix et al - it was brought on by the bad news on Lawrie's return schedule.

The Jays were clearly hoping to tread water until he was ready (have been in that mode all season, frankly) and events have taken that option away from them.

The second most important reason was the number of outfielders forcing  their hand.

They clearly opened the season with the idea that Lawrie would be up in a couple of months, and under the mistaken impression that EE could hold the fort at 3B (or alternately that nix would play better with a lot of ABs)

They likely also assumed that Thames and Loewen would be in AAA all year comfortably.
that these two circumstances have altered leads to re-evaluation of that decision - that's what good management does, adjusts to circumstances.

Thames and Loewen (and Cooper and finally, apparently, Snider) show out, EE and Nix fail, and lawrie goes from being a june call-up to maybe a September call up.

You either just eat that and live with the consiquences (no production at 3B, prospects blocked) or you adjust.

What's the big deal?


The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 04:49 PM EDT (#237435) #
His overall WAR would be relevant if I hadn't specifically pointed to the fact we are discussing his defensive capabilities in RF, which aren't much outside of a hose.

No, you are discussing his defensive capabilities in RF. For what reason, I'm not sure. His poor defense doesn't change the fact that he's still the best outfielder in baseball (offense and defense combined, I'll repeat again), and being moved to an unwanted position at 3rd where he has actually been worse defensively.

I brought Hunter up as a direct response to your quote of "Stars don’t switch positions in this league mid-season", yet you chose to defend the idea of Bautista being a "stop gap".

#1. Torri Hunter isn't a star anymore. He's just paid like one. And he was moved to a different outfield position to make room for a far better defensive player than him to benefit the team in the long-term. The situation with Bautista is nothing alike and attempting to draw a parallel between the two situations is disingenuous.

#2. It's not just an "idea" that Bautista will be a stopgap 3B for this team. That's exactly what the plan is, apparently, until Lawrie comes up (which could be until next year, for all we know). A guy as good as him should not be treated like a stopgap like this in a lost season. You could have justified such a move if this team were realistically in contention (as other teams and players have before), but the Jays are not even close.

Stick to the points if you want to carry a conversation.

Perhaps if you stopped ignoring mine we'd be getting somewhere.

 But then they'd be forced into a situation of It's going to be very awkward when Lawrie is taking the spot of the team's best player whenever he arrives"! According to you, AA was damned if he did, damned if he didn't.

No, there would have been nothing wrong with starting and keeping Bautista in RF for this entire season. It's where he's going to be playing for this team next year when they are supposedly going to contend (that's if Rogers actuall chooses to spend money, I suppose, and we all know them better than that), so why put him at 3B at all? Put some replacement player in until Lawrie is ready and carry on as is. That's the decision that was made to begin the season and they should have stuck to it instead of potentially irking the only elite player on the team. Bautista's made his position preference well known in the media for a reason.

And something HAS changed - Nix & EE have proven they can't handle 3B for an extended period of time.

Seriously?  Encarnacion and Nix had proven that they weren't major league starters (or at the very least, bad ones) long before this season began. The Jays knew their flaws and failures, but went with them anyway. The only difference now, really, is that the Jays' playoff hopes are completely gone after three months of futility at 3B. Why even bother trying to improve the position now with Bautista?

When JP kept rolling out turds like Kevin Mench and Brad Wilkerson, it drove us up the wall because he refused to shake things up. Now that AA is reacting (not overreacting, it's been 2.5 months) to his current team needs, people are upset?

Huge difference. In 2008, winning games was the primary motivation. That was a supposed "contending year" for JP's Blue Jays. That's what frustrated the fans about going with proven castoffs like Stewart, Wilkerson, and Mench when there were far better options at DH/LF. In 2011, the Jays have showed no sign of worrying about winning at all. Half of their lineup has been comprised with scrubs for three months (with little to no attempt to improve things as they fell out of the race) and they stuck with a struggling (to say it lightly) pitcher in Kyle Drabek far longer than any competing team would have. If you wanted to make the playoffs this year, putting Bautista at 3rd to fill that massive hole might have made sense, but the Jays' didn't want that.  They made their choice, and at this point it's certainly one they should stick with.


Magpie - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 05:12 PM EDT (#237437) #
I too was upset all winter that Bautista5/Snider9 wasn't how they were going to open the year

I remember! And I was relieved, because I'm generally always skeptical about moving players to tougher defensive positions. (It's my default position - I think it works much better in fantasy leagues than in the real world. I always resisted the calls to move Hill to shortstop, back in the day when those calls rang out!)

I also think that if you have a very young pitching staff - and the team went into 2011 with a very, very young and inexperienced staff - you want to put the best possible set of defenders behind them that you can find. And I figured that if Bautista is the right fielder of the future (and he sure didn't look like the third baseman of the future), then Snider can only be the left fielder of the future. And, you know... let's get on with the future!

But I wouldn't describe this as a panic move. This year, the stopgap veterans simply didn't work out. That ship has sailed, and sticking with it in the vain hope of squeezing some Trade Value out of waiver wire fodder - well, that way madness lies. So this is more like an emergency response. To the Lawrie injury, to Encarnacion's complete and final meltdown with the glove, and Jayson Nix inexplicably persisting in being Jayson Nix.

But with the bonus - and this is by far the best part - of beginning the process of clearing space for some of the bats down in AAA. Let's get on with the future, and while Bautista at 3b isn't part of the future, Thames (or Cooper, Loewen, Snider) in the lineup most certainly is.
bpoz - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 05:22 PM EDT (#237438) #
AA was on the Jeff Blair show this morning. I always like listening to AA.

AA is going to try to make July 31st trades to improve the ML team. So I expect results this July & in the off season.
That is good to hear. I want to see a few moves to directly improve the ML team. The future in my eyes looks rosy but the present 2011 & 12 looks like patience is still required.

I don't know what AA will do, but a R Davis type move as a minimum would satisfy me regarding actions confirming what I am hearing.
Magpie - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 05:27 PM EDT (#237439) #
I agree with The Game that this has nothing in common with Torii Hunter moving to RF. Centre fielders normally become corner infielders in their 30s. Hunter knew that, and even said so at the time (mentioning that he'd seen the exact same thing with his predecessor in Minnesota, a fella named Puckett.) Hunter was also completely sold on the idea of Peter Bourjos playing centre field (a pretty easy sell, if you've seen Bourjos play there.)
uglyone - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 05:40 PM EDT (#237440) #
Forget about the Hunter move. The Red Sox moved their best hitter and great fielding 1B over to 3B where he's not so great. Nobody seemed to have a problem with that. The yanks moved an MVP SS over to 3B. The Rangers moved an MVP CF over to LF.

I don't get the fuss. I think Bautista is likely glad to move on over, just so he doesn't have to watch Nix start for his team any more.
Kasi - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 05:42 PM EDT (#237441) #
If yeah the Sox have no problem moving Youk back to third and the Cards have no issue trying Pujols out at third for the first time in years than I don't think Bautista needs to complain.
The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 06:06 PM EDT (#237443) #
It's not the changing positions that's unprecedented. Plenty of star players have moved to different positions over the course of an offseason. It's the fact that they are changing his mid-season, especially in a year where Bautista is dominating in his preferential RF (and has become well known for playing out there) and where the team has no chance of contention.
Kasi - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 06:17 PM EDT (#237444) #
So? Pujols changed to third a couple times this year because that is what the team needed. Team needs beat player needs, especially since Bautista in the offseason said to AA that he was perfectly happy playing either position. The team is better with Bautista at third, and until Lawrie comes up that will continue to be so. And that is all that matters.
Magpie - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 06:18 PM EDT (#237445) #
Forget about the Hunter move. The Red Sox moved their best hitter and great fielding 1B over to 3B where he's not so great. Nobody seemed to have a problem with that. The yanks moved an MVP SS over to 3B. The Rangers moved an MVP CF over to LF.

The Josh Hamlton situation really is like the Torii Hunter case - the Rangers like Borbon better in centre field, the older player moves to a corner. But the Yankees didn't move their shortstop - they signed someone else's shortstop with the understanding, before he played a game for them, that he'd be changing positions. The Red Sox lost their third baseman and, even more important, spent $150 million dollars on a first baseman. Which meant that a permanent move for Youkilis was in the offing - it was either third base or another team. Pujols at third was a little like Troy Glaus at shortstop - and it's Tony LaRussa, who just likes to do weird stuff.

The Hunter-Hamilton type of situation is fairly common. But Rodriguez-Youkilis-Pujols were unusual, products of unique circumstances around that particular team. Which is where, I suppose, the Bautista move fits. It's not a permanent move, like Hunter, Rodriguez, Youkilis. But nor is it a one-off like Pujols or Glaus. It's a response to this particular situation - a gaping hole at third base, and young outfielders in need of an opportunity - and more about the delayed arrival of Lawrie than anything else.)
China fan - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 06:25 PM EDT (#237446) #
Bautista was not frog-marched back to 3B, kicking and screaming, in some gross act of disrespect to his talent.  Nor, at the other extreme, did he suddenly suggest the idea of playing 3B to a flabbergasted Jays management who were shocked and ecstatic by this unexpected suggestion.  The truth is somewhere in the middle.  Bautista prefers to play RF but he's quite comfortable at 3B, having played 357 games there in his career, including 48 last season.  The Jays have probably had regular discussions with Bautista this season;  he probably expressed his preference for RF but his willingness to switch to 3B if the team needed it.  The Jays probably assured Bautista that they would try to respect his preference but they appreciated his willingness to switch to 3B if it became necessary at some point.  More recently, they would have felt him out again -- respectful explorations of the issue, checking again to see if he didn't mind switching to 3B.  He was willing, so they made the decision.  Everything was carefully discussed to ensure that both sides are okay with it.  Bautista is a smart guy and knows that he'll be back in RF within 6 to 8 weeks anyway, probably for the duration of his career, so why would he refuse a reasonable request for a temporary shift?  Why would he feel any insult if a great prospect like Lawrie is slated to play 3B eventually?  Even superstars want their team to do well.
Magpie - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 06:30 PM EDT (#237447) #
I'd also say that moving Bautista to third is hardly the ideal option. (Hey, I myself might actually have gone to the well one last time with Encarnacion at third!) But it's not totally insane. And I don't think it would have happened if: a) Lawrie hadn't been injured, and b) you also happened to have all these LH batters tearing up AAA. Both elements required.
The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:01 PM EDT (#237448) #
So? Pujols changed to third a couple times this year because that is what the team needed.

That team didn't need Pujols to move to a position he's barely played in his professional career. You can chalk that another one up to the eccentric nature of Tony La Russa.

Team needs beat player needs, especially since Bautista in the offseason said to AA that he was perfectly happy playing either position. The team is better with Bautista at third, and until Lawrie comes up that will continue to be so.

If this was such an enormous team need, they should have done this at the beginning of the season when it might have actually made a difference to the team's success. At this point, it will accomplish nothing and only serve to potentially alienate Bautista.



But it's not, though.


The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:06 PM EDT (#237449) #
I'd also say that moving Bautista to third is hardly the ideal option. (Hey, I myself might actually have gone to the well one last time with Encarnacion at third!) But it's not totally insane. And I don't think it would have happened if: a) Lawrie hadn't been injured, and b) you also happened to have all these LH batters tearing up AAA. Both elements required.

I also would have given Encarnacion another shot. He improved last year defensively, and while he performed very badly this season, it wasn't many games to judge him on.

And yeah, if Lawrie was coming back any time soon, I really doubt this is the choice the Jays would have gone with at third. But it sounds like he may not be up until September callups.
92-93 - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:11 PM EDT (#237450) #
1. There's no parallel being drawn between Hunter & Bautista. He's ONLY being used to illustrate that you are wrong to say that stars aren't moved off their position midseason. If you want to argue the subjectivity of the word "star" that's up to you, but I'm going to stick to reality where 9 straight Gold Gloves AND a 2010 All-Star Game appearance makes you a STAR that year.

2. You keep using the word stopgap. AA uses the word entrenched.

3. When the Blue Jays decided to go with Encarnacion at 3B with Nix on the bench, they assumed it wouldn't be long until Lawrie came back up, and that they could get something close to replacement level production at the position until then. 2.5 months have proven otherwise, and Lawrie is now another 6 weeks (at least) away from returning to the diamond, so his future is up in the air. The bridge to Lawrie crumbled, and it's crazy to fault AA for wanting to rebuild it via a more stable method instead of continuing to run out retreads just because you think it's a lost season. AA's recognition that his original 3B plan has failed and his willingness (along with Bautista's) to rectify it is a good thing.

And who knows. Maybe Bautista will get back into the flow at 3B and enjoy it, and the Blue Jays will wait until September to call up Lawrie at which point they can try him in different places (perhaps 2B) for the heck of it. Maybe trades happen in between, opening up other holes. The point is that AA conferred with Bautista and decided that their best avenue to making the lineup better was if they could stash Bautista at 3B for the time being, and he obliged. This will give the team the opportunity to have looks at Snider/Thames/Loewen in the OF in the interim after giving Nix a shake.
Magpie - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:20 PM EDT (#237451) #
So I'm browsing mighty bb-ref, and as always - always! - one thing leads to another. I think I started out looking at guys changing positions. I was on the Michael Young page, and of course he was traded for, among others, the immortal Darwin Cubillan. I'm pretty sure I was in the house for Cubillan's ML debut (and yes, I was) - he actually pitched pretty well in relief of David Wells. And then I'm looking at Wells, and then I'm looking at Leiter - and through age 31 (his first stint with the Marlins), Al Leiter had actually walked 5.3 batters per 9 innings? Holy crap. (And he was 60-53 4.01, ERA+ of 108, and he had a couple of WS rings. Go figure!)

But here's the cool factoid. Leiter was the winning pitcher in both the very first game and the very last game of his career. I'll bet that hasn't happened all that often.
Magpie - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:32 PM EDT (#237452) #
I think one of Game's central points is that mid-season position switches are not a good thing. You want to avoid them. I absolutely agree. (For one thing, it often means that something has gone wrong somewhere.) And not every player will respond like Joe Carter (his teams did this to him all the time!) or Torii Hunter (nothing had gone wrong, he was being moved off his spot for a younger player). Bautista does appear to be one of those guys, however. Fortunately.
TamRa - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:37 PM EDT (#237453) #
possibly alienate?

Please!

Look, the Red Sox say to Youk "We have a chance to get Adrian Gonzalez, but it would mean you playing 3B full time - you game?" How many people think he's going to vote for sticking some league average dude at third so he can cling to first rather than add a player that good?

same thing here - Bautista, like all ball players, wants to win - do you think he WANTS to see Nix's bat or EE's glove at 3B?? Is he so self-abosorbed that he doesn't realize the impact that has on winning?

We have NO EVIDENCE that Bautistia is REMOTELY that selfish - in point of fact, we have REAMS of assertions  to the exact opposite conclusion.

I'm sure there are potential risks to this idea - alienating Bautistia is, in my view, certainly not one of them.
 

uglyone - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:47 PM EDT (#237454) #
(Hey, I myself might actually have gone to the well one last time with Encarnacion at third!)

well, looks like for this one last series before moving Jose there, they ARE going to the well one more last time with EE at 3B. Would be funny/interesting if he had a big series there.
The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 07:51 PM EDT (#237455) #
There's no parallel being drawn between Hunter & Bautista. He's ONLY being used to illustrate that you are wrong to say that stars aren't moved off their position midseason. If you want to argue the subjectivity of the word "star" that's up to you, but I'm going to stick to reality where 9 straight Gold Gloves AND a 2010 All-Star Game appearance makes you a STAR that year.

Even in his prime, Torrii Hunter was never a star in the way that Bautista is now (the leading AS votegetter and most-talked about player in the league). He's now 35 and regressed years ago as a defensive outfielder. The move to put Bourjos to CF had long been talked about in LA before it happened, and Hunter was always very receptive to the permanent move (as it's customary for older CFs to eventually move to the corners). It is not customary to do what the Jays are doing right now.


2. You keep using the word stopgap. AA uses the word entrenched.

If Bautista is moving off his better/preferred position to play 3rd for two months, then he's being used as a stopgap solution. Hard to describe that differently.

3. When the Blue Jays decided to go with Encarnacion at 3B with Nix on the bench, they assumed it wouldn't be long until Lawrie came back up, and that they could get something close to replacement level production at the position until then. 2.5 months have proven otherwise, and Lawrie is now another 6 weeks (at least) away from returning to the diamond, so his future is up in the air. 

Lawrie was 8 weeks away from the majors at the beginning of the season, too. That didn't stop them from going with their mediocre stopgap options while they were still playing meaningful games. Now that they aren't playing meaningful games, why stop?

The bridge to Lawrie crumbled, and it's crazy to fault AA for wanting to rebuild it via a more stable method instead of continuing to run out retreads just because you think it's a lost season.

I don't just think it is, I know it is. There are nearly 10 games back of the wild card and and play on a team with much less talent than the three teams in front of them in the toughest division in baseball. They also haven't bothered trying to contend for the entire season for the latter reason.

The_Game - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 08:07 PM EDT (#237456) #
We have NO EVIDENCE that Bautistia is REMOTELY that selfish - in point of fact, we have REAMS of assertions  to the exact opposite conclusion.

Have heard nothing of the sort in Toronto, but that's likely because he's been an enormous success (the media attributes leadership/positive attitude qualities to great players). Pretty sure the Pirates traded him partly because they didn't like his attitude and he refused to listened to their coaches.

And if you believe many of the feature stories written on him over the past year, he does remember the many slights against him over his career.

scottt - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 08:15 PM EDT (#237457) #
It was said Bautista will need a few games to prepare himself. I see EE is manning third tonight. I'm hoping he gets into a hot streak.
Magpie - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 09:18 PM EDT (#237458) #
Pretty sure the Pirates traded him partly because they didn't like his attitude and he refused to listened to their coaches.

I'm not sure that's fair. His minor league manager from his Pirates days (Dale Sveum) and his major league hitting coach (Jeff Manto) will still tell you how badly Bautista wanted to succeed and how hard he was willing to work. And how they always drooled over his bat speed. I think they just gave up on him ever solving the mechanical problems with his swing.

The fact that Gaston and Murphy were able to solve these issues here doesn't change the fact that it's simply a very, very hard thing to do. For one thing, the immediate result is usually failure (and indeed it was in Bautista's case.) Which makes it very difficult for the player to stick with the program, and for the team to stick with the player.
TamRa - Friday, June 24 2011 @ 10:30 PM EDT (#237460) #
Pretty sure the Pirates traded him partly because they didn't like his attitude and he refused to listened to their coaches.

And if you believe many of the feature stories written on him over the past year, he does remember the many slights against him over his career.


What I read is more that they didn't give him enough time in application for the proposed changes to work and he grew frustrated with failure.

I'm sure that can lead to "attitude" born of frustration, but there's nothing for him to be frustrated about now and even less so given the positive experience he's had with making those adjustments.

Furthermore, there's no real comparison between the years of frustrating experiences through 2008 and the experience of the last couple of years.
To say nothing of increased maturity and so forth.

The articles I've read don't seem to me to be filled with a bitter "they screwed me" sort of meme.

what we do know is that everyone associated with him NOW says he's the practically perfect player on and off the field.

I'll take that over reading negativity into anecdotes that are 4 years old.

McNulty - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:34 AM EDT (#237465) #
I don't like the talk about the Jays being "out of contention". After tonight, they are 7.5 games out with half the season left. If this were late August, it would be a different story.
92-93 - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:30 AM EDT (#237466) #
So we've got TheBunk and McNulty. Can I change my handle to Bubbles?
Magpie - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:35 AM EDT (#237467) #
The strangeness of Bautista's career path continues to amaze and delight me. When he finally came up to the majors to stay, in May 2006, he started out at 3b, was moved to CF (where he saw most of playing time that year), before playing mostly 3b again towards the end of the season. In 2007, his first full season in Pittsburgh, he played at 3b for the first half, was hurt briefly, and then moved to RF for about a month soon after returning. He began 2008 as the Pirates 3b, got benched, got traded - and as a utility guy here, he got as many starts at 1b as he did at 3b (plus a couple games at 2b.) He spent the first half of 2009 as Scott Rolen's 3b caddy and Travis Snider's LF platoon partner, and finished the year playing mostly right field. And last year's saga - playing RF and leading off, filling in for an injured Encarnacion at 3b, moving back to RF, is fresh in all our minds...

I assume that Bautista would like to spend a season playing one position for one team. Before he retires. Just once. But it hasn't happened yet. Maybe next year!
Magpie - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:36 AM EDT (#237468) #
Can I change my handle to Bubbles?

I wanna be... Proposition Joe!
John Northey - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 06:28 AM EDT (#237469) #
Say, I was just looking at the NL East and noticed that Hanley Ramirez is having an Escobar 2010 year - just hitting for a 68 OPS+ vs a lifetime 131. He is playing in Florida, has 'attitude issues', and has a contract through 2014 for $15-16 mil a year from 2012 to 2014. Could there be opportunity there?

Yes he plays shortstop but I'm sure either he or Escobar could be moved to 3B or 2B while (if he is ever healthy) Lawrie could play the other spot and Hill let go post-2011. Then we could have one killer infield. Again, one of those things I'd only expect out of AA, not out of our last GM.
Mike Green - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 08:24 AM EDT (#237470) #
Proposition Joe, eh? The resemblance, Magpie, is striking. It would probably be Brother Mouzone for me.

I am so ready for the youth invasion to continue.
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 10:34 AM EDT (#237474) #
John - i can't imagine a team better positioned tp trade for hanley right now than the blue jays, and i can't imagine a GM more willing and able to pull off this deal (for good value) than AA.

in fact, AA was on the radio the other day talking specifically about how he was looking to be a buyer this year, willing to trade prospects for young impact major league talent that might be struggling this year.

maybe i'm crazy buy i'm almost expecting us to trade for hanley now.
cybercavalier - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 10:52 AM EDT (#237475) #
As a minor note, Jose Molina is having a career year in performance on offense. So is AA lucky this season on getting the fruits from some veterans ?
bpoz - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 10:52 AM EDT (#237476) #
I would be surprised if the Jays got Hanley Ramirez. I think the $ will scare AA.

But AA will definitely try to be a 3rd party involved somehow.
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:08 AM EDT (#237477) #
Not sure thay $15m/3yrs for a 27yr old with a career .900ops and middle infield skills would be all that scary to AA.
bpoz - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:28 AM EDT (#237478) #
If you are saying $15mil for 3 years ie Average of $5mil per year, then it is not scary.
China fan - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:28 AM EDT (#237479) #
It's not $15m for 3 years.  It's $46.5-million for 3 years.  That's almost Bautista-type money.
China fan - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:30 AM EDT (#237480) #
In fact, on a per-year basis, it's significantly more than Bautista will make.
bpoz - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:55 AM EDT (#237482) #
This is getting interesting.

This is all opinions SO...IMO the $ will scare AA.

If H Ramirez is traded to whomever we can then opine (MacGowan'sword)or evaluate the returns on Ramirez. The Jay's strong farm can compete with anyone IMO in trading chips.

The question of BIG deals scaring AA will be answered to my satisfaction if this contract is obtained & V Good prospects are used to get it. OK even mediocre prospects. The Marcum deal is big but not as BIG as what this deal could be IMO.
greenfrog - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:57 AM EDT (#237483) #
Didn't Keith Law predict that Bautista would hit something like 24 home runs this year? I wonder how he's feeling about that prediction now. For some reason, the subject no longer seems to come up on his Twitter feed or in his ESPN chats.
greenfrog - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:07 PM EDT (#237484) #
Apart from his contract, my main concern with acquiring Ramirez would be his recent injury history. If he's starting to have severe lower back and leg pain, how is he going to hold up on the RC turf? Also, I can't imagine the 27-year-old being particularly happy about being moved off of SS. But I agree that he's an intriguing option - if he is fully healthy again, one would expect that Han-Ram still has a few years of excellent production in him.
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:21 PM EDT (#237485) #
Huge question marks on Hanley, but if there weren't any question marks, he wouldn't be available. Same as Yunel last year.

The Jays have absolutely zero payroll issues right now. They definitely have the room to gamble on a 27 year old who's been one of the premier players in baseball for his entire career. Especially when it's only a 3yr committment. I mean, even with his bad season this year, if Hanley was available as a free agent this offseason, I highly doubt we'd be able to sign him for 3yrs/$46.5m.

After all, AA gambled 5yrs/$70m on a guy with one good season under his belt this past offseason. This Hanley situation seems to me like precisely the kind of opportunity to gamble on getting an elite talent for a non-elite price that AA seems to always be hunting for. The Jays have the prospects to compete with any bidder (and the depth of prospects to make trading some good ones much more palatable), and they have the payroll room to fit his contract without any real concerns.

And hey, having Ramirez in the fold would be a pretty sweet selling point in the Fielder negotiations this offseason ;)

Escobar
Ramirez
Fielder
Bautista
Lind
Lawrie
Snider/Thames
Arencibia
any centre fielder you want

And hey, suddenly we're a definite contender, with a payroll comfortably under $100m.

uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:24 PM EDT (#237486) #
Didn't Keith Law predict that Bautista would hit something like 24 home runs this year?

Fits in right beside his claims that Thames and Arencibia weren't legit prospects, to wrap up yet another golden offseason for our man Keith.
greenfrog - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:35 PM EDT (#237488) #
AA seems to be all about buying low, so it's hard to see him getting involved in the Fielder sweepstakes. Fielder is going to get a mammoth seven- or eight-year contract. Those deals rarely seem to work out. I would rather see the Jays go out and acquire the next Mike Trout or Shelby Miller (or heck, Jose Bautista). Better to be ahead of, not behind, the curve. The Jays need to emulate the Rays, not the Mets.

Plus, Lind is proving to be one of the better first baseman in the AL - why mess with a good (and much cheaper) thing?
greenfrog - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:46 PM EDT (#237489) #
On the other hand, Keith Law does get points for vigorously defending Bautista last year from the horde of PED questioners in the media.
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:47 PM EDT (#237490) #
It'll be interesting seeing what kind of price he commands - he's got severe defensive limitations which will drive his price down, and I don't know how many bidders there'll be on him this offseason what with the Red Sox and Yanks being out, and Pujols on the market at the same time.

Fielder's only 27, is the 2nd best hitter in baseball this year behind only Jose, has the 6th best career ops+ of all active players...and 3rd best of all players under 35yrs old:

1) Pujols (31): 171
2) Cabrera (28): 148
3) Thome (40): 147
4) Berkman (35): 146
5) Rodriguez (35): 145
6) Fielder (27): 142
7) Giambi (40): 142
8) Guerrero (36): 142
9) Jones (41): 141
10) Gonzalez (28): 140

I wouldn't hesitate for a second in giving this guy a monster contract.

Having Ramirez(27)/Bautista(30)/Lind(27)/Fielder(27) locked in for less than $60m over the next 3-4 years would be pretty sweet, IMO.
China fan - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 12:56 PM EDT (#237492) #

Where would you play Ramirez, by the way, if the Jays acquired him?  Would you shift Escobar to 2B already?  What if Aaron Hill rebounds in the second half of this season?  What would this do for Hechavarria -- do you write him off already?  How would you build any trade value for Hechavarria if there's no room on the roster for him to gain any major-league experience in 2012? 

I'm not suggesting that these are insurmountable obstacles.  And I agree with your fundamental point that the Jays have enough payroll flexibility to acquire one or two players with higher salaries.  But I think Anthopolous will shy away from a $46.5-million contract if there are any question marks at all about the player -- and if he already has players available on the roster (Hill, Hechavarria) who might be able to do the job for a lot less money.  Not saying that I would agree with AA on that money-saving strategy, but that's clearly his tendency:  looking for bargain players, rather than big contracts.

hypobole - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:02 PM EDT (#237493) #

Fits in right beside his claims that Thames and Arencibia weren't legit prospects, to wrap up yet another golden offseason for our man Keith.

This is part of what KLaw said of JPA (#82 on his top 100) this offseason: "Arencibia does two things well -- throw and hit home runs -- and given the state of catching in the majors right now, that makes him a pretty good prospect."

Or is there a difference between a pretty good prospect and a legit prospect?

uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:12 PM EDT (#237494) #


SS Escobar ($5m)
2B Ramirez ($15m)
DH Fielder ($20m)
RF Bautista ($13m)
1B Lind ($5m)
3B Lawrie ($0.5m)
LF Snider($0.5m)
C Arencibia ($0.5m)
CF Davis ($3.0m)

PH Thames ($0.5m)
OF whoever ($1.0m)
IF whoever ($1.0m)
C whoever ($1.0m)

Total: $66m


SP Romero $5.0m
SP Morrow $5.0m?
SP Litsch / Reyes $1.5m?
SP Drabek / Alvarez $0.5m
SP cecil / Stewart / McGuire $0.5m

RP Frasor $3.75
RP Rauch $3.75
RP Dotel $3.5
RP Villy $2.5?
RP Janssen $2.0?
RP Rzep $0.5
RP Perez / Farquhar $0.5

Total: $29m

Team total: $95m


that would make next year fun.
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:15 PM EDT (#237495) #
edit: that would make the next FIVE years fun
Chuck - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:21 PM EDT (#237496) #

Where would you play Ramirez, by the way, if the Jays acquired him? 

Moving Ramirez off of shortstop has been discussed for a long time and seems to be a foregone conclusion in many circles (though some have argued that his glove has improved at shortstop from terrible to not terrible). Center field would seem to be a logical fit, just as it was for BJ Upton. Ramirez's career 131 OPS+ would play anywhere, even an outfield corner, but it would be a bonus to couple his bat (if this year's slide is an anomoly) with the demands of a key defensive position. Some might consider keeping Ramirez at a key defensive position obligatory given his paycheque.

Ramirez does seem to need about 5 or 10 times the ass-kicking that Escobar needs, so potential suitors will always have to decide if they have the appetite for such a thing.

China fan - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 01:32 PM EDT (#237497) #
As discussed on this site previously, the Jays have pretty well abandoned the ass-kicking approach to Escobar.  They've decided that they can live with his occasional lapses into laziness or show-boating because his talent is so huge.  That might be the correct approach for Escobar, who seems set in his ways.  But would you want two players in key positions who are both prone to this?  Or would it be a bit of a dangerous combination?
Magpie - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 02:47 PM EDT (#237498) #
I've said this before, but Prince Fielder scares the crap out of me. Granted, we simply don't know enough about the effects of aging on sumo wrestlers. Maybe he'll be the one guy whose body doesn't break down. But there's not a large history of 300 pound baseball players aging gracefully...
Dave Rutt - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 04:54 PM EDT (#237500) #
This Hanley speculation is all kind of ridiculous, since there's no way it happens, but I don't see how anyone can argue against going hard after the guy if he were actually somehow available. This is one of the premier players in baseball considering age and production relative to position. Redundancy with Escobar and salary are barely a consideration when you can get a player this elite, his struggles this year notwithstanding.

(Personally, I'd move him to second.)
Dave Rutt - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 04:56 PM EDT (#237501) #
Actually, Chuck's suggestion of CF could work too. Anyway, not gonna happen.
cybercavalier - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 07:01 PM EDT (#237506) #
Re Dave Rutt:

I agree with you.
 
Getting Ramirez is unlikely, if not highly unlikely:
1) Ramirez will block Hech's bath to the major, creating another problem of finding another infield position for Hech. IMO, this "Rob [Hech] to Save [Ramirez]" transaction is not a good management move. Why would the Jays' management hurt its farm production to give an all-star a chance while the farm system has been one of AA's emphases.
2) Moving Ramirez appears like a solution but not a good solution. Indeed, it would solve the CF void with a single stroke and delegate Patterson and Davis to the bench for sure; however, with his huge contract, huge risk is to be taken if experimenting in position moving and no guarantee of success. AA's tendency in "buying low and selling high" in value doesn't also fit this transaction

But the Jays could do:
1) If the Marlins is willing to experiment Ramirez in position change, then the Jays shall keep an eye on the test. After all Bonaficio sometimes is starting CF, the Marlins is in a easier position than the Jays to play both players in SS and CF.

2) Looking for a legitimate CF. Recalling my memory, some posters here suggested Carlos Beltran a corner OF. Felix Pie could be a candidate: was he regarded good prospect a few seasons back with the Cubs ?  This season, Adam Jones is a fixture at CF. Scott, Reimold and Markakis start often. Pie is more or less hidden in the bench, even after Vlady.
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 08:06 PM EDT (#237507) #
We should probably wait until Hech shows he can even hack it in AA before worrying about "blocking" him.

We have every reason to be skeptical that it happens, but I'll say it again - if he's available (and rumours say that he just might be), I don't see any team in baseball in a better position to get him than our Blue Jays.
Magpie - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 08:12 PM EDT (#237508) #
We should probably wait until Hech shows he can even hack it in AA before worrying about "blocking" him.

I can not even find the words to say how strongly I agree! Worrying about blocking someone - with what, a better baseball player? - is bizarre.
Dave Rutt - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 08:35 PM EDT (#237509) #
Yes. Exactly. Opportunities like this don't come around that often, and you have to jump on them when they do, like AA did with Escobar, regardless of the state of the franchise.

Not that this opportunity is around as far as I've heard, but that's intriguing uglyone. Can you point to any sources about Hanley potentially being on the block?
China fan - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 08:58 PM EDT (#237510) #

Let's be accurate about what was said.  Nobody is worried that Hechavarria would be "blocked" by Ramirez, and nobody said that.   What I said was this:  first, Anthopoulos has never shown any tendency to trade for players on big expensive contracts, especially when he thinks he might have cheaper in-house alternatives.  Second, he is likely to wait to see how Hill and Hechavarria perform in the second half of this season, since either of those guys could be a middle-infield solution in 2012 or 2013 if they show some improvement in their hitting.  (Their defence, in both cases, is already perfectly adequate.)  Third, Anthopoulos has committed significant resources to Hechavarria, which -- given his thrifty tendencies -- could persuade him to wait for Hech's development to see what he's got.

Personally, I'd love to see the Jays acquiring elite talent, regardless of the cost.  I just don't see any indications (so far) that Anthopoulos would do it if the cost is $46.5-million.  When I make a prediction about AA's tendencies, that doesn't mean that I am defending his thriftiness, and I'm certainly not suggesting that the existence of Hech is a reason for the Jays not to acquire Ramirez.  I don't think anybody on this thread has suggested such a thing, so let's eschew the misquotes, please.

uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 09:03 PM EDT (#237511) #
nothing much more than rumour and speculation....but a good amount of it...


https://twitter.com/#!/Buster_ESPN/status/83488773438058496

http://www.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/22297882/30198613

http://sports.gather.com/viewArticle.action?articleId=281474979488829

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/sports/marlins/commentary-florida-marlins-might-be-better-off-without-1553550.html

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/743396-hanley-ramirez-has-time-come-for-the-florida-marlins-to-cut-ties-with-all-star

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/trading-hanley-ramirez/
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 09:06 PM EDT (#237512) #
I just don't see any indications (so far) that Anthopoulos would do it if the cost is $46.5-million.

other than the $65m he gave to Joey?
China fan - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 09:12 PM EDT (#237513) #
Seriously, you're putting Ramirez in the Bautista category?
uglyone - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 09:24 PM EDT (#237514) #
You're not? this 27 year old has been one of the premier players in baseball his entire career.
John Northey - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 09:33 PM EDT (#237515) #
Hanley Ramirez is not in Bautista's area, he is above it.

4 years of 5+ WAR's, including 2 of 7+. 3.7 last year was a 'slump'. This year is horrid at -0.4 at age 27. All at the premium defensive position, shortstop.

Bautista: 3 seasons above 1 for WAR, 2 more in the 0-1 range. Two of those years were this year and last year with a peak of 5.4 in 2010 (this year is on pace for higher). Now at age 30, almost exclusively a corner outfielder (low value defensive position).

Ramirez this year is playing below Bautista, as he did last year (although not by a lot last year). He has also had 2 years better than Bautista's season last year and 2 more that were comparable (based on WAR). If AA can grab him for mediocre players and cash then he has to go for it unless his scouts are telling him that Ramirez' current play is his new level and he won't recover. I'd wait until near the trade deadline (July 31st) as the Marlins seem to think their new manager can do something with him. If not, and if the Jay braintrust feels this is another Escobar situation then it will be time to swoop in and 'save' Florida from a 'bad' contract.
China fan - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 09:38 PM EDT (#237516) #

Let's wait to see how the year pans out -- maybe Ramirez will dramatically improve -- but right now he has a .603 OPS in almost half a season, and FanGraphs is predicting that he could be moved to a corner outfield position in 2012 because of his declining defence at shortstop.  What if it's an Aaron Hill or Vernon Wells situation again?  Do the Jays want to get into that kind of commitment to a declining talent? 

Just because the Jays gave $64-million to a player who was coming off a .995 OPS season doesn't mean that they'll happily accept a $46.5-million contract for someone who is coming off a .603 OPS season.

And just because Escobar bounced back from a sub-par season doesn't mean that Ramirez necessarily will.  Escobar was a lot cheaper than Ramirez when he was acquired.  And his defensive skills were greater.

cybercavalier - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 10:07 PM EDT (#237517) #
Thank ugly, Mag and Dave for updating my ideas. I agree that Ramirez would not block Hech.

I am also concurring with China fan: Let's wait. Hech can be better or worse despite the Jays' huge commitment on him; the same can be said on Ramirez and the Marlins relationship. I think the tipping point is whether and when the Jays management (or AA) would pull the trigger on Ramirez.

cybercavalier - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 10:15 PM EDT (#237518) #
For history concern, I retract my comment on Ramirez' trade: it just too soon to say.
Richard S.S. - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:23 PM EDT (#237519) #
Keeping our Link http://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=20110611192805341 To Draft Signings current.   Thank You.
TamRa - Saturday, June 25 2011 @ 11:44 PM EDT (#237521) #
I don't anticipate such a deal BUT my guess would be IF the Jays acquired Ramirez, Adeiny would be a big part of the return package so being "blocked" wouldn't be at issue.
bpoz - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 08:10 AM EDT (#237522) #
I am trying to remember the 1st name of that great defensive SS of St Louis, he used to do back flips. Last name Smith?

How good was he? And how would A Hechy compare defensively? Can we win championships with him, I will give him the benefit of the doubt and say that he improves with the bat over time.

J Elsbury & a few others give speed to Bostons offense but not power IMO, but other guys provide it. So there are other ways to win in the AL East. TB is an example of an offense that is not lethal and they competed.
Chuck - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 08:16 AM EDT (#237523) #
Ozzie Smith. Many consider him the best defensive shortstop ever.

Ellsbury is actually slugging over .450. A third of his hits have been for extra bases. He's not a power hitter per se, but has provided more slugging than anticipated.
ayjackson - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 08:41 AM EDT (#237524) #
I wonder if AA would look at Ramirez as a possible solution at CF.  I seem to recall it being suggested several years back that Hanley move there, not sure if it was ever tried in ST or winter ball.
bpoz - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 08:55 AM EDT (#237525) #
Thanks Chuck.

A Hechy is supposed to have great eye sight, so maybe he does hit better.
Hopefully by the end of 2012 Lawrie, Snider & Thames have had 500+ more ML ABs and are more comfortable batting in the Majors. JPA also gets better. So I am hoping for a strong hitting line up developing.
I was so confident in our pitching being good this year that I will continue to be optimistic and maybe Hechy's D makes them even better.

One problem would be OF defense if Bautista, Snider & Thames is it. I believe we may see that OF this year so there is time to figure it out.
mathesond - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 11:52 AM EDT (#237527) #
One issue with waiting to see if Ramirez snaps out of his funk is that another team could snap him up. I'm sure the Red Sox and Yankees, to name a couple, are checking into his availability.
Chuck - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 12:14 PM EDT (#237528) #
One issue with waiting to see if Ramirez snaps out of his funk is that another team could snap him up. I'm sure the Red Sox and Yankees, to name a couple, are checking into his availability.

The Yankees are in a spot. What do they with Jeter? Ignoring that Jeter's bat doesn't play at any position other than shortstop, they either have to move him off of shortstop (and if so, where? -- he won't unseat either Cano or Rodriguez in the infield or Granderson or Butler in the outfield) or they have to keep him as their nominal shortstop for at least another year, at which point they can revisit the situation. That would mean bringing in Hanley Ramirez now would be awfully tricky business. Where would Ramirez play? I think only a season-ending injury to Jeter would give Cashman the freedom he'd need to bring in a new shortstop now.

The Red Sox have been in perpetual need of a shortstop since Garciaparra's days (Renteria, Gonzalez, Cabrera, Lugo. Scutaro... I'm sure I'm forgetting someone). Neither the aging Scutaro nor the brittle Lowrie appear to be the current answer. Maybe they could live with Ramirez's defense if they knew they could plug him into the position for the next 3-5 years. I don't know if their farm system has enough to entice the Marlins, but they must surely have Ramirez in their sights.
ayjackson - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 12:24 PM EDT (#237529) #
Adding Drabek to any prospect haul for Ramirez would present some symmetry in buyer-side risk.  Star prospect and star shortstop both mired in funks. 
92-93 - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 12:30 PM EDT (#237530) #

The Yankees are in a spot.

First place.

 

dawgatc - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 12:58 PM EDT (#237532) #
Cashman is screwed as long as Jeter is around .He has a shocking lack of range at his age and refuses to consider doing anything other than shortstop.The yankees have some real problems coming up after Rivera,Rodriguez,Swisher etc. get on in years. The older guys don't have steroids etc. anymore to prolong their careers so they age the way players used to age.The red sox have a Cuban coming to play shortstop (I think his name is Iglesius ) so I'm not sure they're in it for a guy like Ramirez.Who knows about the Jays but it would be interesting for sure.Wouldn't mind seeing them sign a draft pick or two soon;the draft was 20 days ago.
Chuck - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 01:02 PM EDT (#237533) #

The Yankees are in a spot.

First place.

The context of my remark had to do specifically with Jeter. But thanks for this.

Mike Green - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 01:31 PM EDT (#237534) #
Rivera gets the start again in LF against a RHP, with Thames sitting. Blech.
China fan - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 01:40 PM EDT (#237535) #

And Bautista is still in RF today, instead of 3B.  All the urgency seems to have faded from the offensive overhaul that the Jays were planning.  A couple wins seem to have deflated the momentum for change.

With all the unearned runs yesterday, I wouldn't assume that the Jays have solved their offensive woes.  I'd like to see Thames in the outfield and Bautista at 3B today, but we'll have to wait a bit longer.  The real news yesterday was Carlos Villanueva -- his 3rd consecutive quality start for the Jays.  He is quietly turning into one of their more reliable starters.  Should he stay in the rotation when Litsch and Cecil are ready?

In other news, Snider is doing okay and will hit off a tee today and do running drills.  He's expected back in game action at Las Vegas on July 1.

uglyone - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 01:59 PM EDT (#237536) #
One issue with waiting to see if Ramirez snaps out of his funk is that another team could snap him up. I'm sure the Red Sox and Yankees, to name a couple, are checking into his availability.

But this is why this situation (if they actually do want to trade him) is so interesting to me....because this is one of those rare situations where we wouldn't have to worry about the Sox or Yanks "snapping him up" with no effort.

Hanley's not a free agent, so we wouldn't have to worry about them using their financial might against us. He's not even an impending free agent, so we wouldn't have to worry about not being able to re-sign him to an extension. Heck, he doesn't even have a no-trade clause so we don't have to worry about him preferring to go to the Sox or Yanks.

This is a situation that would be dictated purely by the prospects going to Florida in return - and we have the significant edge over both the Yanks and the Sox in this area, not only in the top prospects we can trade, but also because our great depth of prospects makes losing a couple of them much easier for us than for either of them.

this would be a rare situation where we wouldn't have to worry about the Yanks or Sox "snapping him up", but one in which they would have to worry about the JAYS "snapping him up".
uglyone - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 02:08 PM EDT (#237537) #
And Bautista is still in RF today, instead of 3B. All the urgency seems to have faded from the offensive overhaul that the Jays were planning.

really, Bautista to 3B wouldn't effect our offense now, only our defense - now that our road interleague games are done with. The hitters are going to be the same either way, it's just a question of what our best defensive alignment is.

  • CF Patterson/Davis
  • RF Bautista
  • LF Thames/Rivera
  • 3B Encarnacion
  • SS Escobar
  • 2B Hill
  • 1B Lind
  • C Arencibia
  • DH Thames/Rivera


  • or

  • CF Patterson/Davis
  • RF Rivera
  • LF Thames
  • 3B Bautista
  • SS Escobar
  • 2B Hill
  • 1B Lind
  • C Arencibia
  • DH Encarnacion


  • same hitters either way - just a question of which one of those is our best defensive lineup - and right now I'm not sure which one that is.
    92-93 - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 02:30 PM EDT (#237539) #
    McClellan's severe reverse splits are the reason for the righty-heavy lineup.
    mathesond - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 04:02 PM EDT (#237542) #
    This is a situation that would be dictated purely by the prospects going to Florida in return - and we have the significant edge over both the Yanks and the Sox in this area, not only in the top prospects we can trade, but also because our great depth of prospects makes losing a couple of them much easier for us than for either of them.

    I agree that the Jays likely have more to offer in the way of prospects to send the Marlins' way (relative to NYY or BOS), but that does them no good if, while they wait and see if Hanley's current production is his new norm or an aberration, he gets traded to someone else.
    TamRa - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 05:00 PM EDT (#237545) #
    I wonder if AA would look at Ramirez as a possible solution at CF.  I seem to recall it being suggested several years back that Hanley move there, not sure if it was ever tried in ST or winter ball.

    THAT is an intriguing thought, actually.
    smcs - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 05:05 PM EDT (#237546) #
    really, Bautista to 3B wouldn't effect our offense now, only our defense - now that our road interleague games are done with. The hitters are going to be the same either way, it's just a question of what our best defensive alignment is.

    Would you rather have more of Encarnacion at 3B or Patterson in CF is what I think it boils down to, especially if Thames hits.
    smcs - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 05:07 PM EDT (#237547) #
    Oh, and Ricky Romero is really, really good.
    The_Game - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 07:06 PM EDT (#237554) #
    same hitters either way - just a question of which one of those is our best defensive lineup - and right now I'm not sure which one that is.
    It's the one where Bautista is playing his better, preferred position of RF that he's been playing for his entire AS season. They should just keep him there until Snider is ready to come up.
    The_Game - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 07:11 PM EDT (#237555) #
    McClellan's severe reverse splits are the reason for the righty-heavy lineup.
    I certainly hope that was the reason. For a while there, I was thinking it was because Rivera hit a HR last night.
    John Northey - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 07:12 PM EDT (#237556) #
    Looks like Romero is taking over the 'ace' slot.

    In truth we've been pretty lucky here in Toronto. From Dave Stieb to Pat Hentgen to Roger Clemens to Roy Halladay and now Romero. Never much question who the ace has been and it has always been someone you could imagine winning a Cy Young.
    ayjackson - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 07:29 PM EDT (#237557) #

    I certainly hope that was the reason. For a while there, I was thinking it was because Rivera hit a HR last night.

    I think you were right the first time.  If we were playing reverse splits, why Patterson over Davis? 

    Farrel remembers Rivera's homerun, but has forgotten Thames two doubles?

    Gerry - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 08:32 PM EDT (#237560) #
    I finally got around to listening to the Goldstein comments on his podcast, referenced up higher from Friday. His definition of a "deal" is that the Jays said will you sign for $X and that Beede's family said yes.

    I think that probably did happen, and I think that happened with 80-90% of the first rounders. That is standard draft practice, albeit not in line with MLB rules.

    When Goldstein tweeted that there was a deal in place, I assumed that basically there was a full contract agreement between both parties. Knowing a players price, and knowing that you are willing to pay it, is not a "deal" in my opinion.

    I am not sure if Goldstein was backing off a bit because of AA's reaction or if that is what he means by a deal, but it sounds to me that there is an over-reaction here based on what the word deal means to different people.
    wdc - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 09:38 PM EDT (#237565) #
    Sorry to be off topic but I don't know where else to ask.  Will  Roy Halladay be pitching in Saturday's game or Friday's game?  I thought it was to be Saturday but then a friend mentioned that Oswalt was injured and that maybe they would move up Halliday's start.  Does anyone know?
    budgell - Sunday, June 26 2011 @ 09:41 PM EDT (#237566) #
    Romero's a stud. Team's performance post comments speaks to his leadership. Stud. 2 run single next time out, walks the walk. Stud. Complete game shutout. Stud. Dating Miss USA. Stud.
    Troy who?
    TamRa - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 12:13 AM EDT (#237568) #
    Last I heard Bob Elliot is saying Saturday now. Which makes sense given that the guy who's turn falls on the off day is Cole Hamels and unless he's dinged up, they are not skipping him.

    (gonna be a TOUGH series)


    BlueJayWay - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 07:26 AM EDT (#237572) #
    Last I heard Bob Elliot is saying Saturday now. Which makes sense given that the guy who's turn falls on the off day is Cole Hamels and unless he's dinged up, they are not skipping him.

    But they could use that off day (today) to skip whoever their fifth starter is, and keep everyone else on regular rest. 
    BlueJayWay - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 07:30 AM EDT (#237573) #
    Although, various sources now say Doc is going Saturday.  They could have done what I said, if only they'd listen to me.  Romero/Halladay on Canada Day would have been something.
    Anders - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 09:54 AM EDT (#237580) #
    They said on the broadcast yesterday that Halladay was going to pitch on Saturday.
    cybercavalier - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 12:24 PM EDT (#237590) #
    About the lineup today,

    could Rivera, Patterson and Thames be starting in the outfield today ?

    Anders - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 01:17 PM EDT (#237591) #
    could Rivera, Patterson and Thames be starting in the outfield today ?

    Only in my nightmares
    cybercavalier - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 01:25 PM EDT (#237592) #
    I have been thinking about this lineup:

    SS Escobar
    2B Hill
    RF Bautista
    DH Lind
    1B Rivera
    LF Thames
    3B Encarnacion
    CF Patterson
    C Arencibia

    Chuck - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 01:41 PM EDT (#237594) #
    SS Escobar
    2B Hill
    RF Bautista
    DH Lind
    1B Rivera
    LF Thames
    3B Encarnacion
    CF Patterson
    C Arencibia

    If we assume that Thames is the 4th best hitter of the lot, then bunching them together in a run of Escobar-Thames-Bautista-Lind would be the most efficient. The lineup does become an OBP nightmare from 5 to 9 but only a change in personnel could address that.
    cybercavalier - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 01:52 PM EDT (#237596) #
    SS Escobar
    LF Thames
    RF Bautista
    DH Lind
    1B Rivera
    2B Hill
    3B Encarnacion
    CF Patterson
    C Arencibia

    With Nix on bench, could the Jays grab someone from AAAs of another MLB teams ? Cooper et al. can still develop, no matter what. Inaction is frustrating when unintentional action reacting to the team's personnel is needed.
    smcs - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 02:03 PM EDT (#237597) #
    I'd rather see this, but Bautista is never leaving the 3-hole.

    SS Escobar                                                    SS Escobar
    3B Bautista                                                   RF Bautista
    C Arencibia                                                   C Arencibia
    1B Lind                                                         1B Lind 
    RF Rivera                                                      2B HIll
    DH Thames                   OR                            DH Thames
    2B Hill                                                            3B Encarnacion
    LF Patterson                                                 LF Patterson
    CF Davis                                                        CF Davis
    cybercavalier - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 02:33 PM EDT (#237599) #
    I take smcs' second lineup. But why put Arencibia in the 3-hole ? Also a belief of lineup appears to be that a star player must entrench to a "hole" within the lineup. If I recall correctly, Francona juggled his lineup frequently last season when all the injuries deprived personnel (this season all stars from 1 to 5-hole).
    Mike Green - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 03:59 PM EDT (#237606) #
    That lineup makes some kind of sense to me.  Nix and Davis are in the line-up for defensive reasons with Stewart pitching.  You do have all three left-handed hitters there with Scherzer pitching.  Molina is playing presumably to give Arencibia a rest.  Molina started on the 18th, 21st and 24th, so it looks like Arencibia may still be playing in pain with Farrell giving him a day off every three games (which is a lot) 
    smcs - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 04:39 PM EDT (#237613) #
    With the giant outfield, I'd rather have Thames DH and Patterson in LF, but that's a minor quibble. Farrell says that EE strained his back yesterday and is DTD.

    I don't want Bautista in the 3-hole because Tango's The Book says that a team should put there three best hitters in the 1st, 2nd and 4th spot. However, lineup optimization might be worth a negligible amount over a full season (perhaps worth 1 win), especially if the main switch in the lineup would be Bautista to 2nd. I'd be more annoyed if the problem was something like Rajai Davis leading off and Escobar batting 8th or 9th, but the Jays are convinced (thankfully) that Escobar should hit 1st or 2nd.

    BumWino - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 05:50 PM EDT (#237627) #

    Yes!  This cruel and unusual treatment of our star player is quite likely the most unconscionable move that Anthopoulos has yet to make.  I just bet a players-only meeting will be called over this one.  Have to clear the air. 

    They will probably demand that Alex impersonate an actual baseball player--stand around, spit and scratch himself--for a week.  You know, to find out how the hard-done-by other half lives. 

    You are not alone, The_Game; none of us can believe it.  My God, I think it may be actionable.  If Jose were you, I'm sure he'd demand to be traded.  However, he's neither a whiner nor a crybaby, so he will simply soldier on for the good of the team.

     

     

    TamRa - Monday, June 27 2011 @ 11:27 PM EDT (#237633) #
    But they could use that off day (today) to skip whoever their fifth starter is, and keep everyone else on regular rest.

    Well they did use it, apparently, to flip Hamels and Kendrick - which works for me, we win at least one pitching matchup now.
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