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There was timely hitting and good relief in Las Vegas, a strong display with the bats and by the starter in Double-A, uncommon struggles for Dunedin and more offensive prowess in Lansing. Two of Toronto’s best pitching prospects pitched last night, one well and the other not so well at all.

Las Vegas 10 @ Round Rock 9 (13 innings)

Las Vegas won an exciting 10-9 affair, but unfortunately this recap will be briefier than it deserves to be, as the game went 13 innings. Brad Mills gave up eight runs on ten hits and two walks and only lasted 3.1 innings. He was helped by some strong relief, including 5.2 innings from Steven Register and Sean Henn where they only allowed one unearned run on a Jarett Hoffpauir error. Jeremy Accardo pitched two innings for the win and Jesse Carlson pitched the thirteenth inning for the save.

There was some timely hitting from the Las Vegas offence, which scored 5 in the 7th inning to get within one, 2 in the 9th to tie the game and 1 in the 13th to win. Every starter had at least one hit, but the stars with the bats were Luis Figueroa, 5-for-7 with a 3B and a run, and Jorge Padilla, who was 3-for-4 with a home run, two runs and three walks. JP Arencibia hit his sixth home run of the year, Aaron Mathews also added a homer and Brett Wallace was 2-for-7.

New Hampshire 11 @ New Britain 6Boxscore

New Hampshire defeated New Britain behind a convincing offensive display. Every Fisher Cat in the starting lineup but Eric Thames had at least one hit. In fact, every Fisher Cat but Thames, Darin Mastroianni and David Cooper had at least two base hits. Cooper added a double, a run and a pair of walks, while Mastroianni contributed with an RBI. The premier performance was found at the bottom of the lineup, as Jonathan Diaz went 4-for-5 with four doubles, three runs and 3 RBI. Adam Calderone had three hits, including a double, a stolen base and a run scored. The four-five-six hitters – Brad Emaus, Shawn Bowman and Adam Loewen – each had a pair of hits and a pair of runs. Brian Jeroloman also had a couple of hits, including a double, 2 RBI and a walk.

Kyle Drabek had a good start for the Fisher Cats to improve to 6-4 on the year and lower his ERA to 3.47. Drabek went 7 strong innings against New Britain and limited the Rock Cats to two runs on six hits and a pair of walks. Drabek struck out three batters and turned the big lead over to Boomer Potts. Potts’s adjustment to Double-A continued and he surrendered four runs on four hits over 2 innings, although he struck out three.

Clearwater 13 @ Dunedin 8Boxscore

Henderson Alvarez had only his second bad start of the year, but when they’ve happened, he’s struggled. He gave up eight hits and a walk through 3.1 innings with four strikeouts. Clearwater scored six runs off Alvarez on four home runs, three of which came in the first. Frank Gailey provided 1.2 innings of one-hit relief for the only solid appearance out of Dunedin’s bullpen. Ross Buckwalter surrendered four runs on three hits and two walks with one strikeout in 1.1 innings. He turned the ball over to the normally reliable Dumas Garcia who went 2.2 innings and allowed three hits on five hits and a pair of walks to raise his ERA to 2.04.

Batting leadoff against J.C. Ramirez, the least-known of the three prospects Philadelphia acquired for Cliff Lee, Adeiny Hechavarria went 1-for-5 with a double and a strikeout. Kevin Ahrens also went 1-for-5 with a double. Travis d’Arnaud started the game batting third, but left early after being hit by a pitch and Al Quintana took over the catching duties. Michael McDade and John Tolisano each went 1-for-4 with a run, while Brian van Kirk, Dan Perales and Wellinton Ramirez each went 1-for-4 without a run. The biggest star at the plate was Jon Talley, who went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer and 5 RBI in total.

West Michigan 5 @ Lansing 9Boxscore

Dennis Tepera started and wasn’t at his best, but he was good enough to improve to 5-1 on the season. He gave up nine hits in 5.2 innings, which led to four West Michigan runs, although one was unearned on a Ryan Goins error. Tepera struck out four and walked one, turning the ball over to the bullpen with two runners on base. Scott Gracey got out of the jam without allowing any of the runners to score. He went on to pitch 1.2 innings of relief and allowed West Michigan’s fifth run on three hits and two walks. Gracey struck out three and turned it over to Steven Turnball, who picked up his eleventh save, because he entered the game with the bases loaded, on 1.2 innings of one-hit relief.

An eight-run third propelled Lansing to victory over West Michigan. Four batters batted twice in the frame and, aside from Eric Eiland who reached base twice, they each accounted for one of the outs in the inning. Chris Hopkins and Ryan Schimpf were the two Lugnuts without a hit, although each of them reached base via the base on balls. Mark Sobolewski and AJ Jimenez each had two hits, a run and an RBI, although Brad McElroy set the team-high mark in several offensive categories by scoring two runs on three hits with 3 RBI and a solo home run. Ryan Goins, Sean Ochinko, Karim Turkamani, Balbino Fuenmayor and Eiland each had a hit and all save Turkamani scored a run. Both Goins and McElroy stole a base and grounded into a double play.

Three Stars:
3rd Star – Kyle Drabek, 7 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 K
2nd Star – Jon Talley, 2-4, 2 R, 2B, HR, 5 RBI, 6 TB and Jorge Padilla 3-4, 2 R, HR, RBI, 3 BB, 6 TB
1st Star – Jonathan Diaz, 4-5, 3 R, 4 2B, 3 RBI, 8 TB

Doubling Diaz and Patient Padilla | 22 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Mike Green - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 09:29 AM EDT (#215635) #
Good news.  MILB.com has now added historical statistics for players, so you don't need to have milb.com and one of the other services open to get the complete statistical picture (unless you need college stats in which case you've got to go to the baseball cube).  Here's Drabek's page at milb.com.
92-93 - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 01:00 PM EDT (#215642) #

I know you're just seeing if we're listening Thomas but it's Dennis Tepera.

92-93 - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 01:01 PM EDT (#215643) #
Er, Ryan!
rtcaino - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 01:33 PM EDT (#215646) #
Drabek also had 14:3/GO:FO.
Gerry - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 02:31 PM EDT (#215648) #
New Hampshire picked up another win this afternoon, 8-7 was the score.  A David Cooper home run was the eventual winning run.  Eric Thames also homered.
Lugnut Fan - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 06:33 PM EDT (#215667) #
It should be a good pitching matchup in Lansing tonight. Ryan Shopshire who seems to pitch almost every time I come now is going up against the Tigers top prospect Jacob Turner.
ogator - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 07:12 PM EDT (#215669) #

  I noticed that Drabek has ten starts and ten decisions which is probably more coincidence than anything else but it is unusual.  Looking at the number of innings he pitched last year, it might be possible to conclude that he is a better bet to pitch more innings this year than a number of starters in both Vegas and Toronto.  I don't think it is too much of a stretch to argue that he is very likely to pitch in Toronto sometime this year.

 

TamRa - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 09:26 PM EDT (#215671) #
Fans of the Verducci Rule will no doubt note that Drabek pitched almost 3 times as many innings last year as his previous career high.

There's a report on MLBTR that the Jays have scouted Fausto Carmona's last dozen starts...to that I can only say UGH!!!

WHY?!?!?!?!



Sneeps - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 09:41 PM EDT (#215672) #
Through 6 innings tonight for Las Vegas:

Lubanski - 3 for 3, double, homer, 2 rbi's, .287
Arencibia - 3 for 3, 3 doubles, rbi, .253

Litsch - 5 ip, 1 hit (hr), 1 er, 0 bb, 2 k.

tstaddon - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 10:07 PM EDT (#215674) #
Arencibia's night is interesting. As badly as he's slumped through most of May, his OPS is now higher than it was last year. Looks like he's heating up the past couple days and, given his streaky nature, he seems a hot streak away from looking OK again. Yet another caution against small sample sizes.
Sneeps - Thursday, May 27 2010 @ 10:14 PM EDT (#215675) #
Speaking of heating up, after a terrible start to the year, the much maligned David Cooper has put together a solid streak over his last 5 games:

7 for 15, with 4 doubles, 2 homers, 9 rbi's, 4 bb, 1 k.

Season Line (43 games):

167 ab, .229, 11 doubles, 3 hr, 22 rbi, 18 bb, 26 k, .635 ops.
TamRa - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 12:25 AM EDT (#215680) #
For 14 games, JPA fell completely apart. From April 29 to May 16, he went 8/57 with 1 double, 1 homer, and 4 walks
(.140/..197/.211/.408)

if it turns out that was just a massive slump then we can feel a lot better about his season so far.

I won't excuse that slump by saying this but other than that period he's been really good this year at the plate. Before the slump he was -
.309/.387/.527/.914 (15 games)
And since...
.371/.389/.800/1.189 (9 games)

It will take a while to see which trend carries more weight, but I'm sure glad to see him get out of that funk.

As was mentioned above - beware the sample size.


Sneeps - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 12:41 AM EDT (#215681) #

Personally i think JPA is one of the most underrated prospects in the minors.  For some reason people look at his low walk rate and write him off, but i personally care more about RBI's and extra base hits.  He's also only 24 and that's average age for his league.

92-93 - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 01:23 AM EDT (#215683) #

For me with Arencibia it comes down to his defense, that's always the news on him I'm most interested in. If he can stick at C he will provide solid value to the club, because one thing is clear - he has power. The Blue Jays last 2 starting catchers have been Rod Barajas & John Buck, and both to me fit a profile of the type of guy Arencibia can become. Everybody knows that Arencibia has poor plate discipline (35k:12bb) and that the PCL is an extremely hitting-friendly environment, but the bottom line is that the guy is on pace for around a 60-22-80 season and has shown an improvement as a 24 year old from the previous season. Even if he settles in as a backup C he will be a valuable guy to have behind whichever player the Jays sign or trade for (Raul Chavez & Jose Molina are our most recent bench C, this isn't exactly a who's who of Cs). I've been reading so much about the guy since he was drafted and am looking forward to watching him play in person, hopefully in September of this year.

greenfrog - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 06:53 AM EDT (#215684) #
Arencibia's career line in the minors is 266/305/467. I don't know, would that be a valuable major-league line for a C in the AL East? Maybe, maybe not. I think it depends on the strength of his defence and the team's offensive capability as a whole. The Yankees and Red Sox dynasties had Posada (career 278/379/483 / OPS+ 125) and Varitek (259/344/437 / OPS+ 99) behind the plate, and had decent offensive players at most other positions.
China fan - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 07:55 AM EDT (#215685) #

The bad start by Mills was unfortunate timing for him.  He could have had a chance at the June 1 start for the Jays, since Litsch is not yet eligible and Tallet struggled in his last rehab start.   I'm very curious about who the Jays choose for the June 1 game.  I suppose it will be Tallet, but Mills would have been more interesting.

Mike Green - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 09:13 AM EDT (#215689) #
The PCL adjustments are very, very significant.  Arencibia's performance for 2010 translates to roughly .230/.270/.380; 2009 was worse.  That's a very big step backwards from John Buck.  Surely we have reached the point where we understand that HR and RBI are poor measures of a player's offensive performance. 

Here are the Las Vegas' offensive statistics.  Hoffpauir has been pretty good.  Lubanski and Wallace have been so-so. Arencibia has been poor, notwithstanding his recent hot streak. 

92-93 - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 01:23 PM EDT (#215700) #

Again - nobody is denying the PCL adjustment. All I'm saying is that there's been way too much writing off of Arencibia around these parts - Rod Barajas, in a full season in the PCL at age 24, hit .226/.253/.380. What did he show? The ability to hit the long ball and drive in runs, as JPA is doing. There's no reason Arencibia can't settle in somewhere in between the Rod Barajases and John Bucks of the world. Those kind of guys have a lot of pre-FA value.

 

Mike Green - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 01:49 PM EDT (#215702) #
Actually, Rod Barajas had a pretty decent year at double A at age 23, hitting .318 with pop.  And he didn't make any kind of contribution at the major league level until age 28.  The positive comparables for players like Jeroloman and Arencibia- Ernie Whitt, Rod Barajas- were  very slow developers.  At this point, the chance that either will be more than a platoon player is not great. 

Arencibia's minor league record to date consists of three hot months in Dunedin and struggles for the remainder.  One should be more reluctant to write off a catcher than a player at any other position, but excitement about a one week hot streak is misplaced. 

92-93 - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 02:40 PM EDT (#215711) #
So now we're holding it against Arencibia that he was promoted to AAA and didn't have the opportunity to rip up AA at 23 like Barajas did? At 22 JPA more than held his own there, and I'm assuming the Texas League, where Hot Rod played, is a much better hitter's league than the Eastern League. I'm not sure why you ignored Barajas' age-24 season in the PCL (which was horrific) to point out what he did the year before in AA.
Mike Green - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 04:31 PM EDT (#215719) #
That wasn't my point.  Arencibia's most positive comparable at this point, Rod Barajas, hit .220 with 28 walks and 9 homers in about 500 major league PAs from age 25-27.  When he got a more or less full-time shot at age 28, he hit .249/.276/.453.  He was a 1.4 WAR player then.  In fairness, you can say the same thing about Whitt (who might be Jeroloman's positive comparable).  Whitt really didn't deliver that much until his age 31 season when he was 3.0 WAR player. 

At this point, the really interesting catchers are d'Arnaud, Perez and Jimenez. 

greenfrog - Friday, May 28 2010 @ 08:04 PM EDT (#215729) #
I'm skeptical about Arencibia's potential, but after Ricky Ro's temporary fall from grace and amazing resurgence, I'm willing to give JP some more time before I write him off.
Doubling Diaz and Patient Padilla | 22 comments | Create New Account
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