So how did everybody do in the last 121 games? Let's have a look. Players are sorted, as always when it's up to me, by Runs Created per 27 outs:
AB R H TB 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS SH SF HBP GDP BAVG OBP SLG RC RC/27And the pitchers:
Ruiz 115 25 36 73 7 0 10 17 10 35 1 1 0 1 4 6 .313 .385 .635 25 8.06
Lind 435 68 130 246 32 0 28 79 39 80 1 1 0 4 5 11 .299 .360 .566 86 7.09
Overbay 330 44 89 151 27 1 11 45 57 79 0 0 0 1 0 6 .270 .376 .458 59 6.23
Rolen 343 54 103 155 26 1 8 52 33 45 3 4 0 7 5 4 .300 .363 .452 57 5.93
Scutaro 419 64 118 164 25 0 7 40 55 56 11 3 3 5 3 7 .282 .365 .391 64 5.26
Snider 145 22 35 63 8 1 6 17 22 54 0 1 0 1 3 3 .241 .351 .434 23 5.19
Hill 505 73 133 239 31 0 25 74 31 71 4 1 1 2 4 9 .263 .310 .473 72 4.90
Encarnacion 154 25 37 68 5 1 8 23 13 29 1 0 0 3 3 2 .240 .306 .442 22 4.58
Inglett 89 11 25 31 4 1 0 6 8 21 3 1 1 0 1 0 .281 .347 .348 12 4.56
Rios 266 29 70 113 16 0 9 41 17 48 16 3 0 3 3 8 .263 .311 .425 34 4.42
Bautista 263 39 57 108 9 3 12 34 41 65 1 0 3 2 3 7 .217 .327 .411 36 4.39
Wells 460 57 120 181 27 2 10 45 33 69 11 4 0 4 1 11 .261 .309 .393 54 4.03
Chavez 130 9 34 48 8 0 2 13 6 21 1 1 2 0 0 2 .262 .294 .369 13 3.51
McDonald 134 15 35 54 7 0 4 13 1 16 0 2 1 1 2 1 .261 .275 .403 14 3.49
Phillips 18 1 5 8 3 0 0 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 .278 .278 .444 2 3.43
Millar 184 19 36 60 9 0 5 16 27 39 0 0 0 0 1 5 .196 .302 .326 18 3.18
Barajas 316 29 62 118 8 0 16 49 14 60 1 0 1 3 0 4 .196 .228 .373 26 2.61
Barrett 18 3 3 6 0 0 1 2 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 .167 .211 .333 1 2.21
Adams 20 2 4 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .200 .238 .200 1 1.59
Dellucci 25 2 1 2 1 0 0 2 3 7 0 0 0 0 1 2 .040 .172 .080 0 0.33
G GS GF CG W L SV BSv Hld IP H R ER BB SO HR HBP ERA BF BAVG OBP SLGA few related observations, why not....
Halladay 23 23 0 8 9 9 171.0 171 59 53 27 151 17 3 2.79 694 .261 .290 .388
Romero 26 26 0 0 11 9 157.0 173 84 81 75 128 17 9 4.64 690 .288 .374 .432
Tallet 27 19 1 0 5 8 118.1 136 76 73 51 89 13 5 5.55 533 .289 .360 .448
Richmond 19 16 1 0 4 9 91.2 103 69 66 42 79 21 0 6.48 410 .281 .354 .527
Cecil 15 14 1 0 5 4 73.1 99 54 51 34 54 15 2 6.26 342 .326 .395 .559
Rzepczynski 11 11 0 0 2 4 61.1 51 27 25 30 60 7 1 3.67 261 .225 .317 .366
Purcey 4 4 0 0 1 1 22.1 26 13 13 12 13 2 0 5.24 103 .292 .376 .416
Mills 2 2 0 0 0 1 7.2 14 12 12 6 9 4 0 14.09 42 .400 .476 .800
Ray 1 1 0 0 0 1 4.1 6 5 4 1 4 1 0 8.31 21 .300 .333 .550
Camp 46 0 12 0 2 5 1 0 4 64.2 57 28 24 22 51 5 4 3.34 267 .238 .312 .364
League 51 0 13 0 2 5 0 1 8 56.2 56 31 29 13 63 7 6 4.61 239 .259 .319 .426
Carlson 52 0 9 0 0 4 0 1 7 46.2 50 29 27 15 39 5 1 5.21 204 .273 .324 .448
Frasor 45 0 31 0 3 3 10 2 2 43.2 34 16 15 15 47 4 2 3.09 178 .215 .288 .310
Janssen 21 5 5 0 2 4 1 0 2 40.0 59 29 26 14 24 5 2 5.85 192 .341 .393 .538
Downs 30 0 14 0 1 3 4 4 7 27.1 33 13 12 11 21 3 1 3.95 124 .300 .363 .473
Accardo 26 0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 24.2 23 8 7 17 18 2 2 2.55 107 .267 .393 .372
Hayhurst 15 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 22.2 23 7 7 9 13 2 2 2.78 97 .274 .351 .417
Roenicke 13 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 17.2 19 15 14 12 19 2 1 7.13 84 .271 .381 .386
Ryan 18 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 2 14.0 14 8 8 11 7 3 0 5.14 63 .280 .403 .540
Wolfe 12 0 8 0 1 2 0 1 0 12.1 22 14 13 7 8 5 1 9.49 65 .400 .469 .727
It's nothing short of astonishing that the team went 48-73 while scoring and allowing roughly the same amount of runs (591-597). That's very hard to do.
One hitter of consequence was significantly better in the second portion of the year. That would be Travis Snider, of course, who was simply awful over the first quarter. Still, despite the low BAVG and the stupendous number of strikeouts, he was a little better than league average when he came back. McDonald and Chavez were also better in the second part, but neither had enough plate appearances over the first quarter for it to mean anything. And neither was much good anyway.
Three hitters performed at basically the same level in both parts of the season: Lyle Overbay, Alex Rios, and Vernon Wells. Overbay's RC/27 was 6.09 in the first part of the year, 6.23 in the second. The optimistic point of view in mid-May was that while Lind and Hill and Scutaro were certain to cool off, Rios and Wells were certain to heat up. Rios and Wells did no such thing, of course - both tailed off slightly from their depressing getaways - Rios started out at 4.66 RC/27 and dropped off to 4.42 the rest of the way; Wells went from 4.34 to 4.03.
If Rod Barajas goes elsewhere... who cares?
Randy Ruiz, obviously, isn't really that good. He'll be 32 years old in a couple of weeks, and he didn't hit this well in his 11 years in the minors. Plus he's blocked by Adam Lind, Lyle Overbay, and Travis Snider. But all of those guys are LH batters, so Ruiz may be able to claim some platoon at bats. But a regular outfield of Lind, Wells, and Snider is out of the question - it would possibly be the worst defensive outfield in the major leagues.
I thought the offense would score 800 runs. They didn't - they scored 798.
On the mound, two pitchers performed at roughly the same level in both parts of the season: Roy Halladay, thanks to an extremely impressive burst in the final month, and Brandon League. Halladay's ERAs were 2.78 and 2.79, League's were 4.50 and 4.61 with generally similar peripherals in both parts of the season (League also sharply reduced his BBs allowed in the second part.)
The team went into the season with two more or less established starting pitchers and a whole bunch of rookies. While this was obviously a situation fraught with The Peril, in every crisis looms an opportunity. I reasoned that if just one of the kids stepped up, it would be enough - barely - to keep the staff above water. And one of the kids, Ricky Romero, did step up and do a solid job in the rotation pretty much all season long. Alas, one of the two established starters went out for the year in the second week of the season, which pretty much cancelled out the good effect.
And pretty well all the rookies ran out of gas. Or something. After the middle of August, Romero went 3-4, 5.59; Cecil went 2-3, 8.22; Richmond went 2-5, 8.73 (Richmond also missed six weeks in the middle of the year.)
And the bullpen, with the exceptions of Frasor and Camp, pretty much went to hell.
So...what to do with this bunch?
Well, they scored 74 fewer runs than the Red Sox. And they allowed 35 more. Do you want to find a way to make up the 109 runs difference? Or do you want to give up? Boston and New York have money and brains. In this millennium, the Rays slipped ahead of both of them once; the Blue Jays beat out Boston once.
Well, I figure you still have to try.