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ROGERS today announced that J.P. RICCIARDI will be leaving his position as Senior Vice President, Baseball Operations & General Manager of the Toronto Blue Jays effective immediately. Mr. Ricciardi joined the Blue Jays in 2001.

"This was a tough decision and a difficult one for me personally as I have enjoyed J.P.'s friendship and his perspective on the game," said Paul Beeston, acting President, and CEO. "J.P. has put an incredible amount of effort into improving the team and he has brought along a number of great young players. However, I feel that it is time for a change and accordingly we have decided to move on."

Alexander Anthopoulos, Vice President, Baseball Operations & Assistant General Manager will fill the role commencing today.



I assume Anthopoulos is the new full time GM. 

Best wishes to JP who was neither as good as his supporters thought, nor as bad as his opponents thought.

Also good luck to Alex Anthopoulos who has a big job to do at a young age.  Anthopoulos is a bit of a unknown entity as he has yet to show what his personal beliefs are outside of JP's world.  And he inherits the mess with Cito Gaston.  Here's hoping Anthopoulos follows the path of another unknown Theo Epstein.

JP Ricciardi's Reign Ends | 181 comments | Create New Account
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Gerry - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:28 AM EDT (#206827) #

Obviously this isn't a surprise and the team needed it at least for marketing reasons.  However the "what comes next" is the big question.  Is Anthopoulos the new permanent GM, if so what does that mean?  We don't know.  What will the budget and philosophy be for next year, we don't know.  So the next phase of the Blue Jays is underway but it is murky right now.

Why today?  Well if there is a mess to be cleaned up in Baltimore then there is no sense in JP making promises or decisions that he will not be around to keep.  Let Beeston and Anthopoulos get in the middle of that.

Beeston is no doubt talking with Cito Gaston today.  Even if Beeston persuades Cito to leave you won't know about it for a while.  Cito is too proud to make it look like he was run out of town by the players.  If the payroll will be held low next season and if the Jays are going to trade Halladay and have a rebuilding year Beeston might persuade Cito he doesn't want to be the manager of that team but that decision would be announced after the payroll for 2010 is set.

andrewkw - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:33 AM EDT (#206828) #
I'm going to the casino today and I feel lucky!



Sanjay - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:34 AM EDT (#206829) #

Kevin Towers was let go by the Padres today as well.

Could Towers be a potential replacement for JP. 

Helpmates - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:40 AM EDT (#206830) #
Now he's free to go be a toady for Theo Epstein.
ramone - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:44 AM EDT (#206831) #

This is from the producer of XM/Sirius Home Plate from his twitter page:

"According to @MLBHomePlate, Anthopoulos title as GM is NOT interim. Anthopoulos will remain GM as long as Beeston is #BlueJays President."

http://twitter.com/BrentSGambill/status/4580586890 

Frank Markotich - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:44 AM EDT (#206832) #

While I think Ricciardi didn't do a bad job given the resources available, it was time for a change.

It looks like Anthopoulos is the new GM. Maybe he'll be fine, maybe not. I don't know enough about him to hazard a guess as to how he'll do, and I doubt anyone else here does either. I do find it disturbing that  they didn't undertake a search and interview a number of candidates. Just handing the most important job in the baseball operation side to a guy who happens to be around isn't my idea of how to do things. But then, like I said, I don't know enough about him. I do know that I haven't sen his name mentioned on those lists you see sometimes of the top young GM candidates, and I haven't heard of any other teams asking permission to talk to him. But that may not mean all that much.

I wish Alex all the best. But let's just say I'm open-minded but skeptical.

Smithers - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:45 AM EDT (#206833) #
So this is how the J.P. world ends - not with a bang but a whimper.  It was obvious by J.P.'s interview with Shi Davidi a few weeks ago when he called out Rogers for not "spending with the big boys" that he too knew this day was coming soon.  Obviously this isn't going to be the magic bullet that cures all that ails this meandering, listless franchise, but it is undoubtedly a necessary step to allow the cathartic healing process of the long-suffering and increasingly apathetic fan base to begin in earnest.  Up next, Cito will have to go based on the plethora of near-unanimous dissent the players are presenting to the media, and Beeston needs to finally name his permanent replacement as president.  My thought is they already have someone in mind and just have to wait until the season is over to announce it (please, please let it be Gillick).

The choice of Alex Anthopoulos as a replacement gets my thumbs up.  He seems to have been groomed for this over the past season when he took over as the role as Blue Jays upper management mouthpiece to certain segments of the media.  I suspect that Tony LaCava will be kept on and promoted to the #2 man, he seems generally well respected throughout the game and a good guy to oversee the prospect development pipeline.  Too bad Alex A.'s first task as GM will be to trade the best pitcher ever developed by the franchise... here's hoping he doesn't screw it up.

Dave Till - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 12:06 PM EDT (#206834) #
I'm assuming that Mr. Anthopoulos's primary qualification for the job is that he is (a) already here, and (b) won't command a large salary. As for whether he will do a good job, your guess is as good as mine. I don't think that the Jays can win in 2010 unless they go on a Yankee-style spending spree, so it doesn't really matter who the GM is, at least in the short term.

As for J.P.: he was terribly unlucky, and didn't do a great job building the farm system. I've never been one of his detractors, but it was time for him to go.
Pistol - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 12:11 PM EDT (#206835) #
This was long overdue, and for the future of the franchise I'm glad to see it finally happen.

Of course, this doesn't make the team better, it just gives them a fresh start.  If the organization hamstrings the new GM (forcing decisions on him, sticking to slot, overriding decisions for the wrong reason) it's just running in place, at best.

I hope the team does a thorough search for a replacement and not give it to AA because he's around and they like him.  Maybe he's the best person for the job, but there shouldn't be a fear of looking in other places, and it's not like other teams are knocking down AA's doors (as opposed to LaCava who's had teams interested in him as a GM).  The obvious first question you ask AA is what he would do different as GM than JP.

This move could also be a sign that a President is lined up in which case he'd be deciding who's in what position.

Chuck - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 12:13 PM EDT (#206836) #

According to @MLBHomePlate, Anthopoulos title as GM is NOT interim. Anthopoulos will remain GM as long as Beeston is #BlueJays President.

Because Beeston's role is interim, by design, doesn't that mean the same for Anthopoulos? Isn't Beeston trying to head out the door?

Shane - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 12:13 PM EDT (#206837) #

This is from the producer of XM/Sirius Home Plate from his twitter page:

"According to @MLBHomePlate, Anthopoulos title as GM is NOT interim. Anthopoulos will remain GM as long as Beeston is #BlueJays President."

Wow! As long as Beeston is President, that's what?...Another week, maybe til monday morning. According to Beeston and Blair, the next President is already selected and waiting in the wings.

I do find it disturbing that  they didn't undertake a search and interview a number of candidates. Just handing the most important job in the baseball operation side to a guy who happens to be around isn't my idea of how to do things.

Right. Plus he's Canadian. Very few MLB Exec's have that going for them on their resume. Don't need any Logan White's here. Unless, perhaps the next President isn't much of an inspired move, a sturdy sports guy, but someone who is more there to run the Rogers Center Entertainment end of it, and he has already signed off as Anthopoulos being a fine replacement, because Beeston assures him, it is.

Pistol - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 12:14 PM EDT (#206838) #
As for J.P.: he was terribly unlucky

You can be unlucky in the short term, but I'm not sure that's a valid statement after 8 years.
CaramonLS - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 12:50 PM EDT (#206844) #
If Paul Depodesta doesn't get the SD job (reports are that he is NOT in the running), I hope that Rogers gives him a long look.

Would be a good money ball guy who... well, you know, would actually implement some of the things that JP was hired to do.

Mike Green - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 12:53 PM EDT (#206845) #
Like Frank, I am not particularly impressed with the process here.   If Anthopoulos is to be hired as an interim general manager, that should be made clear.  Otherwise, a thorough process at the end of the season with interviews of other contenders would have been the simple and right thing to do.  I do not know much about Anthopoulos, but even considering candidates within the organization, I wonder why he would be preferred to LaCava.

As far as I am concerned, the #1 problem with the club yesterday and today is ownership. The GM and the Manager may not have done the best possible with what they were given to work with, but the best possible would not have been near enough in my view. 

CaramonLS - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:10 PM EDT (#206846) #
Reading the BB interview with Alexander Anthopoulos, he sounds like a glorified HR guy.  "JP let me be the lead negotiator in some cases" and how he described his role in general, doesn't exactly inspire a load of confidence in me.  Not saying he isn't qualified, but we really don't know much about this guy.
Thomas - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:10 PM EDT (#206847) #
If DePodesta is not in the running for San Diego's job I'm not sure he'd come here anyway. Remember, he was preferred to JP eight years ago, but was set up on the West Coast (I believe his wife is Mexican) and didn't want to come to Toronto.

As for JP, this move was overdue and necessary. JP isn't as bad as his detractors (I don't want to think about what Griffin will write for tomorrow's paper) or the uniformed believed (see the AP story that characterizes his drafts as producing a "few decent major leaguers" - that's not how I'd describe Hill, Lind, Marcum, etc...) However, there was a lack of an organizational plan, a number of questionable transactions and JP's propensity for making stupid public statements was becoming problematic.
Lefty - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:12 PM EDT (#206848) #
So I wonder if Beeston seen Ricciardi's fingerprints on the revolt?It was seem to me that Ricciardi was dismissed for cause. Otherwise they would have stuck with "the plan" of just letting the season wind-up. But because of the current crisis in Baltimore Beeston felt like he had to pull the trigger.

It just seems odd. Naming Anthopoulos would appear to me as just a quick fix solution in mitigating the problem of having to jettison the GM in order to avoid a disaster.

This firing and and subsequent appointment smacks of reaction - not planning. It will be interesting to find out what is behind the need to take such a drastic action on the penulitmate day of the season.

ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:28 PM EDT (#206849) #
As far as I am concerned, the #1 problem with the club yesterday and today is ownership.

I can't see any basis for that conclusion. At every step, Rogers has been a good owner.

1. Unlike the previous owners, who I note were not asked to carry the can for Gord Ash like Rogers is for Ricciardi, slot money for the draft was not provided to sign high round choices. Nevertheless Ash did an excellent job for the draft.

2. Unlike other owners, Rogers has consistently provided the money to retain players. The problem has never been that home-grown star players are dealt when they become arbitration-eligible. The problem instead has been a lack of home-grown star players in the first place. In fact the money that Rogers has agreed to has far exceeded the value of those players, a la Vernon Wells.

3. Unlike other owners, Rogers has consistently put up the money for free agent signings. As an overall body of work, those signings have been bad ones, but that's not Rogers' fault. If we want to go through the list, we could start with AJ Burnett, who Rogers outbid everyone for by a long shot; BJ Ryan who Rogers agreed to wildly overpay then agreed to pay $15 million for absolutely nothing; Corey Koskie who Rogers agreed to overpay and then pay to play in Milwaukee; Frank Thomas who Rogers agreed not only to overpay but to pay to play in Oakland, and; Ted Lily who Rogers offered as much or more than the Cubs offered to stay in Toronto but who wasn't interested. Rogers upped the payroll to $100 million last year and for their money got a fourth place team. They paid like a top-half team in their league with bottom-half revenues

4. Unlike other owners, Rogers inherited a Mirabel-class stadium, and put money into refurbishing it.

It's easy to blame corporations like Rogers, but in this case it's hard to see what they did wrong. And even if they have done something that can be criticized, it's not fair in any way to lay the current mess that this franchise is in at Rogers' doorstep.
Shane - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:30 PM EDT (#206850) #

So I wonder if Beeston seen Ricciardi's fingerprints on the revolt?

I assume it's a clearing of the deck three days earlier than is customarily done at the conclusion of a season because there's going to be other moves/hiring's to come in the next few days now that the Revolt hit.. There's a lot that going to be taking place within the organization in the days/weeks/months to come, might as well start the dominoes now? Fire him on monday and maybe it gets framed that Ricciardi is paying for the Gaston players revolt, and this way his dismissal is kept a separate issue? Because of yesterday's further disintegration of the club, maybe JP really new a house cleaning was coming, asked if he was going to be kept on board, was told he wasn't, and asked out now rather than wait? With the huge Cito issue now, Beeston becomes the sole voice of the organization, and can handle all the delicate word play that's about to come post-Beeston/Players meeting tonight, keeping Ricciardi as far away from microphones as possible?

Paul D - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:30 PM EDT (#206851) #
I'm trying to resist the urge to be snarky, but if you can't see that the number one problem with this team right now is ownership, then we must be watching different teams.  It seems clear to be that Rogers, 2009 version, has no idea what it wants from the Jays, and that this will be a major problem going forward.
The_Game - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:46 PM EDT (#206852) #
You have to love the timing of this for Rogers...immediately after the Cito mutiny story breaks out.

Anyway, this was a move that probably had to be made to appease the fanbase, as unfair as it was. Outside of his complete inability to deal with media, I've never had much of a problem with JP's work. For the most part, all of his moves had logic behind them and improved the baseball team. You can't say that about every GM.

A couple of things...

#1. Why did they wait this long? Was it simply because this cheap organization didn't want to pay somebody else to do his job for the last month?

#2. Why is Tony LaCava not the GM right now?

#3. Why is Cito Gaston not going out the door with him? Well...I kind of know the answer to that one...it's PR.

Nothing will change for the Blue Jays organization until they commit themselves to a plan and find a new president. That hasn't happened yet.
The_Game - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:51 PM EDT (#206853) #
"Would be a good money ball guy who... well, you know, would actually implement some of the things that JP was hired to do."

JP was a "Moneyball guy" for Toronto. He exploited the market deficiency of defense, and improved the team greatly because of it.
Jays2010 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 01:52 PM EDT (#206854) #

I hope this firing will also lead to a firing or "relieving" of Cito for 2010. Overall I think JP did an average job and improved near the end of his tenure; but he HAD to go if for no other reason than to appease the apathetic fanbase (and I rarely think it is a good idea to make decisions like this based on the fanbase). The part that I find annoying (and I am sure I will find more annoying in the next couple of years if the Jays improve) is that Anthopolous was hired by and served under JP. I'm not sure why people would expect there to be a massive shift in philosophy (unless, of course, Rogers decides to spend more money on the draft and on-field product, in which case I'm sure AA will receive a ton of credit).

AA seems like a nice guy (and a good ol' Canadian boy) but other than the idea for option years on the Aaron Hill contract (which, frankly, a number of people on this site could figure out similarly interesting ways to add options on to a contract) I am not quite sure what he has done of significance. Heck, he could be very good at his job, but this seems as much of a PR move as anything (deflecting attention away from Cito). Not to mention making the move TWO days before the end of the year...why?

On a side note, I REALLY would love to see JP get another job as a GM, specifically in the NL. Not that I think he'd want to work on the West Coast, but San Diego would be the PERFECT environment for his strengths as a GM to be appreciated (cheap bullpen moves, tons of 'good' but not 'elite' pitching etc). I think he'd have more success in the NL West on a $50 mill payroll than a $100 mill payroll in the AL East.

 

westcoast dude - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 02:10 PM EDT (#206855) #

I can see clearly now, the rain is gone.  I can see all obstacles in my way.  Gone are the dark clouds that had me blind, It's gonna be a bright, bright, Sun-Shiny day.

I think I can make it now, the pain is gone.  All of the bad feelings have disappeared.  Here is the rainbow I've been praying for.  It's gonna be a bright, bright, Sun-Shiny day.

 

CaramonLS - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 02:12 PM EDT (#206856) #
JP was a "Moneyball guy" for Toronto. He exploited the market deficiency of defense, and improved the team greatly because of it.

Errr... How exactly?  You mean by rewarding Vernon Wells one of the largest contracts in MLB history?  Because it seems like Vernon Wells "exploited" the Jays on that one. 

Or are you talking about John MacDonald?  Because if you are, that isn't much of a win...  His "exploitation" of defense was minor, if at all.

Honestly Game, JP was many things, but he wasn't Moneyball.
Alex Obal - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 02:41 PM EDT (#206858) #
Yet another superficially big-looking move from the Jays that elicits a big ol' meh from me. Just like hiring Cito. Then again, JP sounded kind of resigned and philosophical and defeatist and helpless about being in the AL East these days. Obviously Johnny's art is done. (He can now go join the rank and file on his TV dial.)

I'm confused about the seemingly permanent hire of Anthopoulos. Maybe the Jays just want to make sure that, if Doc does ask for a trade, there isn't an interim tag on their GM. That still wouldn't explain everything, but at least it would make some degree of sense.
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 02:45 PM EDT (#206860) #
I'm trying to resist the urge to be snarky, but if you can't see that the number one problem with this team right now is ownership, then we must be watching different teams. It seems clear to be that Rogers, 2009 version, has no idea what it wants from the Jays, and that this will be a major problem going forward.

The problem has never been that "Rogers has no idea what it wants from the Jays" nor is it now. The problem has been that Rogers has left the franchise in the hands of people who are incompetent to provide what any owner wants - a well-run, profitable franchise with a strong present and a strong future. Everyone from Baseball Prospectus on has called for Ricciardi's firing for years. His body of work as a GM is simply dismal, and the 2009 version of the Jays, and to an even greater extent the 2010 version, are the culmination of that effort. Indeed in some perhaps perverse way I'm sorry Ricciardi won't be here to take responsibility for the 'apres moi' deluge that will be the 2010 franchise - a horrible on-field product, a horrible farm system, and further attendance 'records'.

This appears to me to be scapegoating Rogers for not micro-managing a team that they paid someone else to run. Few owners, and Rogers is no exception, instruct their front offices to build an unwatchable major league team, a hollow farm system or to make hugely expensive blunders like the ones I've mentioned above. If one wants to criticize Rogers it should be for not pulling the plug on the Godfrey-Ricciardi disaster years ago.

The role that Rogers has been asked to play is to bankroll the decisions of the front office. They've done so generously. Almost all of Ricciardi's moves for years have been based on money - aquiring players like Hllenbrand, Overbay, Glaus, Rolen that their previous teams believed to be cost-inefficient - and overpaying on the free agent market for 'solutions' like Thomas, Ryan, Koskie etc. that burned Rogers on both ends.

As Beeston has noted, Rogers has been an owner like Labatt's - one which doesn't interfere and ponies up when asked. You can't ask much more than that. To blame the 2009 version of the Jays on Rogers is simply the worst kind of Ricciardi apologia.
rpriske - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 02:51 PM EDT (#206861) #
I can't see any basis for that conclusion. At every step, Rogers has been a good owner. No, TED Rogers was a good owner. Rogers the corporation has not shown any interest in actually running a baseball team.
Paul D - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 02:51 PM EDT (#206862) #
As Beeston has noted, Rogers has been an owner like Labatt's - one which doesn't interfere and ponies up when asked. You can't ask much more than that. To blame the 2009 version of the Jays on Rogers is simply the worst kind of Ricciardi apologia.


Wow.  Saying that Rogers is a problem is in no way a defence of JP.  Here's some examples - the side of the Dome still has Scott Rolen on it, Tom Cheek's name is falling apart on the level of excellence, and the TV product is produced as cheaply as possible. 

Rogers may not have instructed their front office to 'build an unwatchable minor league team', etc, but they have certainly allowed an environment to exist where that's what happened.  Rogers is clearly one of the worst owners in the majors.  (Again, I say that about the current version of Rogers)
ComebyDeanChance - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:06 PM EDT (#206863) #
Here's some examples - the side of the Dome still has Scott Rolen on it, Tom Cheek's name is falling apart on the level of excellence, and the TV product is produced as cheaply as possible.

These 'examples' could hardly be more irrelevant to the real on-field and farm system problems of the franchise.
StephenT - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:25 PM EDT (#206864) #
Why is Tony LaCava not the GM right now?

fyi, even before today, Anthopoulos was already listed higher on the front office list than LaCava:

From Google Cache (28 Sep 2009 19:33:55 GMT) of http://toronto.bluejays.mlb.com/team/front_office.jsp?c_id=tor :
Senior Vice President, Baseball Operations and General Manager    J.P. Ricciardi
Vice President, Baseball Operations & Assistant General Manager    Alex Anthopoulos
Assistant General Manager, Player Personnel    Tony LaCava
Now:
Senior Vice President, Baseball Operations and General Manager    Alex Anthopoulos
Assistant General Manager, Player Personnel    Tony LaCava

The_Game - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:37 PM EDT (#206865) #
"Honestly Game, JP was many things, but he wasn't Moneyball."

Do you know what Moneyball was about? Have you read the book? Because it had absolutely nothing to do with payroll or contracts and everything to do with exploiting market deficiencies. Back in the days of that book, Beane took advantage of the OBP oversight. In recent years, it has been defense where GMs could cheaply improve their teams.

And JP certainly did build his team with defense in mind, acquiring players like Overbay, Rolen, Scutaro, and McDonald to support the pitching staff of GB pitchers that he drafted/signed. This was an approach that was very successful. The pitching wouldn't have been what it was without those players, and the Jays wouldn't have won as many games as they did if JP didn't take this approach.
Jim - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:40 PM EDT (#206866) #
His body of work as a GM is simply dismal, and the 2009 version of the Jays, and to an even greater extent the 2010 version, are the culmination of that effort.

I hate Riccardi and this day couldn't come soon enough for me, but even I know that 'dismal' is a gross overstatement.  The front office has been terrible, but there seems to be no direction from ownership and that makes a coherent plan nearly impossible. 

It's one thing to be a mediocre GM.  It's just not a great idea to be a medicore GM who is also a horse's @**.
Jays2010 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:52 PM EDT (#206867) #

I, for one, cannot wait to hear the next few JP sound bites. I hope the first thing he does is attribute the Wells signing to Uncle Ted/Godfrey and talk about how he, like the fans, never liked Wells or Rios...I'm sure most people won't believe him or care...but I really want to hear what he will say now that he no longer has to protect the image of his employer...the unintentional contreversial stuff from JP (i.e. the Dunn comments, BJ's injury) were amusing...the intentional controversial stuff will be even better...

TamRa - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:54 PM EDT (#206868) #
You can be unlucky in the short term, but I'm not sure that's a valid statement after 8 years.

He wasn't unlucky for eight years because he didn't spend eight years trying to contend. He spent 4 years in the process of downsizing and restructuring the team he inherited, and then rebuilding the foundation for contention (2002-2005)

He spent three years spending big money and trying to contend (2006-2008)

And he spent one year in what was a (forced upon him) "reload" year.

In short, he was unlucky for THREE years, not eight (arguably, he was lucky in one of those first 4 years)


This firing and and subsequent appointment smacks of reaction - not planning. It will be interesting to find out what is behind the need to take such a drastic action on the penulitmate day of the season.

That's easy and I'm unsure why everyone hasn't spotted this -

If Beeston knew JP was going, it made no sense for JP to be an impotent figurehead in the Cito-meetings. Had the CitoStorm story not broken, JP wouldn't have been fired early but since Beeston's hand was forced by this event, it made no sense to keep JP around (since excluding him from the meeting would have telegraphed his ouster anyway.

The_Game - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:54 PM EDT (#206869) #
If JP wants to continue having a job in baseball, he'll keep his mouth shut.
Frank Markotich - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 03:56 PM EDT (#206870) #

I'm going to go out on a limb and make a prediction here.

JP Ricciardi will be hired by the Red Sox as a special assistant to the GM or some such. He's always had a good relationship with Roy Halladay, and plays a key role in convincing Halladay to sign with Boston after the 2010 season.

TamRa - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:00 PM EDT (#206871) #
^^
Yup.

If the Red Sox don't make a spot for him he'll be working for ESPN before next ST begins.


CaramonLS - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#206872) #
Game, you decided to come out swinging, is this any way to welcome back an old friend?

it had absolutely nothing to do with
payroll or contracts and everything to do with exploiting market deficiencies.

I wonder if it is really you who should be questioning me about the literature I have read.  It has everything to do with payroll and contracts.  It is about finding players that the market has UNDERVALUED AKA not being paid as much (which is how we measure value in baseball) because a certain skill of theirs is not being recognized - so in translation - priced less than what they are actually worth to a team.

And JP certainly did build his team with defense in mind, acquiring players like Overbay, Rolen, Scutaro, and McDonald to support the pitching staff of GB pitchers that he drafted/signed. This was an approach that was very successful. The pitching wouldn't have been what it was without those players, and the Jays wouldn't have won as many games as they did if JP didn't take this approach.


Wow, I love this revisionist history Game.  Then can you explain to me how Troy Glaus managed to fit into this spectrum?  Royce Clayton? Russ Adams? IF this was actually his original game plan from the start (gb pitchers and great INF defense) then it has been changed more times than I can count.  There are numerous examples of how this flies in the face of his "game plan".
Parker - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:02 PM EDT (#206873) #
If a housecleaning is on the way, I sure do hope that Brad Arnsberg survives.  He has done a fantastic job and getting rid of him just for the sake of cleaning house would be a damn shame.
CaramonLS - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:03 PM EDT (#206874) #
If JP wants to continue having a job in baseball, he'll keep his mouth shut.

For quick reference, see Nolan, Ted.
Jim - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:23 PM EDT (#206875) #
There are numerous examples of how this flies in the face of his "game plan".

For example, every boxscore since August 7th or so.
Mylegacy - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:26 PM EDT (#206876) #

I don't want Arnsberg toast and I want Butter for Manager. A dollop of jam would go nice too. 

Poor ol' JP - ever since he misunderstood O'Dog's backhanded compliment it's been a struggle for JP to get - and keep - Jays fans support. I think it's fair to say - even by me, one of his supporters - that'll he'll be gone but not missed. Pity really.

As to the Alex Antichrist (or whatever his name is - bad enough it's taken me a full year to learn to spell Rzealphabetsoupski's name correctly) It'l be interesting to see what a Canadian kid can do. I suspect he may suprise. He better - if not we'll get the O'Dog to say he looks like a pimp. That'll finish him.

Jays2010 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:29 PM EDT (#206877) #

The most valuable asset on the team, Roy Halladay, was not that much of an asset and may never have been a major asset until JP arrived. He kept him here with two contract extensions (the second of which may be the best deal for a franchise player in his "prime years" in all of baseball) and because of this, Roy will not experience free agency until his mid-30's...which is amazing when you consider that NEVER seems to happen without a Derek Jeter-like contract.

AA will trade Roy and the fanbase will not blame him in the least like they would have with JP; and if he manages to get a couple of nice pieces, he will become even more of a media darling for "salvaging something from JP's mess." Ash may have drafted Roy, but Roy was not an all-star, Cy Young winner, perennial Cy Young candidate, franchise player on and off the field and the best pitcher in franchise history until JP got here and kept him here through ALL of his prime years. AA is simply benefitting from the hall of fame asset that JP kept for him. So let's not forget that there is an inextricable link between the best player the franchise has ever produced and KEPT through his prime years (in the free agency era) and the most vilified GM in team history...

Mind you, it WAS time to fire him, but seemingly very little of the fanbase seems to appreciate the fact that he kept Halladay which, you know, is as important as drafting very good players like Aaron Hill. I almost hope he does land with the Red Sox and convinces Roy to sign there because I prefer JP to Rogers, Cito, the Toronto media and the "average" fan...

Ryan Day - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:41 PM EDT (#206878) #
Almost all of Ricciardi's moves for years have been based on money - aquiring players like Hllenbrand, Overbay, Glaus, Rolen that their previous teams believed to be cost-inefficient

Not really. He got Hillenbrand for Adam Peterson, who never did anything. He got the best two years of Hillenbrand's career, then turned him into Jeremy Accardo, who was a great reliever for a year at minimum wage.

And the Glaus-Rolen chain looks pretty good in hindsight, too: He got a serious power hitter for a replacable second baseman. Then, when everyone thought Glaus was toast, he traded him for Rolen - who, despite also being considered toast, turned in two very good seasons. And when Rolen asked for a trade, Ricciardi turned him into a package that most analysts considered quite good. (Stewart is an excellent prospect, and Roenicke and Encarnacion have some upside)

He's also scored big with some cheap moves: Scott Downs, Matt Stairs, Marco Scutaro, Jesse Carlson, Josh Towers, Frank Catalanotto...

In some ways, I wonder if Ricciardi would have been better with a tiny payroll, because most of his mistakes have been of the big budget variety; take away the big free agents and contract extensions, and he doesn't look too bad.
Jays2010 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:51 PM EDT (#206879) #

In some ways, I wonder if Ricciardi would have been better with a tiny payroll, because most of his mistakes have been of the big budget variety; take away the big free agents and contract extensions, and he doesn't look too bad.

I agree with this - but it really doesn't work in this division without a sustained period of losing. JP with less money in another division would be fine...

The_Game - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:52 PM EDT (#206880) #
"Game, you decided to come out swinging, is this any way to welcome back an old friend?"

I have no time for useless arguments about JP abandoning "Moneyball," no matter the source.

"I wonder if it is really you who should be questioning me about the literature I have read. It has everything to do with payroll and contracts. It is about finding players that the market has UNDERVALUED AKA not being paid as much (which is how we measure value in baseball) because a certain skill of theirs is not being recognized - so in translation - priced less than what they are actually worth to a team."

Exactly. And there are several examples of JP finding good defensive players that the market undervalued to play for this team.

"Wow, I love this revisionist history Game. Then can you explain to me how Troy Glaus managed to fit into this spectrum? Royce Clayton? Russ Adams? IF this was actually his original game plan from the start (gb pitchers and great INF defense) then it has been changed more times than I can count. There are numerous examples of how this flies in the face of his "game plan"."

It isn't revisionist history. He did draft ground ball pitchers, and he did build the best infield defense in baseball to accommodate those pitchers once they arrived. Of course, his "game plan" didn't prevent him from making good trades like Troy Glaus. The Jays needed a power bat so they got one.
hootie110 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 04:59 PM EDT (#206881) #
The problems with the Jays just begins with JP. It was not only his decisions on the field but also in his hirings of the people around him. LaCava is the only qualified baseball person that he had in his ranks. The rest are just his "circle of friends". To right the ship, the old school approach needs to be put back in place. The Farm Sysytem is a joke...it needs to be restructured as well. While the door is open, let the Farm Director go and put someone like Mel Queen in charge, He would at least hire people in Player Development who deserve to be there instead of being hired because they are in the "circle of friends". Hire a new GM (Lacava or a Rob Ducey) and then a new farm director who can clean house and bring in staff who are concerned for the develpment of players and not for their own careers.
jerjapan - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 05:58 PM EDT (#206882) #
I remain mystified by the amount of people who still defend JP's record. 

To my mind, a GM has five major realms of influence, and unfortunately JP scores a failing grade in 4 of the 5.  

1.  Contracts.  Yes, the Hill and especially Halladay deals were strong, and while Halladay does seem the sort that would have signed a team-friendly deal to stay with Toronto, JP still gets credit here.  However, those two deals do not outweigh his dreadful record overall - Wells, Rios, Ryan, Thomas, Koskie and Hinske were all bad deals with Wells in particular in the running for worst deal in the game.

RESULT - spectacular failure

2.  Drafting.  JPs track record here has been oft-analysed and for a while seemed to be improving, but the cache of 2007 and 2008 has started to slip somewhat with consistently weak performances from a number of picks, and the high number of picks he had to work with.  Yes, it's early yet to analyze some of these players, the high schoolers obviously, but sooner or later players need to put up strong numbers - even minor league director Dick Scott said this in a Box interview earlier in the summer.  2009, again early, but the failure to sign those pics is what lead to keith law calling the Jays draft the worst in the game.  Cecil and Zep in 2007, Snider in 2006, Romero in 2005 (although obviously that pick wasn't the best available for 6th overall ...), Lind in 2004 and Hill in 2003 ...  Marcum, Litsch and Jansenn coming back strong would brighten things, but expecting all three back at the same level seems very naive.  JP started with a weak system and leaves the Jays in much the same shape.  

RESULT - given the recent disaster and the poor performance of many of the top prospects, disappointing

3.  Trades - JP played it safe on this front, preferring not to take risks, and as such has no big losers on his resume - no big winners either though.  Many Bauxites bring up Accardo as evidence of his astuteness on this front, but if a decent bullpen arm is your greatest accomplishment, that proves my point.  The Hudson > Glaus > Rolen > Stewart series are good deals, as was grabbing Ted Lilly. 

But trading involves knowing when to trade, as well as when not to, and herin lies JPs failings on this front.  While he did stockpile valuable draft picks in many cases, he also missed the boat on trading many players at peak value.  You can debate individual deals endlessly, but dealing stars like Wells, Rios, Burnett, Lilly, Ryan, etc certainly could have brought back legit packages with more short term upside than draft picks, along with valuable cash savings and more playing time for young players (and of course, a subsequent improvement in drafting position, as those players go through their rookie challenges). 

Furthermore, glaring holes on the roster have not been addressed mid-season - at the start of this year a pitcher or DH would've helped keep the hot streak going and banished Millar, last year we could've avoided Mencherson, etc.

RESULT - mildly disappointing

4.  Filling out the roster - undeniably, JPs greatest strength was finding AAAA talent and getting cheap value from them - Downs, McDonald (whose value is dimished by the 2 year contract he got - same as Josh Towers), Camp, Tallet, Carlson, Richmond, Ruiz, Inglett, Chavez and the absolute gold standard on this list, Marco Scutaro. 

RESULT - strong positive

5. Running the Business - certainly, JP got the costs down in the first few years of his tenure, as per his mandate, and this early success might explain the long rope he seemed to get from Rogers.  But he created a financial mess of his own much worse than the one he inherited, managed to alienate much of the fan base with lies / ill-concieved comments and a disappointing product, and supervises a franchise whose televsion and live experience are sadly lacking.  Fan support is down, and down dramatically if you consider young people to be the future of the sport.  And he has the most badly divided locker room in team history.

RESULT- failure

Yes, he had unique challenges.  But this team's only chance in the formidible AL eastt was and continues to be outstanding leadership.  Anthonopoulos is an unknown, but at least he might make an outstanding GM.  JP had 8 years to show that he had it in him, and came up far short.  
Paul D - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 06:00 PM EDT (#206883) #
These 'examples' could hardly be more irrelevant to the real on-field and farm system problems of the franchise.

Which is kind of the point.  This is ateam that doesn't even care about the small stuff, clearly they're not caring about the big stuff.  
Ryan Day - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 06:08 PM EDT (#206884) #
2009, again early, but the failure to sign those pics is what lead to keith law calling the Jays draft the worst in the game.

That one you really don't get to pin on JP - Beeston was handling negotiations with Paxton. It appears Rogers said they'd spend money on draft picks and then backtracked; whatever you think of Ricciardi's draft record, not being able to sign the top picks wasn't a problem prior to 2009.
ramone - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 06:45 PM EDT (#206887) #

From Bastian's twitter:

"Anthopoulos will be the general manager going forward, unless the new president (whenever he is hired) decides to bring in his own GM."

http://twitter.com/MLBastian

Jays2010 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 06:51 PM EDT (#206888) #
2009, again early, but the failure to sign those pics is what lead to keith law calling the Jays draft the worst in the game.

That one you really don't get to pin on JP - Beeston was handling negotiations with Paxton. It appears Rogers said they'd spend money on draft picks and then backtracked; whatever you think of Ricciardi's draft record, not being able to sign the top picks wasn't a problem prior to 2009.
It seems like people would rather blame every single problem with the Jays in the last few years on JP than look at the organization as a whole and realize JP can only do so much. Failure to sign draft picks (as mentioned above, this has never been a problem in JP's tenure), Cito mutiny (according to Griffin), failure to spend with the big boys (as if JP can just get Rogers to spend $150 million), keeping Reed Johnson over Stewart (it was a bottom line move that had its merits), Roy Halladay struggling for a few weeks after the deadline (I guess the JP curse didn't last long)...if there is a problem with the team, somehow it could be linked to JP. Let's see what happens now. I just hope that AA gets the opportunity to move Halladay for the best package, strip down the team (other than Wells) for a couple of years and THEN ownership takes the team seriously if it looks like it's close to contending.
jerjapan - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 07:24 PM EDT (#206889) #
It seems like people would rather blame every single problem with the Jays in the last few years on JP than look at the organization as a whole and realize JP can only do so much.

No need.  JP has more than enough legitimate faults to critique - your post simply rebuts a variety of weak arguments against JP that have been mentioned throughout the years, while ignoring many of the valid ones.

The 2009 draft was a bust.  Yes, JP had never had trouble signing picks before - he was well-known for safe picks, college seniors, following slot.  His first foray into drafting over-slot was an unmitigated disaster.  If Rogers pulled the money at the last minute than it's not all on JP, but surely JP must have been aware that this might happen.  If Beeston was to handle some of the negotiations, surely JP must have had a sense of how high Beeston was prepared to go. 

Of course, every GM is simply the most important member of a team.  It is impossible for us to know the behind the scenes action, but what we do know is that JP is the leader and signs off on the decisions - part of being a leader, and an area that JP  is quite poor in, is taking responsability for the results of the organization.  Mayor Miller's rep was badly tarnished by this summer's strike, and yet we have no idea what went on behind the scenes, which advisors suggested he play hardball with the union, which negotiators excelled and which failed.  Does this exonerate Miller?  Of course not, just as JP needs to take responsability for the state of the ship he helmed.    
Ron - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 07:34 PM EDT (#206890) #
I’ve been waiting for this day for over 2 years. Mercifully the 8 year reign of error has finally come to an end. JP Ricciardi did something that I thought was impossible, he made me miss Gord Ash.

JP Ricciardi failed as a General Manager in almost every aspect. There’s no need to repeat all of my “mini-essays” I have produced on this site the past couple of years but the truth is that the Jays didn’t play a single meaningful game in August during his tenure. The Jays have fallen so far off of the map, even organizational soldier Roy Halladay wants out. The 25 man roster isn’t good enough to compete for a playoff spot and the farm system is in terrible shape. When your best prospect is Zack Stewart or Henderson Alvarez you know your farm system is awful. It’s ironic that JP will now be a sunk cost when he created so many of these himself. While I give him credit for some smart low profile free agent signings, most of his big ticket items have been a disaster.

He also couldn’t keep his mouth shut. He popped off at Adam Dunn, Gil Meche, Keith Law, Jays fan on WWJP, the BJ Ryan lie, etc…..

What floors me is that there are still JP supporters out there. I almost want to puke every time somebody says he simply hasn’t been lucky enough. I have some land in Compton I want to sell you………

The most puzzling thing about today isn’t the timing of the firing, it’s the fact a new permanent General Manager has already been promoted when the team doesn’t even have a permanent President in place. What harm is there in conducting a search for the next General Manager while giving the interim tag to Anthopoulos? Does Ownership believe their Organization is such a joke, they don’t even believe any qualified candidates would even accept a job interview? While I am happy Ricciardi is no longer associated with the Jays, the moves made today is merely putting lipstick on a pig. The Jays need a complete makeover from Ownership all the way down to the Mascots.

Jays2010 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 08:43 PM EDT (#206891) #

JP Ricciardi failed as a General Manager in almost every aspect. There’s no need to repeat all of my “mini-essays” I have produced on this site the past couple of years but the truth is that the Jays didn’t play a single meaningful game in August during his tenure. The Jays have fallen so far off of the map, even organizational soldier Roy Halladay wants out. The 25 man roster isn’t good enough to compete for a playoff spot and the farm system is in terrible shape. When your best prospect is Zack Stewart or Henderson Alvarez you know your farm system is awful. It’s ironic that JP will now be a sunk cost when he created so many of these himself. While I give him credit for some smart low profile free agent signings, most of his big ticket items have been a disaster.

From 2006 onward (i.e. when the payroll became respectable) JP assembled teams that were, at the least, in the top 8-12 in all of baseball. Every season. He definately did not create a team that could be elite for many years, but he had teams that would contend if baseball had a playoff format based on merit instead of on these horrible metaphors known as "divisions", the AL East being the most devoid-of-meaning of them all.

What floors me is that there are still JP supporters out there. I almost want to puke every time somebody says he simply hasn’t been lucky enough. I have some land in Compton I want to sell you………

I don't think most of these so-called "supporters" (myself included) think he has done a fantastic job or even built a team that is good enough for the AL East. I think most of us just don't like that he gets singled out for most of the turmoil associated with this franchise when there are clearly internal (i.e. ownership) and external (the realities of the AL East) forces that he cannot control.

While I am happy Ricciardi is no longer associated with the Jays, the moves made today is merely putting lipstick on a pig. The Jays need a complete makeover from Ownership all the way down to the Mascots.

Exactly. The Jays need a complete makeover. Which is why assigning the majority of the blame to JP without putting it in the context of ownership (and the division) is erroneous.

If AA has learned from JP (not just his good qualities, but also from his mistakes) and simply has more resources to work with (starting with a massive budget for the 2010 draft) and continues to conduct himself well in the public, I think the organization can move in the right direction. There are some decent pieces (though by itself the core is not good enough for this division) and if ownership accepts Wells as a sunk cost, AA will have a fairly clean slate after 2010. I'm looking forward to the offseason (and likely a Halladay trade) to see where this team is going for 2010 and beyond.

jmoney - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 09:53 PM EDT (#206893) #
Wasn't surprised when I heard the news. Don't really care because the problem at the moment is Rogers. This franchise is going no where fast as long as they want to pinch pennies.
brent - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 10:17 PM EDT (#206894) #

Here are my thoughts:

1. I like the tone AA set in his first conference. He actually mentioned being interested in others' input and leaning heavily on LaCava.

http://toronto.bluejays.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20091003&content_id=7308206&vkey=recap&fext=.jsp&c_id=tor

2. I said Cito would still be around by spring training the other day, and I'm sticking by it. It seems the players have already backed off, and no one is ready to put their name to anything like a bunch of scared kids when being stared down by their teacher. Cito and Doc come out looking like men amongst boys in this situation. Wells might need to hire a bodyguard in addition to his personal trainer after how bad he looks through all of this.

Ron - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 10:56 PM EDT (#206897) #
I don't think most of these so-called "supporters" (myself included) think he has done a fantastic job or even built a team that is good enough for the AL East. I think most of us just don't like that he gets singled out for most of the turmoil associated with this franchise when there are clearly internal (i.e. ownership) and external (the realities of the AL East) forces that he cannot control.

Up until now it is mostly JP’s fault why the Blue Jays have been unsuccessful. Just take a look at the drafting philosophy under his regime. Until this season, JP had a rule where he wouldn’t draft a Boras client or a High School pitcher in the 1st round. It is completely asinine to handcuff your baseball team like this. The Jays were very stingy when it came to the draft and international rookie/free agent signings. These are areas you have to exploit if you want to make the playoffs while playing in the AL East. He harped on and on about how he inherited an albatross contract (Delgado) and than gives out a bigger albatross contract (Wells) to himself and now AA. Considering his track record of big money contracts, why in the world would ownership trust him with the keys to the vault? While I won’t dispute the fact there are 2 big monsters in the AL East, JP’s wounds have been self-inflicted.

Exactly. The Jays need a complete makeover. Which is why assigning the majority of the blame to JP without putting it in the context of ownership (and the division) is erroneous.

If AA has learned from JP (not just his good qualities, but also from his mistakes) and simply has more resources to work with (starting with a massive budget for the 2010 draft) and continues to conduct himself well in the public, I think the organization can move in the right direction. There are some decent pieces (though by itself the core is not good enough for this division) and if ownership accepts Wells as a sunk cost, AA will have a fairly clean slate after 2010. I'm looking forward to the offseason (and likely a Halladay trade) to see where this team is going for 2010 and beyond.

Naming AA the Jays GM without having a permanent President is already a red flag. This is the equivalent of a team firing its GM and manager and than hiring the manager first and than conducting interviews with prospective GM’s. I’m already sour on AA after hearing his interview after the signing deadline for drafted players past. Leading up to the draft the Jays talked a big game about how the gloves were going to be off and how the Jays were going to draft the best players available now. Now we all know they were just blowing smoke up our asses. AA quickly did the PR spin and said how the Jays would continue to draft the best players available. Drafting the best players available is completely irrelevant when you don’t sign them. AA clearly doesn’t have a clean slate because he has the Wells albatross contract on his hands. A significant amount of payroll flexibility he should have enjoyed is tied into Well’s contract (20+ million the next 5 years). AA is a JP disciple and this has me extremely worried. The whole Blue Jays organization is lost.





TamRa - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:14 PM EDT (#206898) #
Regarding AA's take on Cito, i consider there are two possibilities, not mutually exclusive -

1. that the issues in the clubhouse were not, in fact, as dramatic as the press has led us to believe and that in the meeting there was a clear sense that they were things that could be worked out

2. that Paul Beeston is fully committed to Cito and refuses to hear any discussion of his dismissal and therefore AA is constranied to speak supportively until Beeston is out the door.

I am not remotely about to start kicking at the new guy before he's been on the job even 24 hours.


That said, whatever happened in the meeting, Cito's flaws on the feild are glowingly obvious and I can only hope that Beeston isn't so blinded by loyalty that he cannot see them but, rather, simply chooses to not take up the burden of canning his good friend, prefering to leave that to his successor.

I will have considerable difficulty being enthused in any way about 2010 if Cito is still here. i do not believe for one second he's willing todo things differently in his last year in the dugout because of the shitstorm.


Jays2010 - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:17 PM EDT (#206899) #
Up until now it is mostly JP’s fault why the Blue Jays have been unsuccessful. Just take a look at the drafting philosophy under his regime. Until this season, JP had a rule where he wouldn’t draft a Boras client or a High School pitcher in the 1st round. It is completely asinine to handcuff your baseball team like this. The Jays were very stingy when it came to the draft and international rookie/free agent signings. These are areas you have to exploit if you want to make the playoffs while playing in the AL East. He harped on and on about how he inherited an albatross contract (Delgado) and than gives out a bigger albatross contract (Wells) to himself and now AA. Considering his track record of big money contracts, why in the world would ownership trust him with the keys to the vault? While I won’t dispute the fact there are 2 big monsters in the AL East, JP’s wounds have been self-inflicted.

Again, how can you solely attribute the draft budget, or lack thereof, to JP? It's not a guarantee that if JP wanted to spend more on the draft that ownership would have approved it (take the 2009 draft fiasco as an example). And numerous people attribute the Wells signing to a combination of Godfrey's interference and Rogers wanting to spend with the big boys. From the outside, how can you suggest that it is all JP's doing? It is perfectly reasonable to suggest that JP wanted to trade Wells (he said that in an interview prior to the extension) but Godfrey wanted to keep him and Rogers basically agreed to raise the budget to accomodate Wells (i.e. a $90 million non-Wells budget from 2010 onward) and then this offseason decided to backtrack when the team was close to contention like they were in 2008.

Naming AA the Jays GM without having a permanent President is already a red flag. This is the equivalent of a team firing its GM and manager and than hiring the manager first and than conducting interviews with prospective GM’s. I’m already sour on AA after hearing his interview after the signing deadline for drafted players past. Leading up to the draft the Jays talked a big game about how the gloves were going to be off and how the Jays were going to draft the best players available now. Now we all know they were just blowing smoke up our asses. AA quickly did the PR spin and said how the Jays would continue to draft the best players available. Drafting the best players available is completely irrelevant when you don’t sign them. AA clearly doesn’t have a clean slate because he has the Wells albatross contract on his hands. A significant amount of payroll flexibility he should have enjoyed is tied into Well’s contract (20+ million the next 5 years). AA is a JP disciple and this has me extremely worried. The whole Blue Jays organization is lost.

Yes, the Jays organization is lost. But I'm not sure how much of Rogers' stinginess you can attribute to the fact that JP was GM. We'll see what happens going forward; but I'm guessing the majority of fans would be fine with JP's tactics as long as AA is the one selling them (at least for a couple of years). The Jays have had good to very good teams, just not an elite one or the willingness to spend money to build through free agency.

johnny was - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:19 PM EDT (#206900) #
Ugh, to the problem and solution.  StatsCan says I can expect to live another 49 years.  Hoping for, but not really expecting, another Jays World Series appearance before I check out.
Matthew E - Saturday, October 03 2009 @ 11:28 PM EDT (#206901) #
Well, you should last long enough to see two or three more .500+ seasons. That'll be nice.
Ron - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 12:22 AM EDT (#206902) #
Again, how can you solely attribute the draft budget, or lack thereof, to JP? It's not a guarantee that if JP wanted to spend more on the draft that ownership would have approved it (take the 2009 draft fiasco as an example). And numerous people attribute the Wells signing to a combination of Godfrey's interference and Rogers wanting to spend with the big boys. From the outside, how can you suggest that it is all JP's doing? It is perfectly reasonable to suggest that JP wanted to trade Wells (he said that in an interview prior to the extension) but Godfrey wanted to keep him and Rogers basically agreed to raise the budget to accomodate Wells (i.e. a $90 million non-Wells budget from 2010 onward) and then this offseason decided to backtrack when the team was close to contention like they were in 2008.

During his 8 years at the helm, JP has never said his draft budget was handcuffed by ownership. Part of JP’s job was to communicate the direction of the ballclub to the Team President and Ownership. If JP didn’t want the Wells signing, he should have did a better job explaining why it would be a bad move to his superiors.
Craig B - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 12:41 AM EDT (#206903) #
"I’ve been waiting for this day for over 2 years. Mercifully the 8 year reign of error has finally come to an end. JP Ricciardi did something that I thought was impossible, he made me miss Gord Ash."

Well, you're getting your wish, Ron, because Young Squire Anthopoulos is Gord Ash Mark II, absolutely true to life. For you and everyone else who missed Gord Ash driving the very expensive bus right off the road and into the rhubarb, you will get your wish once again. Except this time, the bus won't be expensive, quite the opposite.

But like Gordo, the Squeaky-Voiced Teen will work very, very cheap!

So Rogers gets exactly what it wants, and Beeston will likely drive down the franchise value a few more millions of bucks, although surely not low enough that he and his nonexistent group of investors can convince some fool to loan them the money to buy it.

Craig B - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 12:57 AM EDT (#206904) #
"AA quickly did the PR spin and said how the Jays would continue to draft the best players available. Drafting the best players available is completely irrelevant when you don’t sign them."

Alex Anthopoulos wouldn't know who the best player is if you lined up Cookie Monster Ortiz alongside the cast of the Muppets. And he's depending on the "input" of many, many people who are similarly underqualified for the jobs they are performing. This is the guy who always made sure he put the right cover page on his TPS Reports.

Would Rogers hand over one of their TV stations to a 32-year-old kid who had been in the serious part of the business for four years? Would they hell. Before '05, Alex Anthopoulos's most important duty was arranging for plane tickets for fat old men.

I have all the hope in the world that this ballclub will get turned around. Once a serious owner gets in place. May it be soon...
Shane - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:33 AM EDT (#206905) #
Wow. Craig. I know you post here only once in forever, but that was really really negative for you dude. Not that there's anything wrong with what you said at all. Good times to be a Jays fan.
FranklyScarlet - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 08:00 AM EDT (#206907) #

Wilner's BEST line yesterday...

MW: If you don’t know whether Cito deserves to be relieved of his manager’s duties, then you haven’t been watching closely!

 Love it.

 

 

85bluejay - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 10:03 AM EDT (#206909) #

I know that there are legions of JP supporters on this board and nothing is going to change their minds, but let me say

this - JP Ricciardi drained every bit of hope and fan loyalty I had - He did the impossible, made me regret the joy I felt

when Gord Ash was fired  - This time I will be restrained in my joy until I evaluate this offseason. I hope JP gets

another shot at GM duties so his supporters can see what a moron he is (hopefully with an AL east team)

Also, what really hurt was that I could afford season tickets and nearly purchased them in JP's first season, but wisely

decided to wait and see - I certainly hope I will be energised enough to buy season tickets next year - I don't mind if

the team decided to rebuild.

Frank Markotich - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 10:13 AM EDT (#206910) #

It's terribly unfair of me to prejudge the new guy, but I can't shake the feeling that the Blue Jays have put the office boy in charge. I strongly suspect Craig is right, and we're looking at Gord Ash Mark II.

This is a large market and the Blue Jays need to start acting like one. Even MLSE woke up to this fact, and finally put top-notch executives in charge of the Raptors and Leafs.

ayjackson - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 10:22 AM EDT (#206911) #

I prefer not to pass judgement on AA on his first day of work.  I think I'll wait to see how he performs over several years.  Obviously, some have already got their new whipping boy.

As for LaCava - he was passed over by Pittsburg and Seattle and now the Jays.  Maybe he isn't what he's cracked up to be.

Last time I checked billion dollar public companies to promote people into executive positions because they'll work for free.  It's in Rogers interest to have well managed baseball operations.  If the hiring is permanent, it was based on merit alone.

Mike Green - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 11:35 AM EDT (#206913) #
If the hiring is permanent, it was based on merit alone.

How do you know?  Some billionaires are tightwads (cf. Carl Pohlad).  Rogers v. 2009 seems to wish to match expenses of the ballclub to revenues.  With declining revenues, it wouldn't be a shock that they have decided to go cheap on GM salary. 

There was a rumour that Tim Wilken would be coming back, this time as a GM.  Wilken was the best part of the Ash era, and his return to take over the Draft (and possibly international acquisitions) would be welcome.  I don't know that Rogers would fork over the coin, though.
Dewey - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 12:08 PM EDT (#206914) #

AA seems like a nice boy. That's the problem. I watched him on TV yesterday after the game. I felt embarrassed. Of course, the media (God, it's bad here) will love him, because he's a patsy. Richard Griffin must be wetting his pants about all this. Craig B. is absolutely right. And AA wasn't even a member of the grounds crew. He is, as someone here has said, a “mouthpiece”. That is all. This franchise is now mired in a royal mess, and will be as long as it's owned by Rogers.

92-93 - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 12:30 PM EDT (#206915) #
"AA seems like a nice boy. That's the problem. I watched him on TV yesterday after the game. I felt embarrassed. Of course, the media (God, it's bad here) will love him, because he's a patsy."

I see the dinosaurs are out in full force again. I wonder if senior citizens in Boston and Tampa were also pissed when their teams hired 28 year old GMs that subsequently took their teams to the World Series. Get with the times pops.
Dewey - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 12:49 PM EDT (#206916) #

Oooh. Must have stung a bit, did it, son?  You didn't like the comments: but can you refute them?

Dewey the dinosaur.

Shane - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:12 PM EDT (#206917) #
Jeez 92-93 pissy at all? Are you that way because that's how you are? Or is it because you live in New York and it just brings that out of you?
zeppelinkm - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:19 PM EDT (#206918) #

This thing is going to get ugly, if it hasn't already.

Maybe everyone should take a deep breath before their next post. I mean, we're all on the same team here. Let's act like it.

AA's first job, if he is infact here to stay for any longer than a couple months (and even if he IS only here for that long) is to try and hire the best talent available to surround himself with. It won't be easy, but he has to develop a strong front office that he can rely and lean upon, given his youth and relative inexperience. Invest in talent here so he can make good on field investments.

He must be pretty good at something to have worked his way up the company quickly. If he is a glorified HR guy, maybe he is good at identifying talent. I don't mean players talent, but scouting directors, etc. Hopefully is he more aware of his limitations and has a more manageable ego than JP.  Unless his greatest gift was agreeing with JP and stroking JP's ego, I will give AA the benefit of the doubt until he proves he isn't worthy.

And then once he has assembled a competent executive, listen to them

China fan - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:23 PM EDT (#206919) #
Dewey, shouldn't the refuting and the supplying of evidence be done by those who dislike AA?  If you're going to attack him and call him "embarrassing" (based on a vague dislike of his manner at a press conference), shouldn't you be the one who has an obligation to prove your case?   Seems to me that we should give the guy a chance.  Nobody should be attacked on the basis of their age or the timbre of their voice.  If you think he's a bad choice for the job, let's have some evidence.  Otherwise let's give him a chance, and judge him by his record in power.
Jays2010 - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:23 PM EDT (#206920) #
I'm sure this has already been stated, but Shi Davidi's "Legacy of JP" piece is a very balanced and fair look at Ricciardi's 8 years. The quote by Law at the end sums up everything:

"J.P. is right about one thing, it is a significant competitive disadvantage to work in that division," says Law. "They're going to have to out-GM and outsmart the other teams in the division, some of whom are very good run by good GMs with very good scouting departments. You've got to be one of the best drafting teams, one of the best scouting teams. "His tenure wasn't a failure, people who try to depict it as a failure I think are doing him a disservice. They had some very good years in a very tough division. They did do some things well … (but) it's clear he's not going to build the 95-win team that's going to go the playoffs in the AL East. He's not the right guy for that."
westcoast dude - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:50 PM EDT (#206922) #
Ricciardi's treatment of Roy Halladay was inexcuseable, in my opinion.  It just didn't make sense--it still doesn't.    Then, to hear Wilner changing his mind, apologizing for JP and trying to spin it was pathetic, so his judgement is suspect when he attempts to pile on Cito Gaston.  The Blue Jays set a team Sptember record with 46 home runs, including a record number of home runs by a visiting team in a three game series at Fenway--and one game was called after seven innings.  The 2010 starting rotation looks great with the likes Doc, Ricky, Zep, Cecil and Tallet as the top five, and more on the way.  There was an abcess in the mouthpiece; it had to be extracted.  If the infection spreads, do it again.
CaramonLS - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:55 PM EDT (#206923) #
Exactly. And there are several examples of JP finding good defensive players that the market undervalued to play for this team.

And there are several more of him overpaying players good defensive players that the market overvalued too.  My point is that his message is very inconsistent.  BJ Ryan is a classic example of him abandoning everything Moneyball - First, he was overpaid, based on his track record and what he brought.  Second, he was done to make a big splash and third he was significantly overpaid for the role he was given on this team.  We couldn't afford a 10 million dollar closer on the Jays!  The Mets or Yankees can, but the Jays cannot.

It isn't revisionist history. He did draft ground ball pitchers, and he did build the best infield defense in baseball to accommodate those pitchers once they arrived. Of course, his "game plan" didn't prevent him from making good trades like Troy Glaus. The Jays needed a power bat so they got one.

So trading Orlando Hudson for Troy Glaus is an example of promoting this organizational philosophy of  "BUILDING THE BEST INFIELD DEFENSE IN BASEBALL", how? 

Because a 2B/3B combo of Hudson/Hill or Hill/Glaus - Which combination plays better defense? Would we be better off right now with Hudson instead?  I know we would have saved a great deal of Cash if we kept Hudson, but now we've essentially turned him into Edwin Encarnacion.  I know who I'd rather have right now.

Scott Rolen played just about 200 games for us.  Where was our infield defensive philosophy for the 6 years before that?

Now, I understand WHY he traded for Glaus, so lets not turn our discussion to that, but it doesn't jive with what you've typed.  JP never had a plan when it came to team building.  It changed month to month, year to year.
Jim - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:56 PM EDT (#206924) #
MW: If you don’t know whether Cito deserves to be relieved of his manager’s duties, then you haven’t been watching closely!

Funny Mike, where were you in July when those of us that said that were called out. 

The fact that Wilner is this vocal and this negative means that he must know Cito is gone.  He wouldn't be out there this loudly unless he was certain.
sduguid - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 01:56 PM EDT (#206925) #
It's a fitting end to the season that the final game of the year isn't available on TV unless you happen to be in a Rogers  cable served area of the country.
Dewey - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 02:02 PM EDT (#206926) #

I said AA “seemed” like a nice boy (in an after-game TV 'interview', not at a press conference). And he did. His comments and his demeanor did not inspire (or suggest) confidence. I genuinely hope I am mistaken in my impressions. If AA turns out to be a superb GM, I'll be delighted. It's possible he will grow into the job. That would be great. But everything he said, and the way he said it, suggested that his modus operandi was not to rock any boats, anywhere; to be deferential and accomodating to all. Yes, I know, it would be surprising if he did otherwise at this juncture. But he certainly does not come across as a Theo Epstein clone. Hope I'm wrong. I really do.

As for China Fan's wish for some “evidence”, that too is part of the difficulty: there seems to be virtually none to evaluate. Which further suggests that AA is little more than the employers' mouthpiece.  Again, I hope I'm wrong in these first impressions.  Let's see what he can get for Doc (an avowed JP fan).   A tough early test for so inexperienced an appointment.


Over and out.
Gerry - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 02:10 PM EDT (#206927) #

Davidi's article is very good.

One other interesting insight from the story:

Those who worked with Ricciardi say his reluctance to change tack on the draft is an indicative of his refusal to accept input. His foes have long contended that he surrounds himself with yes men and those outside his inner circle who disagree with him are usually shouted down.

I hadn't heard this about JP.  However he did surround himself with a lot of his friends and a lot of junior Canadians.  Not to take anything away from the Canadians but was this JP's way of surrounding himself with more junior subordinates who would be much less likely to challenge his views?  Certainly there does not appear to be an experienced, older, number two in the organization, other than perhaps LaCava.  I know some organizations are big on having older more experienced advisors around.

But what does this say about Anthopoulos?  Earlier this season Bart Given was fired and Anthopoulos had his responsibilities increase.  Does this story imply that AA is a yes man? 

Our problem whenever a number 2 is promoted to number 1 is knowing what does the number 2 stand for?  We don't know if AA will just want to tweak what JP was doing or does he want to make radical changes?  We just have to wait and watch and see.

ayjackson - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 02:56 PM EDT (#206928) #
I don't know MG, it seems that Tim Wilken wouldn't be a big ticket GM either.  I see know evidence that the Board of Rogers manages it's divisions by targeting cheap alternatives at management.  I'm not sold that this is a permanent move, but if it is, I'm inclined to believe that Beeston has all the confidence in the world in AA.  I also wouldn't be surprised if Rogers brought in a VP of Marketing/Growth and retained Beeston as VP Baseball Operations as a further mentorship of AA.
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:10 PM EDT (#206929) #
I see the dinosaurs are out in full force again. I wonder if senior citizens in Boston and Tampa were also pissed when their teams hired 28 year old GMs that subsequently took their teams to the World Series. Get with the times pops.

^^^
This.

It's amazing to me -

JP was a jerk because he was over-confident and brash

so they hire a soft spoken humble guy and it's WRONG!

JP wouldn't take advice and for that he was a moron so they hire a guy who says he'll lean on good advice from his staff and he's WRONG!

JP constantly looked like a walking ego and trashed people in public and they replace him with a guy who's always been hyper respectful and it's WRONG!

Boston and Tampa hire "fresh young minds" and they are geniuses and the Jays do it and they've hired the mail room boy SO WRONG!!

I've said it before and I'll say it again - the Jays could win the world series and some of you would complain about the color of the commemerative t-shirts.

TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:19 PM EDT (#206930) #
But what does this say about Anthopoulos?  Earlier this season Bart Given was fired and Anthopoulos had his responsibilities increase.  Does this story imply that AA is a yes man?

I'd LOVE to see the Jays bring Given back in AA's old job....

It would be a classy move.

TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:22 PM EDT (#206932) #
The 2010 starting rotation looks great with the likes Doc, Ricky, Zep, Cecil and Tallet as the top five, and more on the way.

Tallet is in the front five and Marcum isn't?


TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:29 PM EDT (#206934) #
"J.P. is right about one thing, it is a significant competitive disadvantage to work in that division," says Law. "They're going to have to out-GM and outsmart the other teams in the division, some of whom are very good run by good GMs with very good scouting departments. You've got to be one of the best drafting teams, one of the best scouting teams. "His tenure wasn't a failure, people who try to depict it as a failure I think are doing him a disservice. They had some very good years in a very tough division. They did do some things well … (but) it's clear he's not going to build the 95-win team that's going to go the playoffs in the AL East. He's not the right guy for that."

I wonder if those who have always taken Law's word as gospel will dismiss this?

It is neither bashing or praising, it's fair and, I think, spot on. If any of us had written that we'd be accused of being apologists.

I can't conceive anyone here is going to use that word to describe Law.


CaramonLS - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:30 PM EDT (#206935) #
so they hire a soft spoken humble guy and it's WRONG!

No, No, No!

Do you even know who this guy is?  I don't really think anyone does - that alone doesn't make him much of a GM candidate.  Is this one of the most unlikely GM candidates ever?

At least Epstein went to law school and Yale. 

I know AA has an economics degree from McMaster, but really, what else?  As scouting director which pics were his?  What did he recommend?  Anything?

Shane - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:39 PM EDT (#206936) #
So by the end of today we'll know where the Jays are in the draft order for next June. Could finish as high as nine it looks like. Whoot whoot.
Ryan Day - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:46 PM EDT (#206937) #
Surprisingly, I agree with Law: Ricciardi isn't a bad GM. He's probably a pretty good one. But he's not a great one, which is what you need to compete with the Yankees and Red Sox when you've only got half their budget. (if that)

Even if you think Ricciardi is awful, though, I'm not sure how the present situation is any improvement. Anthopoulos has very little experience as a baseball guy. Even if he were more experienced, wouldn't you think it's a good idea to look around at some other candidates? It'd be one thing if he were only interim GM - you only need someone to run the day-to-day stuff. But he's permanent? Even though the president, his boss, isn't? Will the new president, whoever he is, have the ability to replace a new and inexperienced GM who seemingly only got the job because he was there? And apparently Beeston says Gaston is returning, which is really the sort of thing the GM should be deciding; could Anthopoulos replace Gaston even if he wanted to?

Do you trust Anthopoulos to trade Halladay? Do you think he's going to change how the Jays run the draft?

This is just a mess. I don't think the team is in any way better off now than it was a week ago.

ramone - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 03:46 PM EDT (#206938) #

"So by the end of today we'll know where the Jays are in the draft order for next June. Could finish as high as nine it looks like. Whoot whoot."

So with the chance of Oakland and San Diego having the same record as the jays when all is said and done, how is draft order decided?

CaramonLS - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:06 PM EDT (#206939) #
Even if you think Ricciardi is awful, though, I'm not sure how the present situation is any improvement.

Extremely poor way of defending this move.  Ricciardi needs to be judged on his own merit, not as to whether or not this throws the Jays into a big hole or not.  That is a judgement we can pass on ownership. 
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:15 PM EDT (#206940) #
Mike, where were you in July when those of us that said that were called out. 

Well, July might be a bit early since as late as June 26 the Jays were close to the wild card spot.

Yes, it's true that Cito's flaws were obvious even when the Jays were wining (even in 2008) but it's really not considered a fireable offense to make a dumb move as long as the team wins.

As of June 26, the Jays - in the year plus Cito had been on the job - had had ONE bad stretch, the nine-game streak. Otherwise they were 92-62 since Cito had taken over.

that kind of success buys you a bit of rope. So it's unrealistic to expect that within the next month following that accomplishment that the commentator will be calling for Cito's firing.

Hell, even I wasn't suggesting he should be fired at that point even though I was certain he was making a lot of mistakes and, frankly, a bit mystified that they were winning so much in spite of them.

I'm willing to put up with what I don't understand as long as it's working.

anyway, in searching the archives this is what i got from July:

Whether Cito consistently puts his players in the best positions to perform at their best is debatable.

I’m stunned, by the way, that I haven’t heard from any of the “Cito and his coaches have fixed the hitters” folks, who were so vocal over the first six weeks of the season."

Those were in the last blog before the ASB

Here's a commenter's take on August 3:

"A lot of people say you love J.P. and Gibby and hate Cito "

How did he get that impression of Wilner?



There are a lot of other comments about the error of not pinch hitting for Millar, or hitting him clean-up, and so forth...but it would be too tedious to collect them all.

Also, I just did a search for "Cito" so any comment not including his name (using a pronoun) wouldn't show up.

Still, Wilner has been negative about Cito for at least half a season and growing more so as the pressitance of the errors increased.

I can't see what purpose ragging on Wilner (or anyone else save maybe Dick Griffin) really serves at this point in time.

Seems we have bigger fish to fry.


Gerry - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:29 PM EDT (#206941) #
Brandon League must have had an early flight booked.
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:29 PM EDT (#206942) #
No, No, No!

I'm just going by the criticism that was offered - the post I was relying too didn't speak of qualifications it spoke of how he sounded.


Do you even know who this guy is?  I don't really think anyone does - that alone doesn't make him much of a GM candidate.  Is this one of the most unlikely GM candidates ever?

It comes down to whether or not you trust the people who worked with hm and saw him at work, particularly Beeston. is it POSSIBLE Beeston is just playing favorites like he is when he protects Cito?

SURE it is.

It's also possible that the guy is an inate genius when it comes to baseball and those who work with him can see it. After all, LaCava was right there handy and didn't get the job...and I don't think any of us would question his qualifications. It seems a bit illogical to just ASSUME that Beeston et al could see a better in house candidate and STILL chose a newb instead without a good reason.


At least Epstein went to law school and Yale. 


And? what the hell does law School have to dowith being a good GM?

I know AA has an economics degree from McMaster, but really, what else?  As scouting director which pics were his?  What did he recommend?  Anything?


I'm sure there will be some reporting on that point after the dust settles. Why not go over to Bart Given's blog and ask him and see what he gives up?


Ryan Day - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:34 PM EDT (#206943) #
Ricciardi needs to be judged on his own merit, not as to whether or not this throws the Jays into a big hole or not.

Firing him without finding a superior replacement - or, in this case, appearing to even look for a superior replacement - is an utterly pointless move. I don't see the logic in hating Ricciardi so much that you'd be happy to see him replaced with an inferior GM. Firing Ricciardi accomplishes absolutely nothing in and of itself.

And Gerry's observation is quite true: If Ricciardi was an awful GM who didn't tolerate dissent, and Anthopoulos was his second-in-command, what does that say about Anthoploulos? That he either agreed with all of Ricciardi's bad moves, or that he was simply a yes-man?
CaramonLS - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:41 PM EDT (#206944) #
And? what the hell does law School have to dowith being a good GM?

If you don't understand the difference in terms of academic competence and commitment between an economics degree from McMaster and attending Yale + getting a law degree, heaven help you. 

ramone - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:45 PM EDT (#206945) #

"And? what the hell does law School have to dowith being a good GM?

If you don't understand the difference in terms of academic competence and commitment between an economics degree from McMaster and attending Yale + getting a law degree, heaven help you"

Just for a point of reference before anyone makes a judement on AA's education background, he was forced out of school early because his dad died and he and his brother took over the family business.  AA finished school with night classes while running the family business and ultimately he left to pursue his baseball career by taking a job for no money. 

CaramonLS - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:52 PM EDT (#206946) #
Just for a point of reference before anyone makes a judement on AA's education background, he was forced out of school early because his dad died and he and his brother took over the family business.  AA finished school with night classes while running the family business and ultimately he left to pursue his baseball career by taking a job for no money.

Fair enough, as I did not know his specific circumstances.
Jays2010 - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 04:59 PM EDT (#206947) #

"And? what the hell does law School have to dowith being a good GM?

If you don't understand the difference in terms of academic competence and commitment between an economics degree from McMaster and attending Yale + getting a law degree, heaven help you"

Just for a point of reference before anyone makes a judement on AA's education background, he was forced out of school early because his dad died and he and his brother took over the family business.  AA finished school with night classes while running the family business and ultimately he left to pursue his baseball career by taking a job for no money. 

AA sounds pretty responsible and mature based on this. Perhaps he didn't enjoy the inherited privilege needed to get a law degree from Yale; perhaps a degree in economics and running a family business is more relevant to his new job as general manager than a degree in law...

I do agree, though, that it makes no sense to just hand the job to AA without interviewing other candidates and seeing what else is available.

Alex Obal - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:00 PM EDT (#206948) #
I don't think anyone takes issue with Anthopoulos' age. That would be dumb. The issue is that he's not exactly as accomplished as Andrew Friedman was when Tampa hired him.
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:01 PM EDT (#206949) #
What the hairy heck is going on with Bart's site?

He hasn't posted to twitter since August 21 and his site is....a mess.

Observe:

http://www.insidethemajors.com/?p=2505



Jim - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:02 PM EDT (#206950) #
I can't see what purpose ragging on Wilner

If you are talking about me, I'm not really ragging on Wilner.  I think he does a good job and I have his blog in my RSS reader.  He just tried to stay positive for so long this season I find it funny how negative he's become in the last 3 weeks.  You could see the second half of this season coming from a mile away:

http://www.battersbox.ca/comment.php?mode=view&cid=202794

The GM situation is bizarre.  If everything the organization is going to do is predicated on who the President is... then HIRE A PRESIDENT.
Ron - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:06 PM EDT (#206951) #
I don't think anyone takes issue with Anthopoulos' age. That would be dumb. The issue is that he's not exactly as accomplished as Andrew Friedman was when Tampa hired him.

Actually from a purely Baseball Prospective, Andrew Friedman is far less accomplished than AA when he became the GM of the Rays. Friedman left MidMark Capital and than he spent less than 2 years as the Director of Baseball Development before being named the Rays GM. AA has spent 8 years in MLB and the past couple of seasons as basically the number 2 guy in the Jays front office.
Alex Obal - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:09 PM EDT (#206952) #
Yeah, and Gord Ash smokes both of 'em.

Just for a point of reference before anyone makes a judement on AA's education background, he was forced out of school early because his dad died and he and his brother took over the family business.  AA finished school with night classes while running the family business and ultimately he left to pursue his baseball career by taking a job for no money.

This is interesting and definitely makes my impression of AA more positive.
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:13 PM EDT (#206953) #
I don't think anyone takes issue with Anthopoulos' age. That would be dumb. The issue is that he's not exactly as accomplished as Andrew Friedman was when Tampa hired him.

What did we know about Friedman the day he was hired?

I'm not trying to be a smart-ass here - I genuinely want to know, what was his resume at 28 (was it 28?) when he got that job?


TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:18 PM EDT (#206954) #
You can here a bit more on that and get maybe a bit more insight into AA in his interview with Wilner here:

http://www.fan590.com/media.jsp?content=20091004_130338_9516


Alex Obal - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:22 PM EDT (#206955) #
Heck, I didn't know anything about him at all. I was just perusing his Wikipedia page and saw he'd spent 5 or 6 years at an investment bank and a private equity firm. Obviously, who knows what he did there, but I figure he's probably reasonably accomplished as a number cruncher, almost certainly more so than several MLB executives. That's important to me. He played college baseball at a big-time program, Tulane. He also spent two years as the Rays' "director of baseball development," so he wasn't a complete outsider.

Jon Daniels is doing a pretty good job in Texas. He's the guy I'd use as my optimistic Anthopoulos comp.
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:26 PM EDT (#206956) #
If you don't understand the difference in terms of academic competence and commitment between an economics degree from McMaster and attending Yale + getting a law degree, heaven help you.

so a person who CHOOSES not to go to law school, for whatever reason, is thus by defninition incapeable of surviving Law School, right?

Obviously now. You are assuming things about his "competence and commitment" from lack of evidence.

no, not even that - just from lack of the selective evidence you accept.

I would argue that a man who throws himself into an unpaid baseball internship at 23 and works for a couple of years for basically no income at all while he learns the ropes and manages to climb from that beginning to an assistant GM job in seven years has demonstrated every bit as much competence and commitment as any law school graduate, if not considerably more.

It's nothing but eliteism to suggest that being a law Grad is a more respectable way to demonstrate your abilities than are other ways in which one may excel.

And my point was and is that being "competent and committed" in climbing the ranks in MLB is a lot MORE qualifying for this position than being competent and committed to accomplish something that isn't at all related to the sport.
 
metafour - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:31 PM EDT (#206957) #
After all, LaCava was right there handy and didn't get the job...and I don't think any of us would question his qualifications. It seems a bit illogical to just ASSUME that Beeston et al could see a better in house candidate and STILL chose a newb instead without a good reason.


Actually, there could be pretty good reasoning.  If Beeston is giving up Presidential duties then not naming LaCava gives the new President the ability to interview him as a serious candidate if he so chooses.  If LaCava is named as interim-GM now then he's most likely fired if a new Pres comes in, because I cant see a new President coming in and just taking the left-over bit handed down by the old President without conducting his own search.  How often do you see a guy get named interim-something, have a new person in charge come in and clean house, and then have the interim guy rehired? Not that often.

Of course it is possible that Beeston is in talks with whoever he may or may not give his job over to and that that person has already chosen Anthopoulos, but that seems like more of a stretch to me.
Alex Obal - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:36 PM EDT (#206958) #
Oh, wait, Daniels did 'business development' work in Boston before getting hired by Texas, so he's not a perfectly perfect comp.

Really, what I want to see is how Anthopoulos thinks. That's a wide-open question. If he's got a sense of where a new market inefficiency might be (international players? beating your Pythag? tandem starting pitchers?!?), for example, great. If he's just going to be a more docile version of JP, minus the scouting acumen, not so great.
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:41 PM EDT (#206959) #
Firing Ricciardi accomplishes absolutely nothing in and of itself.


The popular term now is "optics"

Firing JP wasn't actually necessary from an on-field perspective. It was defenisable to let him go or to keep him.

Firing him became necessary because of the PERCEPTION that he was an arrogant ass who offended everyone and hampered the success of the organization because of his massive ego.

Whether that was true or not, the image was set and there was no way to do a make-over. If you want to change the public image of the jays with the shrinking and ever-more-cynical fan base...then he had to go.

So firing him and replacing him with anyone who didn't have those issues acconplished something in terms of the public perception of the team.


TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:45 PM EDT (#206960) #

Really, what I want to see is how Anthopoulos thinks.

Sample-size caveat but....the inovated Aaron hill contract is a good sign.

Matthew E - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 05:54 PM EDT (#206961) #
I've got no problem with Anthopoulos. He might be good; he probably isn't great. Doesn't matter, because I don't think the ingredients of success are available to him. He's got the Wells contract around stinking up the joint, he's got an uncertain ownership situation, he's competing with two teams richer than he is and at least as smart, his minor-league system is weak on position players, his roster is missing good players at key positions, and his team may or may not be at war with his overrated manager. Branch Rickey couldn't win with this team.
braden - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 06:24 PM EDT (#206962) #
There are still two games today that can impact the Jays in terms of the draft next June.  Both Oakland and San Diego have 75 wins, same as the Jays.  If both win, Jays draft 9th.  If both lose, Jays draft 11th as they'll be in a three-way tie and the Jays hold the tie-breaker against both (2008 record).

Oakland looks to be losing by three in the 8th while the Padres just tied things up with the Giants through 7.

CaramonLS - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 06:33 PM EDT (#206963) #
It's nothing but eliteism to suggest that being a law Grad is a more respectable way to demonstrate your abilities than are other ways in which one may excel.

LOL.  Ok, please pull out his demonstrable list of Baseball accomplishments.  Please.  A Law degree is at the very least a measurable. 
Mylegacy - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 07:16 PM EDT (#206964) #
I gots to jump back into the fray...

AA is what he is...clearly...a lightweight.

That's not an insult it's the TRUTH. However, he might just be a "Brilliant" lightweight...time will tell...after JP many of us were HOPING we'd have a proven pro...AA knows "innovative" contracts (see Hill's) HOWEVER - can he tell which of 6 different righthanded pitching prospects has the best combination of complimentary pitches? I don't think so either.

Like Blanche, in A Street Car named Desire... he'll have to "rely on the generosity of strangers." In this case they won't be "strangers" BUT they will ALL know more than he does and they will generate a roar of confusing ideas - about which - he won't have the BASEBALL GAME EXPERIENCE to decide which Idea is best. Freaking pity for him, the Jays, and we long suffering fans. What we HAVE TO HOPE for is that among his advisers there will be a truly DOMINATE one - one  who REALLY knows - and we're lucky enough that AA - rather than be intimidated by him - follows his lead. In which case one wonders - Why the fu*k didn't we hire that guy instead.

I saw his first press conference. Do nice guys finish last? I hope he's the exception that proves the rule. By the time he learns the job - will any of us still support him?

I gotta have a scotch, ya a double - single malt of course.

Jim - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 07:17 PM EDT (#206965) #
Tampa isn't an exact comp.  They lean heavily on Gerry Hunsicker.  They also had a huge backlog of talent in the organization that doesn't exist here.

Arguing about where AA's degree is from seems pointless.  Sure there are some Ivy League guys who have done really well in baseball.  They aren't the ONLY guys who have done well though. 

No one person can be responsible for everything in a 2009 baseball front office.  They need a lot of input from a lot of people to put a winner on the field and run the business end correctly.  That's what's even scarier.  The entire process looks to be a mess.

Mylegacy - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 07:25 PM EDT (#206966) #
All games are over...

Eight teams have worse records than us. We're tied for ninth worse record with Oakland and San Diego. While I'm not sure of this - "braden" above in this thread - says that because of our 2008 records they'd pick ahead of us - so be it - in the 2010 DRAFT we pick 11th.

Jim - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 07:50 PM EDT (#206967) #
The best part about this thread is after hearing that I was too negative all year, I was never as negative as about a half dozen people in this conversation.
christaylor - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 09:31 PM EDT (#206970) #
The site was clearly hacked the "./0wned" page title is a dead give away. Given may have just said "screw it" after having his site hack by some "l33t teen".
S P - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 10:19 PM EDT (#206971) #
I have the same theory as Metafour's above regarding LaCava.  I myself have been wondering when the heck Anthopoulos leaped over LaCava on the depth chart. The answer to "when" is obvious: when Beeston came on.  The answer to why he's suddenly the interim GM now is probably that he's easier to demote when it comes time for the next President to name his GM. If they went with LaCava as interim GM, it wouldn't look good if they had to demote him since he deserves the job himself. This way, it also allows the new President to interview LaCava. I don't remember ever seeing an incoming President interview the interim GM. So I hope this theory is correct.

BUT, from what Beeston said at the press conference, and AA himself, it sounds an awful lot like there's nothing "interim" about it at all and that he's the permanent replacement. If that's the case, wow what an awful, awful way to handle it.

I'm with 92-93 on this, Beeston has gotten away with way too much BSing since he came on. First all the 2010 talk and false hope when he replaced Godfrey, then promising to pay over-slot ("the gloves are off"") in February and then cheaping out over relatively little on signing day in August; selling false hope about the payroll last winter ("we can spend up to $120M if we want") and then backing away from that with the classic "if we can't spend 120, we might as well spend 80". His search for the next President has taken a year and we've seen more delays in the announcement than an album release.

Through all that, he wasted a year of rebuilding by keeping JP on board to do all his dirty work and take all the public blame and ridicule. He clearly didn't have an open door with the players since he claims to be surprised to hear about the player "mutiny". And now he has seemingly rushed through the GM search to promote AA without a serious search for a respected GM.  AA has been involved with every one of those JP contracts that he's ridiculed for, and he's apparently a yes man. I have no problems with his age at all; I think it's a positive. But it doesn't say much about this organization if they're seemingly promoting a loyal office boy.

Like I said, I hope my theory above is true, or else this transition has been bungled enormously and this franchise will somehow come out in even worse shape than with JP. At least with JP we had a fairly good personnel manager who was betrayed by his personality and big mouth.
TamRa - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 10:26 PM EDT (#206972) #
LOL.  Ok, please pull out his demonstrable list of Baseball accomplishments.  Please.  A Law degree is at the very least a measurable.

I didn't say he had a long list of "baseball accomplishments" - he has LIFE accomplishments, just as Epstien did, just as Friedman did, just as Cashman did when he got his job, just as Jon Daniels or the young guy in Arizona who's name escapes me.

None of them had an extensive list of "baseball accomplishments" when they got their first GM job (I think you can throw Terry Ryan into that group too)

The worked, for the most part uncredited, behind the scenes in the front offices in which they worked and their "accomplishments" were that the did what the did so well and so hard that they impressed people who were in a position to know.

Sure, AA COULD be a simple puppet who will do nothing of note except hold down costs.

But because he studied economics instead of law is a damned thin reed to prop that conclusion up with.

Ryan Day - Sunday, October 04 2009 @ 11:49 PM EDT (#206974) #
It's possible we're all underestimating Anthopoulos' credentials. Maybe he has the skills to be a great GM.

But what does the franchise have to lose by looking at other options? It's the end of the season. GM candidates should be easily available for some interviews, and it's not like there's urgent business to take care of in Toronto that absolutely demands a permanent GM. At least make a show of considering other people before promoting Anthopoulos; the present situation makes it look he got the job because he's a good company man who was next in line when Ricciardi went down.

China fan - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 04:52 AM EDT (#206976) #

I don't understand the reason for attacking someone as a "good company man" or a "Yes man" -- as if loyalty and diplomacy are terrible things.   Find me a baseball executive who seems like a "maverick" and I'll show you a loose cannon who can't be trusted by his own organization. How would you expect anyone to survive in a baseball career if they were constantly criticizing their own team?   Should any executive be obliged to prove their integrity to the fans by publicly disagreeing with their own bosses?   This is a completely unrealistic expectation, and it's bizarre to attack someone for failing to be disloyal to his employers.  We should judge AA on his merits, based on what he does on the job, not on our speculation about his character.

Moreover, there is a major advantage to promoting someone from within, instead of hiring an outsider.  An outsider would probably need 6 to 12 months to understand his new organization, to learn the ropes and evaluate his players, managers and coaches.  Instead of spinning his wheels for half a year in learning mode, AA can hit the ground running.  He might not make some of the mistakes that Ricciardi made in his first half a year in Toronto.   At a minimum, we should admit that the hiring of an insider has certain advantages which might even outweigh the advantages of launching a big time-consuming search for other candidates.

brent - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 05:07 AM EDT (#206977) #
At least Griffi/en won't be trying to get him fired- AA used to work for the MONTREAL EXPOS.
TamRa - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 08:35 AM EDT (#206979) #
the present situation makes it look he got the job because he's a good company man who was next in line when Ricciardi went down.

Not that this is what you meant but it reminded me of something I was going to say yesterday -

It's quite possible that Beeston looked at JP and said "there are a lot of things I like about the way this guy builds a team and an organization but he just has too damned much baggage"

And so, when he looked at AA, he sees a guy with a lot of JP's better qualities but without the obvious negatives. In essence, it's a way to keep the "Good JP" while ditching the "Evil JP"

Maybe. Just maybe.

In any case, when you keep the in-house candidate, you have continuity. You can keep your overall personnel team together, people who know the organization and the prospects and the coaches and don't have a dramatic learning curve. People who don't have to turn around and start interviewing and hiring a lot of new staff people.

Perhaps - and i think this is pretty likely and not just a guess - perhaps Beeston saw that continuity of organization as a very valuable argument for staying in-house.

If so, I applaud it. I, for one, am NOT a big fan of the massive re-boot because I LIKE the player personnel people we have (for the most part, other than some minor league coaches and managers) and would consider it a loss if an outside hire came in and cleaned house.

That alone was enough to make me VASTLY prefer AA or LaCava to any other potential hire.

TamRa - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 08:37 AM EDT (#206980) #
Moreover, there is a major advantage to promoting someone from within, instead of hiring an outsider.  An outsider would probably need 6 to 12 months to understand his new organization, to learn the ropes and evaluate his players, managers and coaches.  Instead of spinning his wheels for half a year in learning mode, AA can hit the ground running.  He might not make some of the mistakes that Ricciardi made in his first half a year in Toronto.   At a minimum, we should admit that the hiring of an insider has certain advantages which might even outweigh the advantages of launching a big time-consuming search for other candidates.

I swear I didn't read this before my last post - but I wholeheartedly concur (obviously!)


Gerry - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 11:59 AM EDT (#206987) #

Buster Olney states today that it won't take JP long to get another job, not necessarily a GM job, but he cites JP's player evaluation skills.  Also MLB Rumors states that Omar Minaya has already called JP and would be interested in bringing him in to the Mets front office.

As others have said JP's teams were competitive in the AL East and that carries a lot of weight within baseball.

Dewey - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 12:08 PM EDT (#206988) #

Arguing on the internet is a treacherous business, even more so than arguing off it. It seems to encourage exaggerated, even polarizing, positions. There's a tendency to fasten on one statement, then exaggerate it for purposes of ready demolition; but often the initial observation is exaggerated to the extent that it becomes something quite different than the original post had intended . . . and we're off into ad hominem vituperation. Discussion dies.

For example, I don't recall anyone saying that loyalty or diplomacy were terrible things. And no one attacked anyone “for failing to be disloyal to their employers”! That certainly is “a completely unrealistic expectation.”  When people refer to a 'company man' or a 'yes man' they usually mean someone who uncritically (that is, without independent thought) agrees with what his superiors assert to be true. Frankly, such people are often a danger to a company. Though it takes a strong company to understand that. Insecure organizations, like insecure people, cannot bear much criticism.  What is sought is honesty, not subversion. (It seems that China Fan has made something of a u-turn in his views of corporate ownership--which I entirely agreed with when he posted them some weeks back--but perhaps I misconstrue his remarks here.)

As for the matter of continuity, I for one also entirely agree with his views. I do not wish to go back eight years and start all over again.

christaylor - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 12:19 PM EDT (#206989) #
I agree for the most part, however already AA has stated he won't be firing Cito and if the 590 radio reports are correct he doesn't have the authority to fire Cito.

Personally I am fan of Cito, but admitted most of my reasons are nostalgic reasons. The player revolt and then subsequent muzzling of the revolt are enough. Out of the in the game managing (which even the most ardent Cito fan has to admit is abysmal) the jobs the manager has are a) filling out the lineup card correctly (both accurately and in the way that gives the team the best chance to win - which Cito has arguably failed at) and b) keeping the club house a good working environment (which Cito has failed epically at).

There's not much a reasonable ($120M) payroll bump won't solve for the Jays... but I think that just gets them competitive for the WC unless they have the perfect season (see 2008 TB). This team still needs a president, the team still has needs at every up the middle position (unless one believe VW is still an everyday CF). The team needs to decide whether to trade Doc (which could kill the fan base for many years, as unlike with Delgado there's no step into fill the void.

I'd love to see this team step up and sign Bay, Harden/Bedard and keep Barajas (or sign another Barajas type, as there are many C on the wrong side of 30 available every year) or Scoot (or sign Tejada or whatever). Could this team pull that off given the state of the front office and the support of management, doubtful. For those who'll attack that plan, it is just a top of my head plan and based around the fact that the first three players are Canadian. That team, with some pythagoean luck, could compete for the WC as could any plan that signed a non-DH quality bat, a legit number 2 (whatever the injury issues) who'll take pressure off the developing pitchers (I think Doc/AJ at the top took pressure off Marcum, McGowan and Litsch). Lastly, as part of any play, I think it is imperative to see McG and Purcey as arms for the pen. McG has a set-up closer type and Purcey as swingman like Tallet (who needs to be jettisoned).

My crystal ball doesn't see AA trading Doc or signing any free agents of the calibre that I've listed. I'm REALLY ticked off that at the very least a GM search wasn't conducted (if AA or LaCava turned out to be the best for the job so be at least search).

Oh and for those bashing McMaster, it consistently ranks in the top 100 universities in the world and is easily in the top 5 in Canada (different rankings methodologies differ). The McMaster econ program is well respected and includes a faculty remember who contributes heavily to the free statistical programming suite R (which pitch/fx heads will regard fondly). No McMaster is not an Ivy league institution (which are, by all accounts from colleagues of mine who've taught - and left - Ivy league institutions, that's not an altogether bad thing) but it is known for specializing in a few areas and excelling at those areas. One is its Medical School, another is its Psychology/Neuroscience programs (full disclosure, I am in this program but was talked into going into this program by people at better known institutions, such as the faculty member who I applied to work with at McGill). Sorry for the rant, but like so much commentary on high education, most people don't have any idea what they are talking about. In fact, if it weren't though my interactions with the aforementioned R contributor, I'd have no idea about the quality of work done in Economics. It is true, academia does a poor job of selling itself, but most people in academia couldn't give a rats ass about this - we care about the respect of our colleagues and peers. Hence, the myths of the great "Ivy league" get perpetuated through our culture as memes that'll never die - where these schools are rife with grade inflation (60 minutes did a story on why everyone at Harvard gets an A) and a culture that doesn't give out tenure to its best and brightest assistant professors just because they'd rather poach a professor from another higher profile institution. OK rant over. I don't care if AA started on the grounds crew and didn't get a high school education, if he's got a grasp on baseball, its statistics, the idea of moneyball (which is finding under-valued assets and exploiting them, not just OBP is life, in fact OBP might be over-valued now -- also an econ degree seems perfect for this) and the new knowledge that is generated (he's already admitted he reads blogs, hopefully on of the them is the Book blog).

To sum up, I like AA, I think he'll do well, but I don't like that there was no search and I really don't like the appearance that he doesn't have the authority to fire Cito. The team still seems to be be doing things backward. Get a president, get a commitment on the budget from Rogers corp, get a GM and get a manager who can implement the GMs plan instead of, frankly, playing a style of baseball that looked obsolete to my eyes as a young teenager in the 1990s. AA's hire may look good from the average fan who reads the Star and agrees with that dillweed RG, but other than the fact that AA is not JP, I think the problem that we've discussed in threads prior to this one (that if JP is fired we're not guaranteed to get a great GM that can out think the Yankees/Sox)... in fact, I have no idea what AA will be like as a GM or how long his term will last. If I'm made the president, which I won't, the first thing I do is undertake the GM search that wasn't done. This is the thing that ticks me off the most. The ship seems even more rudderless than if the team had decided to let JP go on for another season. Promoting from within is fine, but if one polled any of the 29 other teams, would AA even be on their interview list? I am not sure that he would be... LaCava most definitely would be (as he has)... but when hiring someone there ought to be an interview process. The optics (for other than the knee jerk JP haters) of this situation are terrible. Beeston needs to go and quick.
christaylor - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 12:30 PM EDT (#206990) #
I agree with the hit the ground running idea (although mythbusters did a show busting that as a myth, but I digress) but without even a cursory search, how do the Jays know that AA is an adequate, let alone the best candidate out there? Maybe DePodesta would after 8 years, rethink his position on coming to Canada? Maybe Terry Ryan has a plan that could re-tool the organization and make it into a contender in a very short amount of time.

The point being without at least talking to others, how does Beeston know anything? It is always foolish to not gather data/information and this what Beeston has done. I question how different AA plan could possibly be from JPs? Perhaps Beeston didn't really want to fire JP and AA is going to follow a plan laid down by JP. If this is true, I'm not sure why Beeston bothered... to satisfy a few disciples of Richard Griffin?

Beeston needs to leave and leave quick. He's blocking the firing of a manager who clearly needs to be fired (Cito) and is too lazy to even undertake a search of what is out there and who might be interested in the Jays GM job.

Like seem Rogers to have, like Beeston seems to have... I'm ready to pack it in and stop caring about the Blue Jays, I only root for because I was born in Toronto. Heck they don't even wear blue anymore (please change this new president). On AA, I'd like to reserve judgement and wait and see, but it is difficult to see how this is anything but a penny-pinching move (save the cost of a search and promote someone who they don't have to pay a nickel more too).

I'll always be a huge baseball fan, but it now has absolutely nothing with men who wear blue less than once a month. Fantasy baseball is infinitely more interesting than rooting for a team with no direction, president, no real GM, a manager who has lost his players and a fan base that seems destined to set record lows in attendance repeatedly next year.
China fan - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 01:07 PM EDT (#206993) #

Dewey, my point is that AA's critics are describing him as a Yes Man and a company man, without any evidence.  If their only evidence is that AA has not publicly quarrelled with Ricciardi or Beeston, that's not evidence at all, and it's unfair for people to assume that he is a Yes Man just because of the absence of public disputes.   What other evidence have the critics provided?  They're simply assuming that he must be a Yes Man because he got a big promotion.  I think that's unfair and unsubstantiated.

And yes, I'm still very unhappy with the team's corporate ownership and their salary dumps and budget cutting.  But even if the current owners are penny-pinchers and budget-slashers, that doesn't prove that AA's promotion was a bad decision.  Of course it's possible that AA was given the job simply because the owners wanted to save money with a cheap hire.  If that's the case, I'd be against it.  But at this point, there's no evidence for or against that theory.  I'm just saying that AA should be given the benefit of the doubt.  If he screws up, maybe it will be because he's too inexperienced and incapable, and maybe the owners were just trying to save money when they gave him the job.  But that hasn't happened yet.  There's also a chance that this might actually be a smart move, and I'm willing to wait and see.  Even bad owners can sometimes make good moves -- it's not impossible.

Ryan Day - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 02:09 PM EDT (#206998) #
Perhaps the problem is that no one seems to know much of anything about Anthopoulos. Rogers doesn't even seem to be talking much about his qualifications. (If there's been anything specific, I've missed it.) Regardless of whether he's actually good enough for the job, Rogers doesn't seem to have gone out of its way to make him look like the best man for the job; for that matter, the media seems too overjoyed with "JP Fired!" to actually ask any questions about Anthopoulos. (Though the Star does reveal his favourite movie and how many siblings he has)

The idea of an interim President appointing a permanent GM, who may not even be empowered to fire the manager, is also not inspiring.
John Northey - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 02:21 PM EDT (#207000) #
Sheesh, go away for a weekend and look what happens :)

To those wondering why AA was hired without a real search - who says there wasn't?  Beeston is talking about his president choice having been made and that the i's are being dotted and t's crossed (of course, we've heard that one before).  That new president could've easily done some interviews behind the scenes with key players without it going public as A) we don't know who this president is and B) they could've been doing a generic search without a team name thus keeping it wide open as to who they were doing it for.  No real limits as no tampering charges could occur if the interviews were kept quiet and done by someone who is not currently under contract with the Jays.  They could've decided that what is needed right now is a media-friendly guy who won't be torn to pieces immediately - much like Gord Ash was given tons and tons of rope to hang himself (which he did quite nicely) thanks to the 'came up through the system' and 'good old Canadian' situation.  They could feel AA is the idea talent for the role too, and once the firestorm hit the time frame jumped.

Another big question has been about LaCava.  Again, it is possible (doubtful, but possible) that he is the new presidential candidate and felt it best to work with a guy he knew well already to set up a Beeston/Gillick style combo - guys who know each others strengths and weaknesses and can work together well.  That would kill the interviewing outside candidates (outside of those already out of work) but certainly could be the case.

As to retreads out there - who would we want brought in?  DePodesta has been mentioned and wouldn't be the worst choice, but some nightmare choices exist too.  I always fear retreads as they tend to burst a lot quicker when used a second time :)
Dewey - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 02:37 PM EDT (#207002) #

China Fan:  Of course it's possible that AA was given the job simply because the owners wanted to save money with a cheap hire.  If that's the case, I'd be against it.  But at this point, there's no evidence for or against that theory.

I am reminded of a sentence of Henry Thoreau's: “Some circumstantial evidence is very strong, as when you find a trout in the milk."

Richard S.S. - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 02:52 PM EDT (#207004) #

People,who are complaining about AA, who cannot do their own taxes, shouldn't read any more.  Generally the people who wish for the GM to be a lawyer (an EGO without common sense) rather than an economist (understanding $$$) deserve everthing they get (all bad).  Who says the "new" President, who's main purpose is to make the "dome" profitable, doesn't want his own people or the best possible available (Towers ?).

Take the team's share of the average ticket price per person (approx.$35.00), add the team's share of concessions, programs, clothing and souvineers (approx.$15.00) and add 2,000,000 Fans (2008: 2.4 M, 2009: 1.86 M) and that should equal $100. 0 million.  Baseball operations:$25.0 M; Team Salaries $75.0 M.  (Rogers gets a lot of free advertising and programming).

Television rights, Radio rights and other broadscast media generate (let's say) approx. $150,000 per game broadcast over 145 games, and that should equal $21.75 million.  Baseball operations: $31.75 M; Team Salaries: $90.0 M.

I am excluding any Football revenues of any kind.

81 Home Baseball games + 1 or 2 NFL games + 9 Home CFL games = approx. 275 days to book other events at the "Dome".  75 - 100: decent; 100-125: good; 125-150: very good; 150 - ? GREAT!  Just allow the Baseball Team 30% of the take - perhaps $500,000 x 100 days booked = $50.0 million.  Baseball operations: $46.75 M; Team Salaries: $125.0 M.

What do the Boxes bring in?  There is a Hotel and two Restaurants.  What do they bring in?  The Rogers Center (AKA Skydome) should fund the Blue Jays and ALL Baseball operations totally (TV & Radio not included) and provide for the upkeep of  and upgrades to The Center, and provide Rogers Corp. with a profit and or pay back any further investment within 5 years.  You don`t have to believe me, just work it out yourself.

And just imagine 2.5 - 4.0 million fans.

Gerry - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 07:58 PM EDT (#207020) #

Will Hill, who used to work for the Blue Jays before becoming a columnist for TSN, is very complimentary to AA. 

I have a personal story that I think sheds some light on that issue. Anthopoulos is a real fan of basketball. Sometime in the days after the 2006 NBA Draft, he and I and another friend were talking about the Raptors top pick, Andrea Bargnani. My friend made the mistake of suggesting Anthopoulos would have picked Adam Morrison first overall because being a "J.P. guy" he would want the more polished college product - the kind of player Ricciardi has been known to prefer in baseball's draft. The conversation became less friendly and more heated and became less about professional basketball and more about personal beliefs. Anthopoulos has told me he always thought as a good lieutenant he should follow orders from above and support them to the fullest. That doesn't necessarily mean that once promoted to the rank of five-star general he'd be giving those exact orders himself. He has ideas of his own.

metafour - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 08:37 PM EDT (#207022) #
Another big question has been about LaCava.  Again, it is possible (doubtful, but possible) that he is the new presidential candidate


That makes absolutely no sense.  Why would they take the player development/scouting guy (LaCava) and put him in an administrative/money position and take the guy with pretty much no baseball experience and throw him into a position where he's going to be making personnel decisions (who to sign, who to trade) and draft decisions? If they wanted to just promote both then Anthop would be President and LaCava would be GM, at least using common logic.
metafour - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 08:57 PM EDT (#207023) #
Dewey, my point is that AA's critics are describing him as a Yes Man and a company man, without any evidence.  If their only evidence is that AA has not publicly quarrelled with Ricciardi or Beeston, that's not evidence at all, and it's unfair for people to assume that he is a Yes Man just because of the absence of public disputes.   What other evidence have the critics provided?  They're simply assuming that he must be a Yes Man because he got a big promotion.  I think that's unfair and unsubstantiated.


Of course there is no hard evidence - if there was there would be a visible public outrage of him being promoted without a legitimate search having taken place.

However, looking into the operation of Rogers within the past few months I dont think its that big of a stretch to call Anthop a mouth-piece.  During this whole debacle he's been the guy who has been reassuring fans of Rogers' ownership.  When we completely botched our draft who was it that came in to state that all was good and that we could have signed everyone but just didn't want to? Anthopolous.  Look at his background, he's a guy that has done REALLY well with Rogers: from unpaid garbage-worker to a top baseball position to now the GM of a baseball franchise, all within a relatively short period of time.  Is it not logical to assume that Anthopolous probably feels pretty good about Rogers given how his career has progressed? Add in him essentially being chosen as the spin-guy the past few months (with JP being muzzled) its not a stretch to think that Rogers, which seems lost and has made a lot of moves suggesting dis-interest, has prepped this guy to be the loyal tote-the-company-line alternative to big-mouthed JP Ricciardi.
CaramonLS - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 09:10 PM EDT (#207024) #
In any case, when you keep the in-house candidate, you have continuity. You can keep your overall personnel team together, people who know the organization and the prospects and the coaches and don't have a dramatic learning curve. People who don't have to turn around and start interviewing and hiring a lot of new staff people.

Just curious Will, would you want the co-captain of the Titanic sailing you around the world?  I'm all for internal promotions, but you have to be careful when naming the second in command of a sinking ship your new captain.
James W - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 09:33 PM EDT (#207025) #
I haven't seen this many "sinking ship" comments since the latest Hillenbrand family reunion.
TamRa - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 10:26 PM EDT (#207027) #
Just curious Will, would you want the co-captain of the Titanic sailing you around the world?  I'm all for internal promotions, but you have to be careful when naming the second in command of a sinking ship your new captain.

Given the fact that I think that in terms of team building JP did a reasonably good job and the only reason he needed firing is public preception and his own big mouth....

I don't consider this the Titanic - at least not in terms of things that were within his control.

therefore, hiring a guy who was his padwan (without the mouth problems) works quite well for me.



Rich - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 10:33 PM EDT (#207028) #
In any case, when you keep the in-house candidate, you have continuity.

This is the same argument those boneheads in Orchard Park keep making about Mr. 7 and 9, Dick Jauron.  If you wanted continuity, you may as well have kept the guy you just fired.  Isn't the whole point: that the people in charge have tried and failed to get results for 8 years?

As John N suggests, it's possible that a new president has already been hired and that this person has already interviewed candidates and decided on AA but the chances that this occurred and NO ONE in the media ever got wind of it are pretty much zero.  So once again the organization look like buffoons - not because they hired AA necessarily but rather because it seems incredibly unlikely that they actually took the time or made the effort to find the best possible person for the job.  And that job is quite simply the single most important one in the company.  It's exactly what they did by hiring Carlos Tosca as the permanent manager - just grab the next guy in line without giving yourself the opportunity to possibly find someone better.  It's a recipe for failure.  People can complain about De Podesta all they want (and they may well be right)  but that doesn't mean the team has gone about finding a new GM in any sort of intelligent manner.

All I can hope is that a new president comes in PDQ and immediately announces that he is conducting interviews for the GM job and that AA will be a candidate among many others.  Additionally, that the new GM will have full discretion to choose the 2010 manager, and that a team called the "Blue Jays" will once again have blue as their primary colour.
ayjackson - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 10:46 PM EDT (#207029) #

Blair's latest entry describes AA as a consensus builder, which is pretty much the opposite of recent depictions of JP.  It also sounds like the new President is essentially hired and is just waiting for his season to end.  Beeston will apparently be recommending AA to the new President and has every reason to expect that he will agree. 

Fans are griping about JP and Rogers and now AA.  Nobody's griping about Beeston.  I get the strong sense that he's been running the ship since day 1.  No money for free agents?  Not Rogers, Beeston.  Create a auction market for Roy to see his worth?  Not JP, Beeston.  Free up salary for future flexibility (BJ, Rolen, Rios)?  Not Rogers, Beeston.

TamRa - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 11:01 PM EDT (#207030) #
From the above mentioned Will Hill column:

The youthful Anthopoulos might start aging in dog years now. It's not enough that he has to figure out a plan to beat the two best teams in baseball. He has to first communicate that plan to an incoming president, ownership, his fellow executives and, most importantly, the skeptical ticket-buying public in Canada and get all of them to buy in.

Some will say that's unlikely, if not impossible, because those key stakeholders will view him as too young, too inexperienced and too "interim" to be taken seriously. To them, I would say this. Many years ago - long before he ever took over the interim presidency - my friend Paul Beeston said to me; "You watch Alex. He's going to be a GM someday. It might not be here in Toronto, but it's going to happen before too long." At the time, Anthopoulos was still in his twenties and was a scouting coordinator, one of the lower rungs in the baseball operations hierarchy. Beeston looked past the issue of age and saw the kind of traits that make for a successful executive.


I wonder if Beeston thought so highly of him then because he was a good "yes man" lacky?

Or maybe there was something else going on?



TamRa - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 11:03 PM EDT (#207031) #
Fans are griping about JP and Rogers and now AA.  Nobody's griping about Beeston.  I get the strong sense that he's been running the ship since day 1.  No money for free agents?  Not Rogers, Beeston.  Create a auction market for Roy to see his worth?  Not JP, Beeston.  Free up salary for future flexibility (BJ, Rolen, Rios)?  Not Rogers, Beeston.

Agreed.

TamRa - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 11:08 PM EDT (#207032) #
If you wanted continuity, you may as well have kept the guy you just fired.

That's a very simplistic POV.

With any person in such a position you can (and probably do) like some of his skill set and dislike other parts of it - you are essentially saying you have to keep the whole package or you have to clear out and start over every time.

Let's face it - even among his most lyaol fans, JP's worst trait was indisputably one of attitude/ego/communication whatever term you want to use.

Why is it wrong to maintain continuity in those things you are pleased with and yet upgrade the areas that even his greatest defenders concede to be a weakness?


TamRa - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 11:26 PM EDT (#207033) #
Maybe Terry Ryan has a plan that could re-tool the organization and make it into a contender in a very short amount of time.

Because he built one so very quickly in Minnesota?

:D

I know he was just an example but I couldn't resist....
metafour - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 11:33 PM EDT (#207034) #
I have no problem with promoting from within, but what proof do we have that Anthopolous will come even close to matching Ricciardi's strengths? Thats a pretty naive belief train.
metafour - Monday, October 05 2009 @ 11:36 PM EDT (#207035) #
BTW above post is in response to:

Why is it wrong to maintain continuity in those things you are pleased with and yet upgrade the areas that even his greatest defenders concede to be a weakness?



TamRa - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 12:34 AM EDT (#207037) #
Bobcat draws some remarkably candid comments out of Godfrey here:

http://www.fan590.com/ondemand/media.jsp?content=20091005_180153_9292

Not that I'm a sucker for everything PG says (if he wants to impress me he can own up to the Wells deal) and there is a sense at one point that he's geting ready to throw JP completely under the bus (seems partuclarly unhappy with the AJ opt out and the Thomas option year) and all but says if he had stayed on he would have probably fired JP last year.

But beyond that, there's some good behind the scenes insight - first into JP (he says JP took the loses probably harder than the players and he would see him late at night with his head in his hands in dispair....so JP's critics maybe shouldn't be so quick to assume he was unconcerned with the success of the team) and he also said that JP's "attitude" seemed to get worse the last couple of years and he (PG) believed that despite denials he began to get desperate to find a way to get over the last hump.

(and frankly, despreation would be a good way to explain things like the Thomas deal)

But what really interested me was towards the end when Bob asked him about AA. I'll try to transcribe the gist of it here for those who can't listen:

BM: Alex Anthopoulos  looks like he's gonna be the guy . . .is he ready?

PG: I think he was ready - i sent him an e-mail when he was appointed and told him I thought he was ready in June of 2008 and I believe that.

BM: Really?

PG: And I believed that at the time. Alex has got the opportunity to be the Theo Epstien of this club. He's VERY smart, he's very hard working - he's the hardest working guy in there. He did everything with respect to contracts, he did everythng with respect to baseball talent - he knows the game better than any other young man that I've met. I think Beeston made the EXACT right choice in Alex.

BM: If you were there, would you  - do you think it would be advisable to bring in a senior person as an advisor, to assist alex, at least in the first year...?

PG: I don't think that's needed at all.


TamRa - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 12:40 AM EDT (#207038) #
I have no problem with promoting from within, but what proof do we have that Anthopolous will come even close to matching Ricciardi's strengths? Thats a pretty naive belief train.

Exactly the same proof we had when Epstien, Friedman, Daniels, Beane, Ryan, and a multitude of others including JP himself when they were first hired - he enjoys the praise and admiration of people who's baseball savvy are widely respected.

In the absence of evidence to the contrary, I'm compelled to assume it's more likely Beeston knows his abilities better than you or I do.

I don't think it's totally naive to draw that conclusion.

I do not rule out the possibility he got the job because he is/was a lapdog....but I find it an entierly negativist and defeatist attitude to ASSUME that's the most likely explaination.

CaramonLS - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 01:08 AM EDT (#207039) #
Given the fact that I think that in terms of team building JP did a reasonably good job and the only reason he needed firing is public preception and his own big mouth....

Fair enough.  Other people think he did a pretty poor job given the resources he had.  There is a pretty strong argument to be made that he shouldn't be allowed to sign a contract over 10 million to anyone not named Roy Halladay.
SK in NJ - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 09:31 AM EDT (#207044) #

No one will know how good or bad AA is until we see him in action. I don't have an issue with that. My issue is not having an extensive search to potentially find a better candidate. Beeston hasn't exactly filled me with warm optimism since he came back last year either, so his endorsement isn't what it used to be in my eyes.

As Ricciardi himself proved, being an assistant behind a successful GM (Beane) doesn't mean squat, so AA being an assistant behind a relatively mediocre one (Ricciardi) doesn't mean much either. It's possible AA is better. It's possible he is worse. It's possible he is the same. Who the heck knows. I would have been more comfortable with LaCava just based on what I have read about him, but we don't know how LaCava would have done either. The benefits of someone like Terry Ryan is he has an extensive history to go on. Some times the unknown is both intriguing and scary at the same time and that about sums up by feelings on AA.

I will give AA a chance if he stays on (which I think he will). He seems like a nice humble guy, which on its own is a massive step above Ricciardi. Whether he is the right guy for the job is another issue. We will see.

I have a feeling that he is going to rebuild though, starting with a Halladay trade and moving from there. I will be pleasantly surprised if payroll is increased and AA is given a chance to add talent, but I highly doubt that. I might actually lose interest in this team if they trade Halladay, just because he is one of the classiest guys in baseball in addition to one of the best performers, but hopefully if he is moved it adds impact young talent that can start a rebuilding process that the Jays probably need at this point.

Rich - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 10:07 AM EDT (#207048) #
Epstien, Friedman, Daniels, Beane, Ryan

And how many of these guys were hired without an interview process that included other candidates?  Again, the point isn't that AA is necessarily a bad choice but that the team made him the only choice without doing their due diligence first and that is no way to try and compete in the AL East.

On continuity, it was defensible to hand the reigns from Gillick to Ash as they had worked together to build a winner.  The current situation is in no way analogous as the current front office hardly has an enviable record.  I'd have no problem with AA being hired in any case if the club had interviewed everyone who might be available and interested and then declared that AA had the best plan to move the team forward.  It seems to be the most prudent course of action and they didn't take it.
Dewey - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 11:45 AM EDT (#207058) #

Uh, oh.  Poor AA.  McCown and Godfrey, two of the biggest and most fraudulent loudmouths on the Toronto sports stage for far too long now. Them being "candid" boggles the mind.  An endorsement from either of them is pretty foul matter to have hanging off one's portrait.

Showbiz.   Wizards of Oz.   Nothing there but gas.  Nothing.

Mike Green - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 11:47 AM EDT (#207059) #
Nothing there but gas

WillRain begs to differ.  He referred to Bob McCown by his initials.
Dewey - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 01:29 PM EDT (#207065) #
Ooh.  Right you are Mike.  Maybe Gas is BM's *middle* name.  
TamRa - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 01:44 PM EDT (#207067) #
The benefits of someone like Terry Ryan is he has an extensive history to go on.

I'll never understand why people who consistantly disparage JP's record also seem so fond of Ryan.

The Twins finished in 4th or 5th place in every one of Ryan's first 6 years, and never broke .500 until his seventh season in charge.

and that in the AL-friggin-CENTRAL.

They started winning after they hired Gardnhire (in a similar fashion people for some reason think Tom Kelly would be a great hire for manager...)

In terms of team building, i don't see how any logical person can say Ryan was a good GM and JP wasn't.

TamRa - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 08:56 PM EDT (#207114) #
And how many of these guys were hired without an interview process that included other candidates?  Again, the point isn't that AA is necessarily a bad choice but that the team made him the only choice without doing their due diligence first and that is no way to try and compete in the AL East.

More professional opinion on that:

Keith Law was asked on the Fan:

From the standpoint of the Jays going out in the market and looking for a president and more specifically, because we're talking about a GM, going out there and going out in the market and saying "hey maybe there's a Terry Ryan out ther maybe there's a John Hart or a Dan douqette - i'm just throwing names out there - was there the ability, number one, for the Jays to go out there and offer a package to a guy who's on the outside looking in that is an attractive offer for someone in baseball? number two, is there a budget in place that one of those guys would want to come to? Or was Alex just the right guy at the right moment and they never even considered that?


and this was his reply:

I think Alex was the right guy at the right moment—has the strong relationship with Paul Beeston. Paul’s a smart guy. I think from the moment he stepped in as the interim president he looked at Alex and realized, we’ve got a top prospect here, this is a guy we’ve got to hold onto an cultivate, who could be a very good GM for us long term. So what’s the alternative then? To go out and try to get Terry Ryan? I know Terry, I’ve seen him out on the circuit, and I don’t think Terry has any interest in getting back onto that side of things. Your former GMs out there are the guys like Terry  who did a phenomenal job and are just done—they’ve moved on and they’re going to do something else for the rest of their careers—or they’re the guys you don’t want anything to do with in the first place—they’re former GMs because they weren’t good enough the first time around. Rather than go out and play in that pool, they chose to stay internal and go with a guy they know really well and who, like I said, I think Paul specifically saw this guy and his instinct said, this is a guy we want to hang onto and bring along as the long-term GM.

How many respected observers need to say the Jays made the right call before we quit looking for reasons to carp about it?

Rich - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 09:17 PM EDT (#207120) #
So what’s the alternative then?

Rather than go out and play in that pool, they chose to stay internal

The alternative is to interview a bunch of other candidates first and if AA really is as great as they suggest then a full hiring process would show that.  I never said anything about Terry Ryan or any former GM's.  Surely no one can say that Anthopolous is the ONLY person out there who is a) available b) interested in the job and c) qualified to potentially be a good GM.  So why the heck wouldn't you be certain he is absolutely the best possible person first?  What does the team have to lose?  Absolutely nothing. 

And Beeston isn't some "observer" - he is the guy who did the hiring without first making sure he couldn't possibly have found anyone better.  So it's him that deserves the criticism.  I will stop "carping" when the the floundering organization that most of us root for start giving themselves every possible chance they can to succeed and in this case they didn't do that.  By the same token I might ask you when you'll stop defending the process that quite clearly was nowhere near as thorough as it could have been.  You are obviously intelligent enough to recognize the difference between complaining about the process and taking issue with the outcome.  A good process makes a good outcome more likely and that's what all Jays fans want.  My only hope is that the new president won't just accept the new GM without first comparing him properly to other candidates.
Rich - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 09:21 PM EDT (#207122) #
Yes, I realize you are referring to Law, not Beeston but Law is basically saying he simply trusts Beeston and the process is irrelevant.  He also ignores the fact that there are maybe many other young front office types just like AA who are not retreads but that would certainly be worthy  of consideration.  He infers the choice is simply a failed retread or AA, which simply isn't true.
Glevin - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 09:58 PM EDT (#207125) #
"In terms of team building, i don't see how any logical person can say Ryan was a good GM and JP wasn't."

Because Ryan built good teams and J.P. didn't. In 8 years as GM, J.P. did not once have a team that contended. Ryan's teams contended often. J.P. simply did not build a good team. Ryan did. Seems pretty logical.
Mike Green - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 10:06 PM EDT (#207126) #
Ryan (and his staff) made 3 pretty good moves during his tenure- the Rule 5 draft of Johan Santana, choosing Mauer over Prior and the Pierzynski/Nathan trade.  That really amounts to the top Rule 5 draft ever (Roberto Clemente was obviously a better player over his career, but didn't too much over the first 6 years of his major league career), a helluva first overall pick and the trade of the decade. 
ayjackson - Tuesday, October 06 2009 @ 10:52 PM EDT (#207128) #
How'd Garza and Bartlett for Young work out?  [I believe that was still under his watch.]
TamRa - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 05:56 AM EDT (#207140) #
Because Ryan built good teams and J.P. didn't. In 8 years as GM, J.P. did not once have a team that contended. Ryan's teams contended often. J.P. simply did not build a good team. Ryan did. Seems pretty logical.

Eh?

Are you aware that Ryan's first six teams ALL finished under .500 and it wasn't until his eigth year that any of his teams could be remotely considered "good"?

By a lot of higher order measures, JP's fifth sixth and seventh teams were "good"

In point of fact, the 2006-2008 Jays were arguably better teams than any of Ryan's teams when adjusted for strength of schedule.


TamRa - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 06:05 AM EDT (#207141) #
By the same token I might ask you when you'll stop defending the process that quite clearly was nowhere near as thorough as it could have been.

I'm not defending the process.

I'm saying I like and am excited about the outcome. It may not apply to you specifically but the general sense I've gotten the last few days is a lot of bitter fans trying very hard to be too clever to be pleased or optimistic about anything.

Better the cynical crumudgen who "doesn't buy their f'n bull***" than a hopeful fan who can see something to be excited about (and thus risk being disappointed again)

You want to argue that Beeston SHOULD have looked under every rock to find the best possible choice?

fine. Sure, i can't disprove that point - and am not trying to.

What I'm trying to say is even if Beeston did do it wrong, I like the choice and I personally don't know of anyone else in the game whom I'd rather have seen get the job (I'd have liked LaCava about equally)

Am I speaking from ignorance there? Yes. So be it. I like the hire. and SINCE i like the hire, I'd rather spend my time saying "I like the hire" than spend my time saying "i guess he's ok but I sure hate the way he got here"

If there's anything I have had my fill of this season it's new things to bitch about.

YMMV

Mike Green - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 09:07 AM EDT (#207143) #
AYJ, the Garza-Bartlett/Young trade was one of the first moves of Ryan's successor.  Alex Anthopoulos, this is how not to get started!
SK in NJ - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 11:51 AM EDT (#207159) #

Ryan built playoff teams on low payrolls. Ricciardi did not sniff the playoffs in 8 seasons. I think that would put Ryan on a higher level using anyone's standards.

Yes, the Twins stunk for Ryan's first few years. Big deal. He wasn't running on a .500 treadmill like JP was, he was actually rebuilding. That type of rebuild requires time and ownership backing; both of which Ryan was given. He did a true rebuild where the team stunk for a few years and he worked on building the farm system in the mean time. If anything, that "5-year plan" was a lot more sensible because it gave the Twins an opportunity to replenish their talent base rather than finish with 82 wins every year, settle for a mid-round draft pick every year, and live off their pythag record in hopes of future improvement (the latter sounds familiar, doesn't it?). Ricciardi was given a small window to trade away expensive players early on, but within a few years was given a huge payroll increase to win. The situations are not even close to similar.

From 2001-2006 (Ryan's best years), the Twins made four playoff appearances and averaged 90 wins. According to USAToday, the Twins payroll during that stretch was anywhere from 18th in the league to dead last. Division excuse or not, he built a strong talent base and hired an effective manager to exploit that talent all with a well below average payroll; and that was after what should have been a franchise altering blunder (letting Ortiz go). Again, we have evidence to suggest Ryan can handle the type of situation the Jays may see themselves in if they decide to trade Halladay. Plus Ryan can show he can make moves to win as well.

Ricciardi built a few decent teams in a division that requires a great team in order to win. If you want to look at that as some sort of accomplishment, that is up to you. I can't imagine one person in baseball circles who would view Ricciardi in a greater light than Ryan. If you could find one, be my guest.

Rich - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 12:27 PM EDT (#207166) #
Many fans aren't pleased because they pay good money and invest their time and emotions in an organization that starts out with a pretty big disadvantage due to the nature of their division.  The club has no control over that but what they DO have control over is who they hire to run their team and it's disappointing (to say the least) that they didn't even give the appearance of doing everything they possibly could to ensure they hired the very best possible person as the GM.  The team cannot afford to take half-measures at anything and expect to compete in the AL East (the unprecedented failure to sign 3 of the top 5 draft picks is another case in point, BTW) .  And this is partly why my family won't be renewing the season tickets we've held since 1977.

It seems clear that very little will get you down WillRain, and that's your choice but fans have a right to hold the club to account as it careens through the 21st century mired in mediocrity.  When we stop caring altogether whether the Jays make good decisions or not is the day the franchise is doomed.

TamRa - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 03:15 PM EDT (#207188) #

Ryan built playoff teams on low payrolls. Ricciardi did not sniff the playoffs in 8 seasons. I think that would put Ryan on a higher level using anyone's standards.

If your point of view is simplistic enough to say "only making the playoffs counts" then yes, but even then - people have been calling JP a failure for at least 2 years and in some cases more. many Jays fans would have only given him five or at the most six years to make the playoffs.If Ryan had been held to that standard he would have never fielded a .500+ team

Ryan acconplished the goal everyone sets as "the only thing that matters" in his EIGHTH year. So it's only in 2009 that one can even say that Ryan did what JP did not. You cannot claim from on-field evidence that if JP had stayed here for five more years that he wouldn't have ever made the playoffs (maybe multiple times) - you've have to make a guess.

Point being, if the same fans who wanted JP gone last year and the year before were judging Ryan at the same point in his tenure they would have had to call him a failure - especially given his hill to climb was much less steep.

Yes, the Twins stunk for Ryan's first few years.

If by "few" you mean SIX.

Big deal.

It was a "big deal" here.

He wasn't running on a .500 treadmill like JP was, he was actually rebuilding. That type of rebuild requires time and ownership backing; both of which Ryan was given. He did a true rebuild where the team stunk for a few years and he worked on building the farm system in the mean time. If anything, that "5-year plan" was a lot more sensible because it gave the Twins an opportunity to replenish their talent base rather than finish with 82 wins every year, settle for a mid-round draft pick every year, and live off their pythag record in hopes of future improvement (the latter sounds familiar, doesn't it?). Ricciardi was given a small window to trade away expensive players early on, but within a few years was given a huge payroll increase to win. The situations are not even close to similar.

So much rivisionist hindsight rationalization. JP took four years to tear down and rebuild and was given the money to "go for it" begining in his fifth year. Begining that year he fielded teams which were as good or better than almost any of the teams Ryan built (perhaps 2 of the teams Ryan built in 13 years were better than any the 2006-2008 Jays) but not good enough to win in this division.

Now, it is certainly true that Ryan didn't recieve a big payroll boost in order to get overthe hump and one can argue that without that payroll spike JP's teams wouldn't have improved when they did. But even if that's true, if you put JP on the same timetable that Ryan was on, you shouldn't have expected them to be competitive until 2009.

As far as "building up the farm system" goes - here are the players drafted by Ryan who spent any relevant time in the majors:

'95 - Mark Redman, Doug Mietkiewicz, AJ Hinch

'96- Jacque Jones, Chad Allen, Michael Ryan, Chad Moeller, Mike Lincoln, Matt Kata

'97- Mike Cuddyer, Matt LeCroy, Michael Restovich, JC Romero, Nick Punto

'98- Saul Rivera

'99- Rob Bowen, Justin Moreneau (in the third round!)

'00- Jason Kubel

'01- Joe Mauer (#1 overall), Nick Blackburn

Let me pause here to note that this is six years into Ryan's reign, he has driven them through the end of 2000 down to being SO bad they got the #1 overall pick and at that point the second best talent he's added to the farm through the draft is Mike Cuddyer. There is NOT ONE Jays fan in the land who would not - at that point - have called Ryan's reign as GM an unmitigated disaster. Being smart enough to take the wildly talented HOME TOWN boy with the #1 pick certainly wouldn't have made anyone here say "well hell, I guess he's a pretty good GM after all"

In fact, if you look at the 2002 team (the first one to win anything) you find one solid reliever, one solid outfielder (Jones) and one league average 1B contributing from all of those drafts (and Cuddyer coming off the bench in the second half). That's in the eight year of Ryan's tenure.

contrast that to the significant contributions made in Toronto (by JP's eighth year) by Hill, Lind, Marcum, Listch, and Romero and lesser contributions by Bush, Snider, Janssen, Purcey, Cecil, and Zep .Was the Twins farm system stronger on opening day 2002 than the Jays system was on opening day 2009? I don't know. But I do know who had produces more win shares in the majors at that point and it's not remotely close.

In point of fact, until Morneau turned it down the stretch in 2004, those first three playoff teams didn't get significant contributions from anyone else Ryan had drafted except the aformentioned Jones, Romero, and Mienty.

His best team came in 2006 - long after he would have been fired if he had been held to the same standard as JP by the local fans - and that team featured Mauer, Moreneau, and Cuddyer in starting roles (plus a couple of weak hitters such as Punto). Did you see that? In 11 drafts to that point Ryan had yet to draft one single pitcher who contributed to his best team. 

Replinish the talent base? Hardly. In 2002 he drafted Span and Neshek, in 2003 he drafted Baker (it only took him nine drafts to find a good SP), in 2004 Glenn Perkins, in 2005 Matt Garza, Kevin Slowey and Brian Duensing (that was a good year) - but all that was after having spent eight years of high draft picks on a pretty weak collection of hitters and virtually no pitchers. The eight years he was supposedly replinishing.

He didn't, of course, get to the playoffs because he did a "true rebuild" - the 2002 team featured 4 above average hitters, two of which he inherited and one of which he released after the season, and four above average starters, one of whom was a veteran free agent, one he inherited, one he had to trade one of his best inherited hitters to get and the other was Santana (which was sheer luck but I'll still give him credit for)

That's not a team that got there because of a "true rebuild" in the sense you mean it because it's not loaded with homegrown talent that Ryan brought in during his many years of failure.

You could say much the same about the 2006 team.

that's not to say he didn't eventually field two good teams and two above average teams - starting in his eighth year - but your explanation of how he got there and why is revisionism that bears little resemblence to what happened.

From 2001-2006 (Ryan's best years), the Twins made four playoff appearances and averaged 90 wins. According to USAToday, the Twins payroll during that stretch was anywhere from 18th in the league to dead last.

Indeed he did. And he gets credit for that (albeit hiring Gardenhire had a lot to do with it). but you are missing the point that Bitter Jays fans would already have given up on Ryan before all that happened if they applied the same standards to him as they applied to JP.

Division excuse or not, he built a strong talent base and hired an effective manager to exploit that talent all with a well below average payroll; and that was after what should have been a franchise altering blunder (letting Ortiz go). Again, we have evidence to suggest Ryan can handle the type of situation the Jays may see themselves in if they decide to trade Halladay. Plus Ryan can show he can make moves to win as well.

Eventually. Given enough years of failure and on the job training and poor drafting and "blunders" - he got it right. the story arund these parts has been for at least two years that a good GM shouldn't take eight years to get it right.

Ricciardi built a few decent teams in a division that requires a great team in order to win. If you want to look at that as some sort of accomplishment, that is up to you. I can't imagine one person in baseball circles who would view Ricciardi in a greater light than Ryan. If you could find one, be my guest.

I agree. NOW. In hindsight.

But that's not my argument. My argument is that this time last year, after seven years on the job, 90% of Jays fans (including as it turns out Paul Godfrey) were in tears hoping that JP would be fired. And after seven years in his job, Ryan had ONE season above .500, hadn't remotely sniffed the playoffs in a much weaker division, and outside a #1 pick, had drafted ONE star level talent in 7 years.

AT THAT POINT no one with any unemotional logic in their brain would have HAD to have concluded JP had done a considerably better job than Ryan had.

Your closing comment reflects the hindsight of having seen what Ryan did in his 8-12 seasons. That obviously colors the comparison. and yes, most people will render a superficial judgment that winning the AL Central is a much greater accomplishment than building good-but-not-good-enough third place teams in the AL East.

But I would guess that JP would have won more games more often in Ryan's job than Ryan did and that Ryan would never have sniffed the playoffs had he been in charge of the Jays.


(please note, I still believe JP had to be fired because of the personality issues - my arguments pretain to team building only)


Rich - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 04:23 PM EDT (#207191) #
I don't really think Terry Ryan is the issue here, but if you want to stay on that topic then don't just include the draft in your analysis. 

I'd say picking up Santana as a Rule 5 player and trading for Nathan and Liriano were pretty darn astute moves - acquiring 3 all-star calibre talents for the cost of a good catcher. 

Ryan also deserves credit for picking Mauer.  He was considered a top talent but was a risk to play college football and was also seen by many as much less of a sure thing than Mark Prior.  Sure signability and the fact that Mauer was a local played a part, but you still have to give him points for his decision.

And while he probably didn't have the money to do so, I can't think off hand of any albatross contracts that Ryan handed out either. 

Yes, to be fair, perfectly legit to throw a dart at him for misjudging Ortiz.  And we can likewise throw one at JP over Chris Carpenter.  All in all Ryan has an enviable record - 4 playoff trips on a low payroll.  That's impressive to most observers, AL Central or not.  You could probably fit those who would hire JP or AA instead of Terry Ryan inside an on-deck circle.
TamRa - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 10:01 PM EDT (#207217) #
Yes, to be fair, perfectly legit to throw a dart at him for misjudging Ortiz.  And we can likewise throw one at JP over Chris Carpenter. 

Right. Because injury prone pitchers recovered from major shoulder surgery all the time in 2003. No, wait. Actually they almost never did.

All in all Ryan has an enviable record - 4 playoff trips on a low payroll.  That's impressive to most observers, AL Central or not. 



Context matters.
In 2002 when Ryan finally fielded a playoff team, their payroll was about $40 million. Their closest competitor, the White Sox, were only at $57 million, and the highest payroll in the division was the $78 million the Indians spent to finish with 74 wins (ironiclly, there's another widely praised GM)

By contrast, when the Jays finally made their play for contention in 2006, the payroll was almost $72 million wehile the Yankees were at almost $195 million and the Red Sox were over $120 million.

now, who has the greater challenge - the man paying $123 million dollars less than his wealthiest competitor and the eventual division winner, or the man paying $34 million less?

In 2006, Ryan's best team, he was paying over $63 million in salary. The second place Tigers spent over $82 million. The third place White Sox spent almost $103. Again, how does a $40 million swing compare to a $123 million swing?

Oh, and for what it's worth, his 4 playoff teams went 3-13 once they made the post-season.

You could probably fit those who would hire JP or AA instead of Terry Ryan inside an on-deck circle.

In hindsight. Which again ignores the whole original point of the exchange. and even that has as much to do with JP's precieved "attitude" as it does team building.


John Northey - Wednesday, October 07 2009 @ 10:42 PM EDT (#207218) #
Would Minnesota have made the playoffs even once if they were in the AL East? Lets check. I'll give them the benefit of the doubt and just use straight W-L.

2006: 96-66, won Central good enough for #2 in the AL East but would've still made it via the wild card

2004: 92-70, won Central but would've been #3 in AL East, 6 games back for wild card

2003: 90-72, won Central but just #3 for AL East 5 games out of wild card

2002: 94-67, won Central but would've been #2 in AL East 4 1/2 games out of wild card (won in AL West).

Interesting. If Minnesota was in the AL East instead of the Jays they would've had one wild card appearance (2006).

If they and the Jays switched divisions for that whole stretch the Jays would've been...
2002: 3 games out of playoffs
2003: Tied with White Sox for title
2004: Ugh.
2005: Well back of White Sox
2006: 8 back of Tigers
2007: 13 back of Cleveland
2008: 3 back of White Sox
2009: 11 back of Tigers

Again, no adjustment for strength of schedule or anything. Would've been a big bang for JP at the start then a lot of frustration especially in '08. Meanwhile the Twins would've been cursing the AL East.
TamRa - Thursday, October 08 2009 @ 03:45 AM EDT (#207224) #
I dunno if that alternate universe '08 would have been THAT frustrating. We would certainly have been "playing meaningful games" in a pennate race so maybe it would have simply been "tip your cap" and congrats on a fun race.

*shrug*


James W - Thursday, October 08 2009 @ 05:56 PM EDT (#207263) #
This analysis also assumes playing the same schedule.  I contend that facing AL East opponents more often than facing AL Central opponents will make a team's record worse.  Certain caveats about the lousiness of the (Devil) Rays and Orioles apply, but I'll see your Orioles and raise you the Royals.  Other seasons have also had other miserable teams in the Central (2008 Tigers, 2007 White Sox, 2005 Tigers, 2004 Tigers, 2003 Tigers AND Indians, but not the Royals, etc.).  Of course, the top end of the AL Central does not match up with the success of the Yankees and Red Sox.
sam - Friday, December 04 2015 @ 09:32 PM EST (#316528) #
My predictions for his tenure:

1. We will all mis-spell his last name at least five times;
2. China Fan will correct us;
3. We will subsequently resort to calling him AA;
4. He will draft lots of players and the MLU will be the most read thing on the internet;
4. He will trade for the franchise saviour;
5. The franchise saviour won't be much of anything;
6. He will trade him away for an even better player;
7. The MLU will become the least read thing on the internet;
8. We will make the playoffs and name our first born Alex;
9. He will leave us;
10. We will go back to being disappointed.
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