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Every year as spring training approaches, we take a look at some of the statistical milestones that are likely (or in some cases, unlikely) to be broached in the coming season.

After what I admit is just a cursory scan of the active leaderboards on the greatness that is BaseballReference.com, focusing solely on round numbers (that is, numbers like "500" rather than the famous-but-uneven like "755" and "5714"), I found about 40 such numbers. I undoubtedly missed some, so speak up ... take a look at the table after the link and chime in ...



  • Which of these actually, you know, matter -- which ones do you care about?
  • What numbers are missing from this list?
  • What, if any, of the below are you looking forward to?
  • What, if any, of the below, would you prefer to NOT see met?

Shown is the player's name, the numerical milestone in sight and, parenthetically (the number needed to make the target).

Likely
Gary Sheffield, 500 homers (1)
Mariano Rivera, 500 saves (18)
Albert Pujols, 1000 runs (53)
Albert Pujols, 1000 RBI (23)
Alex Rodriguez, 2500 hits (96)
Manny Ramirez, 2500 hits (108)
Jason Giambi, 400 homers (4)
Vladimir Guerrero, 400 homers (8)
Jim Edmonds, 400 homers (18)
Jimmy Rollins, 100 3B (10)
Carl Crawford, 100 3B (16)
Carlos Delgado, 1500 RBI (11)
Jim Thome, 1500 RBI (12)
David Ortiz, 1000 RBI (31)
Lance Berkman, 1000 RBI (39)
Todd Helton, 2000 hits (43)
Bobby Abreu, 2000 hits (54)
Miguel Tejada, 2000 hits (85)
Brian Giles, 2000 hits (146)
Magglio Ordonez, 2000 hits (170)
Ichiro Suzuki, 2000 hits (195)
Johnny Damon, 2000 games (12)
Derek Jeter, 2000 games (15)
Randy Johnson, 300 wins (5)
Jamie Moyer, 250 wins (4)
Jason Isringhausen, 300 saves (7)
Huston Street, 100 saves (6)
Tim Wakefield, 2000 K (53)

Maybe
Alex Rodriguez, 600 homers (47)
Randy Johnson, 5000 strikeouts (211)
Roy Halladay, 150 wins (19)
Roy Oswalt, 150 wins (21)
Brad Lidge, 200 saves (36)
Jamie Moyer, 4000 IP (253.1)
Roy Halladay, 50 CG (10)
Johnny Damon, 100 3B (8)

Unlikely but at least possible
Jim Thome, 600 homers (59)
Andruw Jones, 400 homers (29)
Chipper Jones, 1500 RBI (126)
Troy Glaus, 1000 RBI (123)
Juan Pierre, 500 SB (71)

Milestones '09 | 12 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
kinguy - Friday, February 06 2009 @ 01:30 PM EST (#196164) #
You missed Carlos Delgado, 31 HR for 500.  For sentimental reasons, that's the one I want most to see happen this year. 

5000 K for the Big Unit would also be nice to see.
Glevin - Friday, February 06 2009 @ 01:40 PM EST (#196166) #
Is Jim Edmonds even in the majors? I would call Jamie Moyer pitching his career high innings "unlikely".  I'd love to see Delgado get his 500th HR this year. After last year's resurgence, the HOF dream came alive again.
christaylor - Friday, February 06 2009 @ 02:20 PM EST (#196170) #
Delgado in the HOF should be more than just a dream... if Delgado can get 500 HR, he ought to be a lock for the HOF as he, like Frank Thomas, is about as far as someone can get from steroid taint.

Also while I was sad to see him leave the Jays, I'm glad Delgado ended up in NY, as the media exposure can do nothing but help his chances...

...on the flip side, I don't think Alomar will get in the HOF, so we should all be pulling for Delgado.
Mike Green - Friday, February 06 2009 @ 02:34 PM EST (#196172) #
I'd be shocked if Alomar doesn't get into the Hall of Fame, as a great hitter with 11 GGs at second base.  It's true that he wasn't as good defensively as all the GGs suggest, but I doubt that would carry much weight with the HoF voters, and even at that, it looks like he'll be a lock for the Hall of Merit anyway.

I am rooting for Carlos Delgado, but he's going to need to have a very good end to his career to separate himself from the glut of sluggers.  At this point, his BBRef most comparable is Fred McGriff, and Fred will probably be on the outside despite an extra 1500 PAs in his career.  We will get a better idea when we see how many votes McGriff gets next year when he is first eligible.

christaylor - Friday, February 06 2009 @ 02:50 PM EST (#196174) #
I hope you're right... recent articles on Kent's HOF chances have caused me to rethink Alomar's chances in a not especially good way.

One point though: as everybody is aware, Alomar did have a quick late career fall-off on a large stage, don't you think this will hurt his chances with the voters? Personally, I don't know... outside of locks like Henderson, reading the HOF seems like reading tea-leaves to me, players like Trammell, Whitaker, Blyleven, McGwire all seem like at least as good of HOF candidates as Alomar to me... but they're on the outside looking in (albeit for different reasons).
AWeb - Friday, February 06 2009 @ 02:51 PM EST (#196175) #
I'd love to see Delgado get his 500 Hrs (and 1500 RBIs) with another strong season, and as a Jays fan, if Halladay made those milestones, that's obviously exciting (if unlikely).

I've always liked "Times on base" as a stat - Luis Gonzales, if he plays a reasonable amount, will break 4000. Gonzales would also break through 600 doubles and possibly crack the top ten of all time in that stat. But then, he might be retired, I haven't paid that close attention.

Manny and Griffey breaking 1800 RBIs would be something, since only 10 players have made it to 1900 (17 previously over 1800).

Jeter has a shot at 2000 singles, if he continues his slap-htting ways from 2008 (needs 139, had 140 last year).

Sheffield, Delgado and Thome all appear locks (if healthy) to break 1000 XBH, needing 22, 38 and 38 respectively. 1000 XBH is in the top 30 of all time territory.
Glevin - Friday, February 06 2009 @ 07:25 PM EST (#196189) #
"I am rooting for Carlos Delgado, but he's going to need to have a very good end to his career to separate himself from the glut of sluggers.  At this point, his BBRef most comparable is Fred McGriff, and Fred will probably be on the outside despite an extra 1500 PAs in his career. "

I worry about that too, but if Delgado is in better position than McGriff for a few reasons.
1) He played and has hit 100 HRs in 3 years  in NY, McGriff played almost all his baseball in Toronto, San Diego, Atlanta, and Tampa.
2) McGriff 's career high in HRs was 37, Delgado has topped that 7 times.
3) Delgado  has had a reputation of being feared in a way that McGriff never did. That stuff seems to matter a tonne to voters.

I am not as much worried about the McGriff comparison however, as I would be a line of similar players retiring around the same time. Jim Thome and Jason Giambi for example and while I think Thome is a shoo-in (Giambi's late career start hurts him) I can see voters not wanting to vote for a bunch of slugging 1Bman especially when some would still be voting for McGwire, Bagwell, etc...
SheldonL - Saturday, February 07 2009 @ 12:59 AM EST (#196200) #
I'd definitely like to see Delgado in the Hall of Fame. I think that the greatest thing he's done is force other teams to start using ridiculous shifts in the infield. This was mostly due to his unbelievable streak of 30 homers and 100 RBI's a season. I really hope that he's still got some left in the tank, because if he hits 600 homers, it will be a huge accomplishment for fans as well to have had a non-steroid hero do so in the middle of the steroid era!

I'm still bitter about him losing out the 2000 AL MVP to the juiced up Giambi. I think that in cases such as these where a guy was clearly using steroids, the professional baseball writers and the players union should revisit certain awards and convene to re-award. It will be a hard task but I think that the fans deserve it. The MVP awards that jump out are Canseco, Bonds' last four, Ken Caminiti, Sosa, Giambi, Ivan Rodriguez and Tejada.

Rightful candidates:
NL

1996 - Ellis Burks
1998 - Larry Walker
2001 - Todd Helton
2002 - Brian Giles
2003 - Albert Pujols
2004 - Todd Helton

AL

1988 - Fred McGriff
1999 - Manny Ramirez
2000 - Carlos Delgado
2002 - Jim Thome

Most of these guys never have won it before and their best years were overshadowed by steroid-users.
christaylor - Saturday, February 07 2009 @ 11:10 AM EST (#196205) #
I don't know if I'd credit Delgado as the originator of the "infield shift" wasn't said shift used against Ted Williams in his heyday? That's what an old timer told me at least, not that I was around to witness the use of said shift.

I think, given the McGwire voting, being perceived as a "non-roid" player will make a big difference in HOF voting. If it doesn't there's no way to explain McGwire's totals (he's the canary in the mine after all).
92-93 - Saturday, February 07 2009 @ 12:34 PM EST (#196210) #
Can we give Delgado the 2003 MVP too? Sure, ARod played gold glove SS, but Delgado had the things that usually sway voters in his favor. He had the better AVG, OBP, more RBIs, and the winning team. ARod had more runs, HRs, and SBs, but played for a last placed team. Couldn't the writers have applied their "value can only be provided to winning teams" argument?
AWeb - Saturday, February 07 2009 @ 04:24 PM EST (#196221) #
And by the report coming out today, Rodriguez tested positive for steroids in 2003. So yeah, let's give that one to Delgado, hypothetically.
SheldonL - Saturday, February 07 2009 @ 10:20 PM EST (#196229) #
Alright, Carlos Delgado!

Someday, baseball will correctly award you 2 MVP's and us Jays fans will be extremely proud to see our greatest hitter in the hall of fame wearing our hat! You're my hero, King Carlos!

I think David Ortiz should have won the 2005 and 2007 MVP's. The first DH to do so!

I think we Bauxites should make a thread condemning all the steroid users who won major awards (A-Rod, Bonds, Clemens), and do polls on who should have won the awards instead...
Milestones '09 | 12 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.