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So let's venture into an Alternative Universe!

According to Pythagoras, the AL standings should look like this:

AL East
Boston  64 46 .582  -
Tampa Bay 59 49 .546 4
New York 59 50 .541 4.5
Toronto 58 51 .532 5.5
Baltimore 52 56 .481 11

AL Central
Chicago 62 46 .574 -
Minnesota 58 51 .532 4.5
Detroit 57 52 .523 5.5
Cleveland 54 54 .500 8
Kansas City 47 63 .427 16

AL West
Los Angeles 61 48 .560 -
Oakland 59 49 .546 1.5
Texas 52 58 .473 9.5
Seattle 46 63 .422 14


And that in turn means the Battle for the Wild Card would look like this:

Tampa Bay   59 49 .546  -
Oakland 59 49 .546 -
New York 59 50 .541 1
Toronto 58 51 .532 1.5
Minnesota 58 51 .532 1.5
Detroit 57 52 .523 2.5
Cleveland 54 54 .500 5
Baltimore 52 56 .481 7
Texas 52 58 .473 8
Kansas City 47 63 .427 13
Seattle 46 63 .422 13.5

Now that would give the next two months a chance to be much more interesting than they're actually going to be.

Yeah, well, shoulda woulda coulda. But in the case of the Blue Jays, we're talking of a four game swing - turning four losses into wins.

What would have been required? Can I find just four measly at bats in the course of this lamentable season, wave a magic wand, and make everything better? That's not so many, right?

Well, obviously I can. It's far too easy, in fact. If that ground ball David Murphy hit in the bottom of the ninth last night was hit straight at Scott Rolen - the Jays turn the DP and win the game. If B.J. Ryan throws Jason Giambi a good slider instead of a hanging meatball at the Stadium back in early June, they win that one. If Lyle Overbay had doubled into the gap instead of hitting a comebacker that the Mariners turned into a 1-2-3 DP back on June 9, he's got a walkoff game-winning hit. That's just off the top of my head.

Except. Closers do blow games. Ryan has only blown three saves all season, however spectacular each individual immolation might be. And he's been much closer to Miguel Batista 2005 than BJ Ryan 2006, anyway. You have to let those stand.

And the Jays hitters are what they are.

So here are the ground rules.

1. The changed at bat can not happen in the other team's ninth inning, or later.
2. No Blue Jay at bat changes an out into a hit.
3. Everything after the changed at bat occurs exactly as it did in the game (although changes in the ensuing situations may create additional changes. I'm thinking of things like baserunners being at different bases.)

Can you find just four at bats, change the result somehow, and make this season a more interesting thing. I certainly can. Makes me crazy, too.
2 August 2007: Reality Bites | 13 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
christaylor - Saturday, August 02 2008 @ 08:22 PM EDT (#190053) #
Here are two that stand out for me:

4/3 @ NYY - Bottom of the 6th, McGowan WP to A-Rod. Scores a run. Then a line-out DP scores another. (Equally frustrating Jays ABs in this game: Wells/Thomas strikeout swinging and looking with Rios on 3rd after stealing 2nd and advancing on an error).

4/16 vs TEX - 8th - Eckstein AB, Scutaro/Inglett on 3rd/2nd. 1 Out. Eckstein grounds into a force at home. Change weak grounder to a flyball (or give the ball eyes), Ryan's 1-2-3 9th becomes a save.

... I think by the end of April rolled around I just was so frustrated I just stopped remembering them as they became more expected than frustrating.
Geoff - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 05:34 AM EDT (#190059) #
In this attempt to time-warp us back to an earlier time to fix the season, I think you have gone too far. We shouldn't have to go back a full year to fix this thing.

And to find at-bats, how many at-bats have the Jays had with runners in scoring position, < 2 outs, that they failed to produce in [and are they eligible]?

But I shall propose
  • the Iwamura at-bat in the third inning on May 6 should have been a double play;
  • May 21, Marcum walks two then gives up a gopher on first pitch to Vlad; or Jays ground into 3 double plays;
  • April 30, John McDonald pinch runs for Stairs in the top of the ninth, picked off 1-2 by Papelbon for the first out;
  • July 18, Ben Zobrist homers off Burnett in the seventh to provide the offense of a 2-1 Rays win;
  • and June 17, Reed Johnson hits three-run home run off Roy Halladay in his second at-bat against him in the second inning. In the prior at-bat, Ronny Cedeno hit a 0-1 ground ball to Eckstein with two out and runners on first and third, Ecks gets an E but nobody out. Reed follows with the blast.
I wonder if you could make a 4-pack of just Eckstein blunders?

Geoff - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 05:43 AM EDT (#190061) #
Technically, the April 30th change would not result in a win, and the June 17 game would leave the teams tied were four runs not scored as a result of Eckstein's error.
zeppelinkm - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 08:08 AM EDT (#190062) #

Shannon Stewart had an AB earlier in the season in the 10th inning with a runner on 3rd and nobody out. He took a first pitch fastball that was essentially perfect to hit. He let it go... the Jays didn't get the runner in from 3rd and ended up losing in the 11th or 12th. They were the home team that game so a decent flyball would have done it.

I'm surprised I can't remember more about the situation... at the time I think that's when I said "that's it" for this season, and I stopped watching every game with feverish optimism and accepted that "this wouldn't be the year". Ahhh, bad memories.

Magpie - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 12:27 PM EDT (#190066) #
Not sure about the April 3 and May 6 games - both times we have a two-part sequence that causes the trouble: a Wild Pitch, and then Another Bad Thing. In both cases, we need a nice first pitch GDP. In the Yankee game, with a one-run lead and the bases loaded, it has to be a go-to-home-and-then-to-first DP off the bat of A-Rod. As it was, struck out with runners now on second and third; Giambi's fly ball then scored the second run. In the Tampa game, the WP moved the runners to second and third and eliminated the DP possibility. Well, in both games we can't have a DP after the wild pitch anyway!

I guess they both qualify under my Firm Yet Random Guidelines.

April 16 is a good one. Change Eckstein's out from a force at home to a sac fly. Give Accardo the W, Ryan the SV.  Burnett actually took the L in relief in that one.

April 23 is one I'd like to nominate. Evan Longoria has beaten Roy Halladay three times this season, and one of them we can't do much about (Garza's 3-0 five hitter.). But this was the first time. On this occasion Longoria hit a two out two run single and Hinske followed with another RBI single. If Doc gets Longoria in that AB, somehow someway, he saves himself three runs and turns the L to a W.

May 8 is the game zeppelinkm is thinking of. Rios led off the bottom of the 10th with a triple. Stewart and Stairs both struck out around an IBB to Rolen; after another walk to Wells, Barajas struck out to end the inning. The Jays lost in 14. Change either the Stewart or Stairs Ks to sac flies, and we can give Ryan the W and take away the L from Camp.

May 21 was when Vladimir Guerreo looked just like a cricketer, hitting a three run jack on a pitch that was about two inches off the ground. That's just silly, and I don't think it should be allowed. He should have hit a silly little comebacker to the mound. They don't turn two, so Anderson's  following single scores a run. But that's OK, Jays still win, and Marcum gets a W instead of the L.

June 8 lives in infamy - with the bases loaded and no one out in the tenth inning, down a run. Overbay taps back to the pitcher for a 1-2-3 DP. It's OK to make an out - just hit anice fly ball to the CF to tie the score. Then, after the Scutaro walk loads the bases again, Eckstein;s fly ball to CF wins the game.

July 1, Jesse Carlson pitching to Adrian Beltre with a runner aboard in the sixth and the Jays ahead 6-3. Beltre homers on a pitch that was both high and outside - he actually thought he'd fouled it off. Instead it carried over the fence down the RF line. That ball had no business whatsoevr being a home run! Should have been a pop out to the first basenab in foul territory. Downs and gave up single runs in the 8th and 9th for the 7-6 loss, but they should have just made it a close game. Take away the L from Dows, give a W to a shaky Litsch.

July 18 for sure. Ben Zobrist? I mean, Ben Zobrist? On a night when A.J. is just dealing?

July 19 - Doc thought he struck out Longoria on a 2-2 pitch. The umpire said no. Longoria hit a grand slam to beat Doc for the second time this year. We're calling that pitch a strike. Take away the L, give Doc the W. (Well, technically Tallet would have been the pitcher to get the W when the Jays rallied in the 9th, but Doc wouldn't have come out if he was only trailing 1-0.)

Damn, is that ten games? Sheesh. That's obviously too much to ask. But couldn't we have half of them? Is that too much?

It really is a fine line sometimes.




Ozzieball - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 12:45 PM EDT (#190067) #
I wonder if you could make a 4-pack of just Eckstein blunders?

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/index.jsp?gid=2008_04_25_tormlb_kcamlb_1&mode=gameday

April 25. Jays up 4-3, bottom 8, bases loaded, 1-out. Easy grounder back to Downs, who makes a perfect throw to Eckstein, which lower-case-x drops. Instead of turning the double play and escaping the inning up 4-3, the Jays go on to give up 4 more runs and lose 8-4.

westcoast dude - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 02:16 PM EDT (#190070) #
When some Phillies fans booed Rod Barajas in Philadelphia this spring, he was inspired to have a great game. By the same token, when some Toronto fans consistently behave boorishly to Hinske, the Dude hits well, and the Rays are inspired to play hard and win, so far taking 4 of 6 at the Rogers Centre. It may also be deflating and embarassing for the Blue Jays, like when your kid as a temper tantrum in a store.
Geoff - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 02:21 PM EDT (#190071) #
A quick gander through the TDIB archives shows this isn't the first time Magpie has used his time warp magic. Last time was just before the season started. This time, to look back on the season. Coincidence? Or a calculated scheme to find the portal to his Alternative Universe?
scottt - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 02:40 PM EDT (#190072) #
In my alternate reality, the Jays keep Reed Johnson as their 4th outfielder, give Adam Lind the starting job in left field in April. They also slide Frank Thomas down to 7th in the batting order--until he gets going in May. Stairs starts as a bench player but picks up at bats when others are on the DL.


smcs - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 03:31 PM EDT (#190073) #
May 8, bottom of 5.  Instead of hitting a weak grounder, Stairs hits a sac. fly, cashing Rolen from third.  Would have given Jays a 1-0 lead and,eventually, a 4-3 win.  In actuality, Jays lose 8-3 in 14 (referenced above for terrible hitting with Rios on third in the 10th).

May 31, top of 5.  Instead of lining into an inning-ending double play, Stewart hits one into the outfield,cashing Wilkerson from third and moving Eckstein from first to third.  Would have made the score 2-1 and a 3-2 victory.  In actuality, Jays lose 3-2 in 10 innings.

June 20, top of 1.  Instead of grounding into a double play, Overbay takes ball 4. Rios follows with a double to LF which would have scored at least 1.  In actuality, Jays lose 1-0 in 12 innings.

June 25, bottom of 7.  Instead of hitting into a 1-2-3 DP, Overbay gets a sac. fly, scoring the run from third and giving the Jays a 6-5 lead.  In actuality, Jays lose 6-5 in 10 innings.

Magpie - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 03:51 PM EDT (#190074) #
I can't allow those two - they require the Jays batters to, you know, actually get a hit! I'm only allowing them to make a less destructive (and possibly slightly productive!) kind of out.

But I'd forgotten that Cincinnati game. Possibly because I was there, Doc had a hard time, and I don't like to dwell on those things. But yes, very well spotted. Scott Rolen had an awful game at the plate, and in that seventh inning he came up with the scored tied at 5-5, no one out, the bases loaded - and popped out to second. Overbay then pulled off his second crushing home-to-first DP in about as many weeks.

Geez, he was on a Roll of Destruction, taking down everything with him. From June 9 through June 25, Overbay hit into 7 double plays in 13 games.

Noah - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 06:50 PM EDT (#190076) #

Yah I was at that Cincy game.  It was probably the most frustrating game I've ever seen in person.  To have Doc struggle as he did and then watch the Jays blow a bases loaded no out situation with the game tied.

Just Brutal...

christaylor - Sunday, August 03 2008 @ 10:21 PM EDT (#190078) #
I'll take the blame for that Cincy game on the 25th. I was there (haven't been to a win all season; unlike last year when all my flex-pack tickets were wins - something that is just strange, but not that strange, I lucked out and got a ton of Halladay starts last year, this year, not)... but what was worse, I went early to watch Doc warm up and take some pictures, so I jinxed him too.
2 August 2007: Reality Bites | 13 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.