Just for fun, while we have a few days with fixed stats, lets see how various Jays have done vs their lifetime numbers. Also included are a few high level prospects who might be here in 2009.
For the stats below I'm using Avg/OBP/Slg and OPS+. These tend to give a good view overall and with the sample size issues at mid-season it is hard to justify any other stats plus most people know these ones fairly well.
Starting at catcher.... aka 'the good news'
Greg Zaun... Doing well
Minor Leaguers... Showing some hope beyond Diaz and Thigpen
First Base/DH... aka 'the not as good news'
Lyle Overbay... reasonable comeback
Aaron Hill...serious injury (thanks Eck) and out until ???
Minor Leagues... some talent here
Third Base... Solid in the majors, not a lot of depth
Scott Rolen... Somehow found a way to be inbetween his bad and good years
Shortstop... not much today or in the near future
David Eckstein ... as advertised
Outfield... Solid starters through 2014, plus a 20 year old knocking on the door
Alexis Rios ... Signed until 2014 but slumping year one
Minor Leagues...
Phew. Lots of stuff here to digest. Will get to work on the pitching next, but not until after the All-Star game tonight.
For the stats below I'm using Avg/OBP/Slg and OPS+. These tend to give a good view overall and with the sample size issues at mid-season it is hard to justify any other stats plus most people know these ones fairly well.
Starting at catcher.... aka 'the good news'
Greg Zaun... Doing well
- age 37 season, a few injuries but nothing too major so far
- 244/354/375 vs lifetime 251/345/387 plus he has had 2 stolen bases vs one caught stealing. OPS+ of 97 vs 91 lifetime.
- Caught 10 of 38 runners stealing (26%) which is better than his career mark of 24.6%
- Should crack 100 games played by seasons end (at 57 right now) which he has done only 4 times before but has 99 or more every season as a Jay (this is his 5th season here). His OPS+ here has been 96-94-112-98-97 so perfectly in line with past performance if not a bit higher than one should expect from a 37 year old catcher.
- age 32 season, fairly healthy
- 267/317/461 vs lifetime 242/290/414 - OPS+ of 107 vs 78 for his career, best ever was a 97.
- 32.4% of basestealers caught (12 of 37) vs career mark of 33.5% so pretty much on target
- Should crack 100 games as well, has played in 60 so far, which he has done just twice before. Looks like a very fine free agent signing and his option almost definitely will be picked up for 2009
- age 25 season, this was to be his year to break in
- Not enough ML time (1 for 6) to matter. Hitting just 226-266-323 in AAA catching just 8 of 49 (16.3%) stealing
- age 24 season, injuries have delayed his arrival
- 0 for 4 in the majors, 286-371-411 in AAA, 410/419/641 in rookie ball rehabbing
- Should be here in September, shooting for a full shot next year backing up Barajas
Minor Leaguers... Showing some hope beyond Diaz and Thigpen
- Erik Kratz has been a solid AAAA guy, 246/293/520 between AAA and AA but is no more than an emergency call-up for potential.
- Brian Jeroloman has shown a fair amount in AA - 249/372/373 catching 17 of 51, 33%, basestealers - and will be in AAA next year ready for the first major injury.
- J.P. Arencibia is showing why he might be the guy we think of when we hear 'JP' - 309/331/553 between A+ and AA - and just might pass Jeroloman and Diaz on the depth chart by the time April comes around.
- And don't forget Jonathan Jaspe in low A hitting 369/427/544 at age 23. A quick climb next year and 2010 arrival is possible.
First Base/DH... aka 'the not as good news'
Lyle Overbay... reasonable comeback
- Age 31 season, fairly healthy
- 269/371/399 vs career 282/363/447, OPS+ of 108 vs career 110 - loss of some power, but OBP still OK
- 15 GDP is a concern - his career high was 19 before this year.
- A nice recovery from his disaster of last year (122 games, 85 OPS+) but needs that power to return if he is to be a solid firstbaseman on a championship team
- Age 40 season and released after a very slow start. Hit well for Oakland before going on the DL at the end of May
- Age 40 season, fairly healthy
- 253/342/406 vs career 266/358/484. OPS+ of 101 vs 119 career
- 15 games in the outfield, but really shouldn't be out there. A decent pinch hitter, 24th guy on the team but shouldn't be an everyday player or even in a platoon.
- Chip Cannon in AAA is 26 237/345/356 and going nowhere.
- David Cooper is the only real prospect in the system for 1B and he is in low A now hitting 340/414/524 between low A and short season A. Hopefully he can make it to AA next year and be on the edge for 2010, and up permanently in 2011 when Overbay's contract runs out.
Aaron Hill...serious injury (thanks Eck) and out until ???
- Age 26 season, signed contract that could last through 2014
- 263/324/361 vs career 284/339/409 OPS+ of 85 vs lifetime 96
- Already reached a career high in sac bunts (4) in just 55 games
- Hitting was poor, but within a hot streak of his career norms. Just that head injury that is scary
- Age 32 season, signed for this year and next
- 261/347/333 vs lifetime 259/324/377 OPS+ of 85 vs career 86, a bit less power a bit more OBP otherwise just as hoped
- Has played over 20 games at SS/2B/3B plus 3 in each of LF and 1B. More at SS than 2B but generally viewed as more of a 2B
- Age 30 season, with just 66 games in the majors before this year
- 301/356/445 vs lifetime 295/346/418 OPS+ of 115 career of 100
- 23 games at 2B, 15 in LF, 8 in RF, 6 at 3B, 2 at SS, and 1 in CF
- Perfect compliment to Scutaro, a left handed hitter who can play anywhere
Minor Leagues... some talent here
- Scott Campbell in AA age 23 hitting 332/422/451after showing a 390+ OBP in two previous seasons in the lower minors. Has just played 2B this year, but does have 11 games at 3B in the past two years plus 1 at SS. Could be here as early as September but questions on his defense exist
- Kevin Melilo in AAA age 26 has hit 246/331/406 but slumped since coming to Syracuse from the Oakland system and doesn't appear to have a bright future
Third Base... Solid in the majors, not a lot of depth
Scott Rolen... Somehow found a way to be inbetween his bad and good years
- Age 33 season, missing at the start but solid since
- 267/358/431 OPS+ of 112 vs career 283/371/503 OPS+ of 125
- Worse than his first 9 years as a regular but much better than 2 of his last 3 years
- Troy Glaus is at 128 for OPS+ but given he demanded a trade I figure this isn't too bad
- Hector Luna is in AAA, age 28, 280/341/412, can play SS as well, could be a good utility guy (1 for 1 in the majors this year). Now off the 40 man roster
- Kevin Ahrens is probably the top prospect, age 19 in Lansing, but is hitting just 270/336/375 and is a long ways away, as are the other decent prospects
Shortstop... not much today or in the near future
David Eckstein ... as advertised
- Age 33 season, one significant injury and caused another
- 269/354/354 vs career 285/351/362, OPS+ of 92 vs career 89.
- Nothing to see here. He is here this year and that is it, probably trade bait for a contender with issues at SS
- Age 33 season, got hurt at exactly the wrong time, signed for 2009
- 182/237/200 vs career 238/277/312 OPS+ of 20 vs career 56
- 21 games at SS, 4 at 3B, 1 at 2B
- Danny Sandoval in AAA is 29 and hitting 289/337/390 between Syracuse & Buffalo. AAAA guy.
- Pedro Lopez in AAA is just 24 but is hitting just 233/315/300 with a lifetime 680 OPS in the minors
- Justin Jackson is 19 in Lansing (low A) and hitting 232/345/370 so some hope here if the bat develops but is a long, long way away
Outfield... Solid starters through 2014, plus a 20 year old knocking on the door
Alexis Rios ... Signed until 2014 but slumping year one
- Age 27, has played all but 6 games, wide awake from start to finish for about the same number of games
- 285/337/401 OPS+ of 98 vs career 287/338/445 OPS+ of 104 - much closer than expected, about mid way between his bad first 2 years and his solid past 2 years
- 32 games in CF plus 59 in RF, his defense is very solid when he is paying attention
- I suspect this is Cito's big project this year - getting Rios to reach his full potential
- Age 29 season, some (OK, lots of) injury issues
- 287/329/449 107 OPS+ vs career 282/330/477 108 OPS+, down a bit in power but vs the league is pretty much dead on his career figure
- This is actually his 3rd best OPS+ season so far. Go figure. Not a $20 million player, but not an anchor on the team either
- Age 24 season, getting along with the new manager
- 269/301/474 OPS+ of 105 vs career 262/302/442 94 OPS+. Since Cito is hitting 339/365/610 - wow.
- I think we have found our LF'er
- Age 34 season and might be done
- 240/325/303 OPS+ of 71 vs career 297/360/430 OPS+ of 105
- Now DL'ed and hopefully we won't see again until a final farewell in September
- Age 31 season, released by Seattle given a last shot here
- 230/326/327 78 OPS+ overall, 248/352/443 106 OPS+ lifetime
- His Toronto only stats are pretty much the same. Don't see him sticking around the whole season except in a 4th/5th outfield role and Inglett is probably ahead of him now on the outfield depth chart.
- Age 30 season, should be at or near his peak
- 231/307/338 74 OPS+ vs career 270/326/462 100 OPS+
- Has been sent down before, and will be again when Wells returns I suspect
Minor Leagues...
- David Smith, age 27, has split time between A+, AA, and AAA hitting better at each level, 275/373/459 overall and right now would probably be as good a choice for RH OF as Mench. Slugged over 500 in AA last year.
- Travis Snider, age 20, has split time between A+ and AA hitting 267/340/459 in AA, 269/339/476 overall. Only 40 of his 95 games have been in the field, mainly DH'ing this year. Given Lind in the majors we just might see Snider stuck as a DH/4th outfielder in the majors, full time hitter but part time fielder. Time will tell.
Phew. Lots of stuff here to digest. Will get to work on the pitching next, but not until after the All-Star game tonight.