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Well, I guess we can let the Bad Guys win their last home opener at the old stadium. They'd do the same for us, right?

The Jays and Yanks tee it off at 7:05 tonight. Give the Jays the advantage with Burnett pitching against 39 year old Mike Mussina. Also, there's a very good chance Matt Stairs will play today.

Around the rest of the majors, there's a full slate of games starting with Kansas City and Detroit at 1:05. Good news for those of us with MLB.tv and no class after 11!

The biggest news yesterday was Pedro's hamstring strain that knocked him out of his first start after 3 1/3 innings. The extent of the injury isn't known yet, but it sure doesn't bode well for the Mets and their lack of starting pitching depth. They did win 88 games despite getting only 28 innings from Pedro last year, and they've replaced Glavine's 200 innings of 96 ERA+ with the best pitcher in baseball, so Mets fans shouldn't be jumping off the bandwagon just yet.
TDIB 02 April 2008 | 69 comments | Create New Account
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dogbus - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 10:13 AM EDT (#181904) #
There were a few moments last night that I thought, "Would that have happened with John McDonald in the game?"  In a close game like that, McDonald's well above average defense would have paid dividends and possibly held off a run. 
Offensively, My first moment of doubting John Gibbons came in the seventh inning with a runner on third (Hill, I believe) and Eckstein at the plate.  If I'm not mistaken, Eckstein had not hit one out of the infield (and nothing hard) in the game.

With the score 3-2, with two out and knowing Joba and Mariano are to follow in the 8th and 9th inning... My inner-armchair manager was screaming "Pinch hit Stairs and have McDonald play defensively for the rest of the game."  

Now, as a fan it's easy (and fun) to second guess a manager, but given Eckstein's poor performance at the plate all night, I didn't see the harm in trying.  I suppose if we are going to go with Eckstein as our full time shortstop then we need to allow him to prove he can perform in situations like this, but, I'm quickly jumping of the Eckstein bandwagon and after one game and fully ready to declare John McDonald as my choice for starting short-stop.

In total: I really really liked this game.  It was fun to watch, gave me a few heart attacks at the right moments and made me pleased with where the Jays seem to be headed.  I was really happy with the stolen bases, Rios' at bat in the 9th inning and Zaun throwing out Jeter at second.

On a side note:  Don't you think a great promotion for the Blue Jays would be to issue a "John McDonald 10 Dollar Bill" at a game.  The first x number of fans will receive a fake Canadian 10 dollar bill with Johnny Mac's face in place of John A Mac.  It would be cheap, easy to print and both Canadian and Blue Jays'ian.  I'm going to go apply for a job with Blue Jays promotion.   
SK in NJ - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 10:31 AM EDT (#181905) #

After watching last night's lineup, I can only say it will be refreshing when Stairs and Rolen get healthy. There's not one single 30 HR threat in the entire lineup, and once you subtract Stairs/Rolen, it becomes a bunch of singles and doubles hitters who don't draw that many walks. Really, the only time I was ever comfortable watching the hitters was when Rios was hitting. Once you factor that the team was facing an extreme GB pitcher with the umps making generous strike calls in key spots, and it adds up to no offense.

I'm never going to be comfortable with this team facing a RHP, so even Mussina's decline isn't enough to make me optimistic. We need to face a lefty, ASAP.

Parker - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:38 AM EDT (#181911) #

My favorite part about that game was Jeter whining unsuccessfully to the second base ump about his tag on Scutaro, then getting gunned down himself trying to steal second an inning later.  Good times.

Too bad the home plate ump couldn't have cut the good guys a break or two.

SheldonL - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:45 AM EDT (#181912) #
SK in NJ, I think you're over emphasizing the need for a 30 homer guys. Yes, it's true, there might not be a single Jay that eclipses that mark, but we've got a bunch of guys that will hit 25-30 homers (Thomas, Wells, Rios, Rolen), and we know Hill's gonna hit at least 15 and the LF platoon will notch 20 homers(15 stairs, 5 stewart).

But the key in our offence is doubles... we're gonna hit plenty of those. The benchmark for our hitters are:
Wells(35-40)
Rios(40)
Hill(40+)
Rolen(35-40)
Stairs/Stewart(20/15)
Zaun/Barajas(around20-25)
Overbay(45)
Eckstein(20-25)
Thomas(25)

We've got potentially 5 guys who are gonna hit 40 doubles; further, all 5 of those guys are hitting at least 20 homers!
Usually, only about 10-15 guys in the AL hit that may doubles and we're laying claim to 5 such guys.
Trust the stats, this isn't going to be a floundering offence!

HollywoodHartman - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 12:06 PM EDT (#181913) #

"and no class after 11!"

Well 11:20, but it's still nice. Oh, and I'd say Thomas is still definately a 30 hr threat, while Rios and Wells are potentially.

ChicagoJaysFan - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 12:38 PM EDT (#181916) #
Is Stairs going to start today?  I thought initially the plan was to rest him in the opener and have him ready to go on Wednesday - I can't see the rainout and Stewart's performance having changed plans at all.

That's not a dig at Stewart - just saying that he did nothing exceptional.  If he hit 3 homers yesterday, maybe you give Stairs the extra rest.

JustinD - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 12:47 PM EDT (#181918) #
Watched the game last night. I said to my gf in the 6th that it should be Halladays last inning. He threw a lot of pitches, it was opening day, Yanks looked like they were figuring him out. He should not go out for the 7th. So I was not surprised at all to see him give up a run in the seventh.

I know, arm chair manager and all, but it seemed so obvious to me that Doc had nothing left. Why push him? It was opening day? One game in, and Gibbons has lost us one game.

Frank Thomas looks awful. I didnt think Wells looked that bad, but maybe thats just cause Thomas was floundering behind him. DH Stairs tonight!  The offense will be good once Rolen is healthy and either a) Thomas hits or b) We call up someone who can

Let's see if Burnett's spring meant nothing. God I hope so.

VBF - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 12:57 PM EDT (#181919) #
I wonder if Gibbons ever thought of pinch hitting Buck Coats in place of Scutaro in the seventh. The game was going to be low scoring, and that run potentially the winning run with Halladay a lock for 7 innings, and Downs and Accardo in the bullpen. McDonald could have played third.

I'm probably underrating Scutaro's offense and overrating Coats', but I think it would be something to consider.



jerjapan - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 01:21 PM EDT (#181922) #

Gibbons has a few weaknesses, and both were on display last night ... he won't use his bench enough (pinch hit for Eckstein!) and he overuses key starters (take out Halladay).  We have a better bench and a great pen, but a so-so offence.  We HAVE to maximize our offensive possibilities to have any chance at all.  More agressive baserunning is a good start though.

Coats was originally listed as an IF-OF.  Can he play third base AT ALL? 

Dave Rutt - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 01:32 PM EDT (#181924) #
Coats was originally listed as an IF-OF. Can he play third base AT ALL?

Of his 723 minor league games, 27 have come at 3B and 20 at 2B, and his fielding %/range factor have been pretty awful.
greenfrog - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 01:35 PM EDT (#181925) #
The Yankees and Jays tend to have a very different approach to hitting. The Yankees take a lot of pitches and grind out PAs (which results in a high team OBP and wears down opponents). Several Jays players (Wells, Hill, Rios, Scutaro) tend to be more aggressive and swing early in the count.

For example, compare the career OBP of each team's lineup:

Damon 353
Jeter 388
Abreu 408
A-Rod 389
Giambi 411
Cano 346
Posada 381
Matsui 370
Cabrera 340

Eckstein 351
Stewart 362
Rios 339
Wells 330
Thomas 421
Overbay 362
Hill 341
Scutaro 319
Zaun 344

To me, this is one of the most revealing things in comparing the two teams. The Yankees have three players with career OBP's under 370; the Jays have eight. And if you exclude Thomas, who is unlikely to approach his career numbers again, no one in the lineup meets this threshold. We tend think of players like Zaun and Overbay as having good plate discipline, but when it comes to patience, they can't touch much of the Yankees' lineup.

Sometimes an aggressive approach pays off, but in the long run you end up giving away a lot of outs, and eventually the offense suffers. It's like betting against the house in a casino--eventually the house wins, every time.
Barry Bonnell - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 01:39 PM EDT (#181926) #

Watched the game last night. I said to my gf in the 6th that it should be Halladays last inning. He threw a lot of pitches, it was opening day, Yanks looked like they were figuring him out. He should not go out for the 7th. So I was not surprised at all to see him give up a run in the seventh

He hadn't thrown a lot of pitches and if Eckstein or Hill had not screwed up 2 potential double plays then Doc is out of the inning with no runs scored. Bringing Doc back was absolutely the right thing to do.

Magpie - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 02:16 PM EDT (#181927) #
we can let the Bad Guys win their last home opener at the old stadium. They'd do the same for us, right?

They didn't get the chance. The Royals were the opposition for the final home opener at the Ex, and Jimmy Key tossed a two-hit shutout to beat them.

Of course, after the Royals left town, the Yankees showed up and swept three games. Evil...
ChicagoJaysFan - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 02:24 PM EDT (#181930) #
he won't use his bench enough (pinch hit for Eckstein!)

Who would he use to pinch-hit for Eckstein (.706 OPS against righties)

Split #'s are all career - I can't seem to find the season-by-season ones on BBRef anymore.

The pinch-hit options were:
  • Stairs (injured, who knows how available)
  • Rod Barajas (.687 OPS against righties)
  • Johnny Mac (.571 OPS against righties)
  • Buck Coats (.423 OPS in his limited time in the majors - career OPS+ of 45 against both sides)
Stairs is the only one to consider as a pinch-hitter in my book.  And I know they said he was available for pinch-hitting, but I don't have any problems leaving the injured guy on the bench in this type of situation.  If I'm putting an injured guy in the game - it needs to be a Kirk Gibson type situation (not World Series timing, but 9th inning type situation).

he overuses key starters (take out Halladay)

Already addressed by someone else - but since when is 95 pitches over-using Halladay?  I don't think he was even over 80 going into the 7th.
seeyou - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 02:28 PM EDT (#181931) #
There's not one single 30 HR threat in the entire lineup, and once you subtract Stairs/Rolen, it becomes a bunch of singles and doubles hitters who don't draw that many walks. Really, the only time I was ever comfortable watching the hitters was when Rios was hitting.

How many 30+ HR hitters did the Rockies have last year?  One (Holliday)?  Their season still turned out pretty well.

Granted, watching a game where two of the game's best groundball pitchers are going at it isn't going to be the most exciting to watch if you're a fan of the longball.  But having a lack of 30+ HR guys in no way ruins a team's chances, as long as you've got a lot of doubles hitters and 15-30 HR guys, which the Jays have in spades.


ChicagoJaysFan - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 02:29 PM EDT (#181932) #
I know, arm chair manager and all, but it seemed so obvious to me that Doc had nothing left. Why push him? It was opening day? One game in, and Gibbons has lost us one game.

If Doc has nothing left at around the 80-pitch mark, during a short, night game nonetheless - he needs to put on the DL.  Someone in his current shape should not be close to losing it at that point.

This reminds me of one of Marv Levy's great quotes - If I start listening to the people in the stands, pretty soon I'll be sitting next to 'em (paraphrased as I can't remember the exact words).
VBF - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 02:41 PM EDT (#181934) #
He gave up lazy fly ball to Melky Cabrera that found its way into the stands. Then he got angry and retired the next three hitters.

Maybe I'm missing something but Doc had a pretty decent game.

jayfanbrooklyn - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 03:22 PM EDT (#181939) #

<i>How many 30+ HR hitters did the Rockies have last year?  One (Holliday)?  Their season still turned out pretty well.</i>

yea but they dont play in a league with tigers, red sox and yanks

subculture - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 03:28 PM EDT (#181940) #

Doc was great.  No reason to pull him, and nothing was really hit hard.  His defense let him down, but I don't think that will happen too often this year.

I actually felt the opposite when watching the Jays lineup yesterday.  I was thinking 'Even with Rolen out, this lineup is going to do some damage.... no holes, good balance, even a bit of speed'.

Eck and Stewart getting on base a lot is key.. they will score a lot of runs if they do... if Wells and Overbay are truly healthy, they are a deep lineup.  Hill seems to have more pop this year, reminds me of Rios when he suddenly developed more power.  Rios seems determined to get great at-bats, and Stairs/Stewart have a chance to be better than Cat/Johnson.  Zaun/Barajas provides depth as well.

As everyone else has been saying, if this team stays mostly healthy, and Marcum/McGowan/Listch don't regress (even staying at last year's level would be fine), this is a GOOD team.

 

MatO - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 04:01 PM EDT (#181942) #
Managers micro-managing their pitching staff may have hit a new low Monday night.  The Braves used 9 pitchers in a 12 inning game with 8 of the pitchers being used in the last 7 innings after the starter left the game.
JustinD - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 04:07 PM EDT (#181943) #
Wow, quite a response from my comment. Let me just state some facts. Halladay was cruising into the 6th inning. He looked brilliant. He had thrown 55 pitches through 5 innings, an average of 11 an inning. Out he comes for the 6th inning and throws 22 pitches that inning, double his average. That screams to me that either a) the Yankees are figuring him out b) his stuff isn't as sharp as it was earlier or c) both.

The home run Cabrera hit was a weak fly ball. I never said it was crushed or Halladay was getting hit hard. But ignoring the fact that Melky fouled pitch after pitch after pitch that at bat and basically owned Halladay in that at bat is ignoring what actually was happening in the game. Not only that, but Roy had to sit and get cold on the bench cause the Yankees play God Bless American in between the 7th inning.

Look, Roy doesn't have to pitch a complete game every time out, though John Gibbons would disagree. This was opening day. He's still building up arm strength. Let's take it easy on the poor guy and try and preserve that arm of his instead of pushing him in the very first game of the year?

I said it was obvious the Yankees would score off of Halladay if he went out for the 7th, the Yankees did score off of him. Yes the defense let him down. But the inning wasn't very pretty before that misplay anyways.


HollywoodHartman - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 04:12 PM EDT (#181944) #

"I said it was obvious the Yankees would score off of Halladay if he went out for the 7th, the Yankees did score off of him. "

ALL HAIL JUSTIN D!

Dave Rutt - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 04:20 PM EDT (#181945) #
Out he comes for the 6th inning and throws 22 pitches that inning, double his average. That screams to me that either a) the Yankees are figuring him out b) his stuff isn't as sharp as it was earlier or c) both.

Let me first say that I wasn't watching the game, so I'm sure you had a better handle on how Halladay was pitching. However, in your multiple choice analysis, you're leaving out an important option: d) simple variation. Sure, throwing 22 pitches in an inning could be caused by fatigue, but you can't assume that just because Halladay's averaging 11 pitches per inning he's going to throw 11 pitches every inning. Halladay threw 4 pitches in the 2nd inning - if he alternates innings of 4 and 22 pitches for the whole game he still averages 13 pitches/inning, which is about his career average.

Okay, that might have been a little confusing, but I hope you see what I'm getting at.
JustinD - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 04:35 PM EDT (#181947) #
I understand what you are saying Dave, and it's a very good point. I'm just saying what was obvious to me from watching the game that he looked like he was running out of gas, in his first game of the year in April. I appreciate a response like that. It's the kind of discourse this site should have.

On the other hand...I had no idea Hollywood Hartman was so funny!

Timbuck2 - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 04:53 PM EDT (#181948) #
A few observations from last nights game.

- Personally I think that Hill and Eck are still in the Honeymoon phase and still need to get used to each other.  Those miscue's should happen less as the season goes on.

- Hats off to Melky for a fine game played.  Great diving catch on Hill's liner to the gap and he worked Doc into throwing a pitch closer to the center of the zone that he could do something with.

- Frank and Vernon both are historically bad to start the season.  It takes them both some time to get settled.  I truly believe (just a gut feeling really) that this year Frank is going to have a great season once he gets going like he can.

- That strikeout pitch on Rios' steal of second base was about letter high.  (What is the textbook strike zone again?)

ramone - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 05:49 PM EDT (#181950) #

Stairs likely not in the lineup again and could go on the DL soon, also if he goes on the DL Joe Inglett gets the call.  How far has Lind fallen in the eyes of management? Also Barajas starting tonight.  Got this from the Globe and Mail blog. 

timpinder - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 05:50 PM EDT (#181951) #

Some more bad news.  Matt Stairs is still hurt and may go on the DL.  My guess is he won't be available to come off the bench tonight, or the Jays won't have the option of back-dating his stint on the 15-day disabled list.  Also, Zaun had an ice pack on his knee after the game last night.  Stewart and Barajas are starting tonight:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/blogs/baseball

I'm alright with Stewart starting, he hits RHP just about as well as he hits LHP.  Barajas is a fine backup catcher.  I'm just worried about the injuries and I hope neither of them are serious.  If Stairs' injury is going to be a problem all year, the Jays need to figure out what they're going to do with him.  I wonder how short Thomas' leash is.  I hope to see a platoon DH, but I know it's unlikely.  Before anyone mentions Adam Lind as a callup, thanks to the link from Marc, I noticed that after a great spring with the Jays, Lind is hitting just .196 in minor league spring training (9 for 46, but 3 of those 9 hits were homeruns).  He's not likely to get the call.

Bonds would be nice, though.

Shane - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 06:01 PM EDT (#181952) #

Also, Zaun had an ice pack on his knee after the game last night.

Oh, his hamstring is bothering him again.

timpinder - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 06:42 PM EDT (#181954) #

Posada is out of the lineup with a sore shoulder.  Unfortunately, McGowan may be out tomorrow, but it's just the flu.  However, I haven't been able to translate Blue Jays vocabulary yet, so "flu-like symptoms", might mean "torn labrum".  Gotta love the Globe and Mail blogs:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/blogs/baseball

HollywoodHartman - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 07:04 PM EDT (#181955) #
Apologies to Justin, I reread what I posted and it came off a lot less funny and more petty. I still think it was the right decision to leave in Halladay though, mainly because I'm skepticul on the pen until BJ comes back.
scottt - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 07:17 PM EDT (#181957) #
Pinch hitting for Eckstein, Scutaro or Stewart is fine and dandy, but with Chamberlain and Rivera pitching the last 2 innings, if you're going to pinch hit, you gotta do hit in the seventh.



uglyone - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 07:23 PM EDT (#181958) #

The first two games of the season and Verno hits into a DP with two runners on in each 1st inning, totally crushing early rallies, and killing our chances at an always important early lead.

Given that he did this all year long last year, I hope Gibbons is smart enough to have him on a very, very short leash as far as hitting in the middle of the lineup goes.

These are just killer.

Ryan Day - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 07:54 PM EDT (#181959) #
The first two games of the season and Verno hits into a DP with two runners on in each 1st inning

The double play in the first game only happened because Alex Rios apparently forgot what one was.
westcoast dude - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 08:04 PM EDT (#181960) #
So, I'm staring at Gameday (no audio, this year), and Alex works his way on with a walk.  Vernon comes up, and I say to the computer, "Come on Vernon, hit a dinger!"  Voila!  Thank you for making a prophet of me, sir!
scottt - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 09:11 PM EDT (#181961) #
One productive atbat per game is all it takes.

Thomas is finding ways to contribute.

If only Burnett could pitch like this throughout the whole year.



scottt - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 10:40 PM EDT (#181962) #
They Yanks only scored 5 runs in 2 games. Not bad. Tough act to follow for the rest of the rotation.

I saw Coats on deck with only 1 out and wondered if Eckstein was going to let him bat. I guess not.


Ryan Day - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 10:43 PM EDT (#181963) #
Two close games, including one by Doc, and we still haven't seen John McDonald yet. Strange.
Shane - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 10:57 PM EDT (#181964) #

Two close games, including one by Doc, and we still haven't seen John McDonald yet. Strange.

Why? Where would he have come in? Scrappy Sandpaper is the starter at SS, and he's obviously not going to be taken out for defensive replacements. If he was, he would have been in there in the ninth tonight.

Ryan Day - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:04 PM EDT (#181965) #
McDonald is the very definition of "defensive replacement", just as Eckstein is defined by  "guy who should be replaced defensively close & late."
scottt - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:11 PM EDT (#181966) #
Up by 3 runs isn't exactly a close game. They need to keep Eckstein in to get "comfortable". Things will be different in a couple of months.

The best time to replace Eck is following a pinch hit, but there's nobody on the bench right now.

scottt - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:27 PM EDT (#181968) #
10, 505 , the smallest crowd in Camden Yards history. It's going to be a long year in Baltimore.
ChicagoJaysFan - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:31 PM EDT (#181969) #

I said it was obvious the Yankees would score off of Halladay if he went out for the 7th, the Yankees did score off of him.

Just because you predicted the outcome doesn't mean your method of determining your prediction was solid.  For 70+ years, you would accurately predict the US presidential election if you based your prediction on the outcome of the last Redskins home game before the election (if they won at home, the incumbent party won the election; if the Skins lost, so did the incumbents).  Does that mean that the Skins were a sound method for predicting the presidential election?  Of course not.

Going further - implicit in your argument is that if the Jays pulled Doc after the 7th, not only would the Yanks not score in the 7th, but they wouldn't score in the 8th or 9th either (well, that's an simplification of what you're implying).  Given the Yankees solid offense and the depleted state of our bullpen with the unproven arms in there right now, I don't think that's a fair assumption at all.

Not only that, but Roy had to sit and get cold on the bench cause the Yankees play God Bless American in between the 7th inning.

You're reaching here.  The Jays used 4 batters in the top of the 7th.  If 4 batters and God Bless America make for a long time between two bottom innings, I've been watching some really, really long games.

The home run Cabrera hit was a weak fly ball. I never said it was crushed or Halladay was getting hit hard. But ignoring the fact that Melky fouled pitch after pitch after pitch that at bat and basically owned Halladay in that at bat is ignoring what actually was happening in the game.

It's still only one at-bat.  The next 3 batters (and that's Damon, Jeter, and Abreu) didn't make it out of the infield - and not a single one was hit that hard.  Ignoring those 3 at-bats is also ignoring what actually was happening in the game.

Look, Roy doesn't have to pitch a complete game every time out, though John Gibbons would disagree.

I think you know no one said anything close to that and Gibbons did nothing similar to that last night.  There is a far cry from starting the 7th with 77 pitches under your belt and tossing a complete game.

Parker - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:34 PM EDT (#181970) #
I know the season is barely underway, but man, that Accardo strikeout of A-Rod was sweet.  Tallet looked really good tonight as well.
Shane - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:42 PM EDT (#181971) #

McDonald is the very definition of "defensive replacement", just as Eckstein is defined by  "guy who should be replaced defensively close & late."

I know Ryan, I agree. I personally wish Eckstein wasn't Ricciardi's answer for '08, and Clayton wasn't in '07 etc. etc. etc, buy my names Shane, your looking for John Gibbons. Tell him, not me.

timpinder - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:48 PM EDT (#181972) #

Great game.  Rios and Wells have the potential to make a fine duo for the next 7 years.  And now we have the other season opener going tomorrow, with Lansing, Dunedin, New Hampshire and Syracuse all kicking it off, I believe.  I look forward to the minor league reports throughout the season, you guys do a great job here.

On a side note, Ryan threw 21 pitches in a minor league game today.  He isn't feeling any soreness either before or after he throws, which is good.  They're optimistic he might even be ready for the April 11th series against Texas.

http://toronto.bluejays.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080402&content_id=2483891&vkey=news_tor&fext=.jsp&c_id=tor

One thing I found discouraging though, is the comment that Ryan, "hit 88 on the radar gun".  If memory serves me correctly, his fastball was usually in the 90-93 MPH range before the surgery, was it not?

timpinder - Wednesday, April 02 2008 @ 11:54 PM EDT (#181973) #
Believe it or not, Eckstein was the best free agent SS this year.  There really wasn't anything Ricciardi could do.  Next off-season there are three quality shortstops scheduled to become free agents and Furcal is one of them (with Hu waiting in the wings, Furcal's very likely to hit the market).  Blame Ricciardi next year for not getting a premium SS, not this year.
Shane - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 12:02 AM EDT (#181974) #
Read what I just said. I find fault with his approach to solidifying SS for some years now, not just at the mercy of the free agent market this past winter. There's also trades as a way of acquiring players Tim.
uglyone - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 12:34 AM EDT (#181975) #

As annoying as the commentators can get sometimes (I don't blame them - it's their job to fill dead air) - the guys wouldn't shut up the last couple of years about "add-on runs"......and again, as annoying as it is to hear them repeat it ad nauseam, this is always something I agreed with.

and tonight, that's exactly what we got - ADD ON RUNS. 3-0 was nice. 4-0 was better. 5-0 was perfect.

Without those key add-on runs (based on some pretty clutch hitting), that ARod homer suddenly puts the game in serious jeopardy. Nice to see the boys get the little things done right.

And an EXTREMELY ENCOURAGING outing from Accardo tonight. I have some serious doubts about him coming into this year (as I always do about any reliever with only one good - and surprising - season behind him)....but man, a couple more outings like tonight, and my worries are gone. Two runners get on through no fault of Accardo's, and ARod is the tying run in the bottom of the 9th at Yankee Stadium....and Accardo cooly and aggressively Ks ARod, and takes care of the rest. That's some clutch closing there. Huge relief for me - this bullpen this year can't afford to have Accardo turn out to be a one year wonder.

VBF - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 12:41 AM EDT (#181976) #
I'm fine with Eckstein out in the ninth. He is new and he wants to prove himself to his pitching staff and his teammates. Likewise, I don't want Gibbons to send Eckstein the message that "we don't trust you in the field" because that won't be good for his defense, and might lead to him trying to overcompensate with the bat.

Give him some chance to warm up to his teammates, and in a couple of weeks you can resort to putting J-Mac out there. I don't think two weeks of Eckstein in the top of the ninth is going to give up a significant amount of runs.

Now, let's all start painting those "Vernon for MVP" signs.


China fan - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 01:24 AM EDT (#181977) #
  In today's Globe, Jeff Blair quotes Johnny Damon as describing the Jays pitching staff as "probably the best in the game, top to bottom."   It's nice to hear a confirmation of what we always suspected.  If the Jays are going to do anything this year, pitching will be the key.
   On the negative side of things, Blair refers to Eckstein and Thomas as "abscesses in the lineup."
    Personally, I'd like to see Overbay and Hill moved up the lineup, pronto -- or as soon as the team can find a way to do it without damaging Eckstein's ego.


Shane - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 01:39 AM EDT (#181978) #

Blair refers to Eckstein and Thomas as "abscesses in the lineup."

Absolutely. Thomas: one piece of decent contact, a single into left field Tuesday, and Eckstein, my god, feeble little bleeders of the bat that barely go ninety feet every AB thus far.

owen - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 01:50 AM EDT (#181979) #
One thing I found discouraging though, is the comment that Ryan, "hit 88 on the radar gun".  If memory serves me correctly, his fastball was usually in the 90-93 MPH range before the surgery, was it not?

I'm not sure, but I remember being surprised that he didn't have more heat, considering that he put up the numbers of a power pitcher.  I think he was always closer to 90 than 93.  88 on the gun doesn't really concern me.  Ryan's thing is that he hides the ball so the hitter has less time to see it than against most pitchers, which makes up for the lack of velocity.
TamRa - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 02:43 AM EDT (#181980) #
I know, arm chair manager and all, but it seemed so obvious to me that Doc had nothing left. Why push him? It was opening day? One game in, and Gibbons has lost us one game.

Where does this obsessive need to bitch and moan about something and assign blame come from?

this is not the only example but it's a nice obvious case.

Doc had less than 80 pitches coming into the SEVENTH inning. You can bet your sweet bippy we'll lose a lot more games only getting six innings and 70-odd pitches out of Doc than we will ever lose riding him up towards 110 and trying to get 8 or 9 innings.

And that's BEFORE I point out that a rare defensive miscue is the only reason a run scored that inning anyway.  Gibbons did not cost us a win, not even close. If you have some obsessive need to lay blame, blame Gary Darling.

TamRa - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 02:58 AM EDT (#181981) #
There's not one single 30 HR threat in the entire lineup...

2007 Cleveland Indians: Wins - 96, HR leader - 25

The Tigers didn't have a 30 HR hitter last season, the Yankees only had one.
Red Sox? One.
Angels? Zero.
Mariners? Zero.


So . . . go one, expound to us further what a great difficulty it is that we "have no 30 HR hitter" when out of the six teams considered contenders besides the Jays there were exactly TWO HITTERS with more than 30 homers among them.

I'll leave for another day a discussion of whether or not Thomas, Wells, and Rios have 30 HR potential.


TamRa - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 03:11 AM EDT (#181982) #
  On the negative side of things, Blair refers to Eckstein and Thomas as "abscesses in the lineup."

This would be the same guy who pimped the idea that Shannon Stewart was a great addition to the lineup all spring despite the fact that he and Eckstien are essentially the same hitter at this point.

Seriously, I've always liked Blair but am I the only one who thinks he caught a case of DGS (Dick Griffin Syndrome) the last couple of months?

China fan - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 04:20 AM EDT (#181983) #
   If you want to criticize Jeff Blair, try to operate on more than just vague memories of what he wrote.  He never said that Stewart was a great slugger or a fantastic addition to the lineup.  All he said -- correctly -- was that Stewart would win the battle with Reed Johnson.   He was one of the first -- maybe the first -- to report that Sparky would be dumped.  Now, you may agree or disagree with the dumping of Sparky, but Blair was just objectively reporting the fact that the Jays liked Stewart better than Johnson.  I, for one, appreciated that I got the news first from Blair.
    I'm still finding that we're getting better hard-news reporting and insight from the Globe, rather than the Star or elsewhere, if we want to know what the Jays as an organization are thinking or planning to do.  (But of course the Globe's stories have to be supplemented by the very valuable analysis that we receive from Bauxites if we want to understand whether the Jays are making a mistake or not.)
   

brent - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 06:48 AM EDT (#181984) #

Today's WPA heroes: Burnett, Tallet, Wells and Rios (2). The letdowns were: Scutaro (hope you're okay), Barajas, Thomas (2) and Eckstein (2).

scottt - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 07:20 AM EDT (#181985) #
Eckstein will hit the ball out of the infield, eventually. Thomas is still able to take a bad pitch over the fence here and there.

I kinda like the lineup the way it is. I'll like it even better once Rolen is in it. I'm expecting good numbers from the bottom of that lineup.

It's nice to have Barajas. I don't see Zaun playing much more than 100 games.

Ryan should be fine with his fastball unlike Mussina who has to throw it several times through the opposing lineup. Mussina's  numbers are pretty good considering the stuff he had; one out short of a quality start.

The Yankee middle relief didn't look that great. That's possibly the Jays's strength, get through the starting pitcher and take advantage of a bullpen in which the lefties are pretty much useless.

Hawkins faced 4 hitters with only  7 pitches until he faced Rios who made him throw 9 and cost him an earned run.

scottt - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 07:28 AM EDT (#181986) #
Today's WPA heroes: Burnett, Tallet, Wells and Rios (2). The letdowns were: Scutaro (hope you're okay), Barajas, Thomas (2) and Eckstein (2).

Remind me what WPA is. Barajas went 2 for 4 with a run scored. That's fine by my standards. The only good thing I saw from Thomas was putting Wells in scoring position--by getting hit by a pitch.
d_moro2002 - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 09:25 AM EDT (#181993) #

I just think Blair is harping  a tad early here.

If he was actually watching the game, he would've seen Eckstein moving the runners over by sacrificing himself--if that means "he didn't hit it out of the infield" ,he can do that all year if it means a run or 2 extra per game. Besides, he missed smacking Mussina the other way by inches today. He could have easlily had at least a hit or two more. Blair's just pushing his agenda from his spring training reports.

As far as Thomas goes, everybody knows it takes older hitters some time. Did Dave Winfield hit right out of the shoot too? Could he wait more than 2 games and some meaningless spring matches to come down on him like a sledgehammer?

A few bounces in game one and the Jays would've scored like 6 runs per game in both contests. He needs to stop nitpicking. And yes, he usually comes up with the goods before the other baseball hacks do. He just gets in trouble when he hazards opinions based on his own talent decisions.

Chuck - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 09:42 AM EDT (#181998) #

he would've seen Eckstein moving the runners over by sacrificing himself--if that means "he didn't hit it out of the infield" ,he can do that all year if it means a run or 2 extra per game.

Any number of studies over the past 30 years would contradict your assertion that small ball can contribute a run or 2 extra per game. In fact, many would argue that small ball is a net negative, with small ball tactics only being defendable in a handful of circumstances (as opposed to being defendable as a fundamental across-the-board strategy).

Were Eckstein 5'11" and not 5'6", or whatever the hell he is, his actions would be measured far more objectively by the media and the typical fan. That he's short, however, guarantees that the inspirational cliches will trump all else.

 

China fan - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 09:49 AM EDT (#181999) #

   Eckstein is listed as 5-foot-7.   A major-league baseball instructor (who was working with youth players here in China) told me recently that Eckstein is the smallest player in the majors.  I haven't figured out how to look that up to see if it's true or not.  Anyway care to confirm this?   Is he the smallest player in the majors?
d_moro2002 - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 10:02 AM EDT (#182000) #

Objectively?

Did he or did he not hit .309 last year? That suggest he can hit it out of the infiled sometimes, right?

Did he or did he not win two world series, including being a huge factor in said games?

Does he or does he not get on base well? Does he or does he not hustle?

What part of these statements by the "unobjective" media are incorrect? That he hustles?

Yeah, he's short and stubby, which helps him to walk more. So what? What is so dreary about hearing someone succeed despite their physical  limitations? 

Is it ok if others enjoy hearing someone of that stature is able to contribute and be a winner? You and Blair should go have a beer together and discuss the "net negative value" of  moving the runner over.  And I'm sure major league teams will come to their senses soon and realize how stupid a play it is.  Who needs a runner closer to home? I'm sure Barajas could've scored from second on that hit to Abreu anyhoo, huh?

Mike Green - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 10:10 AM EDT (#182001) #
The "dirtbag" stuff is really irritating, but if Eckstein gets on base 35% of the time and plays average defence at shortstop, he is an upgrade from John McDonald.  In a league with a DH, he's not really an ideal leadoff hitter because a lack of power is of more significance in the role  (with your 9th place hitter getting on base much more often than the average pitcher).  Eckstein should however make a fine 9th hitter in the AL.  
d_moro2002 - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 10:45 AM EDT (#182002) #

The job of the leadoff hitter is to get on base. His job is not to hit home runs. That's why Rios doesn't hit leadoff--or Wells (much, only when his power was down and non-existent, hence they bat him first).

How many number nine hitters hit .309 last year? Give or take? He gets on base, he makes plays, he executes.

What is not to like?

Ignoring all of that, there are logistical problems with what you are suggesting.

If they hit Eckstein ninth, who hits second? Rios? I like him third, thank you very much. And really, despite all of his injury problems the previous year, is there anyone who should be hitting fourth but Vernon? Would you prefer overbay? Rolen might work, but I'd prefer him hitting fifth ahead of Thomas (as much speed and pop as we can muster before he gets up there). Besides, Stewart is a perfect number 2.

I could see Overbay hitting fifth, sixth or seventh, but he doesn't hit well enough to be up there (and isn;t comfortable in that position either, accrding to several articles last year). He just doens't have enough pop (in the positions you need pop).

It looks like Stairs is out for at least a few weeks, which sucks. He would have been a nice counter for Frank if he continues to struggle early (and, he could hit second). But, Frank is ok in the five hole, because that is the "mistake" hole, anyway. That's the "tack on some extra runs while the pitcher is still reeling" spot. He almost did it today after the Wells home run but just got under it. Frank will be fine for the meanwhile till Rolen gets back because he hits .300, too and has a solid OBP.

Chuck - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 10:53 AM EDT (#182003) #

DM, I'm thinking that your rant was in response to my post (as opposed to the subject matter as a whole). If so, you made a lot of assumptions based on what little I said. I said nothing disparaging about Eckstein at all. All I said was that given the human interest angle he presents, objectivity sometimes gets a pass as far as he is concerned. I concur with Mike's assessment of Eckstein's value and more appropriate role.

As for an evaluation of the merits of small ball, well, that has been done to death for over three decades now. Numerous sources exist if you are genuinely interested in reading learned analyses.

As for Eckstein's productive out, hindsight can always produce instances where an unsuccessful popout or strikeout, say, would better have been replaced by a succesful groundout that advanced runners. But what is often overlooked when a player "sacrifices himself" (which is actually not what is happening, the player is actually sacrificing one of the team's 27 outs) is that a productive non-out is always preferable, but paradoxically doesn't seem to generate the same accolades. Had Eckstein worked the at-bat for a hard earned walk, he likely would have received fewer high fives than for intentionally making an out.

And last, Eckstein's height seems to have no bearing on his ability to draw a walk. He draws fewer walks per plate appearance than the average hitter.

timpinder - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 11:19 AM EDT (#182007) #
I understand the rational behind leading off with a guy who gets on base and has speed so that he can be slugged home by the big bats behind him.  However, there's also the argument that your best hitters should get the most at-bats.  When Rolen returns, Gibbons is likely to have Overbay and Hill hitting in the 7th and 8th spots.  Overbay's career .816 OPS and Hill's 2007 .792 OPS will see far fewer plate appearances over the course of the season than Eckstein's career .713 OPS.  That doesn't make a lot of sense to me.  I agree with Mike Green, and that is that I'd like to see Eckstein hit 9th.  Then he can get on base for a lead-off hitter like Hill to drive him home with a double.  I'd like to see Stairs DH some, but that's not likely to happen, so I'd go with an order of Hill-Rios-Rolen-Wells-Overbay-Thomas-Stairs-Zaun-Eckstein.  Maybe I'd switch Rolen and Wells or move Overbay up and Stairs ahead of Thomas.  It doesn't really matter, but I don't like Eckstein and Stewart getting more at-bats at the top of the order than Overbay and Hill.
jmoney - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 04:44 PM EDT (#182048) #
I think in this particular instance it would be better to compare OBP rather then OPS for the leadoff spot. Eckstein is comfortable hitting in the leadoff spot. I don't know if the same would apply to Hill or Overbay and there is that pesky mental side of the game where players perform better when they're in roles they're comfortable with.

I would like to see Overbay higher in the batting order when righties are up since he hits them fairly decent.

scottt - Thursday, April 03 2008 @ 06:49 PM EDT (#182057) #
Eckstein is listed as 5-foot-7.     Is he the smallest player in the majors?

I don't know, but he's the shortest Jays. Matt Stairs is second at 5-foot-9.

I just noticed that Tallet is the tallest.
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