Here is your thread to discuss the trades of the day.
Here is your thread to discuss the trades of the day.
Betemit is a bizarro pickup for NYY. With Cano, Jeter and Rodriguez around the IF, what's he going to do? Play 1B? I guess the Yanks are prepping for A-Rod to leave and want an option at 3B other than hauling Graig Nettles out of retirement.
Still, that's a really nice return for an average Joe middle reliever like Scott Proctor!
More from Jamey Newberg:
According to ESPN’s Buster Olney, Texas has agreed to trade closer Eric Gagné to Boston for lefthander Kason Gabbard, center fielder David Murphy, and teenage outfielder Engel Beltre, a high-profile Latin America signing two years ago. It’s unclear whether Gagné has consented to the deal, as he has the right to veto a trade to the Sox.
Also, T.R. Sullivan of MLB.com reports that the Mark Teixeira trade has been finalized, with lefthander Matt Harrison being confirmed as the fourth player – and a fifth player, Class A lefthander Beau Jones, being added to the deal as well. Jones has gone 5-0, 2.96 with three saves for Low A Rome (48.2 innings, 38 hits, 12 walks, 46 strikeouts) and 0-0, 15.26 in five appearances for High A Myrtle Beach. The hard-throwing reliever was a first-round pick in 2005 (41st overall) out of a Louisiana high school.
Wake me up, when September ends.
Overall it was a pretty quiet trade deadline in terms of big names being moved. Basically every team in baseball is swimming in cash so you rarely see salary dumps anymore.
The Jays' stance on Glaus is that they're willing to listen to offers, but would trade him only for a substantial return.
He goes on to compare Glaus to Texiera and mentions Glaus' no trade clause and thinks he would waive it. The teams he specifically mentions as possibilities include the Yankees, Rangers, Angels, and Astros.
Which is a nice change. Players still get moved because they're overpriced, but you don't see the "we have to dump salary period, take our players" like the Aramis Ramirez trade a few years back.
Well, I just woke up (on nights) and was disappointed to see that the Jays didn't make any moves at all. I was really hoping to get on the internet and find that Glaus was out, LaRoche was in, and that the Jays had traded some pitching for a ready-now minor league SS. (Cleveland wanted relief help, I thought something might happen).
Oh well. I still think this team is better than their record suggests, but not 98 wins better, more like 87-91. Something has to be done, but I guess now I'll have to wait until the off season.
Those cagey Pirates have landed Matt Morris.
Okay, so maybe Sabean isn't an idiot. Well, at least not as big an idiot as Littlefield, anyway.
http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/article.jsp?content=20070731_193948_5836
New news isn't always good news...
It's a bit of a gamble for Boston. They really seem to be taking it one year at a time. If you ask me what they needed is an outfielder.
Even in a down year, Betemit has a great OBP and has shown some power. He could have auditioned at SS this year, and provided insurance at 3B in '08 and beyond IF his defense at short turns out to be really abysmal.
Cheap...young...traded for something we have in abundance and don't really need this year. Please, someone pull the plug on JP already.
Betemit is not the second coming of A-Rod. Neither Atlanta or the Dodgers have been willing to give him a lot of playing time. Betemit has a reputation for "doing his own thing" and scouts believe his swing gets long when he plays every day. Betemit is a nice bench player but no-one is suggesting he will replace A Rod if the Yankees need a new third baseman next year.
The Dodgers obviously believe Proctor is better than Frasor, if indeed Frasor was offered. Would you offer something better than Frasor for Betemit to close the deal? What if the Dodgers asked for Janssen or Lind? That could be that it would take.
Well, I personally heard that about 5 times about the trade...Betemit was insurance if Rodriguez left, and might get the job if he does. Whether the Yankees are thinking that, or whether it's a good idea, that's another thing, but lots of people have suggested it.
I wouldn't trade much for him myself.
Does anyone else feel like Riccardi simply can't make the little moves that cost little but improve the team long-term? Stairs / Towers could've brought something useful in return, no?
For Betemit, the Dodgers got Scott Proctor , who is better than Frasor, or Downs, or Tallet, or "a prospect".
Proctor is better than Frasor, but Downs or Tallet? Both have better ERA, WHIP, K/ip, K/bb, and BAA. Proctor's pitched a few more innings, and has slightly more of a track record than Tallet, but that's the only thing in his favour.
Proctor : 30 years old, throws right, 226 IP with 4.3 ERA, 7.3 K/9IP, 3.7 BB/9IP.
Frasor : 29 years old, throws right, 231 IP with 3.9 ERA, 7.9 K/9IP, 3.9 BB/9IP.
Downs : 31 years old, throws left, 376 IP with 4.5 ERA, 6.9 K/9IP, 3.6 BB/9IP, able to spot-start in the past
Tallet : 29 years old, throws left, 134 IP with 3.8 ERA, 6.3 K/9IP, 4.3 BB/9IP, able to spot start in the past.
Frasor and Proctor are nearly the exact same pitcher, except Proctor played for the Yankees, and Frasor has done a bit better. Downs and Tallet don't seem notably worse than Proctor. Maybe LA wanted Proctor for a particular reason, but I don't see anything to suggest he's any better than what the Jays could have offered from the BACK of their bullpen.
Am I missing something?
pessimism
Not mention Mystique and Aura.
Not mention Mystique and Aura.
If you're going to start naming X-Men in a discussion about Scott Proctor, Pyro is the name you want to drop. The Dodger brass better have Rick Monday on standby, to protect against their newest arsonist potentially charcoaling a national symbol (though Proctor may well be in his legal rights -- I don't know where the American law stands on that front these days).
The Dodgers are looking to win this year. Given Frasor's struggles, I believe they would prefer Proctor, whose career ERA quoted above is inflated by poor performances in 2004 and 2005. This year and last he was very solid. I can't for a second imagine the Dodgers taking Frasor over Proctor. Tallet has done well this year and last in a more limited role than Proctor. I think Proctor wins in the Dodgers' eyes.
Downs you can make a case for. Maybe LA would see him as more of a lefty specialist, I don't know.
Having said all that, I wouldn't trade Downs for Betemit, who I think is way overrated here. He has a decent bat and is awful defensively. Where do you put him?
The real question to me is who would help the team more next year - Betemit or Frasor? Frasor has some nice peripherals but is pretty inconsistent and with the quality of both the Jays pen and starting five, it seems he's destined to be a little-used middle reliever. Could a young, versatile infielder with pop not help this club a lot more than a sixth man in the pen? He's certainly a better option than Olmedo, Santos or Clayton ... and I'd love to see the club take a longer look at Gronk in middle relief - he's got 27k in 19 innings or so.
Well, I'm not disagreeing with you, Mike, in terms of fundamental sabermetric analysis. The subject was how the Dodgers perceive Proctor vs. Frasor.
And Mike, if you emailed Ned Colletti your analysis above, I think he would immediately forward it to Paul DePodesta with the note "I think this was left over from when you were here."
And can you imagine the roasting he would get in the LA press if he chose Frasor? "We were offered Scott Proctor and we got this guy?"
Only an insecure GM would think that way and if he did you wouldn't want him as your GM.
I anticipate that the Yankees are going to call up Joba Chamberlain before August 31, and put him in the pen. He will, I think, be very, very good, and the Yankees will benefit more from the infield depth in Betemit than the bullpen depth in Proctor.
I don't know where the American law stands on that front these days).
Don't worry about it. Neither does the U.S. Supreme Court.
It's really too bad more GM's/Owners don't listen to my advice about how you should exploit the draft by exceeding slot for premium talent. I would rather pay a couple million for the Jered Weavers of the world than 10.5 million for the Matt Morris's. Not only would the player be younger and cheaper, but most likely better and it doesn't cost you draft picks/prospects in return.
What kind of dirty pictures does Littlefield have on the owner? It's probably the only reason he hasn't been fired yet.
It's really too bad more GM's/Owners don't listen to my advice about how you should exploit the draft by exceeding slot for premium talent. I would rather pay a couple million for the Jered Weavers of the world than 10.5 million for the Matt Morris's.
Well said, Ron. It boggles my mind that JP can consider throwing around $5 million to add Zambrano, Ohka, and Thomson (not to mention offering Meche and Lilly 40+ million) as patchwork help to the rotation, yet refuses to draft a young HS arm like Porcello (who we passed on TWICE this year, the "#1" arm in the draft), who would probably cost the Jays 5-10m in a signing bonus, but would be under the team's control for close to a decade. That's where this so called "Moneyball" attitude makes no sense - you shouldn't need to have your drafting affected by being worried about signing bonuses if you are willing to spend that same $ on aging, near-useless, one year stopgap solutions.
It wasn't only the Jays who passed on Porcello; he didn't go until the Tigers popped him late in the first round.
1. Both were traded as minor leaguers by the Dodgers.
2. Frasor's numbers, as pointed out by Mike Green, are superior to Proctors'. There are also two contextual disadvantages for Frasor: park factor (Yankee Stadium vs. Rogers Centre), and level of competition (Not Having to Face the Yankees vs. Not Getting to Face the Jays). Frasor has provided better out-puts than Proctor despite these disadvantages.
It's truly baffling why more teams don't go over slot. From my understanding of the CBA, every above slot signing has to go through the Commissioner's Office (just like every other signing) and if you exceed slot, they will usually ask the team to think twice and if they refuse, they will get a earful. But that's the only "punishment" involved. You won’t lose any revenue sharing money, you won’t lose draft picks, and nothing silly such as being forced to put Alex Rios on waivers would ever happen.
Bud Selig must really have a pretty firm grip on the GM's/Owners because even a team like the Yankees don't go above slot with every pick in the early rounds.
Of course I think it's important to point out that Porcello hasn't signed with the Tigers as of yet. It's looking more and more like he'll go to UNC in the fall. In other words, the Tigers may have just wasted a first round pick on him.
In the meantime the Jays have signed all their important draft picks.
Two big things wrong with this:
First, Frasor has only "struggled" for one 4 day stretch, covering three apperances since early. May In point of fact, from May 8 to June 26 Frasor gave up TWO runs in over 21 IP. And after that three game bump, he's pitched will in very very limited useage since.
Second, Proctor would be viewed by the Dodgers as a better bet for one and only one reason - he pitches in the center of the media universe. Any GM worth his salt could look at their respective stats, even this year (go check there relative BAA and OPSA THIS season) and realize that Frasor is easily the better pitcher (and the less overworked one).
If Proctor had been pitching for, for instance, Minnesota, we would not even be having this discussion.
It seems clear to me that there is no evidence JP even ask about Betimit. which is a shame.
Far from being overrated, Betimit has almost EXACTLY the same OPS as Troy Glaus. AND, while being a switch hitter, his offensive prowess is as a lefty, which we DESPERATELY need. no, he's not over-rated.
BTW, who says his defense is "awful"?
Of course I think it's important to point out that Porcello hasn't signed with the Tigers as of yet. It's looking more and more like he'll go to UNC in the fall. In other words, the Tigers may have just wasted a first round pick on him.
In the meantime the Jays have signed all their important draft picks.
Bailey, under the CBA, if Tigers don't sign Porcello by August 15th, they will receive the pick after the 27th selection next year.
I thought the Jays should have selected Porcello with the 21st pick. If the Jays couldn't sign him, they would receive the 21A pick next year. Some thought JP Arencebia would have probably been there for the Jays by the time they had to make their first sandwich pick
WillRain: re Betemit's defense.
The Hardball Times has zone rating numbers, and Betemit's are terrible for his career, and especially putrid at shortstop. Range Factor is given at baseball-reference.com and he's bad there too (of course, range factor is inferior to play-by-play methods). I don't know his UZR, but it comes from the same data as as zone rating, so I doubt it's any good. I have Dewan's Fielding Bible, which is also a play-by-play methodology, but the book is at home, and I'm, uh, not there at the moment.
If defensive numbers don't do it for you, consider this. When Furcal left Atlanta as a free agent, the Braves thought so highly of Betemit as a shortstop solution that they traded Andy Marte, who at the time time was supposed to be one of the top 2 or 3 prospects in baseball, so that they could bring in Edgar Renteria.