Might as well give this nugget a thread of its own ...
B.J. Ryan Has Tommy John Surgery
So ... erm, uhm, let's change the subject ... what's up in your life?
Might as well give this nugget a thread of its own ...
B.J. Ryan Has Tommy John Surgery
So ... erm, uhm, let's change the subject ... what's up in your life?
It sure seems like a bad decision to let him pitch at all this season. I wonder if throwing in April aggravated a more minor injury.
I am looking forward to all of the hindsight saying JP shouldn't have signed him because he was guaranteed to get injured. It was a great signing. Bad things happen. Until I hear that the Jays mishandled him and caused the injury themselves, I think that this was just one of those things. Devastating.
I am looking forward to all of the hindsight saying JP shouldn't have signed him because he was guaranteed to get injured. It was a great signing. Bad things happen.
Between the Burnett signing and the Ryan signing, I was much more worried about the Ryan signing. I didn't expect TJ surgery, but I certainly didn't expect BJ to be closing games by the end of the contract. The Lidge's of the world seem a lot more commonplace than the Rivera's.
Burnett's lowside seemed like a sightly better than league average starter averaging 25 starts per year over the course of the contract. Ryan's lowside was LOOGY.
How often does it happen that a guy is never on the DL and then all of a sudden needs TJ? I still really like the signing, this just really sucks.
Zambrano's on the 15-day DL (duh) with a right forearm strain. Marcum gets his start, Vermilyea up from the 'Cuse.
I suspect it was inevitable once he was hurt in spring training
But then why not have the surgery then? He would have been back for early 2008, rather than mid-season.
Why didn't they put him on the DL right away? Because tickets needed to be sold, and lying to the public is the easy way to do that.
When can we realistically expect Ryan to return at full strength? I imagine relievers can recover faster than starters because they don't have to go 7+ innings, but can we actually expect to see him closing games for Toronto before June or July of 2008?
I'm going to join the chorus of those who would like to see Glaus moved to start retooling for 2008. I'd keep Thomas so Lind can play LF with Johnson really stengthening the bench, but if Glaus could bring in a major league ready 3B or SS and some pitching I'd be happy. The injury risk is too great with Glaus and I'd rather have an average 3B and average SS than a below average SS and above average but oft injured 3B.
Why didn't they put him on the DL right away? Because tickets needed to be sold, and lying to the public is the easy way to do that.
Wow - now that is cynicism. The bar has been raised, folks.
What's up with my life, Mick? Enjoying the NBA playoffs (oh, forgot, you're living in the Dallas area, sorry).
As we all embrace the Season From Hell Part Deux. Ah, the memories:
http://www.baseball-almanac.com/teamstats/roster.php?y=2004&t=TOR
After I write this I'm gonna go throw up...
Now the FUN begins!
The NEW IMPROVED starting rotation is: Halladay, Burnett, Janssen, McGowan, Marcum. I'm actually looking forward to watching them pitch.
The NEW IMPROVED bullpen is: Accardo, Frasor, Downs, Towers, Tallet, Verimlyea, Ohka. If the starters don't go 9 innings I can always fall back on 18 year old single malt. Actually, this is not a terrible bullpen.
Overall, this is what we're gonna have, lets give them a chance to rescue the season. If not...don't the TiCats start their pre-season camp in mid-June?
PS: Good news! JP just told me "No way, absolutely no way, does Halladay need TJ surgery." Now I feel better...yikes...sigh.
I grant that at the moment the team is playing crappy, to use a scientific term, but what exactly makes this the Season From Hell Redux? Losing Ryan hurts, to be sure, but he's the only guy who's been lost for the year, if Ricciardi is being honest with us about Johnson and Zaun. League may never pitch in the big leagues again, but given that his only contributions came late in the year last year, and he's done this walk in the wilderness routine before, really counting on him to deliver was the height of presumption.
The reason that this start to the season has been hellish is that the roster construction in the off-season, the use of the roster to date, and the failure of the general manager to add reinforcements in-season has been deficient to the point of negligence. To call this another Season From Hell is merely to make excuses for management.
Four Seamer, I don't see anyone letting JP off the hook. However, besides Ryan, losing your starting catcher for 2+ months, leadoff hitter and starting RF for 2+ months, and 3rd starter for probably 1 month, is pretty nasty.
Wow - now that is cynicism. The bar has been raised, folks.
You say cynicism, I stand by what I said. Give me some other reason for "B.J. Ryan is out with a bad back" in March, and then "B.J. Ryan had Tommy John surgery" today.
I think there are alot of forces at work here. It seems to me the Ryan thing is more Gibby's fault than anything. He sure did use and abuse him last year. I think several people commented on that during last season.
It seems to me the Ryan thing is more Gibby's fault than anything. He sure did use and abuse him last year.
I'm not a big Gibby fan, but I don't buy this argument at all. Ryan pitched in 65 games last season, his lowest total in 5 years. He pitched in 72.1 innings, exactly 2 more than the previous season and 15 less than the season before... and he faced significantly fewer batters last season, due to a WHIP of 0.86. The "abuse" comments likely stem from Gibby using Ryan for more than one inning on several occassions (21 to be exact), but this isn't anything new for B.J. -- he pitched more than one inning 12 times in 2004 and 30 times in 2003.
I understand that people are looking for a scapegoat for Ryan's injury, but it seems to me that the most likely reason is also the most obvious -- he throws hard pitches (fastballs and sliders) with a delivery that puts strain on the arm... and nine years of previously injury-free pro ball finally caught up to him.
But I guess that's not as fun as playing the blame game....
I wouldn't worry about Halladay. A couple of the hits found holes, an error, the Youki at bat could have gone either way, and the Lowell homerun was a good pitch he just golfed. ##it happens, and it's happening in spades, because this is really becoming a season from hell.
MyLegacy, got any more of that liquor?
Four Seamer, I don't see anyone letting JP off the hook. However, besides Ryan, losing your starting catcher for 2+ months, leadoff hitter and starting RF for 2+ months, and 3rd starter for probably 1 month, is pretty nasty.
Zaun wasn't doing anything at the plate, Chacin's missed one start to date, and Johnson's injury, though the most harmful of the three, has been the one the team was best placed to absorb. Injuries have slowed the team down, no question, and it's certainly fair to adjust expectations in light of them, but they don't explain why this team is 13-20, and playing absolutely listless baseball. Quality clubs absorb these sorts of blows, rather than being capsized by them.
The Sox fans over at SOSH pegging Halladay as looking "uncomfortable" as early as the first inning.
Mulliniks seems to think he's tipping his pitches.
Seriously, Doc has had worst-start-of-his-career type outings twice in a week now. Bad luck? A little funk? Injury? This just doesn't happen to Roy. Couple that with the way this season has gone and I just assume he's injured.
Grasping for some good news on a depressing night......
Jesse Litsch's line on the night:
7IP 0H 0R 1BB 9K
Not sure why he was pulled after 7, I am assuming pitch count but considering the state of luck for everything BlueJay, his arm might hve fallen off in the dugout while taking a drink of Gatorade...
Let's not get ahead of ourselves. There's no point in descending into rebuilding mode until we have a GM in place that we can trust to do the job properly. Given his recent track record with these kinds of trades, JP's likely to move a few of these sunk costs for third grade prospects while still eating a chunk of salary going forward.
That was a little snide, but if the organization does decide to cut its losses, it needs also to cut ties with the architect of this disappointment. The criticism levelled at Gord Ash, and it was a fair one, was that he never seemed to have any sort of long-term plan, but was constantly changing tacks. Richard Griffin likes to say that JP is now on year six of his five year plan, but that sort of misses the point - it's been impossible to discern for some time now what the actual plan is. He gets a little payroll flexibility, which he's all too happy lavish on star players, and then he stocks the bench and bullpen with AAA stalwarts.
Anyway, if the Ted Rogers still has confidence in Godfrey and Ricciardi, then they need to stay the course, maybe making a minor course correction or too but hope things turn around next year (trading Thomas, if possible, would probably be a good idea because he could net a decent return, be replaced internally for the balance of the season and would allow the Jays to move Glaus to DH, which is where his long-term future lies). If, on the other hand, he's had his fill of them both, he should put somebody with a long-term investment in the team in that position before the disassembling begins. Putting Ricciardi in charge of that would just be madness, in my view.
What's up in my life?
Right now my two week old son. Named Aaron after Hank and not Hill.
Okay, so is Doc injured or maybe tipping? Mike Lowell's homerun was just stupid. It wasn't even bad pitch! It kind of seemed that way when they played Texas. Are they stealing signs? Something is askew!
I think trading players is the wrong move. There is a solid foundation that needs to be built on.
Save us AJ!
First: Congrats Barry...your son, is he a righty or lefty?...Can he throw a slider?...if so...I know where he's needed.
Second: Some nasty vibes being expressed about JP. Is Roy...is Roy...?
My journey with JP.
When he was hired I liked the guy. Anybody that could have his nose come into the room 10 minutes before he did had to have a nose for the business. My first real negative (still sticks in my craw) was his response to the O'Dog's youthful "pimp" indiscretion. The irony of it was...O'Dog thought he was complementing JP. JP over reacted, it diminished him.
I loved the 04 draft...Lind, Janssen, Purcey, Thigpen, Litsch and Jackson - spun in the Overbay deal. For me, that draft bought JP credibility. I thought that maybe I was wrong, JP was showing that maybe you could build a team without Latin players, no HS players.
Then the real problems - money and iffy judgement. JP had to cut some corners building a team. The minors didn't produce the streams, of at least journeymen players, JP (and me) had counted on. Last winter was JP's Little Big Horn...after his successes the year before (Burnett and Ryan) he KNEW he would score a major coup getting both Lilly and Meche. He knew he was going to get AT LEAST one of them. He was turned down by both... he was SO SURE... he had no Plan B - there was no Plan B to be had. Zambrano/Ohka/Thomson were desperation moves, under the circumstances, I applauded them. The kids - McGowan, Rosario, Janssen, Marcum would now have to force the issue. I was happy.
Now the contender lies bleeding on the canvas. The manager pries the teeth guard from the fallen's bloody gums. The team barely has a pulse. We are all stunned, angry, disappointed, devastated, embarrassed, and now lonely. We see months ahead with no reprieve, no lessening of the pain. Ugly. Ugly.
So we turn our gaze from the fallen, with tar, feathers and nooses we hunt the Mad Doctor that created this Frankenstein of a team. We hunt the loneliest man in town. A man now haunted, knowing his world is ending and he'll have to take everyone's bile. Now we'll find out what JP's really made of. Now we'll find out what we're really made of.
Personally, I see no honour in a lynching.
Can you ever remember such an unbelievable string of injuries to your pitching staff from 2006-2007? it's unbelievable... and I think Arnsberg deserves a great deal of blame for this injury mess, whatever he's doing is obviously not working
Looks to me that Halladay's forearm issue is back, he can't get on top of the ball - I think he'll be shut down for a couple of months
Agreed Paul - I'm just waiting for the press release to come out saying that Halladay is off to the doctor's office to evaluate his left shin splints... i.e. back to back poor starts, decreasing velocity... doesn't look good.
Suitors for Glaus: Dodgers, Angels, Phillies, Padres.
Though we won't be getting Betemit from the Dodgers to play short, he doesn't have the range to do it. Best to aim for Laroche/Abreu/Billingsley.
The Philadelphia Daily News reported this morning that scouts from the Phillies, Braves, Dodgers and Orioles, among others, have been scouting recent Jays games. It was suggested that a fire sale might be imminent.
Well, I hope that if Ricciardi is thinking of shaking things up he's limiting his sale to Glaus and maybe Thomas. In my mind there is no need to dump Thomas though since Lind has showed that he can play a decent LF, and Thomas' value is at a low point right now. But with Johnson coming back and with some OF potential in the minors in Patterson, Pettway and Snider, the Jays could probably afford to move Lind ouf of LF and into a DH role in the near future.
I wouldn't like to see any of the young players go, and I don't think Ohka, Clayton, Towers, McDonald, or Zambrano will get the Jays anything. So in my mind it's Glaus, maybe Thomas. Who knows what's going on in Ricciardi's head, but I can't imagine he'd be shopping Burnett with the problems the starting rotation is having.
What's interesting is that all of the teams that might need a Glaus type thirdbaseman all happen to have excess arms and a young left side infielder to spare....2 for 1 deals should be awfully tempting for a team that lacks quality depth.
As for others, Clayton might bring something back from a team like the Padres or Diamondbacks that might want an upgrade/vet backup to their youngsters over the stretch. Likewise, Ohka might be a 5th starter in the NL. Until Johnson comes back there aren't any other redundancies on the roster, not enough quality either.
And while we're at it - bring back Hendrickson from LAD. His sub-5 era while with Tampa is looking better and better, not to mention his current success with the Dodgers.
The chances that JP will finish out his contract with the club through 2010 are extremely high. Ricciardi is Godfrey's hand-picked choice to build a winner, and his own reputation is tied to JP's fortunes. Only if Godfrey needs to protect himself will he jettison JP, and he's not the kind of guy who needs protecting. Don't underestimate how powerful a figure he is, within both the organization and the city itself.
The chances that Gibbons will be fired are also pretty high; even if the team's problems aren't all his fault, a disappointment of this calibre requires a sacrifice, and I doubt that Brad Arnsberg would be a sufficient offering. But if that does happen, then I'll say this: firing one manager is fine, especially if you inherited him. Firing two managers is okay, because nobody's perfect. But when you fire three managers, then eventually people start asking questions about the person doing the hiring and firing. If Gibbons is dismissed, it should be seen as a severe indictment of Ricciardi's performance.
I'm not even going to countenance the thought of a Halladay injury, because it's a beautiful sunny day and I'd like my life to be a happy one.
Jordan:
I don't think I would put JP's chances of being GM in 2010 at extremely high. I would say that JP's chances of being GM at this time next year are extremely high but after 2008 all bets are off. Rogers evaluates JP in two ways, on the field and off the field. It has been said that JP has done a good job of satisfying Rogers off the field. If the Jays recent troubles impact the gate and TV audiences then JP might not be able to meet budget and satisfy Rogers.
Rogers increased the payroll in the off-season and let's assume that the increase was based on attendance jumping to 2.5 million. Let's assume it comes in 300,000 short, and let's also assume that is equivalent to $6 million. How does JP make that up?
The team that JP has assembled could be the same team on the field in 2008, most of the key players are signed through then. Wells, Glaus, Overbay, Thomas, Zaun are signed and Hill, Rios and Lind are still under the Jays control. Halladay, Burnett and Ryan are all signed with several younger pitchers also under the Jays control. If JP claims injuries hurt the 2007 team then why would he trade Glaus or Thomas, if he believes in this team then he would keep them together for another year.
This brings me back to the dollars. If the team will be $6 million short on revenue then trading Glaus for prospects would save that amount of money. JP has stated that you cannot win in the AL East with too many rookies, if he trades Glaus for a couple of rookies then he is satisfying the accountants at the expense of the team on the field.
Now the contender lies bleeding on the canvas. The manager pries the
teeth guard from the fallen's bloody gums. The team barely has a pulse.
We are all stunned, angry, disappointed, devastated, embarrassed, and
now lonely. We see months ahead with no reprieve, no lessening of the
pain. Ugly. Ugly.
Rogers increased the payroll in the off-season and let's assume that the increase was based on attendance jumping to 2.5 million. Let's assume it comes in 300,000 short, and let's also assume that is equivalent to $6 million. How does JP make that up?
JP might get a pass on 100,000 of that figure. It you assume the Jays collectively had 3 weekend series against New York and Boston instead of 0, they'd like see an attendance increase of that much. The Jays gain 10-15,000 per game for a weekend set against those team, as compared to midweek games, in my estimation. They got 22,000 last night. If it was a weekend set around this time, even with the team struggling, one would think they would get 35-40,000.