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Strangely enough, my mind turns to Winston Churchill...

And why not? Churchill managed to cram enough to fill several lifetimes into his mere four score and ten - he went round the sun several times to the normal man's one. And some of it we will forever be grateful for (his vision and leadership in the long struggle gainst the Nazis), some we could do without (his involvement in the design of the modern Middle East), and some of it we're still arguing about (his role in the development of the modern British welfare state.) To name but three of his lifetimes.

But I myself am partial to men and women of language, and Churchill was a splendid phrasemaker from the very beginning. As a young reporter covering the Boer War, he observed that "there are few things in life more exhilirating than being shot at without result." And as it happens, one of his more memorable utterances was delivered not far from here, when he addressed the Canadian Parliament in December 1941:

If [France] had done this Italy might have been driven out of the war before the end of 1940, and France would have held her place as a nation in the counsels of the Allies and at the conference table of the victors. But their generals misled them. When I warned them that Britain would fight on alone whatever they did, their generals told their Prime Minister and his divided Cabinet, "In three weeks England will have her neck wrung like a chicken."

Some chicken; some neck.

Which brings me, by a commodious vicus of recirculation, to Bill Simmons.

I like Simmons a lot - he has the virtue of being entertaining, which goes a long way with me. And he doesn't mind telling you just how wrong he's been. Eventually. And just the other day, in the aftermath of his understandable glee over the Red Sox sweeping the Yankees, he wrote:

Boston finishes the last month of the season with seven games against Baltimore (who will have imploded by then), six against Toronto (an absolute train wreck) and six against Tampa Bay (headed for another 65-win season).

Ahem.

All together now, Bauxites!

Some train. Some wreck.

It was an excellent night for the Toronto teams. The Jays got back to .500, which was a step in the desired direction; the Raptors got back to .500 in their series gainst the Nets, which was absolutely essential; and the Leafs... didn't lose. What's not to like?

Okay, another injured regular. But what the hell. All of us who remember 1987 would rather see the injuries in the first month of the season.
25 April 2007: We Shall Never Surrender | 36 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
zeppelinkm - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 06:57 AM EDT (#166545) #
Just to throw one of those "they don't mean anything at all" stats out there, for fun.

Roy Halladay has a negative correlation this season between K/9 and ERA.

Check it:

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/individual_player_gamebygamelog.jsp?c_id=mlb&playerID=136880&statType=2

It doesn't mean anything really because Halladay has allowed between 1 and 3 runs in all of his starts, but the games where he let in 3 earned runs were his best K games, whereas the games he only struck out 2 batters he allowed only 3 earned runs over 17.1 earnings.

Nice to see Thomas starting to come around. I sense those wheels are starting to turn, and once that kid gets some momentum, he's going to be hard to slow down. Kid? My bad, but something about his demeanour makes him seem really kid like. He has this big goofy smile...

And how about Lind? Another 2 hits, another 3 runs scored. Reeds injury is the one we will miss the least. Pains me to say that, but...

Now, to take 2 of 3 from the Yankees. We need Burnett to pitch the way he can, if we are to take 2. One of Towers/Chacin will strike gold, and the other.. will probably be home run fodder for A-Rod.

HollywoodHartman - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 07:31 AM EDT (#166546) #
It's only a 2 gamer. AJ/Pettitte and Towers/Hughes are the matchups.
AWeb - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 08:25 AM EDT (#166547) #
Hopefully the Jays can greet Hughes like they greeted Garza last year for the Twins...rudely, with a large helping of hits. Because there is little chance Towers will mow down the Yankees.
Paul D - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 08:31 AM EDT (#166548) #
Wedding Singer - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 08:37 AM EDT (#166549) #

Watching the late innings of yesterday's game, I got the impression that Halladay was trying to send a message to the Sox, the way he was racking up the Ks. It seems to me that at that point in the game, he was actually trying to get the strikeouts.

I was also encouraged that Gibbons didn't mess around in yesterday's game - he left Halladay in for 8, and then brought in Marcum. No chance for the Sox to get back in the game.....

Mike Green - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 09:38 AM EDT (#166550) #
Matt Stairs a second baseman?  Really? Well, a little bit, according to the Baseball Cube. Anyways, Ryan Roberts at second is a stretch; Matt Stairs there is pretty ridiculous.

The cheapest save of the year award goes to Trevor Hoffman.  The Padres won 10-5, and Hoffman faced 1 batter with the bases loaded and 2 out in the 9th and retired him.  That's clutch pitching, yessir.

China fan - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 10:11 AM EDT (#166554) #

    Sal Fasano has hit 5 home runs in 41 at-bats in Syracuse.  He's sporting a .364 OBP and a .683 SLG.   If he can reproduce any of that in the majors this month, he might actually be an improvement over Zaun and his .186 batting average.

 

topherkris - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 10:57 AM EDT (#166556) #
I never was a Fasano guy, was anyone? However, after his interview with city tv and the combination of his giant and dirty dirty mustache, i quickly became a fasano guy.  I hope he does well, and i hope the mustache is bigger and dirtier.  That man looks like a ball player.
Original Ryan - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 11:01 AM EDT (#166557) #
According to William Houston, Jim Hughson will be back calling Jays games again, this time for CBC.  Apparently the Jays are finally close to an eight-game deal for this year with CBC, and that will likely increase to 20-25 games next year.  No word on who the analyst will be.
Chuck - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 11:10 AM EDT (#166559) #

That man looks like a ball player.

That, or a village person.

jsut - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 11:19 AM EDT (#166561) #
Has anyone seen any post-surgery news about Reed Johnson?  All I can find is news that he's going to have surgery, nothing about it having actually happened.
90ft_turnleft - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 11:26 AM EDT (#166562) #

Does anyone else feel that 'smoke n mirrors' Chacin would be better suited for long relief?

Every Chacin start they flash his ever balloning era each time through the order.

As Rance has stated a few times already this year, it is fairly normal to see hitters make the adjustment the 2nd time up so the onus of reaction falls back on the pitcher to then adjust again to the hitters' adjustments.

The only problem with Chacin it seems is either he can't,won't or doesn't have the 'stuff' to change and generally by the 5th inning the jig is up,pull back the curtain on the wizard to expose a rather ordinary one trick pony.

An aside,I still don't see Rance as having the 'gift of gab' when it comes to friendly banter with Jamie but I still value his insightful knowledge about baseball,definetly from a hitters perspective.

Let's kick some Yankee butt.Onward and upward me hopes.

Mike D - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 12:10 PM EDT (#166565) #
It may have been a tad premature for Simmons to hang a "Mission Accomplished" banner on the USS Red Sox.
Mike Green - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 12:25 PM EDT (#166567) #
No kidding. The Sox have avoided the injury bug so far this year.  The major difference between the Sox, the Yankees and the Blue Jays so far this year has been the health and performance of the closers. That can change in a heartbeat.
VBF - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 12:46 PM EDT (#166570) #

As Rance has stated a few times already this year, it is fairly normal to see hitters make the adjustment the 2nd time up so the onus of reaction falls back on the pitcher to then adjust again to the hitters' adjustments.

I really think Gustavo has done this very well so far this year. I went to ESPN to try and find the stats for BA and OPS against for the first, second, third, and fourth times through the order and could not, but recall them being shown on the telecast and Gustavo sporting a average around .180 against the order the third time around.

If anyone knows where this statistic is available, it would be great to know.

Chuck - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 12:55 PM EDT (#166571) #

Quite often this season, they have posted the Jays' pitchers BA against for 1st, 2nd and 3rd time through an order. Predictably for everyone, the 2nd time through is worse than the 1st. Then, the 3rd time is an apparent improvement on the 2nd. While one's instincts may be to deduce that the pitchers, themselves, are making adjustments in the 3rd pass to counter those made by the hitters in the 2nd pass, I'm wondering if there isn't something else at play here. Maybe a pitcher will only stick around long enough to see hitters a 3rd time if he is still in the game, i.e., doing well. As such, we'd expect to see largely non-terrible numbers for the 3rd pass. A pitcher's aggregated 2nd pass numbers, on the other hand, will be an accumulation of his good starts and those starts where he's so bad he gets chased early, before he has a chance to even face the batters a 3rd time (thereby bringing down his 3rd pass numbers).

Or maybe not.

actionjackson - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 01:00 PM EDT (#166572) #
We shall take out their middle infielders on the base paths. We shall destroy their pitches in the batter's box. We shall run over their catchers at home plate, and run down every ball hit our way in the field. We shall run out every ball as though it were our last. We shall wear down their starters and feast on their middle relief. We shall efficiently and surgically mow down their lineups. BUT ABOVE ALL, WE SHALL NEVER SURRENDER.
laketrout - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 01:03 PM EDT (#166573) #

If anyone knows where this statistic is available, it would be great to know.

ESPN has it under "splits"

Inning 1-3 .209 (9 H / 43 AB)
Inning 4-6 .300 (12 / 40)
Inning 7-9 .333 (1 / 3)

actionjackson - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 01:08 PM EDT (#166574) #
VBF, once again Baseball-Reference comes through. Go to the player page you want to know about. There's a box called Splits:. Click on the year 2007 and you will find a wealth of info on the player in question's performance thus far. Thus far, you're right Gus rips through the order the first time, gets killed the second time and if he survives, makes some adjustments and does pretty well after that.
Anders - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 01:20 PM EDT (#166575) #
Might have missed this, but Jeff Blair reports that Sal Fasano got called up and that Greg Zaun might be going on the 15 day DL, because of his injured thumb. Fasano's not on the 40, so someone has to come off.  Plus the Jays have 43 men on the 40 man roster, with Reed and Davis Romero on the 60 day DL and thus not counting, which still puts them at 41 by my count. Robinson Diaz is the only other catcher on the 40. Ryan Houston has dodged this bullet a bunch of times and I'm not sure why, other candidates for removal include Tracy Thorpe and John Hattig, at a guess.


http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070424.WBbaseball20070424235655/WBStory/WBbaseball/

actionjackson - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 01:21 PM EDT (#166576) #
BB-Ref has an absolute cornucopia of splits. There's: Platoon, Home/Away, 1st/2nd Half, Monthly, Game Outcome, Pitching Role, Count, Bases Occupied, Times Facing Opp. (i.e. number of times through the order), Number of Outs, Clutch Stats, By Inning, Pitch Count, Days Rest, Opponent, Game Conditions, Ballpark, Catcher... and that's just for pitchers. It is in a word unbelievable. The By Inning is broken down by each individual inning as well as innings 1-3, 4-6, and 7-9. Whoa!
actionjackson - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 01:27 PM EDT (#166577) #
Anders, could they also put Brandon League on the 60-Day DL retroactive to whenever his injury occurred or is there a limit to how many people can go on the 60?
ahitisahit - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 02:15 PM EDT (#166580) #

Varitek can not hit a curveball to save his life. He is one of the most overrated players in the AL. That said, he'll probably be the starting catcher at the All-Star game this summer.

I was making some Garza-Hughes comparisons of my own. I would love for this kid to have nightmares of how hard he was hit for quite awhile. The Yankees are in last place, things are good.

Original Ryan - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 03:42 PM EDT (#166582) #
John Hattig has been designated for assignment in order to clear a spot for Fasano.
actionjackson - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 03:59 PM EDT (#166586) #
Does this mean the Jays have to trade him or does that only happen if he fails to clear waivers? If a team does pick him up on waivers, would they have to put him on their 40 or their 25? I hope he passes through and the Jays can keep him around for depth, although he hasn't done much so far this year.
Jordan - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 04:21 PM EDT (#166590) #

John Hattig has been designated for assignment

And you can officially close the book on the Terry Adams era in Toronto.

Pistol - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 04:26 PM EDT (#166592) #
I believe if someone wants Hattig they'd have to put him on their 40 man roster.

I can't imagine any team doing that for someone that wasn't that good last year and has been dreadful this year.

dan gordon - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 04:40 PM EDT (#166596) #
With Roberts in Toronto, and Hattig designated, Syracuse needs an infielder (or 2).  Somebody has to play 3B.  Wonder if they might move Santos up and play him there.  There is no real 3B candidate at NH.  Cosby would be another possibility - the NH website lists him as a 3B, although he played mainly OF last year. 
Chuck - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 04:40 PM EDT (#166597) #

John Hattig has been designated for assignment

Going, going, Guam.

Chuck - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 04:53 PM EDT (#166598) #

Varitek can not hit a curveball to save his life. He is one of the most overrated players in the AL.

Varitek certainly wasn't very good last year, though injuries may have played a role there. And he isn't getting any younger. And he's got that whole captain/emotional leader thing going, which does tend to overvalue a player. So you've got all of these arguments on your side.

But... every year from 2003 to 2005 he had an OPS+ of 120 or better which is pretty damned good for a catcher, especially one with his defensive reputation. I'm guessing that the odd curve or two was thrown his way during that 3-year period.

Paul D - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 05:08 PM EDT (#166600) #

I doubt that Hattig will be going anywhere.  He'll just keep playing in AAA, and not be on the 40.  Of course, if Santos keeps playing fantastic, and Hattig continues to struggle, that could change, but I don't think the Chiefs need a new infielder just yet.

DH - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 05:24 PM EDT (#166603) #

Going, going, Guam.

Nicely done!

I'm a fan of this move - no reason to keep a struggling 27 (?) year old infielder on the roster. We've got enough light hitting infielders. I would imagine Roberts might be the next to go off the 40 man if the need arises. With Adams, Olmedo at Syracuse the downside of losing him isn't that high.  A back up OF would be nice too.

 

actionjackson - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 05:41 PM EDT (#166605) #
Nice riff on the "Going, Going Zaun" chant Chuck.
Magpie - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 06:01 PM EDT (#166607) #
Varitek can not hit a curveball to save his life.He is one of the most overrated players in the AL

One might also consider the impact losing Varitek had on their pitching staff. When he was hit hurt on July 31, they had a staff ERA of 4.57, right around the AL average. Without him over the last two months, the staff ERA was 5.28 and while obviously not all of that was a result of playing Mirabelli and Lopez instead of Varitek - it wasn't entirely a coincidence, either.
topherkris - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 06:37 PM EDT (#166610) #
Paul D - Wednesday, April 25 2007 @ 06:38 PM EDT (#166611) #

it wasn't entirely a coincidence, either.

Although the BP report on catcher ERA would appear to suggest otherwise.  I think Bill James disagreed with them though.

25 April 2007: We Shall Never Surrender | 36 comments | Create New Account
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