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The Jays pummelled the Pawtucket pitching staff yesterday, and took advantage of some... unorthodox outfield play courtesy of Kevin Youkilis and Wily Mo Pena. They now stand just half a game out of second place...


One shouldn't be too hard on the PawSox hurlers. If Manny Ramirez had been able to play the field, it would have been a Huge Defensive Upgrade. This says far too much than anyone really wants to know about the outfield stylings of Messrs Youkilis and Pena. Youkilis, to be sure, doesn't normally even pretend to be an outfielder, and twice was fooled by line drives that probably disappeared into a bank of lights. But Pena... I am reminded of the immortal words of Graig Nettles:

It's not that Reggie is a bad outfielder. He just has a little trouble judging the ball, and picking it up.

The great and wise Dave Till was writing about plate mannerisms the other day, so naturally I was giving it close attention these past two days. Adam Lind's march straight through the opposite batter's box is indeed unusual - everybody else passes behind the umpire and catcher en route to their destination.

Otherwise, Lind struck me as fairly standard for a modern ballplayer - quite a bit like Frank Catalanotto, in fact. He straightens up and takes a step back after each pitch, but generally stays more or less in the batter's box. Lyle Overbay is much more likely to back out completely, as is Gregg Zaun.

Zaun is the only Blue Jay I noticed who did even one practise swing in the midst of the at bat - on Saturday, he backed out, took a full practise swing and stepped back in. No one does this anymore. Those of you who remember John Olerud will fondly recall how Olerud would step out of the box, take two quick and elegant practise swings, and then step back in, doing that little tap to the front of his shoulder with his bat that he did before every pitch.

No practise swings! Weird.

And everybody steps out after they hit a foul ball.

The biggest Blue Jay timewaster is, of course, Reed Johnson. Sparky, as everyone knows, sets up his tripod and fiddles with his gloves. To his credit, Johnson is actually very quick with his whole routine (rather like Garciaparra, in this sense.) Reed can step out, lean his bat against his cup, fiddle with his gloves, step back in and the pitcher still hasn't toed the rubber. It's not like Frank Menechino - the Mouse, you may remember, didn't just step out of the box between pitches - he stepped right off the dirt cutout, and regularly wandered halfway to the on-deck circle.

The Blue Jay who messes around less than anyone is Russ Adams. He settles his back (left) foot in at the back of the batter's box, and will leave it there for multiple pitches. He may step back with his other foot, but his left foot stays in place - not for the whole at bat, but generally for two to three pitches, at which point he feels compelled to kick the spot a few times before settling in again. (By the way, Russ had a nice game yesterday with a walk and a double, and a quality at bat even though he struck out. He made two very fine double play turns, with runners bearing down on him. It's about bloody time, is all we can say at this point.)

Alex Rios and Troy Glaus are both pretty brisk and business-like in the box as well - they don't step out much, they don't wander, they're ready to hit. Alex went for a few walks on Saturday, but that was during the awful at bat where he lined pitches off both feet...

And Vernon Wells is by far the most animated man in the batter's box. He stretches, he plays with the bat, he checks his swing and takes a few steps towards the pitcher, he yaks it up with Varitek... he's fun to watch.



Speaking of Vernon - the three runs he drove in gave him 500 in his fairly brief career, all of which has been spent with the Blue Jays. Wells is now cracking into the franchise all-time leader boards - he stands 9th in runs scored, hits, and doubles, and he's moved all the way up to 6th in home runs (this year, he passed Upshaw, Sprague, Gruber, Green, Cruz, McGriff, and Whitt.) He is the 8th man to drive in 500 runs in a Toronto uniform, and if he's still with us next year he's certain to go by Ernie Whitt and Jesse Barfield, and maybe take a run at Tony Fernandez (613 RBI as a Blue Jay.)

Needless to say, none of the other current hitters are anywhere in sight - Reed Johnson and Frank Catalanotto are both lurking in the high 20s in categories like games and hits... Reed Johnson, however, has now been hit by a pitch more often than any Toronto Blue Jay (69 times) except Carlos Delgado (122 times). Maybe that tripod does irritate the pitchers...

As for the pitchers... Roy Halladay started the year 5th in franchise wins, and that's where he stays. He needs 12 wins to catch Pat Hentgen, and 21 to catch Jimmy Key. Dave Stieb is still 80 victories away. He also didn't move by anyone on the strikeouts leader board - he's still in sixth place, although he just needs to fan two more hitters to catch Jimmy Key. Doc passed the immortal Jesse Jefferson to take over 8th spot all-time in Complete Games, but remains stuck on 8 career shutouts, fifth place overall, one behind Pat Hentgen. His 220 IP this season moved him past Stottlemyre, Wells, and Guzman into fifth place on the franchise leader board, and he slipped past Stottlemyre to claim sixth place in Games Started.

And B.J. Ryan needs one more save to tie Miguel Batista for sixth place in franchise history. That was quick...

Still a few things to settle this week. Detroit and Minnesota have to figure out who wins the division, and who's going to Yankee Stadium. Both teams are at home all week, and Minnesota is the best home team in the major leagues. Both teams have the Kansas City Royals coming to town. The Twins also have an extra game to play, and it's also against Kansas City. The Tigers have three games with Toronto, who are playing to finish second; the Twins have three games with the White Sox, who probably want to get it over with and go home. Detroit does have a one-game cushion.

The three NL contenders are all on the road. The Padres hold a narrow lead atop the NL West, and they're visiting St Louis and Arizona, neither of whom have much to play for. Philadelphia has one game with Houston before they visit Washington and Florida; the Dodgers have to go to Colorado and San Francisco. I think this is not coming together to do the Dodgers any favours. And if Philadelphia does end up with the Wild Card, I promise you that Ryan Howard will be the NL MVP this year.
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js_magloire - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 08:24 AM EDT (#155935) #
Second place would be really nice for the Jays: a bit of extra cash, more credibility, seeing a different pecking order in the AL East for 10 years, and the best finish for the Jays since the World Series. Even if they were injured, this is no sure thing. They finish off with 2 with Tampa and 3 with Baltimore, while we see Detroit and New York on the road. Nonetheless, hopefully the teams are resting up a bit for the playoffs, and the Jays look like the team of the first half as of late, what with the scoring runs and all. This game today against the Red Sox could be very important, but it doen't help the Jays that the Tigers may want to not face the Yanks in the first round, and that the last slated pitchers are: Marcum, McGowan, Lilly, Burnett, Chacin, Marcum, Mcgowan.

NL MVP will be Howard as I said a while back and was chastised. AL MVP I sure hope goes to the Canadian Kid and not the undeserving Derek Jeter just "because its his time." He's on a team full of superstars and Morneau meant far more to his team. The NL Cy young is a toss up between Carpenter and Webb. The last start could be the difference, but I have my money on Webb.
js_magloire - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 08:33 AM EDT (#155937) #
This article implies Loretta and Alex Gonzalez will be gone next year for the Red Sox. I'd like to pick one of them up, preferably Loretta, if he costs the $4 million he suggests.


Mike Green - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 09:25 AM EDT (#155938) #
The article does not suggest that Gonzalez and Loretta will be gone from the Sox.  Rather, the writer is giving his opinion.  They are both free agents at the end of the season; it is a very good bet that at least one will not be with the Sox in 2007.
Pistol - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 09:44 AM EDT (#155940) #
I imagine it's very likely that the Jays will go after that type of player though.  A veteran middle infielder who'll be solid and predictable and cost in the $3-4 million range.  This is probably the spot on the team that can get the biggest upgrade, relative to the cost (and perhaps without regard to cost).
Pistol - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 03:11 PM EDT (#155957) #

Rios prior to the staph infection:  .330/.391/.585 - .976 OPS (270 ABs)

Rios in July & August after returning:  .200/.248/.273 - .521 OPS (110 ABs)

Rios in September:  .359/.405/.641 - 1.046 OPS (39 ABs)

Mike Green - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 03:25 PM EDT (#155958) #
A conservative projection for Rios at this point would be .300/.350/.470. I am hoping that the organization talks with him about a long-term contract after this season. 
Ryan Day - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 04:43 PM EDT (#155964) #

 What I find interesting about Rios' September line is that he put up that .641 SLG without hitting any home runs -- the 7 doubles and 2 triples balance out nicely, I suppose.

  Anyway, it's nice to have a bit more evidence in favour of Alex Rios 2007 being productive outfielder.

Kieran - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 09:15 PM EDT (#155969) #
A conservative projection for Rios at this point would be .300/.350/.470. I am hoping that the organization talks with him about a long-term contract after this season.

Do they need to give him a long term contract yet? He's three years away from free agency still and not totally proven? Why not wait another year at least? Enjoy his services on the cheap (a necessity for a mid-range payroll) and get a better idea of his talent?

Mike Green - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 09:25 PM EDT (#155971) #
They don't need to, but often a mutually beneficial deal can be worked out which provides a player with security and the team with some long-term cost savings which will allow them to keep the player through several years of free agency. 

I still don't know whether Rios will be a great player over his prime, but I am pretty sure that he will be a good one.

Magpie - Monday, September 25 2006 @ 10:17 PM EDT (#155973) #
He's on a team full of superstars

Which amounts to penalizing Derek Jeter because Tony Batista sucks. Which is not an argument that is going to convince me.

I think Jeter, Santana, and Mauer would all be worthy selections; and seeing as how Jeter was robbed of the 1999 award, for reasons that surpasseth my understanding, I'm cool with a makeup award.

I mean, who really cares anyway?
VBF - Tuesday, September 26 2006 @ 12:11 AM EDT (#155977) #

Looking back on tonight, this organization has really come a long way the last four or so years.

Looking back on all those empty Domes at games, bloated payrolls, crappy teams, and a stadium on the verge of falling apart, I have no choice but to tip my hat to the current administration.The Interbrew years are long gone, and the team is in it's best shape in a very long time.

Tonight, with a vocal 40,000 at the RC (more like 35k, but I'm not counting) we all witnessed an organization that has made significant strides and it's an awesome time to be a Jays fan. This team sure had some low moments, but after hearing the ship horn to end the game, while playoff hopes may be over, the ship definitely hasn't sunk. Standing ovation to management and coaching staff and the fans. 2.3 million strong.

The players were awesome. Worked hard and played hard the whole season. The bad eggs have been crushed, but this team was a joy to watch and the type of players you could converse with. A huge assortment of personalities was fun to see. I'm definitely going to miss Bengie Molina though. He may have played for some of the best fans in baseball, but he was definitely touched by some of the fans here, that's for sure.

Best part of the night was Vernon's comments on TSN.

"I see no reason why I won't be back next year. Hopefully the front office can improve the team and  we should be able to build on this year."

 

Magpie - Tuesday, September 26 2006 @ 12:32 AM EDT (#155981) #
this organization has really come a long way the last four or so years.

Now that you mention it...

2002 - 1,636,904
2003 - 1,799,458
2004 - 1,900,041
2005 - 2,014,987
2006 - 2,302,212

Tonight was the 35th time in 81 home dates (and ninth in a row) that more than 30,000 people came to the ball park - in 2005, the Jays got 30,000 people to show up  only 13 times.
Mike Green - Tuesday, September 26 2006 @ 03:10 PM EDT (#156023) #
Whenever one looks at splits, the possibility of extraneous factors being important is always there.  The Jays hit 25% more homers than their opponents at home and 12% fewer on the road.  Teams generally hit a little better at home than on the road, but the difference is usually not this extreme.  Quality of starting pitching faced at home and on the road can affect the results in a particular season.
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