The big news of the day out of Dallas today concerns next year's World Baseball Championship. Many of the game's great players, Bonds, Pujols, A-Rod, Delgado, have indicated that they will go. The games will be played at interesting venues, such as Hiram Bithorn in Puerto Rico and Cracker Jack stadium at Disney World. Why do I keep thinking about the Anaheim Mighty Ducks? What do you think, Bauxites?
The big news of the day out of Dallas today concerns next year's World Baseball Championship. Many of the game's great players, Bonds, Pujols, A-Rod, Delgado, have indicated that they will go. The games will be played at interesting venues, such as Hiram Bithorn in Puerto Rico and Cracker Jack stadium at Disney World. Why do I keep thinking about the Anaheim Mighty Ducks? What do you think, Bauxites?
Announcing AJ Burnett is a Jay (still looking for a secondary source) seems to have killed the thread.
I'm ready to explode with joy. I've been big on AJ ever since the Fish were shopping him around before the trade deadline.
This signing would be huge for the franchise.
As for the world baseball classic I saw on sportsnet news BJ Ryan will be on team usa. I thought the jays were not permitting him to play. Or were they just joking? I really don't like the idea of him or Halladay playing because of injury risk. I'm really not high on this tournament. Sure it might be fun, but I'd much rather cheer for the blue jays regardless of where they are from then team Canada any day.
Firefox is the safe, fast, and simple web browser that I know you'll love. If you've installed Firefox, upgrade to 1.5! And if you haven't, what are you waiting for?
- JP has twice delayed his press briefing. It's now scheduled for 6pm
- Thinks AJ still might go to the Cards. They won't budge from their 4 year offer. If he wants to a longer contract with more dollars he will sign with the Jays
- JP has spoken twice to Sanders's agent. He wants a contract longer than one year.
- Nat might be intereted in a Wilkerson for Batista trade.
- Threw out the usual names for bats i.e. Mench and Overbay
Mariners miss out on coveted free agent pitcher
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/baseball/250852_mari05ww.html
Says AJ likely to Jays for 5/50-55M
I'd love to get Wilkerson - high OBP, some pop, plays 4 positions, lots of speeed and range. His power numbers were really hurt by RFK last year.
I think Batista would be great in Washington.
If the Jays can then flip Batista for Wilkerson and sign Sanders they'll have a much more solid line-up with Cat and Rios either up for trade or off the bench.
Another interesting topic discussed on Prime Time Sports was signing Burnett and then trying to get Zito from Oakland. I'm not sure if those numbers would work but if it happens, man, the Jays would have as good of a pitching staff as anyone in baseball.
The only benefit to trading a lot for Zito would be if you can extend him a contract beyond this year. As we've seen, getting anyone to sign a reasonable contract in Toronto has proven exceedingly difficult.
But until we have it made official, I'm not getting my hopes up too high... things could change fast...
Will check back here all night until something is final...
Spending assets on Zito makes little sense if you get Burnett, you still need some bats. I don't see anyway to get Zito and a bat or two.
Bob McCowan (our only Toronto source right now) is saying the deal is done, but I am inclined to go by a written, reliable source for the moment, and by all accounts the deal is not done.
I don't like the five years, but if it happens, is it the biggest Jays offseason ever?
Biggest off-season was 15 years ago - Fernandez and McGriff for Alomar and Carter.
I doubt December 5, 2005 will live up to December 5, 1990 as far as Blue Jay acquisitions are concerned.
I love BJ Ryan, but I'm not thrilled about Burnett. They didn't need him in the rotation as much as they needed a bat -- what's worse, Gustavo Chacin and Josh Towers as the #2 and #3 starters or Corey Koskie and Shea Hillenbrand as the #4 and #5 hitters?
Still, even if they sign A.J, this year's Dec 5th still doesn't beat 05/12/90. I mean, come on, not only did they get Alomar and Carter, but they signed PAT TABLER too....and he's never left! (Unfortunatly, some TV fans might say....whatever happened to Joe Carter with Sportsnet?)
I'd rank 1992 as the biggest with Dave Winfield and Jack Morris being signed. Morris was coming off an 18 win season (124 ERA+) and a game 7 win in the WS (10 shutout IP). Winfield had 28 HR and 86 RBI - 262/326/472 in an era when no one in the AL slugged 600.
1993 is right there too with Paul Molitor (320/389/461) and Dave Stewart (2 years removed from his 4 20 win season streak, '92 was a 103 ERA+ season).
AJ's 117 ERA+, BJ with his 170 ERA+ and 36 saves are darn good and I'm happy to have them. Plus, unlike the two WS years they are actually in their prime. Still, neither are HOF locks unlike Winfield & Molitor, nor are they near HOF like Morris or multi-all-star level like Stewart (although he only made one AS team strangely enough).
1991's offseason was the best though, with THE TRADE and the White for Felix trade.
This offseason is getting more interesting by the minute
Hmmm...there's something wrong with this.
It's very hard to aquire proven 30+ HR's bats that are still in their prime.
I wonder if JP has any interest in Sean Casey. He had a big season in 04 (.324/.381/.534) but slipped last season (.312/.371/.423). He can hit both LHP and RHP, and his road numbers were better than his home numbers last season. I believe he has one year left on his deal at 8.5 mil.
I expect the Reds would ask for young pitching.
It figured that someone would want him, and it's not much of a surprise that it's J.P.'s old boss. The A's probably won't have room for Gaudin at the start of next year, but he'll be an option in middle relief or maybe at the bottom of the rotation later on.
And there goes Chad to Billy B, colour me a little disappointed on this one.
Athletics acquired RHP Chad Gaudin from the Toronto Blue Jays for a player to be named.
It figured that someone would want him, and it's not much of a surprise that it's J.P.'s old boss. The A's probably won't have room for Gaudin at the start of next year, but he'll be an option in middle relief or maybe at the bottom of the rotation later on.
Nah, probably not.
But the Prime Time crew were talking about going for the pitching trifecta by getting Zito from Billy and worrying about hitting later. I have to say, much as we need a bat or two, I love that idea.
Not funny, mind you, but sensicle.
That should leave the Jays with one open spot ..... and we all know who that could be.
Ah, no... they are both left handed hitters.
I am not sure of his arm, maybe Wilkerson could play right in a platoon with Rios? Rios would play against lefties and come in for defence late in games - a la Reed Johnson. Might be good way for Rios to get back in a groove.
If you got Wilkerson you likely still need a right handed power bat for DH or 1B to platoon with Hinske. If the Jays could pick up a lefty masher after Wilkerson - they might be all set:
LF Cat/ Reed
CF Wells
RF Wilkerson/ Rios
3B Koskie
SS Adams/ MacDonald (not sure he counts as a bat)
2B Hudson/ MacDonald
1B Hinske/ Lefty Masher
DH Hillenbrand
C Zaun/ GQ
Looks great - good flexibility - depth - and some decent platoons - except Hill is on the Farm and there are 14 position players on the roster - not sure the Jays will have a 11 man pitching staff - but they could:
Halladay
Burnett
Lilly
Chacin
Towers
Ryan
Speier
Fraser
Chulk
SS Loogy
Downs or Walker or Bush (long man)
Makes you wish Canada was a colonial power.
Gaudin would have only been on available for the Rule 5 draft if no one claimed him on waivers first.
Will Buck Martinez try to get Barry Bonds to bunt at the WBC?
There are no power bats available, to me this would be a good investment/risk. We wouldn't be 'overpaying' terribly (considering inflation, and how the contract might be structured)), although by 1 year arguably, and if not on AJ then we would end up either sitting on the money or spending on a few bit parts instead as there is not a whole lot else available (and no comparable hitter now that Giles is gone) that could help us once AJ is off the table. This is the biggest improvement we could make, as our trading chips would not land us anyone who could make nearly as big of an impact as Burnett would (but they can acquire bats comparable, if not better to those available in the FA market). The way I see it, the only way one still views this as a bad move is if they are totally down on AJ and his prospects in the future.
Gents,
I have not had the opportunity to watch Jesse Crain pitch - what I know of him is purely stats-based. What kind of pitcher is he? How does he manage to get people out? (Very low k rate.)
Cheers
* Jesse Crain: Good two-seam fastball, which he uses to coax grounders ... Throws a four-seam fastball in the low 90s that he locates well, usually just off the plate away ... Needs to work on the corners and off the plate, because his stuff isn't dominant ... Throws the curve with two strikes, but seldom earlier in the count ...
You can browse through the Advance Scout columns for yourself by using the "TOPICS" tab on the left-hand margin here at Batter's Box.
Here's the latest from Rosenthal:
*** The Blue Jays have increased their offer to free-agent right-hander A.J. Burnett, putting the ball squarely in the Cardinals' court. Toronto's deal is believed to be for five years and somewhere in the $52.5-to-55 million range. That's up from five years, $50 million. There are still additional details of the deal that would need to be negotiated, (i.e. perks, structure). St. Louis has reportedly offered Burnett a four-year deal worth $40 million. The Rangers and Nationals remain on the fringes of the Burnett sweepstakes.
http://stlcardinals.scout.com/2/474652.html
Scout writer for St. Louis mentioned that Cards ownership has authorized Jocketty to go five years on Burnett.
This kid must have some special powers to have an organization overhaul its rules for him.
I believe JP is talking with the Jays reporters right now.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2248966
Seems to me that AJ wants to give the Cards every opportunity possible.
"Blue Jays general manager J.P. Ricciardi told reporters that no further discussions were scheduled for Monday night or Tuesday morning. He also said the Blue Jays haven't established a deadline for Burnett to say yes.
"We want a resolution just so we can move forward," Ricciardi said. "But we've gone this far. Another few days won't hurt."
Ricciardi said he's not frustrated that Toronto has been unable to wrap up Burnett even with a five-year contract offer"
Burnett pre-TJ surgery:
12-9
3.30
204.3 IP
153 H
12 HR
90 BB
203 SO
Burnett post-TJ surgery:
Year 1:
7-6
3.68
120.0 IP
102 H
9 HR
38 BB
113 SO
year 2:
12-12
3.44
209.0 IP
184 H
12 HR
79 BB
198 SO
What do I intend to show with these numbers? Simple. Something that might shock and discredit you.
I'm not wearing a tie at all! [/simpsons]
Ok, ok, in all seriousness, AJ has recovered from TJ. He's back and in original form. He has been set back a couple of years, so he still has a year or two to perfect his mechanics and his pitches. I especially like that his walk count is down from his pre-TJ year in more innings, showing that his control is ever-so-slightly improving. Also, yes, he was in a pitcher's park. But AJ gets a lot of ground balls. And what does the Toronto defense like? Oh yeah.
Unless someone has hacked some computers are posted his medical records on the Internet that shows he actually has a structural bone disease, I don't see what the huge fuss is about injury. I think it is likely he could serve the Jays for five years. Plus he will give us a world of depth which is what we need. A starting rotation of Halladay, Burnett, Lilly, Chacin, and Towers is going to give other teams no breathing room at all. And it's even possible that we could have every starter posting a sub-4.00 ERA.
I'm excited about this coming year.
How do ya figure?
but you get the idea
However, if we can sign him for no more than 5/55 *and* we can move Batista for Wilkerson or trade 2 of Chacin/Bush/Lilly/Batista/Frasor for Bobby Abreu than I will forgive JP. Not only will I forgive him, I think I might actually develop an unhealthy man love for him ;-).
I'm not too big on the Burnett signing either, but I don't see how this signing (if it happens) leads to the Jays signing Hinske and Koskie to 3-year extensions each.
Let's keep in mind that we don't know what the budget will look like going forward or what trades will bring. All the pieces are not in place yet. But I agree, the offense probably won't have enough juice. Then again, the White Sox didn't score a ton of runs this year either.
I'm still holding off on all this for the most part though. I still think AJ's going to St. Louis. We'll see.
Don't you guys realize that by blowing his wad on AJ and BJ, JP takes himself out of the running for next years FA market? How exactly are we ever going to get a big hitter when we're spending HALF our payroll on AJ, BJ, and Roy (sounds like a Jobu sitcom...)
I can just see next years free agency. Some awesome hitter will be available to sign, and the best the Jays can offer him is 7M/year because they have too much money going to Burnett and Ryan. I could live with this if Burnett was an ace, but he's NOT. No matter how much you want to spin it. This is a guy that has never been otherworldly in his career. He is not Roy Halladay or Pedro Martinez. His career ERA is 3.78. That's pitching his whole career in the NL in a pitcher's park.
I really just do not like this at all. Hopefully St. Louis offers a 7 year deal or something absurd.
Either way, until JP or Derek Braunecker (who I'm beginning to dislike greatly, and I have a feeling JP feels the same way) tells someone its a done deal with the Jays, I'll remain skeptical.
I think this will come down to the St. Louis Cardinals values: are they willing to bend all the rules by TWO years to get Burnett?
MY GUESS (just intuition) is that their final offer will be somewhere higher than 4/40 (perhaps 4/42?) and a very easily vested fifth year. Burnett will say yes to that.
I hope I'm wrong...
Batista & Chacin & Rios for Abreu? Is that reasonable?
Here's a thought on Batista-Wilkerson: if Bowden won't bite, add Russ Adams to the deal. I know JP would be loathe to deal his first-ever draft pick, but Hill is a better player and the Nats could desperately use a shortstop.
Next year? You mean when the Jays will no longer be paying at least several, if not all, of Hillenbrand, Catalanotto, Batista, Speier, Schoenweis and Lily?
And besides, there was an awesome hitter on the market this year, and by all accounts the Jays offered him a better deal than anyone else. He still signed somewhere else.
ESPN screwed up as well tonight
Foxsports.com and insidethedome.com are the most reliable.
Right after the gammons report came out (stupid idiot) insidethedome said itis a premature report.
My guts tell me that Ricciardi has put his best offer on the table and booked out today. Hence his comments that there is no drop dead date.
I think it is a clear message to his agent. "We like your client, give us a call if you think he wants to play for the Jays, but make no mistake, thats our best offer."
Seriously, I've never been more annoyed by a free agent courting before, and we're not even talking about Roy Halladay type talent. This is AJ "I can't even outpitch Josh Towers in my best season" Burnett!
End the madness, AJ.
The problem is that all of those players would need to be replaced. These are my estimates for those players' salaries. Correct me if I'm wrong:
Hillenbrand: 3M
Catalanotto: 3M
Batista: 6M
Speier: 2M
Schoe: 2M
Lilly: 3M
Total: 19M. So you may think...wow! That gives us 19M to play with. That should be enough to acquire a slugger! But we'd need to get more than a slugger. That 19M would have to go towards replacing Speier, Shoeneweis, Lilly, Catalanotto and Hillenbrand. The slugger would probably only replace Hillenbrand. So realisticly, once you've filled all the other holes you only have like 10M that you can offer the slugger.
Sidenote: I want a baseball player to legally change his name to "THE SLUGGER." That would be kind of awesome. Kind of like Ultimare Warrior, except he has issues.
Does anyone here who is familar with the Rogers Centre have a better description for what the renovations to Rogers Centre are going to look like?
Here's the link
http://toronto.bluejays.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/news/article.jsp?ymd=20051116&content_id=1268951&vkey=news_tor&fext=.jsp&c_id=tor
I just don't understand what they are talking about doing. I've only been to SkyDome/Rogers Centre once before so I can't visualize it.
Thanks
What a contrast to BJ Ryan, who visited Toronto, openly stated how impressed he was, checked out a few other options, then cut a deal a couple of weeks later.
http://tinyurl.com/dpa8t
http://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=2005112722563997
Also, if there is one thing the Jays are not going to need to pay for additionally during the next 3/4 seasons, its bullpen help. The rotation is going to be pretty set too - Towers/Chacin/Burnett/Roy, and then guys like Jackson, Purcey, McGowan, heck Downs
haha, exactly.
You don't think Chacin/Batista/Frasor/Adams and a couple minor league pitching prospects gets a big bat!? If I needed pitching like the Rangers and Phillies do, I'd do that trade for Blalock or Abreu.
If they can sign Burnett for 5 years $55 million, I will be elated. Only about $50.00 of that money is mine anyways(Roger's movie rental late fees).
If by "a week" you mean "less than an hour" then I guess you're right. And quite impatient. :)
Wilkerson OPS 2002-04: .839 / .844 / .872
Hinske OPS 2002-04: .846 / .766 / .687
Wilkerson is also a good defender. There is no comparison between the two. They've both been in the bigs for 4 years and in that time Wilkerson has had 3 good years and 1 bad one, while Hinske has had 1 good year (his first) and 3 bad ones. Wilkerson would be a significant upgrade over Rios.
I think his blog is for the material that doesn't fit into his columns, and he's been averaging what, a couple of columns a day? It's fairly interchangeable, though his funny asides in his blog (and in Blair On Baseball, which I think has been replaced until baseball returns with Duhatschek On Hockey) are a lot of fun. His straight-up reporting is fine, but I love his opinion stuff. As I'm sure I mention at least once a week.
Also, it's funny what happens on Mondays when I'm away from all media for like ten straight hours.
I apologize for not doing my homework better, but I didn't because the exact numbers weren't relevant to my point. My point being that any players you lose have to be replaced.
I understand that some of them can be replaced internally, but a lot of them won't be. Not a very high percentage of prospects actually produce the way you want them to, unfortunately. I just don't like giving up so much of our flexibility to a guy that really won't improve the club substantially (in my opinion.)
It's tough deciphering which news is new.
If the Cradinals have just offered Burnett the 48 million/4 year contract AFTER that article was written, that really puts the Jays chances at a low.
Any link on this?
Because this recent Rosenthal article http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/5141070 indicates that these numbers are hardly concrete
"There are indications that the Cardinals might be willing to go to five years, or they could counter by offering a higher average salary on a shorter term — say, $48 million over four years."
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2248966
"When you get involved with this, you know it's a long process," said Blue Jays general manager J.P. Ricciardi, who was thought to be closing in Monday on a five-year, $55 million contract with the free agent right-hander. "It's no slam dunk. Everybody wants things to happen fast. Sometimes it just doesn't go at the pace you want it to go at."
"We want a resolution just so we can move forward," Ricciardi said. "But we've gone this far. Another few days won't hurt."
This is such a joke! It's making me so angry/frustrated. I feel so used
Withdraw your offer J.P.!
If the Cradinals have just offered Burnett the 48 million/4 year contract AFTER that article was written, that really puts the Jays chances at a low.
Why? The Jays offer is $7M more gauranteed. I don't see how anyone could walk away from seven million dollars.
http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/
The only thing I agree with is this whole thing seems amateurish - I don't know who is to blame for that (AJ's agent?)
He basically said that even if the 5th year isn't guaranteed, a general increase per year could very well be sufficient in prying Burnett from the Jays.
But in all fairness, this tiring saga is really testing my patience and trust with the media. so I have no idea who is right.
Or does AJ's agent just look remarkably like JP?
Agreed. I'm going to bed. This Burnett thing has wasted too much of my time. It's wasted even more of J.P.'s!
Where are they "slaming" (sic) JP?
This is not the time for the faint of heart.
As mentioned above, my view is Ricciardi has it all on the table now - with the exception of moving dollars around - and has walked away from the table.
Thats the art of the deal. If Burnett bites then fine, if he walks thats fine too.
Relax.
Actually, that's completely untrue.
Looking at the 2007 roster and payroll, if we assume all current players returning who are under contract EXCEPT free agents (Lily, Schoe, Speier, Cat Batista, Zaun)...
and we resign Zaun....
and have at some point traded Hudson...
and make reasonable guesses about the pre-arbitration contracts and the deals with arbitration eligable Reed Johnson and John McDonald...
We can confidently project that with Burnett making 9 million in the first year of this deal we'd have a commitment of about $60 million so far for 2007.
Now obviously if we add Wilkerson or some other available hitter that goes up some, but we are not really close to tapped out for 2007.
And after that, in 2008, you have Hinske and Koskie's combined $11 million plus coming off the books - more than enough to resign Doc and Vernon (assuming you want to resign Vernon) - that's assuming the payroll remains at least $80 million per.
It seems unlikely that Rogers would authorize 5 year deals if that wasn't going to be the case, and it could even conceivably go UP after 2007.
Long story short, these two deals do not AT ALL tie our hands next offseason. And JP would have to have a pretty impressive rest of the off-season (read: acquire Adam Dunn or another expensive slugger) to even make the situation in any remote doubt.
By the way, since you brought it up, the only player who's a break-the-bank sort of hitter coming up next winter is Derek Lee. Not counting guys with options which are likely to be picked up.
I feel confident in saying that nothing done so far this winter would stay JP's hand from paying the price to sign Lee....and reasonably confident in saying he'll never make it to Free agency before the Cubs pony up to keep him.
This evening it was a sure thing he was a Jay
At one point the deal was set to be sealed "sometime tonight". Then it was "in the next hour". Now it's "in the next few days... these things take time."
I mean really, what the ****?
I've been in the position of being the recipient of inside information. I know that in the world of sports, things change. What was a sure thing one day can quickly fall apart the next. I sympathize with journalists because fans often perceive this as proof of a reporter's lack of credibility, when if they knew the reality of the sports world they'd know this is just how things work. But for so many shifts (and not just shifts, but *extreme* shifts) to take place in one day suggests that something more is going on here. It's obvious both sides are being jerked around.
It's obvious from JP's comments that he's fed up. It's apparent from what's being said here and on some of the Card sites that the fans are fed up. According to Blair, a lot of the press is fed up. It seems like this guy has pissed off a lot of people and his reputation may never be the same.
If we don't get AJ I'd plunk him after this fiasco.
If we do get him I'll forget it all very quickly.
We might just need Larry Bertuzzi to decide who gets this chump by the end.
It looks like the deal the Jays offered which is five years guaranteed and worth up to $55 million is the last offer they are going to make.
That comment was on the basis of Rosenthal's comments with Jamie Campbell
Ken "Astros in 7" Rosental. That is all ye need to know.
As someone intimately familiar with Rogers Centre, it's hard for me to picture what's hard for you to picture about it. But I'll try to explain anyways.
First: the concourse the indoor area where you walk around to get to your seats and where you buy hot dogs and flags and whatever else. Right now it's kind of ugly: dim, all concrete, dull, boring. And crowded. So the plan is to remove the three rows of seats that are furthest from the field on the lower level and then extend the concourse out to where those seats were. Those seats weren't great anyways because the second level hung overtop of them and made it hard to see fly balls or the big screen.
Second: the second deck. This is the "club level", the fancy seats on the deck between the field level and the cheap seats. They're higher up, but have a good view because of the overhang. The actual seats were more comfortable because they were padded and spaced out a bit more, and the concessions were laid out like a bar and restaurant instead of little stands. Apparently they're going to reduce the number of seats on this level, make the restaurant better (and add a buffet), and overall make it more "exclusive", whatever that means. I've always enjoyed the occasional trip to the 200 level, and now it sounds like it'll be even fancier.
Third: some of the box seats are being torn out and turned into fewer, larger, more luxurious boxes, for hosting larger parties.
Hope that helps. If not, ask me specific questions and I'll answer as specifically as I can.
When you're talking this much money, I don't think that's a consideration any more.
People believe that AJ just wanted to get in the Jays' pants.
I disagree. I think he was serious about playing here on account of the Arnsberg factor (which is clearly not as strong was we thought) and if that seriousness was lost, it may have been in the last couple days, just to squeeze the extra 5 million from the Cards which I have less of a problem with.
I can't believe I missed that :)
Blair makes a good point about how everyone, not just the Cards and Jays, are waiting on Burnett's decision, because a lot of dominoes will fall once he makes up his mind. I get the feeling the Jays have a deal or two already set to go no matter what the result is.
I very much like the line JP seems to have set down with Braunecker: here is our final offer, and you're not getting a penny more or a day longer. We'd love to have you, but at this point, whether you want to sign with us on those terms is entirely up to you. This offer is open, but it is not open indefinitely.
Braunecker can't afford to overplay his hand -- this is his first big agent and this could make his career. But Burnett may genuinely be having trouble deciding. The Cardinals are his boyhood team, they've just been to the Series, and they're one hell of an attractive franchise to play for. But the Jays are offering more money, they're clearly a team on the rapid rise, and his favourite pitching coach in the world works for them. If I were Burnett, I'd be having a hard time deciding too. I wonder if he looks at his former rotation mate Carl Pavano, who took the highest bid to play in New York and had a miserable year; Pavano's agent was in the exact same position as Braunecker this time last year, and Pavano eventually fired that agent. So, aggravating as this is for fans and teams, I also can't really blame Burnett for taking all his available time to make the biggest decision of his career.
Put me down as supporting a possible acquisition of Brad Wilkerson; he's been one of my favourites since I saw him play a fearless left field for the Ottawa Lynx. He'll never come close to hitting .300 and he whiffs a ton, but he has legitimate power (20-30 HRs, 35-40 doubles) and a very solid batting eye (80-100 walks). He's Adam Dunn Lite, and both expectations and the cost to acquire him ought to be tempered accordingly.
Abreu is of course an elite player, but the cost in both young talent and salary it would take to get him means this is probably not a route the Jays ought to pursue at this time.
Blair's blog entry is brilliant -- I get the feeling he'd be a terrific guy to sit and watch a game with over a few beers: indightful and entertaining. Looking forward to tomorrow -- this is great fun.
Even if AJ spurns the Jays, he won't get less than 40 mil. And according to my calculation, that means Braunecker will pocket at least 2 million for his work.
"Milton Bradley could be on his way to the A's for right-hander Kirk Saarloos and left-hander Mario Ramos.
Rumors are floating that it's a done deal. The A's official site says only that the team has offered Saarloos and another player to the Dodgers for Bradley. If the A's get Bradley, they could play Nick Swisher at first base and use Dan Johnson as a DH. Another option would be to trade Jay Payton or Mark Kotsay and continue to pursue a designated hitter."
That's all it will take to get Bradley? Wow. Beane always finds a way to add the undervalued in a depressed market (assuming the report is true, of course).
A good article, and (surprisingly) its from CBS Sportsline. It's written by someone who understands how we Jays fans feel. Just a bit depressing.
Ken Rosenthal reported 25 minutes ago that Burnett is likely to accept the Jays offer. This is the _latest_ piece of news.
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/5141368
I'm sure everyone's in bed, so it'll be a nice/horrible thing to wake up to.
AJ is not only a big upgrade in the pitching BUT his addition frees up Batista and maybe Lilly to be traded for bats...REMEMBER Batista would cost $4.75 Mill and Lilly earned $3.1 Mill in 05 and is eligible for arbitration this year SO that is about $8 Mill we could put towards bats.
Halliday, AJ, Towers, Chacin and Bush/McGowan I can live with.
I LOVE living on the west coast. I'm up when this type of stuff goes down!! It's only 10.18 here!
When you're talking this much money, I don't think that's a consideration any more.
Really, what is the difference between 40 million dollars and 55 million dollars? Both are more than I could ever spend in a lifetime.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2248966
His music is "Beautiful People" by Marilyn Manson.
An hour ago, the Cards and AJ were in late night talks and then were said to be packing it in for the night in preperation of what was expected to be at least a couple more days of negotiation. Now all of a sudden the Jays have been in late night talks with AJ ironing out details for the last few hours under the belief that this would be over by dawn?
Someone, somewhere, got it horribly wrong. That, or we're being lied to.
However, I'm very skeptical that AJ is the guy who is going to help this pitching staff jump to the next level. to sum up the argument that AJ is not a 1A guy, here is Mike Green. Mike:
"Burnett strikes out more than a batter more per game in Miami than on the road. His career G/F ratio is nothing like 2.3/1. In the Rogers Centre, he'd strike out 7 per game, walk 3.5 per game, and give up a homer every game or so. That's better than Ted Lilly but not by that much. The park and league adjustments are why Burnett's WARP1 is about equivalent to Chacin's and Towers. It is also why Carl Pavano looked so good in Florida and not so good in New York."
But that said, if AJ and Towers end up with similar contributions, AJ will seem cooler doing it.
On the bright side, the term BBatista is now less likely to not be in regular use this upcoming year.
The Jays had a reputation to rebuild and their payroll is far from the highest in baseball. But somehow we signed 2 of the biggest 5-7 free agents. And as a result, the Jays have gained a bit of a glowing reputation around Major League Baseball.
And for the love of God Sportsnet, can you please change that outdated Campbell/Rosenthal interview.
But I have no idea what Chacin will do. His peripherals aren't very good and he was hit down the stretch. It could be the David Bush or someone else ends up being a better pitcher this year.
All Burnett does is give you a projectable starter which increases your margin for error in making other moves. The Jays weren't able to make their single biggest improvement move which would have been landing Giles. But having Burnett probably improves them marginally while giving them the flexibility to make a move that has a bigger impact elsewhere.
"... He wants to play for a winning franchise, not a losing one. It is career suicide to play above the border. ... I don't see the Blue Jays finishing above .500, they have no offense or defense, and wasted a big chunk of payroll on Ryan (who is he? a middle reliever, one hit wonder) so no quality FA will be added to fill the holes & bench. Toronto Org. is one of the worst in all of baseball. They don't invest in their young players, just greedy ownership fielding a below average team, and fooling their own fans..."
Truly hilarious stuff.
Imagine a world where there is no way AJ signs with Toronto. And if Toronto doesn't chase him he signs a 4/$36m deal with StL. If Toronto does chase him he ends up going with the 4/$42m StL deal. The latter case is better for Toronto as that is $6m dollars extra that StL spends and pushes up StL's budget in the competition for extra players. The only team that should be upset in that situation is StL.
The flaw in your argument is that if AJ goes to St. Louis for more money, then any pitchers subsequently targetted will use the higher AJ contract in their negotiations. The effect of making your competitor spend more will inevitably come back to harm you.
Michael, it isn't about getting used as a negotiation tactic. It is more about not being considered seriously as a possible destination.
It's certainly possible that what you get with Burnett is just a moderate improvement over Lilly, but that's the WORST CASE scenerio. The BEST CASE scenerio, and that's the $55 million gamble, is that he'll come into his own and dominate. He has the stuff to do it, Chacin and Towers don't, and that's why they're back of the rotation guys who will never start on opening day, unless it's with the Pirates. Burnett has the POTENTIAL to be an ace. If the Jays get him, I'll be happy.
Most fans won't know much about Ryan or Burnett other than the fact that they are high-profile and the Jays may possibly (by the morning) have snagged them both this off-season. I imagine that'll bring some fans to the park and help to build interest.
I just picked McGowan in the 7th round with the 106th overall pick. He was the first Jay picked, and the 37th pitcher selected overall.
I think it's a further testament to the fact that most baseball fans don't think much of the Jays as a franchise. The guys in this league seem quite knowledgeable, but yet there were some pitchers picked who are IMO inferior to McGowan.
A question for any of you hard core followers of the Jays minor league system. BA isn't out yet with the Jays top 10, but another site I was looking at has it Romero, McGowan, Purcey, Lind, League, Thigpen, Litsch, Jackson, Cheng, Griffin. I wonder what you guys think of this list, and if you feel Romero is actually a better long term prospect than McGowan.
Also, how long should I wait before picking some of the other guys on this list. Realistically, I figure most of them should fall within the top 400 that we are drafting.
Any input and/or insight greatly appreciated.
FWIW I have picked Marte, J.Guzman, E.Andrus (17 year old kid from Venezuela), Markakis, Tiffany, Kottaras (Canadian catcher), and McGowan so far.
Not that the link is really needed, Blair has a BBRRS of adamantium afterall. And he can finally get some sleep now.
Even though I think it's a bad decision, I have to smile at the fact that the BLUE JAYS landed the number one starting pitcher on the market.
So how about that. Hopefully he "puts it all together."
Time for poor Jeff Blair to get some sleep! Ken Rosenthal too, although I'm starting to think he's a cyborg.
I'd say that he has completed -- very successfully -- the first half of his GM's tasklist this winter. The other is to upgrade significantly two spots in the batting lineup. Obviously this will have to be by trade. This is where it gets tough, as we have to part with players we like if we want to get something valuable in return.
Another benefit of this deal is the escalating cost of pitching, especially cheap young pitching, a resource the jays have plenty of. I think the jays should have no problems adding a few bats, and I hope that beyond batista, lilly, bush, hillenbrand, frasor and speier they would be dangling chacin. I think he is likely to regress next year, and selling high is a virtue of good business. I get the feeling from reading newspapers that he is untouchable.
I would try to gauge abreu's cost first, and if too high( i.e. VW), acquire wilkerson and mench. Did anyone look at the star today -- a trade discussed by baker would send hudson, league, and batista for mench and gonzalez. No wonder the paper is losing any credibility it had.
My guess is Pete Walker. Other thoughts?
In other news, Jays fans will be disappointed that Ricciardi lost out on the obvious free-agent signing to follow AJ Burnett and BJ Ryan. CJ Nitkowski signed with Pittsburgh yesterday.
Can we end this ridiculous bashing of him yet?
Ken Rosenthal is a great baseball writer. One of only about three that I'll actually read.
Thanks, this answered my question. I wasn't sure if the Jays were just making it fancier or if they were making actual improvements in the fans viewing experience and there seem to be doing so.
Now it's been awhile since i've been to the SkyDome/Roger's Centre, so this might not be the case anymore, but perhaps it's time the Jays gave the fans some cup holders. They should also fix the seats so that they are all facing towards home plate. One thing I remember about my experience was having a stiff neck around the 7th inning.
Funny nobody follow on the world championship lead...
Some updates about Mexico (the key for Canada to pass to the finals).
The manager Paquin Estrada (with two caribbean series in his pocket) is a former catcher, very good to handle his bullpen (Scioscia style) has appointed his three starters for the first series: Loiaza, Oliver Perez and Rodrigo Lopez. To match (most likely in that order) USA, Canada and South Africa.
He requested four players that qualify for both USA and Mexico: Garciaparra, Erick Chavez, Horacio Ramirez and Eddie Guardado. Chavez and Guardado are in the US plans so were not granted. Garciaparra's father is very happy as his long life illusion was to see his son in a Mexican official team (he was groomed to be a soccer star) And Ramirez can be in line to pitch against Canada (as for the time of the year, pitchers will only handle four innings a piece)
Durazo won't be available and Vinny Castilla is unlikely (just operated a knee). Batting three and four will very likely be Garciaparra and Cantu and not that likely the DP combo as they may be playing first and third and have a couple of very good fielders/light hitting guys that we have plenty (Mendoza is mexican by the way and this days a good manager)
Closer will be Luis Ayala (Nationals) but for Canada, very likely, Ricardo Rincon.
Hope to see in your roster Larry Walker "The great".
regards
Good fielding/poor hitting middle infielders have often made fine managers. Mendoza defines the first group, and it gave me a good laugh to find out he's joined the second. Thanks very much for the update, Jabonoso.