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The Marlins have overtaken the Braves for first place in the NL East as the Braves struggled last week with the Red Sox and the surging Padres. The difference between first and last place is just 5.5 games - the tightest of any division in baseball - so it's still anyone's race.

Standings as of May 23rd:
EAST	        W	L	 PCT	GB	
Florida	        24	16	.600	-	
Atlanta	        24	19	.558	1.5	
Washington	24	20	.545	2.0	
NY Mets	        23	21	.523	3		
Philadelphia	21	24	.467	5.5		

Here's everybody's favorite chart! (ok, so it's probably just me)





In this installment of the NL East update we'll take a look around the infields of each of the teams. VORP is from Baseball Prospectus, and stats are through the games of May 21st.

Atlanta Braves
Overall Record: 24-19
Run Differential: +46
Record in last period: 4-8
NAME	        POS	 PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	VORP
Chipper Jones	3b	147	0.339	0.469	0.627	24.0
Marcus Giles	2b	153	0.284	0.340	0.418	 7.0
Adam Laroche	1b	133	0.261	0.331	0.496	 6.7
Wilson Betemit	3b	 39	0.312	0.436	0.562	 4.7
Pete Orr	2b	 57	0.315	0.351	0.481	 4.3
Julio Franco	1b	 72	0.239	0.292	0.328	-1.1
Rafael Furcal	ss	189	0.211	0.259	0.303	-2.0

Overall, the Braves infield is about where one would expect them. However, how they got there is a little unexpected. Chipper Jones has had a tremendous start after declining slightly each of the last three years. Wilson Betemit and Pete Orr have both chipped in nicely helping to overcome the awful start by Rafael Furcal.

Florida Marlins
Overall Record: 24-16
Run Differential: +49
Record in last period: 7-5
NAME	       POS	 PA	 AVG	 OBP	 SLG	VORP
Carlos Delgado	1b	167	0.312	0.395	0.535	17.5
Luis Castillo	2b	108	0.289	0.407	0.356	 6.8
Alex Gonzalez	ss	134	0.258	0.306	0.395	 5.9
Damion Easley	2b	 86	0.237	0.291	0.487	 4.4
Mike Lowell	3b	143	0.183	0.231	0.305	-7.2

Carlos Delgado has made a seemless transition to the National League. Luis Castillo has the most interesting line, with his OBP over 50 points higher than his slugging percentage. The dreadful start on this team belongs to Mike Lowell who is 5th from the bottom in all of baseball in VORP.

New York Mets
Overall Record: 23-21
Run Differential: +8
Record in last period: 6-6
NAME	        POS	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	VORP
David Wright	3b	162	0.283	0.389	0.522	14.5
Jose Reyes	ss	190	0.266	0.289	0.408	 8.0
D Mientkiewicz	1b	153	0.208	0.314	0.369	-0.9
Kazuo Matsui	2b	155	0.243	0.284	0.340	-1.0
Miguel Cairo	2b	63	0.228	0.270	0.351	-1.1

If Miguel Cabrera is the best young player in the division, David Wright is next in line. He's carrying the infield at the plate right now. Jose Reyes has been solid, and healthy, while the remainder of the infield has been at replacement level.

Philadelphia Phillies
Overall Record: 21-24 
Run Differential: -24
Record in last period: 7-6
NAME	       POS	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	VORP
Chase Utley	2b	119	0.287	0.345	0.546	 9.4
Jimmy Rollins	ss	195	0.236	0.287	0.346	 4.9
Placido Polanco	2b	129	0.267	0.341	0.345	 2.1
Tomas Perez	1b	54	0.300	0.352	0.340	 1.4
David Bell	3b	164	0.250	0.323	0.338	 0.1
Ryan Howard	1b	30	0.214	0.267	0.393	-0.4
Jim Thome	1b	102	0.205	0.343	0.301	-1.0

Chase Utley continues to make the case that he should play everyday as he leads the Phils infield in VORP while playing both 2B and 1B. The remainder of the infield has been a disappointment. Jim Thome returned to the lineup on Saturday after a DL stint with a back injury.

Washington Nationals
Overall Record: 24-20
Run Differential: -5
Record in last period: 7-6
NAME	        POS	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	VORP
Nick Johnson	1b	179	0.316	0.419	0.507	16.6
Vinny Castilla	3b	161	0.292	0.366	0.479	12.8
Jose Vidro	2b	115	0.290	0.365	0.510	 9.8
Jamey Carroll	2b	89	0.272	0.326	0.309	-0.7
Cristian Guzman	ss	155	0.192	0.232	0.247	-8.1

Nick Johnson's always had the talent, it's been a matter of staying on the field for him. So far, so good this year. Vinny Castilla continues to play like he was still at Coors field while Vidro was hitting well before heading to the DL. Christian Guzman looked like a bad signing this offseason, but not this bad. He's third from the bottom in all of baseball in VORP (A Boone, Olivo).

Wrap up:

In total here are how the five infields in the NL East stack up:

Team           VORP
Atlanta        43.6
Washington     30.4
Florida        27.4
New York       19.5
Philadelphia   16.5
Around the Horn | 4 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
Mike Green - Monday, May 23 2005 @ 04:45 PM EDT (#117479) #
Good division. The Phillies should get better, the Nationals worse, and a four team race, at least for awhile, seems likely to me.
Mick Doherty - Monday, May 23 2005 @ 04:57 PM EDT (#117481) #
Yesterday on ESPN, Joe Morgan (stop reading now if you get hives when he says something stupid) indicated his belief that since the NL East was the best division in the league, the Wild Card would almost certainly come from there.

I thought to myself that the exact opposite must almost certainly be true. If you have five better than average teams all beating up on each other 20 times, then you might end up with a division of teams winning 86, 84, 83, 81 and 77 games -- and that probably WON'T get you a Wild Card.

Am I misguided here?
Mike D - Monday, May 23 2005 @ 05:36 PM EDT (#117486) #
Mick, I actually think you might be misguided. If the theory is that one division outclasses the others, then presumably that division will beat up on the other two divisions (and interleague opponents) during non-divisional play. If this is true, then it's not inconceivable for one division to pump out a bunch of teams with very good records.

Your theory is right if there are two teams that pummel the heck out of the rest of their division (like what the AL East used to be), hold their own in inter-divisional play and benefit from good-but-balanced other divisions having the competition beat each other up.

The divisional set-up, as far as the wild card is concerned, benefits teams in divisions with two good teams and a bunch of non-competitive teams, and punishes teams in the same division as two behemoths. If there's an all-around weak division, it doesn't really enhance anybody's chances -- if one team rises above the rest, it gets a divisional playoff berth anyway, and if two weak but "inflated" teams rise above, their overall records will get knocked down in inter-divisional play.
Pistol - Monday, May 23 2005 @ 10:26 PM EDT (#117520) #
"Good division. The Phillies should get better, the Nationals worse, and a four team race, at least for awhile, seems likely to me."

That's been my thinking for awhile, but the Nationals keep rolling off 7-6 periods and the Phillies keep playing .450 ball. Of course, it's still relatively early.
Around the Horn | 4 comments | Create New Account
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