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Although the Jays' minor-league affiliates went 3-3 yesterday, there weren't a great deal of strong performances by good prospects. Cam Reimers and John Wesley are doing their best to deserve our attention; is their best good enough?

Buffalo 2-2 at Syracuse 5-5

In the first game, Vinnie Chulk pitched 6.1 innings and gave up two homers, a double, two singles, and two walks that luckily added up to only two earned runs. Jeff Tam got two outs for the save. In the nightcap, Mike Smith went the distance (7 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 3 K, 1 HR). Josh Phelps went 2 for 6 with a home run; I think he can hit AAA pitching. Kevin Cash went 1 for 3; Gabe Gross went 1 for 6; Dave Berg went 1 for 5 with an HBP.

New Haven 1 at Altoona 0

Cam Reimers outdueled John VanBenschoten with a masterful 8 IP, 7 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 6 K outing. Danny Solano and Dominic Rich hit consecutive doubles in the second inning for the game's only run. Russ Adams went 1 for 5; Alexis Rios made four outs in four trips; John-Ford Griffin went 2 for 4; Guillermo Quiroz went 1 for 4; Rich went 2 for 4 with the double. Adam Peterson pitched an uneventful ninth for the save.

Lake County 6 at Charleston 1

John Wesley had a strong outing for the Alley Cats: 7 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 8 K, 0 HR. However, as is so often the case with Charleston, three runs was enough to lose the game. None of the good guys did anything impressive with the bat.

Auburn 3 at Staten Island 7

Josh Banks would like a mulligan on this one: 2.2 IP, 9 H, 6 R, 1 BB, 3 K, 1 HR. Mark Sopko, Bill Wheeler, and Brian Reed gave up four hits and five walks in 5.1 relief innings while striking out seven. Aaron Hill didn't do anything in four plate appearances.

Burlington 12 at Pulaski 4

The best that can be said about this game is that Robinzon Diaz is still swinging a hot bat. A single and a double in four trips pushed him up to .412, for what that's worth.

***

I want to say that I think Cam Reimers is for real. However, the numbers just aren't there.


Pitcher Year $H $BB $K $HR
Cam Reimers 2003 .306 .060 .156 .012
Chris Baker 2003 .313 .066 .155 .018
Dave Gassner 2003 .287 .066 .159 .018
Chris Baker 2001 .252 .057 .163 .030
Vinnie Chulk 2002 .258 .083 .168 .019
EL average 2003 .347 .098 .184 .020


Reimers' only discernable advantage over Chris Baker (v.2001 or v.2003) or Dave Gassner v.2003 is his low rate of allowing home runs, which could very well be a statistical fluke. His stats from previous years (17 HR allowed in 116.1 AA/AAA innings last year) certainly don't suggest that he's unusually good at keeping the ball in the yard. Reimers is also a year older than Baker was in 2001 and a year older than Chulk was last year. I hope Cam can keep up the streak of Blue Jay farmhands winning EL Pitcher of the Year, but it would be quite an underdog story if he made it to the majors and pitched well.

John Wesley went mediaeval (or at least Reformation) on the Pioneer League last year, recording 38 K's against 8 walks and a single long ball in 28-plus innings. His stats so far in the Sally League (.314 $H, .068 $BB, .211 $K, .007 $HR) aren't far off what Brandon League put up earlier in the year (.300 $H, .067 $BB, .226 $K, .004 $HR), and he's the only current member of the Charleston starting five whose strikeout rate approaches league average:


Pitcher $K
SAL average .218
John Wesley .211 (7 starts)
Sandy Nin .185
DJ Hanson .177
Ismael Ramirez .147
Charles Talanoa .154 (2 starts; .278 $K in Auburn)


As far as I can tell, Wesley's roughly on a par with Sandy Nin, for good or for ill, although it would be nice to see him rack up some more innings.

In The Minors, June 24 | 9 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.
_Jordan - Friday, July 25 2003 @ 07:34 PM EDT (#96376) #
Great job, John.

I also wish I liked Reimers more than I do, but every time I look at him, I see Vinny Chulk. This is not a good thing, I should add. He might strike some unwary GM as a shiny trinket worth something in trade, but if the Jays could only get John Wasdin for the very shiny Rich Thompson, then I'm not real optimistic. Oh well, someone has to pitch on the days when the real prospects are resting.

John Wesley, on the other hand, I like very much. He's a big mother (6'6", 230 lbs), he throws pretty hard, and he could develop into the real deal. The Sally isn't much of a challenge, but I doubt the organization will rush this guy. He's someone to place on long-range sensors. If Sandy "Anais" Nin were striking out just a few more batters a game, I'd be excited about him: 98 IP, 93 H, 13 BB, 72 K. As it is, I have a feeling there's a brick wall named the Eastern League in his future.

Kevin Cash is at .265/.319/.418 at Syracuse, which is still an improvement from the .240/.284/.352 he had on June 1. Far more impressive, though, is this: back then, he had 8 doubles and 2 homers; today, while he has only 4 HRs, he's up to 26 doubles. The guy has some pop. Moreover, his BB/K rate is 14/36 since June 1, still not great but twice as good as the 7/31 he started the year with. His major-league equivalent EqA is .227, and I have a feeling that's pretty much what he'll deliver while starting 80 or so games for the 2004 Blue Jays. He'll improve from there, but he's never going to hit much above .250 in the big leagues. With that howitzer attached to his shoulder, he may not need to.
_Jabonoso - Friday, July 25 2003 @ 07:55 PM EDT (#96377) #
What is the story attached to Rob Diaz?
Having a bad team in AAA is an opportunity for a solid extended bench missed and the lack of chance for a few prospects to learn how to win.
But would it not be worrisome to have such a barren landscape at low A with the second layer of last year draft?
_John Neary - Friday, July 25 2003 @ 09:00 PM EDT (#96378) #
Jordan: I agree that Cash's stock has risen considerably over the last two months. I wonder exactly what the Jays are hoping to do with him. My best-case scenario is that they trade Myers this year, make Cash the starter next year, get a reasonably promising 400 AB out of him, and then ship him off for pitching help to make room for GQ. I'll be very surprised if Cash holds off Quiroz into 2005.

Jabonoso: Robinzon Diaz hit .312/.362/.419 in 253 AB in the Dominican Summer League in 2001. Last year, he hit .297/.344/.345 in 192 AB with Medicine Hat and scuffled in a 25 AB cup of coffee with Dunedin. He turns 20 on September 19th.

I don't really know anything about him, to tell you the truth, and it's no good to get carried away with a guy after he puts up 80 good at-bats in Pulaski. But after the whole Jason Perry episode, I'm much more interested in high schoolers and Dominicans in rookie ball than in their college teammates.
robertdudek - Friday, July 25 2003 @ 09:29 PM EDT (#96379) #
One little correction.

This is the Jays first year in the Eastern League. They've had their AA farm team at Knoxville/Tennessee for longer than I've been looking at minor league stats.
_John Neary - Saturday, July 26 2003 @ 12:47 AM EDT (#96380) #
Oops -- brain cramp! Say "the streak of Blue Jay farmhands winning EL/SL Pitcher of the Year."

Thanks for the correction, Robert.
_Brent - Saturday, July 26 2003 @ 11:43 AM EDT (#96381) #
In 2005, why get rid of Cash? At least we'll have a solid defensive catcher and a guy with pop off the bench.
_John Neary - Saturday, July 26 2003 @ 12:37 PM EDT (#96382) #
John Lott has a decent piece about Jason Arnold in today's National Post.

Brent: I don't think Cash is going to be as good of a hitter as Quiroz. That being said, he might be a good enough player to fetch something shiny in a trade, and he might have more value to some other team as a starting catcher than he would to the Jays as a backup. Of course, it's possible that things won't work out this way; I'm just making idle speculation.
Pistol - Saturday, July 26 2003 @ 12:54 PM EDT (#96383) #
I went to the Ravens game last night. Nothing too notable. Rios jumps out at you more than any other player, mostly because of his height. Couple good ABs and a nice diving catch of a ball that had the scouts buzzing (couldn't tell where they were from - I assume anyone with a radar gun is a scout).

Quiroz had a nice night at the plate. Other than him the bats were quiet.

Seems like I should have known this prior to yesterday, but Adams hits left handed. For some reason I had a right handed image in my mind. Interestingly, to me at least, he wears #5 the same as Aaron Hill.

DeJong pitched a couple late innings. He has a funky delivery - not quite sidearm, but seems lower than 3 quarters. He was hitting 90-92 on the scoreboard radar, and dropping as low as 70 on his off speed pitches. Up to this point BBs have been a problem in AA and I can easily see how that's the case by watching him.
_Jordan - Saturday, July 26 2003 @ 02:44 PM EDT (#96384) #
Billy Beane is a very smart guy, is a great GM, and has helped revolutionize baseball.

That said....

Signing Scott Freakin' Hatteberg to a two-year contract extension is a terrible move. He's 33, doesn't catch anymore, has never cracked an 810 OPS and costs more than $3 million a year. It's the kind of move we'd roast Cam Bonifay or Chuck Lamar for, and I'll roast Beane for this. It's Terrence Long all over again, or even more troubling, Troy O'Leary. When you're treading down the same path as Dan Duquette, watch out.
In The Minors, June 24 | 9 comments | Create New Account
The following comments are owned by whomever posted them. This site is not responsible for what they say.