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Now that the all-star break is nearly upon us, we can look forward to endless Peter Gammons trade rumours, approximately 1/2 of 1/4 percent of which come true. Though I can see why some fans enjoy rumour season, I confess that I loathe this time of year.

For one thing I get dozens of e-mails from people asking me if I think the A's are going to trade Miguel Tejada for Carlos Beltran and Mike McDougal. As if I have contacts swarming inside the A's front office. One of those e-mails is enough, but it seldom stops there. For another thing I can't stand Gammons. He should really get a job for CNN or the Washington Post, because he uses more un-named sources than those two fine schools of journalistic integrity combined. "A senior Red Sox official confirmed that the team has interest in Carlos Beltran." At its most naked level, that statement is, of course, true. Who doesn't have interest in Beltran? People will indeed be moved from now until July 31, but most likely not the people Gammons and others think; and even when Gammons is right about a player he is invariably swapped to a team nobody would have expected. Who saw the White Sox getting Carl Everett and Roberto Alomar? (Perhaps the question should now be, who sees them being traded again?)

This is also true during the off-season, when various free agents are rumoured to be flying hither and thither. Nobody ever mentioned Kevin Brown going to the Dodgers, for example, and certainly nobody envisioned the Rangers picking up A-Rod. Perhaps it's the curmudgeon in me, but I for one like to wait before any deals or signings are made before I begin in pointless speculation. I do concede that it can be fun to play lap-top GM, but that is why I play fantasy baseball.

.......

Everyone in the baseball world knows the A's need help in their outfield, among other locales, and everyone has known this since before the season started. But Billy Beane recently said he sees no need to upgrade the team. Maybe I'm reading too much into this, but is it possible Beane is, as some have suggested he would, experiencing some blowback to his comments in Moneyball? Is he being re-buffed in his efforts to improve the squad and putting on a nice public face to cover this? Is he thus preparing A's fans -- and the SF Bay Area media, venomous for whispers of Beane's desired targets -- for disappointment when Ken Macha continues to fill out "Long, RF, McMillon, LF, Hatteberg, 1B" as August arrives?

All reports I've heard about Beane indicate he very much likes himself, and he's obviously a very bright man, but there's no way he can look at the A's and not see the holes in their lineup. Beane may be bluffing, and I am not suggesting one thing or another about the effect Moneyball may have had on Beane's ability to deal, but the idea that the A's don't need offensive help is ludicrous to the point of high comedy.

.......

The A's did call up David McCarty, the number-three overall pick, from Stanford, of the 1991 draft, but he is unlikely to provide the impact the club needs. I was able to see McCarty play whenever Stanford came to USC, and I was awfully impressed with him, much more so than I was with other Stanford stars like Ed Sprague, Jeffrey Hammonds, or even Mike Mussina. And actually the player I liked the most from Stanford was Stan Spencer, a former San Diego Padres pitcher and who, according to my best friend who also happened to play for the USC baseball team, had better stuff than Mussina. (You think my name is difficult? The friend's name is Mike Mastroyannakis.) I became a fan of McCarty right away, drafted him in my fantasy league's farm system, and followed his minor-league career right up to the point he reached the majors with the Twins. Needless to say, I was disappointed and surprised with McCarty's performance when he reached the show -- but probably not as much as the Twins.

One of those odd events that happens to us came during one of my spring-training trips to Arizona, when I saw McCarty in a Safeway in Peoria, a town 35 minutes north of Phoenix and the spring home to the Padres and Mariners. I don't recall the exact year or what team McCarty was with at the time, but he had been established as a disappointment. Most likely the year was 1996 or 1997, when McCarty played for the Giants. In any event, it was about midnight, and a friend and I were getting the munchies and looking to secure food for the morning when we saw McCarty. The day had been unusually warm, even for Phoenix, and, in addition to the goodies, I also needed some sunscreen and aloe. We grabbed some Hostess donettes and some Pop Tarts, the requisite Tropicana SPF 45, and headed for the cashier.

On the way there Randy, my friend, caught sight of McCarty, who was very tall even from a distance of about 75 feet, even taller than I remember him when I saw him at USC's Dedeaux Field. He and his girlfriend or wife (I assume that's who she was) were in the eye-care aisle, squabbling over something; we were too far away to know exactly, but it seemed to be about which contact solution to get. McCarty was in blue jeans, a white polo shirt, and had a red cap that was neither Stanford nor a MLB team. The girl had dark hair and wore tan shorts along with a white tank-top. She, like McCarty, was attractive.

Randy, who knew I was a McCarty fan, urged me to ask him for an autograph, since, along with McCarty and his girlfriend/wife, we were the only customers in the store. But I didn't want to violate his privacy, even though I suspect he would have been flattered at being recognized, and I am glad I did so. Almost immediately after we saw him, McCarty threw up his arms and abruptly walked away from the girl, leaving her somewhat upset. Embarrassed, I turned away and headed for the register, my carcinogenic snacks and my carcinogenic-blocking sunscreen in tow.

But as I walked away, I took a quick look back at the eye-care aisle. McCarty was still walking away, arrogantly, it seemed to me, and the girl was still perusing contact solutions, somewhat absently at this point. I remember very much wanting the girl to look up at me, so I could offer some sort of lame smile or acknowledgement that she wasn't alone. (Whatever that would accomplish I could not say then nor can I say now.) She never did look up, and for all I know it was entirely her fault McCarty flew away, but suddenly a huge wave of compassion hit me. I had no reason to feel sorry for McCarty or the girl. Already at that point McCarty had established a reputation for being something of an attitude problem (I never did hear anything concrete to that end), and, being a Stanford graduate, he obviously had a future outside of baseball. In addition to the huge signing bonus he received, he was probably pulling in over $200,000 even at that stage of his career. As his girlfriend/wife, the girl would reap those financial benefits, while simultaneously taking the less-than-splendid -- i.e. the reality of being with a former organizational darling who had fallen from the precipice to a skulking career played out in forgotten towns from Bakersfield to Tacoma and the drab points in between.

That night I felt an acute sense of McCarty's failure not only to live up to the expectations of being a high-round draft pick, but also even to carve out a Wally-Joyner-type career. He was only 26 or 27 then, but it was clear he would never make it as even a minor star. But it was more than that. Hitherto I had only thought of McCarty's baseball life, but his personal life loomed right in front of me, and it seemed to be going as well as the baseball portion. Here were two real people, dealing with the vagaries of relationships, of midnight voyages to procure sundries, of their own questions and devils that I could relate to, if not in empathy at least in sympathy. Our troubles are always different, but their essence is the same.

I was also but 26 or 27 at the time, and even though I was in the middle of a mild early-life crisis (discovering you want to be a writer is not the solution to these kinds of things), I was generally happy and shielded from the effects of failure, having lived a sheltered life in Marin County, one of the wealthiest regions in the wealthiest country in the world. USC, with its urban setting, offered a different view of failure, but one of civilisation's failures, and as such it is not relevant here. But when the effects of failure present themselves to you in the form of one of your previous favorite players at midnight in a Safeway in Peoria, AZ, you tend to remember it. While I am remiss on this notion more than I care to admit, I do remember that night when I prepare to criticize, for example, Terrence Long, who is perhaps right now having a row in Safeway with his significant other about whether to buy Alcon or Renu for their contact lenses, and who is no doubt right now dealing with his own questions and devils.
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Coach - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 07:45 AM EDT (#97914) #
As if I have contacts swarming inside the A's front office.

I hear that. It was bad enough for me last year; I was lucky enough to predict Buck Martinez' firing, and his replacement, missing the date by about three days. I railed at the futility of Joe Lawrence and begged for O-Dog's promotion until it happened. My anti-Mondesi, pro-Phelps rhetoric was equally persistent. I was just paying attention, and making educated guesses, but people thought I had some kind of pipeline.

This summer, there's a misconception even among some faithful readers of this blog that I (we) have some kind of connection to the team. Batter's Box has been read in the front office, but I'm quite sure they consider us exactly what we are -- fans. Astute, occasionally amusing fans, I hope. The Jays' brain trust doesn't consult the "real" media before making their moves, and they sure don't consult us. They may use the consensus of opinion on this board as a convenient kind of survey -- what are the intelligent fans saying? The ones who have at least a glimmer of understanding of what we're trying to accomplish?

Anyway, my Inbox is swamped with the usual nonsense from people who already have Rolen, Chavez and Lowell but are wondering if they should pick up Hinske, or if I think Roy Halladay is a flash in the pan and they should trade him for Greg Maddux. There's also a new type of question, typically "Who are the Jays talking to about Stewart, and who will they get?" Even after my spleen-venting yesterday, where I thought it was pretty clear that I don't know -- and don't care -- there were three new queries along that line.

People will indeed be moved from now until July 31, but most likely not the people Gammons and others think

Right on. But that's why the silly season is fun; apart from the nuisance questions, I don't mind the speculation. In fact, I enjoy throwing a little fuel on the fire once in a while. There's also a degree of satisfaction when a wild hunch turns out to be correct. I have no idea why; I'm no psychologist.
Gerry - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 09:28 AM EDT (#97915) #
In Moneyball Beane picks up the phone to talk to Gammons because Gammons knows what's going on. Whether it is right or not, Gammons has positioned himself as the information conduit for GM's. He talks to all of them and if you tell him something, he will return the favour. He has positioned himself perfectly. So, like it or not, he is probably the most "inside" media guy going.

Beane's comment that he does not need to do anything could be a smokescreen to persuade other GM's that he has no sense of urgency and that the price has to be right for him to make a deal. However I do think some of the less secure GM's may be wary of doing a deal with him, because the media will claim Beane won the deal (because he always does) and the other GM will be perceived as giving away something. That is why I would not be surprised if Stewart ends up in Oakland for one of Oakland's pitching prospects (not Harden, how about Blanton?)
_Gwyn - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 09:38 AM EDT (#97916) #
In Moneyball Beane picks up the phone to talk to Gammons because Gammons knows what's going on.

What is interesting is how Beane feeds Gammons what he wants other GM's to know. Michael Lewis presumably put the conversation with Gammons because it's interesting and it adds to his 'isn't Billy beane just _so_ clever' argument. It's a pretty safe bet if this is what Beane does with Gammons so does everyone else, to a greater or lesser extent. Gammons seems to be quite happy to spend his days faithfully writng it down and repeating it on air and in his columns.
_snellville jone - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 10:33 AM EDT (#97917) #
Thanks for the story, Gizzi.
_A - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 10:43 AM EDT (#97918) #
Did anyone else see this good-samaritan story today? I think I might just try leaving my cell in a cab so Pedro would call me ;-)
_Jordan - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 11:09 AM EDT (#97919) #
First of all, John, that was a terrific story about McCarty and a terrific reflection on the experience. Extremely well said. A few years back, I recall Rob Neyer penning a column in which he sort-of apologized for saying nasty things about Brian Hunter for years. He made the point, and John makes it here more eloquently, that although it's hard to separate the performer from the performance, as fans and analysts we should try to keep our criticisms from becoming personal attacks. It's bad enough if your employer and co-workers view you as a personal failure or a screw-up guy; when millions upon millions of complete strangers say the same thing, and worse, that's rough. Sports brings out the hanging judge in all of us, but this is a good reminder to be as merciful as we are judgmental.

I've concluded that Peter Gammons is a phenomenon, perhaps unique to sports. I can't think of anyone else who functions as both key cog within the system and "objective" analyst outside it. GMs use Gammons as much as they rely on him, and as a result it's almost impossible to say how close he is to the truth. The ironclad-guaranteed trade he predicts could well be ready to roll until another GM, finally convinced that his bluff is being called, ups the ante; who knows how much richer Gammons made Brown and A-Rod in this fashion? Basically, Peter Gammons is a quantum entity: he changes and effects change by his presence in the system. Quite remarkable, actually.

As for having any brilliant perspective on the Jays -- hey, if I was any good at this stuff, I'd be getting paid for it. :-)
robertdudek - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 11:11 AM EDT (#97920) #
"I can't think of anyone else who functions as both key cog within the system and "objective" analyst outside it."

I wonder if Howard Cosell operated this way in the boxing world at one time. I'm a little young to be up on all the details of 1970s boxing.
_DS - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 12:00 PM EDT (#97921) #
Another quick hijack.

Jays fired their head trainer Scott Shannon. I don't buy the "wanting to make a change" excuse.
_Mick - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 12:48 PM EDT (#97922) #
Notes from Nowhere ...

"I can't think of anyone else who functions as both key cog within the system and "objective" analyst outside it."
Fox News ... We Report (What The Bush White House Wants Us To Say), You Decide (To Agree With Them Or "Visit" Guantanamo)

Jays fired their head trainer Scott Shannon.
Did Coach's heart pump a few beats quicker when he saw the wire item "Jays Release Shannon"?

Gammons seems to be quite happy to spend his days faithfully writng it down and repeating it on air and in his columns.
So would I, y'all. Gammons has a sweet deal. He's not a journalist -- John and I had this argument extensively last year on the ESPN FLB Correspondents BBS -- he's an entertainment reporter. He doesn't have to be right, he has to be entertaining. And he gets to hang out with Nomar. Imagine David Spade's old SNL skit "Hollywood Minute." Then have Spade do that in a white wig. He's Peter Gammons.

Thanks for the story, Gizzi.
John writing small-market business columns is like Roy Halladay pitching for the Fort Worth Cats or Ian McKellan playing in a community theatre rendition of "Harvey."
_Jordan - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 01:20 PM EDT (#97923) #
Jays fired their head trainer Scott Shannon.

Very odd. I can only surmise that it was the rash of unreported, or undetected, injuries among the players. Pete Walker's arm, Eric Hinske's wrist, and most recently Cliff Politte's shoulder. Maybe the team wants its head trainer to find out about these injuries before the guy goes on the DL, not afterwards.

Imagine David Spade's old SNL skit "Hollywood Minute." Then have Spade do that in a white wig. He's Peter Gammons.

"And yeah, I liked the Robbie Alomar to Chicago trade just fine. But I liked it better the first time I saw it, when it was called Ray Durham to Oakland."
_Spicol - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 01:36 PM EDT (#97924) #
From ESPN (reg. req'd)

"Any team that gets Cory Lidle will help itself a lot. I might take him ahead of (Sidney) Ponson. He has good control, has deception, and he's a good competitor. You know what you're going to get with Lidle -- I don't think he wins a lot of 2-1 games, but he will win you a lot of 7-5 games. His stuff is average across the board, with above-average control, and his fastball has good late movement."

- Written by an MLB scout
_Cristian - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 01:37 PM EDT (#97925) #
Moneyball won't change Beane's ability to trade very much if at all. For the most part Beane gives up quality to get quality. Giving us Hinske is a great example. As well, the quality of the A's minor league system means to me that others will be phoning Billy and not the other way around.
Craig B - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 02:20 PM EDT (#97926) #
I can only surmise that it was the rash of unreported, or undetected, injuries among the players.

The head trainer, like the rest of the organization, has to radiate a sense of absolute trust to the players. I don't know Scott Shannon, but I would agree that the Walker and Politte and Hinske incidents are troubling.

I don't think he wins a lot of 2-1 games, but he will win you a lot of 7-5 games.

In other words, he gives up five runs a game. What would we do without scouts!? I'd hate to have a pitcher who lost a lot of games where my team scores seven runs. Well, actually we had a bunch in Toronto last year, but that aside...
_Spicol - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 02:49 PM EDT (#97927) #
I want to know how Lidle gets credit for his own team scoring 7.
_Joe Morgan - Friday, July 11 2003 @ 04:17 PM EDT (#97928) #
The Hitters are more relaxed because they know a proven winner will give up one or two less runs than his team scores. The most important stat for a pitcher is Wins.
Gitz - Saturday, July 12 2003 @ 12:53 AM EDT (#97929) #
Jordan: Thanks for the compliment. And you're full of nonsense, and not just for calling me "eloquent." You're GM of this crew for a reason -- i.e. you certainly do know what you're talking about.

Mick: Even if it's not true, I appreciate the implication that I'm somehow writing major-league-material for A-ball venues. But don't ever link my business mag column again, or I'll be forced to ... well, I'll think of something.

Joe: Please go read another book written by Billy Beane ... who's next book will be his first. Thank you.
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