Beyond the First Round - College Pitchers
Friday, May 30 2008 @ 09:23 AM EDT
Contributed by: Pistol
And now some pitchers.
One thing I found when I put this together is that I don't think there's as much college pitching depth this year. Most of the college pitchers in the 50-150 ranked range seemed to be closers. I'm not sure if that's accurate, or will change the Jays drafting in the first round, but it might get them to look a little longer at a guy like Shooter Hunt with their first pick.
Chris Carpenter, RHP, Kent St
BA Rank: 61
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2005 |
49.1 |
7.66 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
0.9 |
15.4 |
| 2007 |
42 |
4.50 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
0.2 |
6.6 |
| 2008 |
75.2 |
3.81 |
10.5 |
3.9 |
0.1 |
6.6 |
As you can see 2006 is missing as Carpenter had TJ surgery (if I remember correctly). He was in the draft last year but didn't go as high as he wanted and went back to school (I had selected him in the Sickels mock draft). This year you can see that his recovery has picked up considerably just looking at the Ks and BBs.
Tim Murphy, LHP, UCLA
BA Rank: 63
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2007 |
76 |
5.68 |
11.4 |
3.9 |
1.3 |
9.9 |
| 2008 |
94.2 |
3.52 |
10.2 |
4.2 |
0.8 |
7.2 |
He doesn't project at the top of the rotation, but a lefty with that Ks that many is intriguing if he's available in round 2.
Aaron Shafer, RHP, Wichita St
BA Rank: 84
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2006 |
99.1 |
2.63 |
7.0 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
7.9 |
| 2007 |
84.2 |
2.23 |
9.6 |
2.5 |
0.6 |
7.4 |
| 2008 |
98.2 |
2.74 |
8.8 |
2.3 |
0.2 |
8.2 |
Pretty consistent every year - looks like a control pitcher.
Scott Bittle, RHP, Mississippi
BA Rank: 97
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2008 |
66.1 |
1.63 |
16.1 |
3.7 |
0.4 |
4.4 |
I generally avoided college closers in this thread, but, one, the K/9 ratio is sick, and two, he started to get some starts late in the year, including going 7 innings against Vanderbilt.
Brad Holt, RHP, UNC-Wilmington
BA Rank: 99
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2006 |
54.1 |
3.48 |
7.0 |
4.7 |
0.8 |
9.0 |
| 2007 |
76.1 |
5.90 |
6.3 |
3.8 |
1.7 |
9.8 |
| 2008 |
84.2 |
3.30 |
9.8 |
3.2 |
0.9 |
7.7 |
As you can see he's improved a lot in his junior year, including recent performances that have upped his draft stock to where he may be a second rounder.
Mitch Harris, RHP, Navy
BA Rank: 107
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2006 |
82.2 |
1.74 |
12.4 |
2.2 |
0.3 |
6.2 |
| 2007 |
88.1 |
2.14 |
12.2 |
3.7 |
0.2 |
5.9 |
| 2008 |
36 |
3.50 |
9.3 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
9.3 |
An interesting player in that he's from Navy and his Naval commitment is unknown right now.
Evan Fredrickson, LHP, San Francisco
BA Rank: 116
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2006 |
22.2 |
7.94 |
8.5 |
13.4 |
1.2 |
8.5 |
| 2007 |
34 |
6.35 |
12.4 |
11.9 |
1.3 |
5.3 |
| 2008 |
75.1 |
4.54 |
13.1 |
7.3 |
0.7 |
7.0 |
Think you can straighten him out? If so you may be on to something.
Scott Barnes, LHP, St Johns
BA Rank: 128
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2006 |
64 |
3.66 |
10.4 |
4.9 |
0.3 |
7.2 |
| 2007 |
95.1 |
2.93 |
9.4 |
3.2 |
0.5 |
8.7 |
Like Murphy, a lefty posting good numbers.
And a blast from the past:
| Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
| 2001 |
53.1 |
5.91 |
5.9 |
2.7 |
1.5 |
12.7 |
| 2002 |
32 |
2.81 |
7.6 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
9.3 |
| 2003 |
44 |
2.45 |
11.3 |
2.7 |
0.6 |
7.2 |
Anyone want to guess who put up this line in college before being drafted by the Jays?
----
If the Jays go with a hitter in round 1 I would think they would draft a college pitcher in the second round as there doesn't appear to be a lot of depth this year. In the recent past college pitchers with strong stats seem to go a little higher than their rankings (although that's just on observation without any support). So the first few players listed here could be gone by the time the Jays select in the second round at pick #63. Picks after that are #95, #129 and every 30 picks thereafter. Here's a complete draft order.
A team blogger mock draft will be posted next week. I'll post the draft early next week to see who goes where, why, and why I think the Jays will take the player I select given the players drafted ahead of them.
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