This week's previews come to y'all from an Advance Scout Icon who appreciates Rays beat writer Bill Chastain almost as much as I do. Take it away, Rob Pettapiece:
Alex probably figured his week of finals was bad enough without
bringing the Devil Rays into it. So here I am, and here we are at yet
another Toronto-Tampa Bay series. And no, I'm not sick of scouting the
Rays. Why do you ask?
The MLB.com copyeditor is getting tired of this team, one would infer,
since Saturday's headline read "Rays, Jackson lose in multiple ways."
Read on anyway to learn more about Jonny Gomes' new career, Shawn
Riggans' absurdly long scouting reports, Joe Maddon's man-love for his
shortstop, and Akinori Iwamura's friend named Nuts.
On to the Advance Scout!
Disney plus the Devil Rays? The unholy alliance started in May,
with three "home" games against the Rangers at Disney's Wide World of
Whatever in Orlando. Did it go well? Carl Crawford didn't enjoy it at
all ("The only thing I liked is that we won three games there"), Jonny
Gomes' Chrysler 300 got clipped on the highway on the way, and the
MLB.com writer, who was certainly not Bill Chastain, could use a geography lesson:
"Tampa Bay first extended its fanbase south toward its soon-to-be
Spring Training home in Port Charlotte, and now is making an effort to
stretch the zone westward as well." The least expensive ticket prices
advertised were $15 US, which is just a little bit ridiculous.
Rotation rotations: Short version: Seo and Fossum out, Howell and Sonnanstine up from AAA.
Long
version: After an early May loss in Baltimore, Joe Maddon broke down
Jae Seo's poor outing thusly: "He threw a couple of decent breaking
balls, but his bread and butter pretty much is fastball location and
changeup location, and it just wasn't there tonight." Let us pause and
reflect on all the good Bill Chastain has done for this world. And now
we move on to another bit of Chastainity, as he found a nice way to say
Seo and Edwin Jackson suck: "The presence of Seo and Edwin Jackson in
the Rays rotation is making the prospect of putting together a
sustained winning streak a difficult proposition." So, after Friday
night's game, Andy Sonnanstine and J.P. Howell were promoted from
Durham, Casey Fossum went to the bullpen, and Jae Seo was DFA'd.
Jackson still remains.
On the morning of May 20, Seo, Fossum, and Jackson's ERAs were 7.80, 7.80, and 7.78. That's gold, Jerry.
Andy Sonnanstine:
I wonder how well pitchers fare in their ML debut when they face Roy
Halladay. Sonnanstine struck out RHB at a much higher rate than lefties
this year in AAA and last year in AA. Only struck out one batter in his
last start, May 31 vs. Ottawa, Lou Collier. Thanks to small sample
size, that dropped his K/9 from 9.3 to the chart-visible 8.4. Sir
Chastain, doing my job for me through quotes from backup catcher Shawn
Riggans: "He pounds the zone. His game is either going to go one way or
the other. He's either going to dominate you or you're going to pound
him because he throws so many strikes. He uses three different arm
angles, from up top, three quarters, and low three-quarters. Three
pitches from each arm angle, excellent control, he doesn't walk many
guys. He's working on coming inside a little more. Down and away is his
money pitch, fastball down and away; slider in the same location. The
one problem he has is coming inside, sometimes it leaks out over the
plate. He can still throw fastballs by guys with his deception."
Sonnanstine didn't get any advice
from Maddon, nor will he be allowed to call his own pitches on Tuesday.
Don't think, meat: "I want to keep his mind as uncluttered as
possible."
Scott Kazmir: You know him.
Edwin Jackson:
Tampa Bay is 1-9 when he starts this year. The one win came when they
were down 5-3 heading to the bottom of the 8th. So yeah, he hasn't
really helped the team win much. He somehow struck out nine batters in
six innings against Toronto last month, with another nine in six last
Monday vs. Detroit. Saturday, not so much. The Royals knocked him
around and he knew it: "I don't know if it's back to square one, but
it's a couple of squares back." He's not as bad as his traditional 0-7,
7.77 line indicates, but still. Ouch. Adam Lind homered in the third
inning of that game, which is not significant on its own, but when you
consider that Lind nearly killed
Jackson last September 16, perhaps Edwin was looking to get him out for
a change. Those seven losses in a row? Bryan Rekar did it to start
2001, but the Devil Rays' record is Tanyon Sturtze's 0-8 start in 2002.
Mike Wilner on Greg Norton: "For all we know, Greg Norton is the Mark Messier of baseball. But nobody will ever know, because he's surrounded by crap."
Akinori Iwamura:
Singled off Sean Henn to start off his North American hit counter, but
his first career hit was against now-Dodgers closer Takashi Saito,
about whom you will read more anon. In Akinori's last four full years
in Japan, he averaged 32 homers but he is quite a bit behind that pace
after suffering a right oblique strain from April 24 to May 27. Contributes a diary
to MLB.com as told through his interpreter, which includes fun phrases
such as, "We were celebrating so excitedly that my teammates fell on
top of me. I was the smallest and I was on the bottom of the pile. It
was awesome." He also shared: "I'm looking forward to becoming a
father. Right now we just have a toy poodle named Nuts." Or, "I went to
pick up a flat-screen TV the other day at Best Buy and a lady came up
to me and asked if I was the guy who played for the Rays." Apparently,
Japanese TV-buyers constitute a minority in St. Petersburg. That TV
came in handy after Saturday's game, as he could have watched himself
on Sportscenter, getting poked in the eye by a foul ball.
I hope you enjoyed reading that, because Akinori won't play this weekend.
Elijah Dukes:
Great inside-out swing. Not sure how to show that in his batted-ball
data, but this amateur scout thinks it's true. I assure you I only
meant one thing by that "powerful swing" statement; his most recent troubles could lead one to believe otherwise. And the St. Pete Times is on notice after they sort of forgot that whole journalism thing and equivocated on the meaning of "complimentary newspapers."
Rocco Baldelli:
To hell with Torii Hunter's Spiderman persona. Maddon thinks Baldelli
is Superman: "The rubber track, with his athleticism, he's going to
leap tall buildings in a single bound." He's been less like the Man of
Steel and more like the DH of Glass, with the Rays' abundance of
7-8-9ers and his recent hamstring strain. Rays Index calls him Bubble Boy, and not because he doesn't like the Moops. He probably won't play, either.
Brendan Harris:
"I really like guys like him, makeup guys, guys who do the little
things on their own. He really likes to play the game. He comes
prepared on a daily basis. I watched his skills. I heard all about his
ability to drive the ball to right center, and he's showing us that, he
has a real fine throwing arm, he's showing that. I'd heard that maybe
defensively he wasn't able to cover all the infield positions. But he's
shown me that was incorrect immediately. He's very good at all three
spots, and I think he could play some first base. And we could use him
in the outfield, too. So he's a very valuable member of the team...He
does everything right. He's a true pro."
Now tell us what you really think, Joe Maddon.
He
(Harris, not Maddon) was part of that four-team Nomar trade in 2004 in
which Les Expos traded away Orlando Cabrera for 50 AB of Harris, 14
innings from somebody named Francis Beltran, and old friend Alex
Gonzalez, who took off for San Diego soon after. That one worked out
well.
Raul Casanova: Called up when Shawn Riggans
suffered a strained elbow again just a few days after recovering from
same. Through age 27, Casanova was most similar to Gregg Zaun, but
they've certainly diverged since then. Minor League Splits doesn't have
his stolen bases listed, but without loss of generality, I'm going with
0-for-0.
Carl Crawford: Back in the #3 hole after a brief
stay atop the order. You think Maddon knows something? His 1-2-3
hitters are first-second-third on the team in walks and one more walk
from Crawford puts them 1-2-3 in BB% as well among full-timers. When
Crawford hits with power, he pulls it; if he hits a homer to left field
during this series, I'll buy you a coke. I'll make this point every
time Alex forces me into writing a Devil Rays Scout: Crawford keeps
getting better. Improved his walk-to-strikeout ratio in 2004, his
basestealing in 2005, his hitting against LHP in 2006, and now his OBP
sits at a career high .357. Three of his most-similar players through
age 24 are in the Hall of Fame. He has, however, been held to a
.240/.255/.260 line in his career against Halladay.
Al Reyes:
Has thrown the ninth inning three days in a row, with a total of 46
pitches. Hasn't topped 30 pitches yet this year. Maddon seems to be
using him as a pure 1-inning closer: 26 appearances, 21 of which came
in a D-Rays' win, 25 of which were three outs long (the other was a
"get some work" game). He'll come back to Earth soon.
Jorge Cantu: In his mind, he can still play second base.
The Demoted Jonny Gomes:
Oh, to be 25 years, 6 months, and 2 days old again: after the Rays'
10-8 win over Toronto on May 24, 2006, Gomes' career line was
.270/.370/.533. The rest of '06 didn't go well (.175/.280/.318) and
he's often suffered the ignominy of playing twice a week as a 9-hole DH
this year. Gomes is not allowed to finish a game in the outfield unless
his team is losing by nine runs. Please read that sentence again, as
it's one of my favourite ever written. As you might expect from a DH
who hardly plays, Gomes is now bored with baseball and considering a career in pro wrestling.
"I can't imagine the adrenalin rush those guys get. That's the main
event. Everyone's watching you." His last line indicates he is very
aware that he plays for the Devil Rays.
Well, not anymore -- he was sent down to Durham last Monday and wasn't too happy
about it (is anyone ever happy?). Maddon said, "Jon wants to be a part
of the first-rate team that wins the World Series," giving pissant
bloggers everywhere a setup so easy, it's not even sporting.
The Credit Section: Batted-ball data and Leverage Index are available at Fangraphs. K/G, BB/G, and HR/G are from The Hardball Times and are "per games pitched" except for Sonnanstine,
whose stats are per 9 innings. K% and BB% are strikeouts and walks as a
percentage of plate appearances; GB%/LD%/FB% are expressed as
percentages of balls in play. Minor-league stats are from Minor League Splits. Some AL average stats had to come from ESPN.com,
I'm afraid. Everything else is available at The Hardball Times or
MLB.com. Casey Fossum's LI of 0.82 is based on two relief appearances.
https://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=20070605114417222