College Pitchers
Thursday, May 17 2007 @ 03:45 PM EDT
Contributed by: Pistol
There's a bit of a gap between the top pitchers and the group after it.
Price, Detwiler, Moskos and Brackman are all likely to go in the top
10. After that no starter stands out and there's a couple closers that
are possibilities in the second half of the first round. The Blue Jays
were reported to be interested in Vanderbilt closer Casey Weathers.
David Price, LHP, Vanderbilt
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2005 |
69.1 |
2.86 |
12.0 |
3.9 |
0.5 |
6.6 |
2006 |
110.1 |
4.16 |
12.7 |
3.5 |
0.7 |
7.5 |
2007 |
105.1 |
2.91 |
12.8 |
2.2 |
0.1 |
6.9 |
The consensus seems to be that Price is a lock to be taken by the Devil Rays with the 1st pick in the draft.
Ross Detwiler, LHP, Missouri St
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2005 |
34 |
6.35 |
9.3 |
7.4 |
0.3 |
7.7 |
2006 |
93 |
2.81 |
9.6 |
4.5 |
0.4 |
7.1 |
2007 |
79 |
2.28 |
11.3 |
3.8 |
0.7 |
6.5 |
Prior to this season I wrote that Detwiler made a big jump last year and if he made another jump this year he'd likely move into the first round. Well, he has made a jump and he will go in the first round. Of course, I wouldn't have guessed he would be a top 10 pick.
Daniel Moskos, LHP, Clemson
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2005 |
16.2 |
5.40 |
8.3 |
7.2 |
0.6 |
13.3 |
2006 |
53.2 |
2.52 |
9.1 |
3.6 |
0.2 |
7.4 |
2007 |
54.2 |
2.63 |
11.0 |
4.5 |
0.3 |
8.3 |
Moskos used to close, but recently has been starting for the Tigers. The walks are a little higher than you'd like in a top 10 pick.
Andrew Brackman, RHP, NC State
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2005 |
43 |
2.09 |
9.0 |
3.8 |
|
6.7 |
2006 |
28.1 |
6.35 |
10.2 |
6.1 |
0.6 |
11.9 |
2007 |
78 |
3.81 |
8.5 |
4.3 |
|
9.0
|
Brackman is interesting. He's really tall (6-10) and reportedly has great stuff. However, despite that he doesn't exactly shut other teams down. Of course, the same thing was said about Justin Verlander a few years ago.
Casey Weathers, RHP, Vanderbilt
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2006 |
27 |
3.33 |
12.7 |
5.3 |
0.7 |
7.7 |
2007 |
39 |
2.31 |
13.4 |
4.2 |
0.2 |
4.2 |
A classic power reliever (with an intimidating look no less). As you can see by the numbers not too many hitters are touching Weathers. It's pretty impressive to have a K/BB ratio of 3+ when you walk 4.2 per 9. As far as I know there's no consideration for him to start, but he could turn out to be a reliever who makes the majors quickly much like Cordero or Street did (of course, there's many similar failures as well).
Brett Cecil, LHP, Maryland
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2005 |
43 |
3.77 |
8.4 |
2.7 |
0.0 |
8.6 |
2006 |
58.1 |
4.78 |
8.4 |
3.1 |
0.5 |
8.5 |
2007 |
56.1 |
2.88 |
9.5 |
2.7 |
0.3 |
8.0 |
Cecil is another closer turned starter (albeit one start so far). There is thought that he could continue to start after being drafted as he has three pitches.
Nick Schmidt, LHP, Arkansas
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2005 |
90.2 |
2.88 |
8.1 |
3.6 |
0.7 |
7.7 |
2006 |
108.2 |
2.98 |
11.2 |
4.0 |
0.5 |
6.7 |
2007 |
100.2 |
2.95 |
8.7 |
3.9 |
0.6 |
6.6 |
Schmidt's been pretty consistent. He's not overpowering so he's probably a 3/4 starter if he makes it, but those are pretty valuable these days.
James Simmons, RHP, UC Riverside
Year |
Innings |
ERA |
K/9 |
BB/9 |
HR/9 |
H/9 |
2005 |
36.2 |
2.95 |
6.0 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
9.2 |
2006 |
109.1 |
2.96 |
7.8 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
8.9 |
2007 |
102.1 |
2.11 |
9.0 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
7.1 |
Simmons is pretty similar to Schmidt, except that he has much better control.
----
As for the Jays they'll probably only have a chance to draft the last 4 players listed. Weathers and Cecil are possibilities in round one and Simmons and Schmidt would be considered in the supplemental round if they're still around.
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