Oh great. The Royals.
If the Jays were a couple of games
closer to the teams they're (theoretically) chasing, I would be psyched
for this one. Christmas in August. Finally a break from the schedule
maker. But now that the Jays need a miracle instead of a mere .700 run,
this has all the trappings of one of those mid-September series at home
against another eliminated team, and it's not even September yet.
At
least you'll get to read about KC ace Luke H. from Tennessee and his
dreaded one-seamer, Ryan Shealy getting his chance to shine, a
31-year-old rookie Disciple of Gagne and a guy who can jump over a car
if you follow us...
On to the Advance Scout!
General: Again, we can't tell you how totally excited we are over the Kansas City Royals. We'd just follow Pistol's lead
on this if we could ... Some recent headlines? "Can 100 losses be
avoided?", "Sloppy Royals fall apart", and Rob's personal favourite,
"Royals do all the little things wrong in loss" ... One of those dreary
stories contained this hilarious line: "If you want optimism, the
Royals are 7-8 in the last two weeks." ... Rany Jazayerli, tell us what
you really think: "Buddy Bell is a joke as a major league manager. He
has always been a joke. I see no reason to think he will stop being a
joke in the future." ... Bell has not read Moneyball -- oh, calm down,
says Rob, I bet most of you have never read Macbeth -- and went on to say there’s
more to baseball than stats, which is a very reasonable thing to say.
And while we're on the topic of reasonable things to say, what was his exact quote?
"There’s so much more to this game than just stats and OPS, PMS,
whatever it’s called." ... Scored 10 runs in the first inning on
Wednesday, but ended up losing
15-13 anyway as "Nasty" Mastny picked up his second save with 15
strikes on 19 pitches, including two strikeouts. Right, the Royals.
Sorry ... The Royals are planning to spend about $250 million to
improve their stadium. In related news, Harvey's is now going to serve
their food on fine silverware ... Slogan appears to be "Your Team. Your
Town", one notch above "New York Mets. Our Team. Our Time."
... A while back, there was much praise for new hitting coach Mike
Barnett's early results with the Royals hitters. Well, KC was so bad in
April (Barnett was hired May 2), you'd figure they would revert to
being merely below average sooner or later. To wit, here's a sampling
of Super-Secret 100% Accurate Advance Scout Dialogue for you. Scout 1:
"Of course it's probably good ol' regression. But the important thing
is that the public perception in KC is that it's Barney." Scout 2:
"You're right, it certainly can't be the players." ...
Luke Hudson:
Started the year as a reliever, but has enjoyed a nice 5-1 run as a
starter ... Made his first start of the year at home against the Jays
on July 7, defeating A.J. Burnett ... There will still be a few players
in the Jays' lineup seeing Hudson for the first time, as Hillenbrand,
Hinske and Adams all started in the first Hudson game ... Hudson is
currently KC's best University of Tennessee alum named Luke H., but for the Royals' sake, hopefully the other Vol on their
40-man roster assumes that title soon ... Looks like Roy Halladay
without the superhuman command. Hudson's BIP stats are similar to
Doc's, with a (slightly lower) groundball rate in the 50s and a
(slightly higher) line drive rate in the low 20s, but Hudson gives up
more walks and gets fewer K's ... Hudson has a hard fastball that tends to be around
93 and occasionally hits 95, but his go-to pitch is a nasty two-seamish sinker
out of a split-ish grip that runs 88, 89 and has a ton of movement when
it's on. According to the Royals' excellent TV play-by-play team, Bob
Davis and Paul Splittorff, the Royals don't really know what to call it
because of the wide difference in velocity from the four-seamer.
Pitching coach Bob McClure suggested "one-seamer," because the way
Hudson holds it, you see one seam between his index and middle fingers.
Whatever it is, Hudson tried turning it into a changeup, but couldn't
slow it down enough for it to be effective, so he uses it as a second
fastball instead ... McClure loves that pitch: "Sometimes he'd throw
that pitch
and it'd drop off and guys would be looking over to their dugout,
saying, 'What in the world was that?'" ... Has a curve that breaks from
1 to 7 and hits the high 70s, as well as a straight change, but the
fastballs are his bread and butter ... Tell me that's not Roy Halladay
(aside from the 5.77 ERA) ... If that's not enough, Hudson was born twelve days
after Doc ... Pitched well last Friday, but he got an extra couple of
days off for a "dead arm" ... As a kid, his neighbour didn't appreciate
the homemade batting cage
in the Hudson backyard: "So he took us to court and we ended up
rallying the whole neighborhood and we won the case. I remember me and
my brother speaking up in court -- Will was about 8 years old, I was
about 12. It was as nervous as I've ever been but it all worked out."
... The 1 in Hudson's aforementioned 5-1 record as a starter was an absolute massacre. Hudson gave up 11 runs
in the first inning on August 13 vs. Cleveland - first time that's happened "since Kid Nichols of the Boston Beaneaters was
zinged for 12 runs by the Brooklyn Bridegrooms on Sept. 21, 1897" ...
That start saw Hudson rack up a dazzling -9 Game Score. Beat that, Russ
Ortiz ...
Runelvys Hernandez: Named
his son Runelvys Jr. and his daughter...well, we're not sure.
Hopefully not Runlysa Marie ... In 2003, was named Opening Day starter
after winning a coin flip against Jeremy Affeldt, and was actually the
first pitcher to win three games in the majors that year. Unfortunately
(if you want to put any stock in pitchers' W-L records), he would win
only four more in '03 ... Started 2006 with a bang in his return from
injury on April 27, locking down the Twins over seven two-hit innings.
Matt Stairs liked what he saw. "He took the mound with an attitude.
Maybe what he has gone through is a learning experience that shows him
the big leagues is not easy. Hopefully, Runelvys realizes that now and
goes on to win 20 games for us." Unfortunately, the learning experience
continues. Hernandez has only won twice since and his ERA sits at 7.50
... Four sweetest words in the English language: More walks than
strikeouts ... Hernandez seems to get in walk trouble because he can't
get ahead of hitters with his inconsistent fastball. It's usually
around 89-91 but doesn't do anything special ... Hernandez' best pitch
is a looping changeup that runs at around 80. He also throws a mid-80s
slider. When Hernandez gets ahead, he's very tough; if the hitters
can't just lay off anything that isn't a fastball, Hernandez does well ... The Royals' broadcasters like to say Hernandez rarely
has both his command and his stuff going at the same time ...
Odalis Perez: The lefty gave
up only two runs over seven innings against Cleveland Tuesday in what
was probably the best
start of the year for him ... One-third of the Royals' return for
Dodger reliever Elmer Dessens, who is pretty much the same pitcher
statswise, except he's not starting ... Earlier in his career, he was
one-third of the Dodgers' return from the Braves for Gary Sheffield
... The Dodgers signed him to a three-year extension heading in to 2005
after ERA+ years of 126, 89 and 127 ... Is building up his arm strength
as a starter, and is becoming one of the Royals' best inning eaters. He
went 4 innings in his AL debut against the White Sox, then 5, 6, 7 and
7 in his next four starts. He was allowed to throw 117 pitches in his
second-most-recent start, a 5-4 loss to the White Sox ... Won't
overpower anyone with his fastball, which is usually around 90, but has
some solid breaking stuff and rarely gets into walk trouble ...Throws a
circle change in the low 80s that tails down and away from righties; he
also has
a cutter in the high 80s which he throws often to righties, and a
high-70s breaking
ball that he uses as an out pitch against lefties ... The changeup and
cutter are probably his two best pitches, as
he's actually been slightly tougher on righties over the course of his
7-year career (.263/.316/.420 for lefties, .259/.309/.409 for righties)
... Resolves at-bats quickly; he's thrown a very efficient 3.6 pitches
per batter in 2004, 2005 and in LA this year. His 4.1 in KC is probably
going to fall back to that mark ... Is one of two MLB players to
have Odalis in his full name, the other being Miguel Odalis Martinez
Tejada. Fine, you come up with something to say about the Royals'
starting pitchers ...
Joey Gathright: We
are contractually obligated to point out that he has the ability to
jump completely over a car ... Beats the ball into the
ground; his GB% is usually above 70 ... His speed is making him
hit-lucky for the third year in a row: he's at 14.6% LD and .275 BABIP.
He still hasn't homered in the majors and his
offense still doesn't amount to much more than hitting grounders to the
left side, and I wouldn't want him as an everyday player on my team,
but how many guys are more fun to watch? ... Can jump all the way over
a car.
Isn't that awesome? ... Has made a concerted effort to draw more walks
this year; he's walking 11.6% of the time. If he can just cut down on
his strikeouts, he's got a very bright offensive future. With his
results on balls in play and baserunning speed, Gathright could be a
massively annoying leadoff hitter in the Scott Podsednik mold ... For
some reason, Gathright's only 5-for-10 stealing bases in KC ... Did we
mention he can jump over a car? ...
Ambiorix Burgos: Ambiorix
Wayne Burgos has blown 12 saves this year, used primarily as a
closer...but not exclusively. By my count, he's been taken out of that
role at least three times this year, and Joe Nelson is being used more in the ninth right now ... He's 22, but in his two
major-league seasons he's posted K rates above 9. This is
promising, especially given his 15.5 and 16.0 LD% over
those two years. If he can find consistent command and avoid fits of
walk-madness, the Royals will have a solid closer on their hands for
the next five years ... Derek Jeter on
Ambiorix: "He is not a guy you want to fall behind; he throws 97-98
mph" ... Out pitch is a sharp splitter, but he's also comfortable
dialing up the fastball and throwing it by hitters with two strikes; he
whiffed Travis Hafner that way last night ... Has pitched three nights
in a row, so he's unlikely to see action tonight ...
David DeJesus: Oddly, he's one of the least
effective basestealers in the game, with 17 steals in 36 attempts over
his career. This year, he's 3-7 ... He's the Royals' Hank Aaron Award nominee ...
John Buck: Wyoming
native has thrown out 38% of basestealers this year, a career high;
he's in his third year and has consistently improved at throwing
runners out ... Is a very safe bet to hit about .240 with average power
while providing that solid defense. He's the least of the Royals'
worries ...
Paul Bako: Full name is Gabor Paul II Bako. I don't believe it for
a second ...
Doug Mientkiewicz: Hustling infield fan favorite has been shut
down for the year due to a lower back strain and "weakness in his
legs," according to David Boyce of the Kansas City Star ... This clears
up playing time for the Royals' new first baseman ...
Ryan Shealy: Finally getting his chance to emerge from the
shadow of Todd Helton ... Acquired from the Rockies along with righty
reliever Scott Dohmann
in exchange for Jeremy Affeldt and Denny Bautista ... Buddy Bell likes
his approach at the plate: "He’s got a pretty good feel about what he’s
doing out there. When there’s a man in scoring position he cuts his
swing down. He
knows the situation and doesn’t over swing. It’s unusual for a young
player. He’s a smart kid" ... Maybe Shealy looks mature because he's 26
going on 27. His birthday is Tuesday ... He's downplaying the fact that
he only has two homers thus far: “They (home runs) kind of just show
up. Anybody who hits
home runs will say that. The more you think about them, the less they
tend to show up. I will try to put a good swing on it, and everything
else will take care of itself” ... He's showing off his patience to the
tune of 4 pitches per PA; this probably contributes to the fact that he
strikes out almost a quarter of the time, but that figure should go
down ... At 6'5" with long arms, Shealy is an inviting target at first
base for infield throws ... Is a righty-throwing first baseman ...
Emil Brown: Came out of nowhere - like, there was nothing in
his minor-league stats at all to suggest he'd be an average major
leaguer - to claim a spot in the Royals' lineup. And he went on to be
one of the Royals' few consistently good performers, batting
.286/.349/.455. This year? He's doing the exact same thing,
batting .288/.350/.455 (no misprint!), with a slightly lower strikeout
rate. He's also an excellent basestealer, 16-20 in the past two years
and 36-46 career, and a decent defensive leftfielder. And he'd been out
of the majors for three full years after last surfacing with the Padres
in 2001. It really is true: Youneverknow ...
Andy Sisco: Is actually going by "Andrew Sisco" this year.
Sounds nice and intimidating, like his figure but unlike his stats ...
The 6'10" lefty, a Rule 5 draft pick a year ago out of the Cubs'
system, posted a 9 K rate last year while holding hitters to a
.243/.343/.350 line. This year, not so much; he was demoted in July ...
His arsenal sounds like it should be overpowering on paper, particularly to lefties - a low-90s
fastball (though he can reach back to throw harder), with a splitter
and a curveball from a high release point - but the command issues are
still nagging ... Since his return on August 8, he's contributed a 2.45
WHIP to the KC bullpen ...
Jimmy Gobble: The Royals' other lefty is striking out a third of the lefties he faces and holding them to a .225 OBP ...
Joe Nelson: Righty reliever is in his third tour of duty in the
majors. He had short appearances with Atlanta in 2001 (2.0 IP) and
Boston in 2004 (2.2) before earning a full-time gig in the Royal pen
this year ... He's actually been very effective;
he is holding batters to .223/.310/.357 with backwards platoon splits
... Uses Eric Gagne's Vulcan Change, possibly the
coolest pitch in baseball. It's like a splitter, except with the ball
held between the middle and ring fingers; the pitch moves almost
screwballishly and doesn't spin. Nelson only throws 90 mph, so it's not
deadly deadly, but that pitch has been very effective for him so far
... Will probably go for the save tonight, if the opportunity arises ...
Mark Teahen: Wrote the following
for MLB.com's Player Perspectives: "I'm now hitting in the middle of
the order. It's nice that my coaches know I'm capable of that role but,
frankly, it also shows that we need to develop as a team more and have
more guys who can hit in the middle of the order." ... Slugging percentage has skyrocketed
this year: only Carlos Beltran's SLG has increased more this year than
Teahen's, according to the Royals' Department of Exotic Statistics ...
Esteban German: A pleasant surprise, hitting .313 in 211 PA as a backup infielder. Has 26 walks and 33 K's. He's primarily a second
baseman; if he could play short, he'd be battling Berroa for the starting SS job in 2007 ...
Mike Sweeney: The captain is rounding back into form. He was out with a bulging disc in his upper
back, but Bell says his bat speed is as good as it's ever been ... He's
a Royal lifer. This is Sweeney's 12th year in Kansas City. I wonder if
his number will get retired. He's 33, his career line is
.302/.373/.498 with 1304 hits and 186 homers in 4311 at-bats. He's
a model of consistency - he's posted an .850+ OPS seven years in a row,
and though he's only at .769 in 124 at-bats this year, there's still
plenty of time to catch up ...
https://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=2006082216051570