TDIB: Interleague Domination

Monday, July 03 2006 @ 09:00 AM EDT

Contributed by: Pistol

The Jays were 9-9 in interleague play. The rest of the AL did much better.

Game Result: Phillies 11, Jays 6. The Jays winning streak is stopped at 5.

Star of the Game: Bobby Abreu - 3-5 with 4 RBIs. He's good.

Unsung Hero: John McDonald whose hustle allowed him to go from 1st to 3rd on a single to left and score on a shallow fly ball after an entertaining sequence at the plate.

Boxscore: If you insist

Elsewhere: The Red Sox win again. The Jays sit 5 games back.

All Stars: Here are the rosters. Halladay, Ryan, Glaus, Wells and Rios will represent the Jays in Pittsburgh.  Rios will miss the game due to his injury.

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Now that interleague play has ended what can we conclude? The NL isn't that good. They got hammered in interleague play, it's been awhile since they won an All Star Game, and they've lost the last 8 World Series games.  What else can we find out?

Let's go to the Data Tables! (Magpie would be so proud)

The AL standings today look like this:

Team W L PCT
Detroit 56 26 0.683
Chicago 53 28 0.654
Boston 50 29 0.633
New York 46 33 0.582
Toronto 46 35 0.568
Minnesota 45 35 0.563
Oakland 42 39 0.519
Seattle 42 41 0.506
Texas 41 41 0.500
Cleveland 37 43 0.463
Baltimore 38 45 0.458
Los Angeles 37 44 0.457
Tampa Bay 35 47 0.427
Kansas City 27 53 0.338

But if we only included AL games against AL teams it would look like this:

Team AL W AL L AL%
Detroit 41 23 0.641
Chicago 39 24 0.619
New York 36 25 0.590
Toronto 37 26 0.587
Boston 34 27 0.557
Oakland 34 29 0.540
Texas 34 30 0.531
Los Angeles 30 33 0.476
Minnesota 29 33 0.468
Cleveland 29 33 0.468
Baltimore 29 36 0.446
Seattle 28 37 0.431
Tampa Bay 24 40 0.375
Kansas City 17 45 0.274

That's right, the Jays would be 2 games ahead of the Red Sox and essentially tied with the Yankees.

Here's how the AL fared in interleague played:

Team IW IL I%
Boston 16 2 0.889
Minnesota 16 2 0.889
Detroit 15 3 0.833
Chicago 14 4 0.778
Seattle 14 4 0.778
Tampa Bay 11 7 0.611
New York 10 8 0.556
Kansas City 10 8 0.556
Toronto 9 9 0.500
Baltimore 9 9 0.500
Oakland 8 10 0.444
Cleveland 8 10 0.444
Texas 7 11 0.389
Los Angeles 7 11

0.389

A few things jump out:

* The AL's record was 154-98.  This winning percentage works out to a 99 win team . Which means that the NL's winning percentage works out to a 63 win team. The NL is close to being considered AAAA.

* 5 AL teams dominated with at least 14 wins (out of 18) - the Tigers, White Sox, Twins, Red Sox and Mariners. That's right, the Mariners.

* Just 4 of the 14 AL teams were below .500, with the worst being just 7-11.

* The AL Central had a combined .700 winning percentage - even with the Royals who more than held their own at 10-8. The Twins won 16 out of 18 and only made up one game on the Tigers and two on the White Sox. The AL Central is thinking about kicking the Indians out - they went just 8-10.

* While the Twins didn't gain much ground by dominating the Red Sox did - their 16 wins were 7 better than Toronto and 6 better than NY.



And now a similar look at the NL - here's the standings today:

Team W L PCT
New York 48 33 0.593
St. Louis 44 36 0.550
Cincinnati 44 38 0.537
San Diego 43 39 0.524
Colorado 42 39 0.519
San Francisco 42 40 0.512
Los Angeles 41 40 0.506
Houston 40 42 0.488
Arizona 40 42 0.488
Milwaukee 40 43 0.482
Philadelphia 37 44 0.457
Florida 35 43 0.449
Atlanta 35 47 0.427
Washington 35 48 0.422
Chicago 30 51 0.370
Pittsburgh 28 55 0.337

But if we only included NL games against NL teams it would look like this:

Team NL W NL L NL%
New York 42 24 0.636
St. Louis 39 26 0.600
Cincinnati 38 29 0.567
Los Angeles 36 30 0.545
San Diego 36 31 0.537
Arizona 36 31 0.537
Houston 33 31 0.516
Philadelphia 32 31 0.508
San Francisco 34 33 0.507
Milwaukee 34 34 0.500
Colorado 31 35 0.470
Atlanta 30 37 0.448
Florida 26 34 0.433
Washington 28 37 0.431
Chicago 26 40 0.394
Pittsburgh 25 43 0.368

And here's how each team fared in interleague play:

Team IW IL I%
Colorado 11 4 0.733
San Francisco 8 7 0.533
Florida 9 9 0.500
San Diego 7 8 0.467
New York 6 9 0.400
Cincinnati 6 9 0.400
Milwaukee 6 9 0.400
Houston 7 11 0.389
Washington 7 11 0.389
St. Louis 5 10 0.333
Los Angeles 5 10 0.333
Atlanta 5 10 0.333
Philadelphia 5 13 0.278
Arizona 4 11 0.267
Chicago 4 11 0.267
Pittsburgh 3 12 0.200

A few notes:

* The Mariners were the surprise of the AL and the Rockies are the surprise of the NL going 11-4.

* The only other NL team over .500 was the 8-7 Giants - that's it, just two teams better than .500 against the AL this year.

* The NL Central was the worst division going 30-62 for a nice .326 winning percentage. Even the Royals are better than that!

According to BP Interleague play looked like this prior to this season:

2005 American: 20
2004 American:  2
2003 National: 22
2002 National:  6
2001 American: 12
2000 American: 21
1999 National: 19
1998 American:  4

This season the AL was + 56.

Buster Olney on his ESPN.com blog offered a few explanations for the difference:

* The AL's average payroll is at $83.4 million while the NL was at $72.4 million. There's more impact players moving from the NL to AL in the offseason than vice versa and this has been going on for a few years now.

* The AL has more teams like the Twins and A's who've done well with small payrolls - part of which is an indication that they also have better younger players.


I can't disagree with that.  The AL seems to have the better younger players and whenever there's a significant player switching league it seems like the AL gets the better of things as a whole as Leigh pointed out back in January.  I think we can see the difference in pitchers switching leagues as well.  If Bronson Arroyo was in the AL do you think there's any chance that he's going to make the All Star team?

While there might be some elements of certain AL teams being hot, certain NL teams being cold, and normal randomness it's pretty hard to argue against the AL clearly being the superior league after this year's interleague games.

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