The Blue Jays have played 40 games this season. The good news is that at their current .575 winning percentage they are on pace for 93 wins. The bad news is that 93 wins right now is 3rd in the AL East and 3rd in the wildcard.
What do the players look like spread over 162 games?
Player |
AB |
HR |
RBI |
Runs |
SB |
BA |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
Gregg Zaun | 227 | 20 | 53 | 28 | 0 | 0.339 | 0.383 | 0.696 | 1.080 |
Alex Rios | 547 | 32 | 117 | 101 | 16 | 0.356 | 0.374 | 0.667 | 1.041 |
Vernon Wells | 648 | 41 | 134 | 105 | 16 | 0.350 | 0.401 | 0.613 | 1.014 |
Troy Glaus | 559 | 49 | 138 | 142 | 4 | 0.261 | 0.360 | 0.587 | 0.947 |
Frank Catalanotto | 385 | 12 | 65 | 53 | 0 | 0.305 | 0.429 | 0.484 | 0.913 |
Reed Johnson | 312 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 16 | 0.364 | 0.473 | 0.429 | 0.902 |
Shea Hillenbrand | 531 | 16 | 77 | 81 | 0 | 0.344 | 0.380 | 0.511 | 0.892 |
Lyle Overbay | 571 | 20 | 97 | 73 | 4 | 0.298 | 0.385 | 0.468 | 0.853 |
Bengie Molina | 417 | 16 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 0.291 | 0.327 | 0.447 | 0.774 |
Russ Adams | 446 | 8 | 65 | 73 | 4 | 0.255 | 0.306 | 0.382 | 0.688 |
Eric Hinske | 219 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 0 | 0.259 | 0.333 | 0.352 | 0.685 |
Aaron Hill | 531 | 0 | 41 | 53 | 0 | 0.206 | 0.241 | 0.282 | 0.524 |
John McDonald | 211 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 16 | 0.231 | 0.255 | 0.250 | 0.505 |
* I have to say I had no idea Zaun had a SLG% that high.
* No surprise, but Rios would be the player who broke out the most this season
* Glaus' counting stats would make him an MVP candidate, and Wells isn't far behind. It strikes me as odd that Wells has so many fewer runs than Glaus when his OBP is higher.
* The Jays would get 36 HRs and 102 RBIs from the catcher position
* Aaron Hill - ouch.
Starters |
Innings |
Wins |
Ks |
BBs |
HRs |
ERA |
Roy Halladay | 227 | 20 | 126 | 41 | 20 | 3.04 |
Ted Lilly | 186 | 16 | 146 | 101 | 28 | 3.52 |
Josh Towers | 154 | 4 | 81 | 49 | 41 | 8.45 |
Gustavo Chacin | 158 | 20 | 93 | 65 | 41 | 5.31 |
Casey Janssen | 130 | 8 | 53 | 20 | 4 | 3.06 |
A.J. Burnett | 41 | 0 | 41 | 8 | 16 | 6.30 |
Relievers | ||||||
B.J. Ryan | 74 | 0 | 81 | 16 | 0 | 0.48 |
Scott Downs | 70 | 0 | 57 | 28 | 12 | 4.58 |
Pete Walker | 70 | 4 | 69 | 24 | 12 | 4.58 |
Justin Speier | 58 | 4 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 1.84 |
Vinnie Chulk | 58 | 0 | 49 | 16 | 16 | 7.36 |
Jason Frasor | 53 | 4 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 8.31 |
Scott Schoeneweis | 49 | 0 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 7.30 |
Brian Tallet | 28 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 12 | 9.00 |
Dustin McGowan | 21 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 7.94 |
Francisco Rosario | 20 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shaun Marcum | 9 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 13.50 |
BJ Ryan is on pace for 36 saves. Pete Walker is on pace for 4 saves.
* Halladay with 20 wins - seems realistic
* Chacin with 20 wins giving up 41 HRs - not so realistic
* Lilly - 16 wins, 3.52 ERA in a hitter's park - free agency will be kind
* BJ Ryan's a decent pitcher
* Speier's not bad either - free agency will be good to him too
* Chulk, Frasor, SS Loogy, Tallet, McGowan, Marcum - ouch
https://www.battersbox.ca/article.php?story=20060519085222532