A month has passed since the first look at college pitchers eligible for the draft. Now we have an additional month of statistics, plus the added bonus of Craig Burley's adjusted stats for 2004, in addition to 2003.
Below is a list and profile of 25 top college pitching prospects.
First, a few notes on the statistics shown:
FIP: Fielding Independent Pitching. FIP = (13*HR+3*BB-2*K)/IP. A discussion of FIP can be found here. The lower the score the better. Calculations are made on the raw, unadjusted college statistics.
xRSAA: Adjusted runs saved above average. This statistic was generated by Craig Burley and adjusts the raw college statistics for park effects and competition.
RA+: Adjusted runs allowed. Similar to ERA+ this is a rate stat with 100 as a midpoint. Again, this was generated by Craig Burley and adjusts the raw college stats for park effects and competition
To learn more about each of the players on the list click on their name for detailed profiles.
The order of pitchers listed below are the same as the original list, but not necessarily how I would rank them now since there's more data to digest, especially the adjusted stats.
#1 Jered Weaver – Long Beach St
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 1.27 113.1 13.6 1.1 0.3 -2.2 78.7 425
2003 1.96 133.1 9.7 1.4 0.5 -1.0 79.6 268
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 1.55 98.2 11.1 3.4 0.5 -0.7 56.0 361
2003 2.20 118.2 12.5 3.5 0.2 -1.4 65.1 284
2002 2.28 51.1 9.0 3.9 0.7 0.3
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 1.66 92 11.8 2.6 0.2 -1.5 51.9 337
2003 3.30 128.0 9.7 2.7 0.8 0.0 54.8 204
2002 2.77 110.2 10.6 3.5 0.7 -0.2
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.58 59.1 10.7 3.0 0.5 -0.7 29.9 252
2003 1.70 137.1 10.2 2.3 0.4 -0.9 77.6 370
2002 3.11 66.2 7.2 3.7 0.1 -0.2
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.33 92 13.2 3.8 0.8 -0.5 25.2 171
2003 2.40 116.1 10.8 3.3 0.2 -1.1 46.6 194
2002 1.90 113.2 10.9 3.4 0.2 -1.1
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.14 94.2 8.5 1.7 0.6 -0.5 43.6 187
2003 2.50 115.0 9.6 2.3 0.5 -0.6 51.7 225
2002 4.37 101.0 7.6 2.8 0.8 0.4
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 1.79 100.2 11.3 3.1 0.4 -1.0 61.7 324
2003 2.52 114.1 8.3 3.4 0.2 -0.4 52.9 230
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.57 98 11.5 3.5 0.6 -0.5 36.2 187
2003 5.79 37.1 10.7 6.1 20.2 168
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.53 89 11.5 2.7 0.3 -1.2 35.2 203
2003 2.27 95.0 11.4 2.5 0.8 -0.6 36 234
2002 1.68 59.0 11.9 2.9
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.17 88 10.2 2.0 0.4 -1.0 43.9 179
2003 3.48 82.2 9.0 5.1 0.3 0.2 23.2 138
2002 2.43 37.0 10.7 7.5 0.5 0.8
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 1.53 35.1 9.0 2.3 0.5 -0.5 24.6 296
2003 1.33 74.1 8.4 1.6 0.4 -0.8 50.3 471
2002 0.96 47.0 9.4 1.7 0.4 -1.0
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.34 62 11.3 2.3 1.2 -0.1 24.2 166
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.66 81.1 8.3 3.8 0.2 -0.3 29.0 234
2003 3.22 95.0 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.4 38.2 227
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 4.88 101.1 8.5 3.9 0.4 -0.1 29.9 132
2003 2.60 100.1 9.9 3.8 0.4 -0.4 42.6 235
2002 2.75 98.1 7.8 2.2 0.0 -1.0
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.02 92.1 10.2 2.0 0.4 -1.0 45.3 214
2003 4.31 112.2 6.0 2.3 1.0 0.8 14.7 110
2002 4.77 83.0 5.0 2.6 0.9 1.0
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.78 50 8.8 2.5 1.3 0.7 15.8 178
2003 2.94 52.0 10.6 1.2 0.9 -0.7 25.1 187
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.98 84.2 8.8 2.2 0.6 -0.3 34.2 188
2003 2.91 105.1 10.0 2.0 0.4 -1.0 42.8 217
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.22 78.1 10.0 5.3 0.5 0.2 23.6 160
2003 2.71 79.2 10.0 4.3 0.2 -0.5 23.7 174
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.44 83.2 9.1 3.6 1.3 1.0 34.5 182
2003 3.99 88.0 5.9 2.1 1.2 1.2 27.8 163
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.76 98 10.0 3.9 0.4 -0.4 50.6 211
2003 5.20 72.2 8.4 5.1 0.5 0.6 24.4 126
2002 3.35 75.1 10.1 5.3 0.4 0.0
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.66 59 11.1 4.3 0.2 -0.8 16.4 147
2003 3.57 45.1 9.4 3.8 0.2 -0.5 8.3 125
2002 3.08 52.2 8.8 3.8 0.0 -0.7
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 3.9 64.2 9.4 4.3 0.4 0.0 20.9 131
2003 3.77 86.0 7.5 3.2 19.6 122
2002 5.28 58.0 9.8 6.1
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.02 89 10.1 2.7 0.3 -0.9 43.6 242
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.24 96.1 9.0 1.7 0.4 -0.9 53.3 234
2003 3.02 125.0 8.1 2.4 0.6 -0.1 34.2 139
2002 3.63 39.2 9.4 4.1 0.2 -0.4
Year ERA Inn K/9 BB/9 HR/9 FIP xRSAA RA+
2004 2.02 93.2 8.7 2.1 0.5 -0.5 37.0 221
2003 3.71 102.0 7.7 3.4 0.2 -0.3 17.2 138
2002 5.31 84.2 7.5 4.8 0.6 0.9
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