To be clear -- this is not a prediction or a projection, but just an off-the-top starting point. To that end, each team's Hall possibilities are broken down into five categories ...
- Absolute slam-dunk mortal lock, also known as The Schmidt-Seaver Level;
- Certainly on pace to make it, or The Rod Carew in 1977 Level;
- Will get some votes, but probably never get inducted, or The Steve Garvey Level;
- Solid player, but no real chance at enshrinement, or The Larry Bowa Level; and
- Too early to tell, but worth watching, or the, um, Is He Ruben Sierra or Dave Parker or Hank Aaron? Level.
There are very few players in that first "slam dunk" category, meaning players who could retire right now and rest comfortably while drafting their acceptance speeches. There are just about as few in the "on pace to" category that acknowledges the current greats who just haven't been around long enough yet to get the plaque-makers busy. There are many players at the third and fourth levels -- solid, but not Hall-category guys, though some will at least get some support from voters. As for that "Too early to tell" category, it's not really at all for rookies or brand-new players; you won't see names like Lind and Snider.
In fact, the below list doesn't even really do justice to the many solid players on the teams listed -- a guy like Nick Swisher, for instance, doesn't bear mentioning, though honestly, if he was an Oriole, he might have been listed just so their categories weren't completely barren. (Again, this is all pretty random. Feel free to jump in with "How could you not even mention ...?")
The list only considers active players, though if you really want to make a shout-out for a manager, umpire, front office guy or even a recently-retired player, please feel free to do so.
One final note -- there is no consideration given below to whether or not a player also belongs in The Mark McGwire Level ... use of PEDs, suspected, confirmed, or even admitted, is not one of our criteria.
Methodology... I scanned rosters and drew unscientifc, non-statistical knee-jerk conclusions. You got a problem with that? I freely admit this almost certainly missed someone(s) really obvious, that I misplaced/miscategorized others, etc. So what? This is a discussion starter. Go to it!
BLUE JAYS
- Absolute slam-dunk mortal lock: Nobody
- Certainly on pace to make it: Roy Halladay
- Will get some votes, but probably not: Vernon Wells
- Solid player, but no real chance: B.J. Ryan, Lyle Overbay, Scott Rolen
- Too early to tell, but worth watching: Alex Rios
- Absolute slam-dunk mortal lock: Mariano Rivera, Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez
- Certainly on pace to make it: Mark Teixeira
- Will get some votes, but probably not: Andy Pettitte, Jorge Posada, Hideki Matsui
- Solid player, but no real chance: A.J. Burnett, C.C. Sabathia, Johnny Damon
- Too early to tell, but worth watching: Chien-Ming Wang, Robinson Cano
- Absolute slam-dunk mortal lock: Nobody
- Certainly on pace to make it: John Smoltz
- Will get some votes, but probably not: Josh Beckett, David Ortiz
- Solid player, but no real chance: Jon Papelbon, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Tim Wakefield, Jason Varitek, Mike Lowell, Kevin Youkilis, Jason Bay, J.D. Drew
- Too early to tell, but worth watching: Dustin Pedroia
- Absolute slam-dunk mortal lock: Nobody
- Certainly on pace to make it: Nobody
- Will get some votes, but probably not: Troy Percival
- Solid player, but no real chance: Jason Isringhausen, Carlos Pena, Pat Burrell
- Too early to tell, but worth watching: Scott Kazmir, David Price, Evan Longoria, Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton
- Absolute slam-dunk mortal lock: Nobody
- Certainly on pace to make it: Nobody
- Will get some votes, but probably not: Nobody
- Solid player, but no real chance: Melvin Mora, Nick Markakis
- Too early to tell, but worth watching: Adam Jones